• Title/Summary/Keyword: Statistical power of test

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Cluster Analysis and Meteor-Statistical Model Test to Develop a Daily Forecasting Model for Jejudo Wind Power Generation (제주도 일단위 풍력발전예보 모형개발을 위한 군집분석 및 기상통계모형 실험)

  • Kim, Hyun-Goo;Lee, Yung-Seop;Jang, Moon-Seok
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.19 no.10
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    • pp.1229-1235
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    • 2010
  • Three meteor-statistical forecasting models - the transfer function model, the time-series autoregressive model and the neural networks model - were tested to develop a daily forecasting model for Jejudo, where the need and demand for wind power forecasting has increased. All the meteorological observation sites in Jejudo have been classified into 6 groups using a cluster analysis. Four pairs of observation sites among them, all having strong wind speed correlation within the same meteorological group, were chosen for a model test. In the development of the wind speed forecasting model for Jejudo, it was confirmed that not only the use a wind dataset at the objective site itself, but the introduction of another wind dataset at the nearest site having a strong wind speed correlation within the same group, would enhance the goodness to fit of the forecasting. A transfer function model and a neural network model were also confirmed to offer reliable predictions, with the similar goodness to fit level.

Bayesian test for the differences of survival functions in multiple groups

  • Kim, Gwangsu
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.115-127
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    • 2017
  • This paper proposes a Bayesian test for the equivalence of survival functions in multiple groups. Proposed Bayesian test use the model of Cox's regression with time-varying coefficients. B-spline expansions are used for the time-varying coefficients, and the proposed test use only the partial likelihood, which provides easier computations. Various simulations of the proposed test and typical tests such as log-rank and Fleming and Harrington tests were conducted. This result shows that the proposed test is consistent as data size increase. Specifically, the power of the proposed test is high despite the existence of crossing hazards. The proposed test is based on a Bayesian approach, which is more flexible when used in multiple tests. The proposed test can therefore perform various tests simultaneously. Real data analysis of Larynx Cancer Data was conducted to assess applicability.

A Study on the DC Critical Current Test Method for 22.9kV/50MV A Superconducting Power Cable Considering the Uncertainty (불확도를 고려한 22.9kV, 50MVA급 초전도 전력케이블의 직류 임계전류 측정방법에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, S.J.;Lee, S.J.;Sim, K.D.;Cho, J.W.;Lee, S.K.;Yang, B.M.;Ko, T.K.
    • Progress in Superconductivity and Cryogenics
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.46-49
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    • 2009
  • A 3-phase 100m long, 22.9kV class HTS power transmission cable system was developed by Korea Electrotechnology Research Institute (KERI) and LS cable Ltd. those are participated in the 21st Century Frontier project R&D Program of Korea. It is important to test the DC critical current related with its power capacity before applying to the real power grid. In 1995, several international standards organizations including International Electrotechnical Commission (IEC), decided to unify the use of statistical terms related with 'accuracy' or 'precision' in their standards. It was decided to use the word 'uncertainty' for all quantitative (associated with a number) statistical expressions. In this paper, we measured DC critical current of 22.9kV/50MVA superconducting power cable with several voltage tap and analyzed the uncertainty with these results.

Extension of the Mantel-Haenszel test to bivariate interval censored data

  • Lee, Dong-Hyun;Kim, Yang-Jin
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.29 no.4
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    • pp.403-411
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    • 2022
  • This article presents an independence test between pairs of interval censored failure times. The Mantel-Haenszel test is commonly applied to test the independence between two categorical variables accompanied with a strata variable. Hsu and Prentice (1996) applied a Mantel-Haenszel test to the sequence of 2 × 2 tables formed at the grids which are composed of failure times. In this article, due to unknown failure times, the suitable grid points should be determined and the status of failure and at risk are estimated at those grid points. We also consider a weighted test statistic to bring a more powerful test. Simulation studies are performed to evaluate the power of test statistics under finite samples. The method is applied to analyze two real data sets, mastitis data from milk cows and an age-related eye disease study.

Testing Goodness of Fit in Nonparametric Function Estimation Techniques for Proportional Hazards Model

  • Kim, Jong-Tae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.435-444
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    • 1997
  • The objective of this study is to investigate the problem of goodness of fit testing based on nonparametric function estimation techniques for the random censorship model. The small and large sample properties of the proposed test, $E_{mn}$, were investigated and it is shown that under the proportional hazard model $E_{mn}$ has higher power compared to the powers of the Kolmogorov -Smirnov, Kuiper, Cramer-von Mises, and analogue of the Cramer-von Mises type test statistic.

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Testing Goodness-of-Fit for No Effect Models

  • Sungho Lee;Jongtae Kim;GyoungAe Moon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.935-944
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    • 1998
  • This paper investigates the problem of goodness of fit tests for no effect model. The proposed test statistic $Z_{mn}$ is obtained by multiplying constant on the model free curve estimation techniques. The small and large sample properties of$Z_{mn}$ are investigated and the good results of power studies for the proposed test are illustrated.

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Comparisons between Goodness-of-Fit Tests for ametric Model via Nonparametric Fit

  • Kim, Choon-Rak;Hong, Chan-Kon;Jeong, Mee-Seon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 1996
  • Most of existing nonparametric test statistics are based on the residuals which are obtained by regressing the data to a parametric model. In this paper we compare power of goodness-of-fit test statistics for testing the (null)parametric model versus the (alternative) nonparametric model.

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Parametric Tests and Estimation of Mean Change in Discrete Distributions

  • Kim, Jae-Hee;Cheon, Soo-Young
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.511-518
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    • 2009
  • We consider the problem of testing for change and estimating the unknown change-point in a sequence of time-ordered observations from the binomial and Poisson distributions. Including the likelihood ratio test, Gombay and Horvath (1990) tests are studied and the proposed change-point estimator is derived from their test statistic. A power study of tests and a comparison study of change-point estimators are done via simulation.

Goodness-of-Fit Test for the Exponential Distribution Based on the Transformed Sample Lorenz curve

  • Suk-Bok;Young-Suk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.277-284
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    • 2000
  • The transformed sample Lorenz curve provides a powerful and easily computed goodness-of-fit test for exponentiality which does not depend on the unknown scale parameter. We compare the power of the transformed sample Lorenz curve statistic with the other goodness-of-fit tests for exponentiality against various alternatives through Monte Carlo methods and discuss the results.

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Nonparametric Tests in AB/BA/AA/BB Crossover Design

  • Nam, Jusun;Kim, Dongjae
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.607-618
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    • 2002
  • Crossover design is often used in clinical trials about chronic diseases like hypertension, asthma and arthritis. In this paper, we suggest nonparametric approaches of Friedman-type rank test based on Bernard-van Elteren test and of aligned method keeping the information of blocks based on the AB/BA/AA/BB crossover design. The simulation results are presented to compare experimental error and power of several methods.