• 기술혁신연구
• /
• 제19권3호
• /
• pp.1-29
• /
• 2011

정부는 과학기술이 실현할 긍정적 미래사회의 모습을 보여주고 장기적인 과학 기술 발전의 가이드라인을 제시하기 위하여 "2040 과학기술 미래비전"을 수립하였다. 과학 기술 미래비전은 글로벌 메가트렌드와 한국사회의 변화를 전망하고 이를 바탕으로 과학기술적 비전을 수립하였으며 비전달성을 위한 25대 미래핵심기술분야를 도출하였다. 이에 대한 후속작업으로, 과학기술 미래비전 구현을 위한 연구개발 전략이 수립되었다. 연구개발 전략은, 25대 미래핵심기술분야별로 특히 미래과학기술발전을 주도해나갈 미래주도기술을 선정하고 그에 대한 정부R&D 투자현황 분석과 향후 투자방향성으로 구성된다. 미래사회를 주도할 기술의 선제적 발굴과 그에 대한 정부의 전략적 정책설정은 기술선도국으로 도약하기 위한 필수조건이라고 할 수 있고, 이에 따라 미래기술 발굴 노력이 확대되고 있다. 기존의 미래 기술 발굴에는 전문가들의 패널토론이나 전문가평가를 통한 포트폴리오분석 등 정성적 방법론을 활용하였다. 그러나 일부 전문가에게 의존해야 하는 정성적 방법론은 객관성의 부족 등 한계가 존재한다. 따라서 이러한 한계점을 보완하기 위한 정량적 방법론이 시도되고 있는데, 본 연구에서는 논문서지자료를 분석하여 과학지도를 작성하는 방법을 활용한 미래기술 발굴 방법을 제안한다. 또한 미래기술에 대한 정부R&D 정책은 일반적으로 기술이 실현될 때까지 정부지원방향을 단일하게 제시하는 경우가 대부분이다. 본 연구에서는 이를 중간시점과 기술실현시점 등 2단계로 구분하여 구간별로 정부R&D에 대한 투자포트포리오를 제시함으로써 전략적 측면을 강화할 수 있는 방안을 제안한다. 본 연구를 통해 다음과 같은 정책적 시사점을 확인할 수 있다. 첫째, 미래기술 발굴에 대한 정량적 방법론과 정성적 방법론의 결합 가능성을 통해 기존의 한계점을 보완할 수 있다. 둘째, 정부R&D의 투자방향성을 동적으로 제시하여 전략성을 제고하고 부처간 또는 연구수행 주체간 연계를 강화할 수 있다. 향후 본 연구의 결과가 "2040 과학기술 미래비전"의 구현을 위한 실천적 전략으로서 유용하게 적용되는 한편, 미래기술 발굴 및 정책설정의 방법론으로서 널리 활용되기를 기대한다.

• 한국항만경제학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국항만경제학회 2006년도 국제학술대회
• /
• pp.1-12
• /
• 2006

As national economies globalize, demand for intercontinental container shipping services is growing rapidly, providing a potential economic boon for the countries and communities that provide port services. On the promise of profits, many governments are investing heavily in port infrastructure, leading to a possible glut in port capacity, driving down prices for port services and eliminating profits as ports compete for business. Further, existing ports are making strategic investments to protect their market share, increasing the chance new ports will be overcapitalized and unprofitable. Governments and port researchers need a tool for understanding how local competition in their region will affect demand for port services at their location, and thus better assess the profitability of a prospective port. We propose to develop such a tool by extending our existing simulation model of global container traffic to incorporate demand-side shipper preferences and supply-side strategic responses by incumbent ports to changes in the global port network, including building new ports, scaling up existing ports, and unexpected port closures. We will estimate shipper preferences over routes, port attributes and port services based on US and international shipping data, and redesign the simulation model to maximize the shipper's revealed preference functions rather than simply minimize costs. As demand shifts, competing ports will adjust their pricing (short term) and infrastructure (long term) to remain competitive or defend market share, a reaction we will capture with a game theoretic model of local monopoly that will predict changes in port characteristics. The model's hypotheses will be tested in a controlled laboratory experiment tailored to local port competition in Asia, which will also serve to demonstrate the subtle game theoretic concepts of imperfect competition to a policy and industry audience. We will apply the simulation model to analyze changes in global container traffic in three scenarios: addition of a new large port in the US, extended closure of an existing large port in the US, and cooperative and competitive port infrastructure development among Korean partner countries in Asia.

