• 제목/요약/키워드: Supply and demand imbalance

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전기공사업 노동시장의 인력수급 불균형에 관한 연구: 기술·기능인력의 수급격차에 대한 시뮬레이션 (The Study on Imbalance for Labor Supply and Demand in Electrical Construction Business : Simulating the Supply and Demand Gap of Technical Engineer)

  • 박홍희
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제14권3호
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    • pp.105-134
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    • 2013
  • Electrical construction business has public and professional characters. It may require appropriate interventions of the government because these business activities stand for not only profit-seeking competition, but also supplies of one of the key functions in our society. In other words, public benefit and private benefit are still in existence. The government therefore considers such an aspect of public importance of the business sector and needs to plan to adjust technical and engineering manpower of this market. This study focuses on the imbalance for labor supply and demand of technical engineer in electrical construction business. A system dynamics analysis is applied to understand and simulate the imbalance as a soft approach. It has the merit of causal loop diagram to alleviate the limitation of data lack problem. We find that excess demand is expected from 2010 to 2011, and excess supply is predicted from 2012 to 2021 about the manpower of technical engineer. It shows considerable disagreement between the supply and demand of human resource. So we suggest that it is strong necessity to construct statistics infrastructure for a manpower supply and demand plan.

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수급 불균형을 고려한 전력망의 최적 자원 할당을 위한 일치 기반의 분산 알고리즘 (Consensus-Based Distributed Algorithm for Optimal Resource Allocation of Power Network under Supply-Demand Imbalance)

  • 임영훈
    • 한국정보전자통신기술학회논문지
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.440-448
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    • 2022
  • 최근 분산 에너지 자원들의 도입으로 전력망의 최적 자원 할당 문제의 중요성이 강조되고 있고, 대규모 전력망의 방대한 양의 데이터를 처리하기 위해 분산 자원 할당 기법이 요구되고 있다. 최적 자원 할당 문제에서 각 발전기의 발전 용량의 한계로 인하여 수급의 균형이 만족하는 경우를 고려한 연구는 많이 진행되고 있지만, 총 요구량이 최대 발전 용량을 초과하는 경우인 수급 불균형을 고려한 연구는 아직 미미한 실정이다. 본 논문에서는 수급 균형인 상황뿐만 아니라 수급 불균형 상황을 고려하여 전력망의 최적 자원 할당을 위한 일치 기반의 분산 알고리즘을 제안한다. 제안하는 분산 알고리즘은 수급 균형을 만족하는 경우에는 최적의 자원을 할당하고, 수급이 불균형한 경우에는 부족한 자원의 양을 계측할 수 있도록 설계하였다. 마지막으로 모의실험을 통하여 제안된 알고리즘의 성능을 검증하였다.

Public Policy and The Imbalance of The Systems: A System Dynamics Approach for The Shock of Lowered Retirement Age of Teachers on Education System

  • Yi, Mi-Sook;Choi, Nam-Hee;Kim, Doa-Hoon
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.149-174
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    • 2004
  • Since the economic crisis in 1997, the Korean government has implemented a number of reforms in order to eliminate inefficiencies in both private and public sectors. One of the reforms made in the public sector was to lower the retirement age of teachers from the original age of 65 to that age 62. The ultimate aim of this compulsory policy was to improve the quality level of education by hiring many young teachers instead of senior teachers. It was made based on the calculation that by lowering the retirement age by three years, the government can hire three young teachers with the saved wages. However, this policy has brought an unexpected result; the imbalance between the supply and demand for teachers has become a much more serious problem in Korea's elementary education system The purpose of this study is largely twofold; First of all, it aims to identify the scope of imbalances occurred in the supply-demand system of elementary school teachers in a region of the nation, and also to find out why such imbalance occurred. Secondly, the purpose of this study is to experiment with feasible policy alternatives and their effects on the system and to suggest some resolutions on the imbalance.

