• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stochastic programming

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Deriving Robust Reservoir Operation Policy under Changing Climate: Use of Robust Optimiziation with Stochastic Dynamic Programming

  • Kim, Gi Joo;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2020.06a
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    • pp.171-171
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    • 2020
  • Decision making strategies should consider both adaptiveness and robustness in order to deal with two main characteristics of climate change: non-stationarity and deep uncertainty. Especially, robust strategies are different from traditional optimal strategies in the sense that they are satisfactory over a wider range of uncertainty and may act as a key when confronting climate change. In this study, a new framework named Robust Stochastic Dynamic Programming (R-SDP) is proposed, which couples previously developed robust optimization (RO) into the objective function and constraint of SDP. Two main approaches of RO, feasibility robustness and solution robustness, are considered in the optimization algorithm and consequently, three models to be tested are developed: conventional-SDP (CSDP), R-SDP-Feasibility (RSDP-F), and R-SDP-Solution (RSDP-S). The developed models were used to derive optimal monthly release rules in a single reservoir, and multiple simulations of the derived monthly policy under inflow scenarios with varying mean and standard deviations are undergone. Simulation results were then evaluated with a wide range of evaluation metrics from reliability, resiliency, vulnerability to additional robustness measures. Evaluation results were finally visualized with advanced visualization tools that are used in multi-objective robust decision making (MORDM) framework. As a result, RSDP-F and RSDP-S models yielded more risk averse, or conservative, results than the CSDP model, and a trade-off relationship between traditional and robustness metrics was discovered.

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Seat Allocation Model for Single Flight-leg using Linear Approximation Technique (선형근사 기법을 이용한 단일비행구간의 좌석할당 모형)

  • Song, Yoon-Sook;Lee, Hwi-Young
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2008.10a
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    • pp.65-75
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    • 2008
  • Over the last three decades, there are many researches focusing on the practice and theory of RM in airlines. Most of them have dealt with a seat assignment problem for maximizing the total revenue. In this study, we focus on a seat assignment problem in airlines. The seat assignment problem can be modeled as a stochastic programming model which is difficulty to solve optimally. However, with some assumptions on the demand distribution functions and a linear approximation technique, we can transform the complex stochastic programming model to a Linear Programming model. Some computational experiments are performed to evaluate out model with randomly generated data. They show that our model has a good performance comparing to existing models, and can be considered as a basis for further studies on improving existing seat assignment models.

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Seat Allocation Model for Single Flight-leg using Linear Approximation Technique (선형근사 기법을 이용한 단일비행구간의 좌석할당 모형)

  • Song, Yoon-Sook;Lee, Hwi-Young;Yoon, Moon-Gil
    • Korean Management Science Review
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.117-131
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    • 2009
  • Over the last three decades, there are many researches focusing on the practice and theory of RM in airlines. Most of them have dealt with a seat assignment problem for maximizing the total revenue. In this study, we focus on a seat assignment problem in airlines. The seat assignment problem can be modeled as a stochastic programming model which is difficulty to solve optimally. However, with some assumptions on the demand distribution functions and a linear approximation technique, we can transform the complex stochastic programming model to a Linear Programming model. Some computational experiments are performed to evaluate out model with randomly generated data. They show that our model has a good performance comparing to existing models, and can be considered as a basis for further studies on improving existing seat assignment models.

Dynamic Economic Dispatch for Microgrid Based on the Chance-Constrained Programming

  • Huang, Daizheng;Xie, Lingling;Wu, Zhihui
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.1064-1072
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    • 2017
  • The power of controlled generators in microgrids randomly fluctuate because of the stochastic volatility of the outputs of photovoltaic systems and wind turbines as well as the load demands. To address and dispatch these stochastic factors for daily operations, a dynamic economic dispatch model with the goal of minimizing the generation cost is established via chance-constrained programming. A Monte Carlo simulation combined with particle swarm optimization algorithm is employed to optimize the model. The simulation results show that both the objective function and constraint condition have been tightened and that the operation costs have increased. A higher stability of the system corresponds to the higher operation costs of controlled generators. These operation costs also increase along with the confidence levels for the objective function and constraints.