• 한국항만경제학회지
• /
• 제32권4호
• /
• pp.29-39
• /
• 2016

극동지역 국가들의 협력이 지정학적, 지경학적, 지전략적 이익이 시간이 갈수록 점차 증가하면서 각국별로 핵심거점을 유치 혹은 설치하기 위해 각축을 벌이는 상황이다. 본 연구에서는 극동지역 국내외 전문가를 대상으로 주 기준 3가지 요인과, 세부기준 9가지 요인에 대해 상대적 중요도를 조사하였으며, AHP 분석으로 중요도 우선순위가 도출되었다. 극동지역 제조 물류거점 선택 요인별 중요도 분석 결과, 주 기준인 지리사회적 요인, 경제적 요인, 정책적 요인에서 가장 중요도가 높은 요인은 경제적 요인으로 세부기준으로도 경제적 요인의 산업단지 조성의 중요도가 가장 높게 나타났다. 다음으로는 정책적 요인의 투자에 대한 제도적 보장, 지리사회적 요인의 연계교통망 순으로 나타났다. 총체적 중요도 우선순위는 산업단지 조성, 투자에 대한 제도적 보장, 연계 교통망, 물류시설 우수성, 통관효율성 및 안정성, 자원 활용 용이성, 입지 지형 주변도시, 인구 세대수, 공공시설 잠재수요, 장기적 투자 계획 순으로 도출되었다. 선택요인별 중요도 분석 결과를 바탕으로 극동의 10개 지역의 경쟁력 수준을 파악해 본 결과 훈춘, 블라디보스토크, 연길, 투먼, 나진, 하산, 우수리스크, 청진, 미하일로프스키, 니제즈친스키 순으로 나타났으며, 훈춘은 입지 지형 주변도시의 적합성, 연계교통망, 산업단지조성, 물류시설 우수성, 장기적 투자계획, 투자에 대한 제도적 보장, 통관 효율성 및 정치적 안정성에서 가장 높은 경쟁력 수준을 나타냈으며, 그 외 항목 인구 및 세대수, 공공시설, 잠재수요, 자원 활용 용이성에서는 블라디보스토크가 높게 분석되었다.

• 유통과학연구
• /
• 제10권7호
• /
• pp.33-41
• /
• 2012

The purpose of this study is to analyse the state of the energy industry and to determine the efficiency of its functioning on the basis of energy conservation principle and application of innovative technologies aimed at improving the ecological modernisation of agricultural sectors of Kazakhstan. The research methodology is based on an integrated approach of financial and economic evaluation of the effectiveness of the investment project, based on calculation of elasticity, total costs and profitability, as well as on comparative, graphical and system analysis. The current stage is characterised by widely spread restructuring processes of electric power industry in many countries through introduction of new technical installations of energy facilities and increased government regulation in order to enhance the competitive advantage of electricity market. Electric power industry features a considerable value of creating areas. For example, by providing scientific and technical progress, it crucially affects not only the development but also the territorial organisation of productive forces, first of all the industry. In modern life, more than 90% of electricity and heat is obtained by Kazakhstan's economy by consuming non-renewable energy resources: different types of coal, oil shale, oil, natural gas and peat. Therefore, it is significant to ensure energy security, as the country faces a rapid fall back to mono-gas structure of fuel and energy balance. However, energy resources in Kazakhstan are spread very unevenly. Its main supplies are concentrated in northern and central parts of the republic, and the majority of consumers of electrical power live in the southern and western areas of the country. However, energy plays an important role in the economy of industrial production and to a large extent determines the level of competitive advantage, which is a promising condition for implementation of energy-saving and environmentally friendly technologies. In these circumstances, issues of modernisation and reforms of this sector in Kazakhstan gain more and more importance, which can be seen in the example of economically sustainable solutions of a large local monopoly company, significant savings in capital investment and efficiency of implementation of an investment project. A major disadvantage of development of electricity distribution companies is the prevalence of very high moral and physical amortisation of equipment, reaching almost 70-80%, which significantly increases the operating costs. For example, while an investment of 12 billion tenge was planned in 2009 in this branch, in 2012 it is planned to invest more than 17 billion. Obviously, despite the absolute increase, the rate of investment is still quite low, as the total demand in this area is at least more than 250 billion tenge. In addition, industrial infrastructure, including the objects of Kazakhstan electric power industry, have a tangible adverse impact on the environment. Thus, since there is a large number of various power projects that are sources of electromagnetic radiation, the environment is deteriorated. Hence, there is a need to optimise the efficiency of the organisation and management of production activities of energy companies, to create and implement new technologies, to ensure safe production and provide solutions to various environmental aspects. These are key strategic factors to ensure success of the modern energy sector of Kazakhstan. The contribution of authors in developing the scope of this subject is explained by the fact that there was not enough research in the energy sector, especially in the view of ecological modernisation. This work differs from similar works in Kazakhstan in the way that the proposed method of investment project calculation takes into account the time factor, which compares the current and future value of profit from the implementation of innovative equipment that helps to bring it to actual practise. The feasibility of writing this article lies in the need of forming a public policy in the industrial sector, including optimising the structure of energy disbursing rate, which complies with the terms of future modernised development of the domestic energy sector.

