• Title/Summary/Keyword: Stochastic control

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A study of parameter estimation of stochastic volatility model

  • Tsukui, Makiko;Furuta, Katsuhisa
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1991.10b
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    • pp.1858-1863
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    • 1991
  • The theory of stock option pricing has, recently, attracted attention of many researchers interested not only in finance but also in statistics and control theory. In this field, the problem of estimating stock return volatility is, above all, of great importance in calculating actual stock option value. In this paper, we assume that the stock market is represented by the stochastic volatility model which is the same as that of Hull and White. Then, we propose an approximation function of option value. It is a type of Black-Sholes option formula in which the first and the second order moments of logarithmic stock value are modified in a special form from the original model. Finally, an algorithm of estimating the parameters of the stochastic volatility model is given, and parameters are estimated by using Nikkei 225 index option data.

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Stochastic response spectra for an actively-controlled structure

  • Mochio, Takashi
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.179-191
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    • 2009
  • A stochastic response spectrum method is proposed for simple evaluation of the structural response of an actively controlled aseismic structure. The response spectrum is constructed assuming a linear structure with an active mass damper (AMD) system, and an earthquake wave model given by the product of a non-stationary envelope function and a stationary Gaussian random process with Kanai-Tajimi power spectral density. The control design is executed using a linear quadratic Gaussian control strategy for an enlarged state space system, and the response amplification factor is given by the combination of the obtained statistical response values and extreme value theory. The response spectrum thus produced can be used for simple dynamical analyses. The response factors obtained by this method for a multi-degree-of-freedom structure are shown to be comparable with those determined by numerical simulations, demonstrating the validity and utility of the proposed technique as a simple design tool. This method is expected to be useful for engineers in the initial design stage for structures with active aseismic control.

INDEFINITE STOCHASTIC LQ CONTROL WITH CROSS TERM VIA SEMIDEFINITE PROGRAMMING

  • Luo, Chengxin;Feng, Enmin
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.13 no.1_2
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 2003
  • An indefinite stochastic linear-quadratic(LQ) optimal control problem with cross term over an infinite time horizon is studied, allowing the weighting matrices to be indefinite. A systematic approach to the problem based on semidefinite programming (SDP) and .elated duality analysis is developed. Several implication relations among the SDP complementary duality, the existence of the solution to the generalized Riccati equation and the optimality of LQ problem are discussed. Based on these relations, a numerical procedure that provides a thorough treatment of the LQ problem via primal-dual SDP is given: it identifies a stabilizing optimal feedback control or determines the problem has no optimal solution. An example is provided to illustrate the results obtained.

Vehicle Platooning Remote Control via State Estimation in a Communication Network (통신 네트워크에서 상태 추정에 의한 군집병합의 원격제어)

  • 황태현;최재원;김영호
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.192-192
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, a platoon merging is considered as a remote-controlled system with the state represented by a stochastic process. In this system, it becomes to encounter situations where a single decision maker controls a large number of subsystems, and observation and control signals are sent over a communication channel with finite capacity and significant transmission delays. Unlike classical estimation problem in which the observation is a continuous process corrupted by additive noise, there is a constraint that the observation must be coded and transmitted over a digital communication channel with finite capaci쇼. A recursive coder-estimator sequence is a state estimation scheme based on observations transmitted with finite communication capacity constraint. Using the coder-estimator sequence, the remote control station designs a feedback controller. In this paper, we introduce a stochastic model for the lead vehicle in a platoon of vehicles considering the angle between a road surface and a horizontal plane as a stochastic process. The simulation results show that the inter-vehicle distance and the deviation from the desired inter-vehicle distance are well regulated.

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THE h × p FINITE ELEMENT METHOD FOR OPTIMAL CONTROL PROBLEMS CONSTRAINED BY STOCHASTIC ELLIPTIC PDES

  • LEE, HYUNG-CHUN;LEE, GWOON
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.387-407
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    • 2015
  • This paper analyzes the $h{\times}p$ version of the finite element method for optimal control problems constrained by elliptic partial differential equations with random inputs. The main result is that the $h{\times}p$ error bound for the control problems subject to stochastic partial differential equations leads to an exponential rate of convergence with respect to p as for the corresponding direct problems. Numerical examples are used to confirm the theoretical results.

