• 제목/요약/키워드: Stochastic Demand

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확률적 수요를 갖는 단일설비 다종제품의 동적 생산계획에 관한 연구 (A Study on Dynamic Lot Sizing Problem with Random Demand)

  • 김창현
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제31권3호
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    • pp.194-200
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    • 2005
  • A stochastic dynamic lot sizing problem for multi-item is suggested in the case that the distribution of the cumulative demand is known over finite planning horizons and all unsatisfied demand is fully backlogged. Each item is produced simultaneously at a variable ratio of input resources employed whenever setup is incurred. A dynamic programming algorithm is proposed to find the optimal production policy, which resembles the Wagner-Whitin algorithm for the deterministic case problem but with some additional feasibility constraints.

시나리오 모델을 활용한 수요 및 가격 불확실성이 존재하는 TFT-LCD 산업에서의 Robust 생산 및 수송계획 (Robust production and transportation planning for TFT-LCD industry under demand and price uncertainties using scenario model)

  • 신현준;유재필
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제11권9호
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    • pp.3304-3310
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    • 2010
  • 연구는 가격 및 수요 불확실성하의 강건한 (robust) 생산 및 수송 전략을 수립함으로써 수요 및 가격 불확실성이 존재하는 TFT-LCD 제조업 공급사슬망의 의사결정 문제를 해결하고자 한다. 품질로 구분되는 제품들의 생산, 재고 및 물류에 관한 의사결정을 조정하기 위해, 본 연구에서는 생산용량 제약, 해상/항공 수송 리드타임 및 용량 제약 등의 현실적인 제약조건들을 반영하는 확정적 모델을 정의하고, 시나리오 모델을 이용하여 수요 및 가격 불확실성을 함께 반영하는 확률적 혼합정수선형계획법모형들을 개발한다. 또한 개발된 확률적 모형들의 robust 솔루션을 도출하기 위한 휴리스틱 알고리즘을 제안한다. 그리고 이들 모형들로부터 산출된 솔루션의 성능을 실험을 통하여 다양한 시나리오 하에서 평가하도록 한다.

불확실한 수요를 갖는 주문 조립 환경에서의 부품 조달 계획에 관한 연구 (Component Procurement Planning with Demand Uncertainty Under Assemble-to-Order Environments)

  • 이근철;김정욱;홍정만
    • 경영과학
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    • 제29권3호
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    • pp.121-134
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    • 2012
  • In this study, we consider a component procurement planning problem where the procurement amounts of components are determined under assemble-to-order systems with demand uncertainty. In the problem, procurement amount of each component is decided before the demands of finished products are known and after the demands are identified the assembly amounts of the finished products are decided. In this study, the objective function of the problem is minimizing the total costs which are composed of purchase and inventory costs of the components and the backorder costs of the finished products. We assume that the uncertain demand information is given as multiple scenarios of the demands, and we propose procurement planning methods based on stochastic models which considering the multiple demand scenarios. To evaluate the performances of the proposed methods, computational experiments were carried out on the proposed methods as well as benchmarks including a method based on deterministic mathematical model and a heuristic. From the results of the computational tests, the superiorities of the proposed methods were shown.

양방향 흐름을 고려한 물류시스템의 최적화 모델에 관한 연구 (A Study on a Stochastic Material Flow Network with Bidirectional and Uncertain Flows)

  • 황흥석
    • 산업공학
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.179-187
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    • 1997
  • The efficiency of material flow systems in terms of optimal network flow and minimum cost flow has always been an important design and operational goal in material handling and distribution system. In this research, an attempt was made to develop a new algorithm and the model to solve a stochastic material flow network with bidirectional and uncertain flows. A stochastic material flow network with bidirectional flows can be considered from a finite set with unknown demand probabilities of each node. This problem can be formulated as a special case of a two-stage linear programming problem which can be converted into an equivalent linear program. To find the optimal solution of proposed stochastic material flow network, some terminologies and algorithms together with theories are developed based on the partitioning and subgradient techniques. A computer program applying the proposed method was developed and was applied to various problems.

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Hybrid Distributed Stochastic Addressing Scheme for ZigBee/IEEE 802.15.4 Wireless Sensor Networks

  • Kim, Hyung-Seok;Yoon, Ji-Won
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.704-711
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    • 2011
  • This paper proposes hybrid distributed stochastic addressing (HDSA), which combines the advantages of distributed addressing and stochastic addressing, to solve the problems encountered when constructing a network in a ZigBee-based wireless sensor network. HDSA can assign all the addresses for ZigBee beyond the limit of addresses assigned by the existing distributed address assignment mechanism. Thus, it can make the network scalable and can also utilize the advantages of tree routing. The simulation results reveal that HDSA has better addressing performance than distributed addressing and better routing performance than other on-demand routing methods.