• 통상정보연구
• /
• 제18권3호
• /
• pp.131-151
• /
• 2016

한 중 FTA 체결과 중국서부지역의 대개발정책은 우리기업들에게는 전략적인 기회요인이 될 수 있다. 본 연구는 우리나라 물류기업들이 국내 물류산업의 활동기반을 확대하고 중국에 진출한 우리나라 기업들의 원활한 비즈니스 활동을 지원하기 위한 진출 전략을 제시하고자 하였다. 한국물류기업 32개 업체를 대상으로 설문지 방식을 이용하여 중국서부지역 진출시 중요시 고려되는 요인을 분석하였다. 분석결과, 정부요인, 현지시장 요인, 전략적 요인, 인프라 요인, 금융 및 예산 요인의 순으로 나타났으며, 정부요인으로는 '중국물류전문가 육성', '중국서부지방 정부와의 경제협력', '투자박람회 및 전시회 개최' 등이 중요한 활성화 요인이며, 현지시장 요인에서 '중국물류사업 진입 허가 및 절차파악', '중국서부지역 물류시스템 파악'이 중요한 요인으로 나타났다. 또한 대기업과 중소 중견기업은 정부요인이 중요하다고 제시한 반면, 소기업은 현지시장 요인이 진출에 중요한 요인인 것으로 나타났다.

• 기술혁신학회지
• /
• 제8권1호
• /
• pp.183-208
• /
• 2005

In recent years, national R&D programs tend to become larger and more complicated, which necessitates strengthening the overall coordination of national R&D programs at the inter-ministerial level from the program planning stage. This paper looks into the status and problems of Korea's national R&D programs and proffers ways to improve the current system It highlights the problems shown in the process of the 2004 overall coordination and their rectification. First, various ad-hoc private-led committee brought about inefficiency in decision making process. Therefore, it is necessary to streamline such committees and strengthen the function of the Office of Science and Technology Innovation, Second, in view of the implementation of the overall coordination system, it is necessary to identify the problems in full detail that were raised in the course of the previous year's overall coordination so that new projects can be allotted minimal grades and follow-up activities can be efficiently put into execution. Third, it is necessary to establish standing committees for constant review and efficient utilization that will be devoted to reviewing programs overlapped and their linkage. Fourth, priority of investment regarding the nation's strategic policy direction should be reflected. Fifth, given the lack of performance-based evaluation system, it is necessary to develop macro and micro evaluation indices in conjunction with enacting the tentatively named "Performance-based Law." The overall coordination system of national R&D programs should be supplemented and further developed in relation to the aforementioned problems and their rectification in order to enhance the expertise, fairness, and efficiency of the nation's R&D coordination system.

• 한국기술혁신학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국기술혁신학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
• /
• pp.413-425
• /
• 2003

Information Technology is the kernel technology deciding the industrial standard of one nation, and biotechnology will be the main technology of next generation. Based on this fact, a lot of efforts were made to industrialize them. Nano Technology is beginning to position itself as the kernel fusion technology, and its usage and popularity is expanding. Environmental and Energy Technology is a must-have strategic technology considering the increase demand of new energy development, the international environment correspondence, the environment-friendly production, and so forth. Space Technology is the field, which will contribute to raise the domestic component and system technology to the next level. In 2001, new technology research development costs total of 1 trillion 32 billion won in the following fields; 437.82 billion won in IT, 88.457 billion won in BT, 46.799 billion won in NT, 315.682 billion won in ET, and 112 billion won in ST. from component ratio, IT forms 42% which is the most, 31% for ET and in order of BT, ST and NT. ETRI and KISTI are concentrating on IT, KIBB is on BT, KAERI, KIER, KERI and KBSI are focusing on ET, and KIMM, KRISS, KRICT and KORDI is participating together in 4∼5 new technology such as IT, BT, NT and ET. Funds for research development costs in 5 new technology fields of 13 contribution (year) are consisted as follows; The Office for Government Policy Coordination has contributed 131 billion won (13%), 387 billion won (37%) by MOST, 256 billion won (25%) by Ministry of Information and Communication, 67 billion won (6%) by Ministry of Commerce, Industry and Energy, 19% by others and the industrial world. < Strategy for Technology Advancing > o Promotion of comprehensive contributing (year) new technology development research plan project o Increase research efficiency by promoting new technology development project connected with peculiar projects of organization by contribution (year) o Formation of superior research group by technology and introduction of operation system for research accumulation are needed. o Technology demand-oriented assignment deduction and promotion of research development project connected with intermediate long term objective o National will and investment extension of research development costs, training and popularization of professionals, commercialization promotion with efficient control for research plan and result.