Stochastic Model Predictive Control for Stop Maneuver of Autonomous Vehicles under Perception Uncertainty (자율주행 자동차 정지 거동에서의 인지 불확실성을 고려한 확률적 모델 예측 제어)

  • Sangyoon, Kim;Ara, Jo;Kyongsu, Yi
    • Journal of Auto-vehicle Safety Association
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2022
  • This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) for stop maneuver of autonomous vehicles considering perception uncertainty of stopped vehicle. The vehicle longitudinal motion should achieve both driving comfortability and safety. The comfortable stop maneuver can be performed by mimicking acceleration profile of human driving pattern. In order to implement human-like stop motion, we propose a reference safe inter-distance and velocity model for the longitudinal control system. The SMPC is used to track the reference model which contains the position uncertainty of preceding vehicle as a chance constraint. We conduct simulation studies of deceleration scenarios against stopped vehicle in urban environment. The test results show that proposed SMPC can execute comfortable stop maneuver and guarantee safety simultaneously.

State Estimation and Control in a Network for Vehicle Platooning Control (차량 군집주행을 위한 제어 네트워크의 변수 추정 및 제어)

  • Choi, Jae-Weon;Fang, Tae-Hyun;Kim, Young-Ho
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.6 no.8
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    • pp.659-665
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    • 2000
  • In this paper a platoon merging control system is considered as a remotely located system with state represented by a stochastic process. in the system it is common to encounter situations where a single decision maker controls a large number of subsystems and observation and control signals are sent over a communication channel with finite capacity and significant transmission delays. Unlike a classical estimation problem where the observation is a continuous process corrupted by additive noise there is a constraint that the observation must be coded and transmitted over a digital communication channel with fintie capacity. A recursive coder-estimator sequence is a state estimation scheme based on observations transmitted with finite communication capacity constraint. in this paper we introduce a stochastic model for the lead vehicle in a platoon of vehicles in a lane considering the angle between the road surface and a horizontal plane as a stochastic process. In order to merge two platoons the lead vehicle of the following platoon is controlled by a remote control station. Using the observation transmitted over communication channel the remote control station designs the feedback controller. The simulation results show that the intervehicle spacings and the deviations from the desired intervehicle spacing are well regulated.

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Frequency-Domain Balanced Stochastic Truncation for Continuous and Discrete Time Systems

  • Shaker, Hamid Reza
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.180-185
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    • 2008
  • A new method for relative error continuous and discrete time model order reduction is proposed. The reduction technique is based on two recently developed methods, namely frequency domain balanced truncation within a frequency bound and inner-outer factorization techniques. The proposed method is of interest for practical model order reduction because in this context it shows to keep the accuracy of the approximation as high as possible without sacrificing the computational efficiency. Numerical results show the accuracy and efficiency enhancement of the method.

Statistical Methods to Control Response Bias in Nursing Activity Surveys (간호활동시간 조사 시 응답편이 통제를 위한 통계적 접근 방안)

  • Lim, Ji-Young;Park, Chang-Gi
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.48-55
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: The aim of this study was to compare statistical methods to control response bias in nursing activity surveys. Methods: Data were collected at a medical unit of a general hospital. The number of nursing activities and consumed activity time were measured using self-report questionnaires. Descriptive statistics were used to identify general characteristics of the units. Average, Z-standardization, gamma regression, finite mixture model, and stochastic frontier model were adopted to estimate true activity time controlling for response bias. Results: The nursing activity time data were highly skewed and had non-normal distributions. Among the 4 different methods, only gamma regression and stochastic frontier model controlled response bias effectively and the estimated total nursing activity time did not exceeded total work time. However, in gamma regression, estimated total nursing activity time was too small to use in real clinical settings. Thus stochastic frontier model was the most appropriate method to control response bias when compared with the other methods. Conclusion: According to these results, we recommend the use of a stochastic frontier model to estimate true nursing activity time when using self-report surveys.

Multi-Valued Decision Making for Transitional Stochastic Event: Determination of Sleep Stages Through EEG Record

  • Nakamura, Masatoshi;Sugi, Takenao
    • Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.239-243
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    • 2002
  • Multi-valued decision making for transitional stochastic events was newly derived based on conditional probability of knowledge database which included experts'knowledge and experience. The proposed multi-valued decision making was successfully adopted to the determination of the five levels of the vigilance of a subject during the EEG (electroencephalogram) recording; awake stage (stage W), and sleep stages (stage REM (rapid eye movement), stage 1, stage 2, stage $\sfrac{3}{4}$). Innovative feature of the proposed method is that the algorithm of decision making can be constructed only by use of the knowledge database, inspected by experts. The proposed multi-valued decision making with a mathematical background of the probability can also be applicable widely, in industries and in other medical fields for purposes of the multi-valued decision making.