Design Centering by Genetic Algorithm and Coarse Simulation

  • Jinkoo Lee
    • Korean Journal of Computational Design and Engineering
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.215-221
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    • 1997
  • A new approach in solving design centering problem is presented. Like most stochastic optimization problems, optimal design centering problems have intrinsic difficulties in multivariate intergration of probability density functions. In order to avoid to avoid those difficulties, genetic algorithm and very coarse Monte Carlo simulation are used in this research. The new algorithm performs robustly while producing improved yields. This result implies that the combination of robust optimization methods and approximated simulation schemes would give promising ways for many stochastic optimizations which are inappropriate for mathematical programming.

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An Algorithm to Optimize Portfolio Weights for the First Degree Stochastic Dominance (1차 확률적 지배를 하는 포트폴리오 가중치의 탐색에 관한 연구)

  • 류춘호
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2003
  • Unlike the mean-variance approach, the stochastic dominance approach Is to form a portfolio that first-degree stochastically dominates a predetermined benchmark portfolio, e.g. KOSPI. Analytically defining the first derivative of the objective function, an optimal algorithm of nonlinear programming was developed to search a set of optimal weights systematically and tested with promising results against veal data sets from Korean stock market.

Numerical Solution of an Elliptic Type H-J-B Equation Arising from Stochastic Optimal Control Problem (확률 최적 제어문제에서 발생되는 Elliptic Type H-J-B 방정식의 수치해)

  • Wan Sik Choi
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.4 no.6
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    • pp.703-706
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    • 1998
  • 본 논문에서는 확률 최적 제어문제에서 발생되는 Elliptic type H-J-B(Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman) 방정식에 대한 수치해를 구하였다. 수치해를 구하기 위하여 Contraction 사상 및 유한차분법을 이용하였으며, 시스템은 It/sub ∧/ 형태의 Stochastic 방정식으로 취하였다. 수치해는 수학적인 테스트 케이스를 설정하여 검증하였으며, 최적제어 Map을 방정식의 해를 구하면서 동시에 구하였다.

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A Stochastic LP Model a Multi-stage Production System with Random Yields (수율을 고려한 다단계 생산라인의 Stochastic LP 모형)

  • 최인찬;박광태
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.51-58
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    • 1997
  • In this paper, we propose a stochastic LP model for determining an optimal input quantity in a single-product multi-stage production system with random yields. Due to the random yields in our model, each stage of the production system can result in defective items, which can be re-processed or scrapped at certain costs. We assume that the random yield at each stage follows an independent discrete empirical distribution. Compared to dynamic programming models that prevail in the literature, our model can easily handle problems of larger sizes.

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Optimal Control of Stochastic Bilinear Systems (확률적 이선형시스템의 최적제)

  • Hwang, Chun-Sik
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.31 no.7
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    • pp.18-24
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    • 1982
  • We derived an optimal control of the Stochastic Bilinear Systems. For that we, firstly, formulated stochastic bilinear system and estimated its state when the system state is not directly observable. Optimal control problem of this system is reviewed on the line of three optimization techniques. An optimal control is derived using Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation via dynamic programming method. It consists of combination of linear and quadratic form in the state. This negative feedback control, also, makes the system stable as far as value function is chosen to be a Lyapunov function. Several other properties of this control are discussed.

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A stochastic optimal time-delay control for nonlinear structural systems

  • Ying, Z.G.;Zhu, W.Q.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.621-624
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    • 2009
  • The time delay in active and semi-active controls is an important research subject. Many researches on the time-delay control for deterministic systems have been made (Hu and Wang 2002, Yang et al. 1990, Abdel-Mooty and Roorda 1991, Pu 1998, Cai and Huang 2002), while the study on that for stochastic systems is very limited. The effects of the time delay on the control of nonlinear systems under Gaussian white noise excitations have been studied by Bilello et al. (2002). The controlled linear systems with deterministic and random time delay subjected to Gaussian white noise excitations have been treated by Grigoriu (1997). Recently, a stochastic averaging method for quasi-integrable Hamiltonian systems with time delay has been proposed (Liu and Zhu 2007). In the present paper, a stochastic optimal time-delay control method for stochastically excited nonlinear structural systems is proposed based on the stochastic averaging method for quasi Hamiltonian systems with time delay and the stochastic dynamical programming principle. An example of stochastically excited and controlled hysteretic column is given to illustrate the proposed control method.