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구급서비스의 지역 불균형: 부산시 119 구급활동일지 분석 (Local Imbalance of Emergency Medical Services(EMS): Analyses on 119 EMS Activity Reports of Busan)

  • 이달별
    • 한국지리정보학회지
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    • 제23권3호
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    • pp.161-173
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    • 2020
  • 이 연구는 부산소방재난본부의 119 구급활동일지를 이용하여 부산의 구급서비스의 지역적 불균형을 조사하였다. 2017년 구급신고 자료를 집계구 단위로 취합하여 구급서비스의 수요(신고건수, 인구대비 신고건)와 공급(신고건수, 인구대비 신고건수, 현장도착시간의 평균·변동계수·이상치, 관할구역 외 출동건수)의 공간분포를 GIS 공간통계분석 중 핫스팟분석을 이용하여 분석하였다. 분석결과는 구급서비스의 수요와 공급 모두 집중적으로 나타나는 핫스팟지역과 콜드스팟지역이 명확하게 구분되었으며, 이는 부산 내 구급서비스의 수요 뿐 아니라 공급이 지역적으로 불균형함을 의미한다. 특히 원도심과 그 주변지역과 부산시 외곽지역에서의 구급수요 및 공급에서 극명한 차이를 보였다.

소프트웨어 산업 동태적 인력수급 모델 개발 (Development of Dynamic Manpower Supply and Demand Model in Software Industry)

  • 정재림
    • 미래기술융합논문지
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    • 제2권3호
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2023
  • 본 디지털 전환에서 가장 중요한 것은 SW 기술이다. 그러나 많은 기업이 SW 기술 및 인력 확보에 어려움을 겪고 있다. 특히 SW 인력 부족은 더욱 증가할 것이라 보고되고 있다. 정부는 SW 인력 수급정책을 해소하기 위해 인력양성 정책과 많은 지원사업을 수행하고 있지만, 이러한 정책이 효과적으로 수립되기 위해서는 소프트웨어 산업의 수요와 공급에 대한 정확한 예측이 필수적이다. 따라서 본 연구는 소프트웨어 산업의 수급 불균형을 해소하기 위해 동태적 구조 분석을 수행할 수 있는 시스템 다이내믹스 방법론을 활용하여 시뮬레이션을 개발하였다. 시스템 다이내믹스는 소프트웨어 산업의 인력 수급 불균형 현상에 대해 동태적인 시각에서 그 원인과 정책대안을 찾기에 적절하다. 세부적으로 미국의 노동통계국의(U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, BLS) 방법론을 사용하여 적용하여 소프트웨어 산업의 인력 수요 및 공급 예측 모델을 개발하였고, 시나리오 분석을 수행하여 정책적 시사점을 도출하였다.

기술집약도별 산업기술인력 수급구조의 특징과 정책적 시사점 (The Characteristics and Perspectives of Industrial Technology Labor-force by Technology Intensities in Korean Manufacturing)

  • 홍성민;장선미
    • 기술혁신연구
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.201-223
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    • 2008
  • This paper studies the supply and demand of Industrial Technology Labor-force(ITL) and analyzes the determinate of ITL shortage in Korean manufacturing. We classified the industry into four categories-high technology industries, medium-high technology industries, medium-low technology industries and low technology industries-based on its R&D intensity like OECD. For the empirical analyses we use a survey data collected from 5,703 enterprises. The key findings are as follows: Firstly, a large majority of ITL is engaged in more technology-intensive industries but the categories that are exposed to more serious labor-force shortage problem are medium-high technology industries and low technology industries. Secondly, in the terms of supply factor, the ITL shortage problems are mainly due to the avoidance of ITL jobs. And the demand point, the reason is that the most of ITL are not researchers but production managers. Thirdly, the cause of imbalance between supply and demand of ITL are different by the technological categories. For example, in the high technology industries, the supply factors, such as average wage and turnover rate played more important role in the imbalance. But in the low technology industries the demand factors, such as per capita sales and the ratio of ITL in all employees were relatively much more important. Based on the findings, we discovered some political meanings such as the necessity to plan various policies to resolve the shortage problem of ITL according to the technological categories, etc.