• 품질경영학회지
• /
• 제44권4호
• /
• pp.833-843
• /
• 2016

Purpose: The purpose of this study is to evaluate the value of smart home service using contingent valuation method that is the method evaluating the value of service which will be provided in the future. Using this method, this study suggests proper price and market value of smart home service through figuring out customer's willingness to pay. Methods: To estimate willingness to pay for smart home service, this study uses double bounded dichotomous choice question. The survey was conducted for 2 months from December in 2015 to February in 2016. A total of 269 copies were used to estimate through R-programming. Results: The results of this study are as follows; Gender(especially woman), income, proposed price are the factors which affecting willingness to pay. As the result of this study, average price of willingness to pay for smart home service estimates as \29,653. Comparing with high-speed internet bundling service fee, this estimated price for smart home service is appropriate level for customers to accept. Conclusion: This study estimates consumer's willingness to pay for smart home service which is in the market entry stage. In corporate side, this study might be meaningful for estimating investment scale and profit. Also it could provide basis for establishing strategic policy to develop smart home service market in government side.

• 기술혁신학회지
• /
• 제13권2호
• /
• pp.365-378
• /
• 2010

지속적인 성장을 위하여 정부는 R&D투자 규모를 지속적으로 늘리고 있으며, 동시에 R&D 성과의 산업화 연계 등 성과활용 관점의 관리와 인프라를 강화하고 있다. 그러나 사후적인 성과관리보다는 우수한 결과가 도출될 수 있는 사전적인 R&D기획이 더욱 중요하다. 본 연구는 우수한 R&D성과의 창출을 위한 R&D기획에 대한 시사점을 제시하고자, 신재생에너지 분야 중 연료전지와 태양전지 분야 특허를 대상으로 가산자료 모형을 활용하여 특허의 질적 수준 결정요인을 비교 분석 하였다. 분석결과 기술별로 결정요인은 서로 상이하게 나타나 R&D기획이 기술별로 구별되어야 함을 보였고, 결과를 바탕으로 우수한 R&D성과를 도출할 수 있는 연료전지, 태양전지 분야의 R&D기획 방향을 제시하였다.

• 아태비즈니스연구
• /
• 제12권1호
• /
• pp.151-163
• /
• 2021

Purpose - The break-even point refers to the point where total profit and total cost coincide, and from this point on, the entrepreneur's decision-making takes a different route. Strategic decisions can be made for more efficient operation and eventually for more likelihood for growth and sustainability if a startup figures out when it recoups the investment and switches to a net profit. Design/methodology/approach - 748 creativity and skill-based sole proprietors in manufacturing industry were examined to demonstrate the effect of the entrepreneur's entrepreneurial experience and education level, the business launch preparation time, or the self-financing on the achievement of break-even point. Findings - While the business launch preparation time lowered the likelihood of reaching a break-even point, self-financing increased the likelihood. As a result of further analysis by subdividing into subgroups according to skill level, only the business launch preparation time was statistically significant in the highly skilled industries. In the low skilled industries, in addition to the business launch preparation time, the CEO's education level and the self-financing were statistically significant. Research implications or Originality - The longer the business launch preparation time, the higher the start-up cost, which increases the burden of initial cost recovery, and the agile response to market changes is thereby delayed, resulting in the business idea losing its appeal. Self-financing not only provides stability and strong motivation for the business operation but also promotes careful spending which contributes to the achievement of break-even point. In particular, it is found that practical experience is more useful than theoretical knowledge in low skilled industries. Due to the limitation of secondary data based on the recollection, the time required to reach a break-even point, percentage of financing sources, etc. may include cognitive errors. In addition, variables are not included that explain the characteristics of creativity and skill-based sole proprietorship, so it is necessary to exercise caution with the actual application.