(s, S) 재고관리 시스템에 대한 확률최적화 기법의 응용 (Application of Stochastic Optimization Method to (s, S) Inventory System)

  • Chimyung Kwon
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we focus an optimal policy focus optimal class of (s, S) inventory control systems. To this end, we use the perturbation analysis and apply a stochastic optimization algorithm to minimize the average cost over a period. We obtain the gradients of objective function with respect to ordering amount S and reorder point s via a combined perturbation method. This method uses the infinitesimal perturbation analysis and the smoothed perturbation analysis alternatively according to occurrences of ordering event changes. Our simulation results indicate that the optimal estimates of s and S obtained from a stochastic optimization algorithm are quite accurate. We consider that this may be due to the estimated gradients of little noise from the regenerative system simulation, and their effect on search procedure when we apply the stochastic optimization algorithm. The directions for future study stemming from this research pertain to extension to the more general inventory system with regard to demand distribution, backlogging policy, lead time, and review period. Another directions involves the efficiency of stochastic optimization algorithm related to searching procedure for an improving point of (s, S).

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확률적 수요를 갖는 단일구매자와 단일공급자 시스템의 다품목 통합발주문제 (Joint Replenishment Problem for Single Buyer and Single Supplier System Having the Stochastic Demands)

  • 정원찬;김종수
    • 한국경영과학회지
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    • 제36권3호
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    • pp.91-105
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we analyze a logistic system involving a supplier who produces and delivers multiple types of items and a buyer who receives and sells the products to end customers. The buyer controls the inventory level by replenishing each product item up to a given order-up-to-level to cope with stochastic demand of end customers. In response to the buyer's order, the supplier produces or outsources the ordered item and delivers them at the start of each period. For the system described above, a mathematical model for a single type of item was developed from the buyer's perspective. Based on the model, an efficient method to find the cycle length and safety factor which correspond to a local minimum solution is proposed. This single product model was extended to cover a multiple item situation. From the model, algorithms to decide the base cycle length and order interval of each item were proposed. The results of the computational experiment show that the algorithms were able to determine the global optimum solution for all tested cases within a reasonable amount of time.

수요가 재생 도착과정을 따르는 (s, S) 재고 시스템에서 시뮬레이션 민감도 분석을 이용한 최적 전략 (Optimal Policy for (s, S) Inventory System Characterized by Renewal Arrival Process of Demand through Simulation Sensitivity Analysis)

  • 권치명
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.31-40
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    • 2003
  • This paper studies an optimal policy for a certain class of (s, S) inventory control systems, where the demands are characterized by the renewal arrival process. To minimize the average cost over a simulation period, we apply a stochastic optimization algorithm which uses the gradients of parameters, s and S. We obtain the gradients of objective function with respect to ordering amount S and reorder point s via a combined perturbation method. This method uses the infinitesimal perturbation analysis and the smoothed perturbation analysis alternatively according to occurrences of ordering event changes. The optimal estimates of s and S from our simulation results are quite accurate. We consider that this may be due to the estimated gradients of little noise from the regenerative system simulation, and their effect on search procedure when we apply the stochastic optimization algorithm. The directions for future study stemming from this research pertain to extension to the more general inventory system with regard to demand distribution, backlogging policy, lead time, and inter-arrival times of demands. Another direction involves the efficiency of stochastic optimization algorithm related to searching procedure for an improving point of (s, S).

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두 단계 일렬 생산 시스템에서 뱃치 생산과 재고 배급 전략의 통합 구현 (Joint Batch Production and Inventory Rationing Control in a Two-Station Serial Production System)

  • 김은갑
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제38권2호
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    • pp.89-97
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    • 2012
  • This paper considers a manufacturer with a two-station make-to-stock and make-to-order serial production system. The MTS facility produces a single type of component and provides components for the MTO facility that produces customized products. In addition to the internal demand from the MTO facility, the MTS facility faces demands from the spot market with the option of to accept or reject each incoming demand. This paper addresses a joint component inventory rationing and batch production control which maximizes the manufacturer's profit. Using the Markov decision process model, we investigate the structural properties of the optimal inventory rationing and batch production policy, and present two types of heuristics. We implement a numerical experiment to compare the performance of the optimal and heuristic policies and a simulation study to examine the impact of the stochastic process variability on the inventory rationing and batch production control.

부재고기간(負在庫期間)에 의존하는 부재고비율(負在庫比率)을 갖는 확률적(確率的) 부분부재고(部分負在庫)모델 (A Stochastic Partial Backorder Inventory Model with a Backorder Ratio Depending on Backorder periods)

  • 김정자
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.127-136
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents a stochastic partial backorder inventory model for the situation in which demand follows normal distribution and back order ratio during that stockout period decreases exponentially according to the length of backorder period. In the paper, an objective function is formulated to minimize the average annual cost, which is the sum of the ordering, carrying, time-proportional backordering, and lost sales cost. And then sensitivity analysis for various exponential backorder ratios and standard deviations of leadtime demand are presented. The inventory model in the paper is reduced to a backorder model and lost sales model, when backorder ratio is 1 and 0, respectively.

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