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Studies on Supply and Demand Paradox in Shipping Market

  • Kim, Jin-Hwan
    • 산경연구논집
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    • 제10권1호
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - The purpose of the paper is to examine disconnection between supply and demand shipping market, which means shipowner has determined to raise capacity in bust period. Research design, data, and methodology - The research method to be applied is first to look into conceptual theory about shipping market, and then to study imbalance of supply and demand situations in shipping on crisis, and next, to analyses paradoxical aspects traced. Results - Shipping market is a volatile and cyclic characteristics, and its situations have to be examined very carefully. Since financial crisis has broken up in 2008, it is natural to think that world trade volumes has reduced rapidly, which means demand for shipping service has fallen, and accordingly, tonnage should be stagnated as well. However, shipping companies have put capacity into market as unexpectedly. This is because of economy of scale and time lag. Here, this can be explained in terms of paradox that is proved in this paper. Conclusions - From careful research in this paper, it is found that supply and demand are not always got along with market situations, in other words supply side could be working well, in spite of depression time of demand situations in world shipping markets.

정보보안 인력양성을 위한 탐색적 연구: 정부, 기업, 학계, 인력 관점 기반 (An Exploratory Study on Development of Information Security Manpower)

  • 서경진;최지은;김희웅
    • 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.73-96
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    • 2015
  • Purpose Information security industry is rapidly growing, but has been confronted with many challenges in a business environment. One of them is the imbalance between supply and demand of information security manpower, which has caused an insecure market situation. Therefore, this study has derived factors of promoting and hindering information security manpower from governance, academics, corporations, and workforce perspectives, and has analyzed a sequence of cause and effect of each factor. Design/methodology/approach This study is an exploratory research based on the interviews. The causal loop diagram (CLD) was developed to deduce key issues and propose alternatives. Findings The result of this study is expected to help the development of information security manpower in Korea, by minimizing the potential negative effects as well as maximizing the positive effects. This study found out the dynamic causes and effects of the security manpower system in each stakeholder's perspective. The cause-and-effect relationships between the stakeholders will be able to contribute to solve the imbalance of supply and demand in security manpower system.

우리나라 사서교사 양성현황과 수급문제에 관한 연구 (The Study on the Present Educational Aspect of Korean Teacher Librarians and Their Supply-demand Problems)

  • 김성준;서진원
    • 한국도서관정보학회지
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    • 제39권3호
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    • pp.161-186
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    • 2008
  • 우리나라 사서교사의 양성현황과 수요전망을 통해서 사서교사 양성체제와 수급의 문제점을 지적하고 대안을 제시하였다. 특히 사서교사의 교육체제, 양성기관 현황 및 양성인원을 바탕으로 사서교사의 양성능력을 전망하고, 사서교사 선발현황과, 한국도서관협회 기준, 학교도서관진흥법의 기준을 적용하여 필요한 사서교사의 수요를 분석하였다. 그 결과 사서교사 수급불균형의 문제점을 지적하였고, 미래의 수요에 필요한 적정 인원을 양성하기 위한 방법으로 일반대학 문헌정보학과 교직과정 승인인원의 재조정과 사범대학의 문헌정보교육과의 신설을 제안하였다.

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제주지역 호텔이용률에 영향을 미치는 결정요인 분석 (Analysis on the Determinants of Hotel Occupancy Rate in Jeju Island)

  • 류강민;송기욱
    • 토지주택연구
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.10-18
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    • 2018
  • As the volatility increasement of the number of tourist, there was been controversy over supply-demand imbalance in hotel market. The purpose of this study is to analysis on determinants of hotel occupancy rate in Jeju Island. The quantitative method is based on cointegrating regression, using an empirical dataset with hotel from 2000 to 2017. The primary results of research is briefly summarized as follows; First, there are high relationship between total hotel occupancy rate and hotel occupancy of foreign tourist. The volatility of hotel occupancy is caused by foreigner user than local tourists though local tourist high propotion of hotel occupancy in Jeju Island. Second, hotel occupancy of local tourist has not relationship with demand and supply variables. Because some hotel users are not local tourists but local resident, and effects to other variables of hotel consumer trend, accommodation such as Guest house, Airbnb. Third, there are high relationship between foreign hotel occupancy rate and demand-supply variables. These research imply that total management of supply-demand is very important to seek stability of hotel occupancy rate in Jeju Island. Also it can provide a useful solution regarding mismatch problem between supply-demand as well as development the systematic forecasting model for hotel market participants.