• 제목/요약/키워드: Statistical Change-Point Analysis

검색결과 115건 처리시간 0.025초

구조 방정식 모형 구축을 통한 단체급식업체 점장의 감성리더십이 조직성과에 미치는 효과성 검증 (Verification on the Effectiveness of Emotional Leadership of Branch Managers on Organizational Performance in Contracted Foodservice Company - Through the Construction of a Structural Equation Model -)

  • 정현영;김현아;양일선
    • 대한가정학회지
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    • 제45권3호
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2007
  • The purposes of this study were to provide evidence concerning the effects of Emotional Leadership and examine the impacts of Emotional Leadership on employee-related variables which were 'job satisfaction', 'organizational commitment', 'organizational performance', 'turnover intention'. A survey was conducted from August 23 to November 3, 2005 to collect data from kitchen staff(N=611). Statistical analyses were completed using SPSS Win(12.0) for descriptive analysis, reliability analysis, factor analysis, t-test, correlation analysis, cluster analysis and AMOS(5.0) for structural equation modeling. Kitchen staffs gave high point to their leader in the Emotional Leadership competence 'Optimism: seeing the upside in events' and 'Adaptability: flexibility in handing change' and gave lower point in the Emotional Leadership competence 'Inspirational leadership: guiding and motivating with compelling vision'. Employees' job satisfaction on 'coworker' were relatively high. However, the extents of satisfaction on 'payroll', 'promotion', 'work environment' were relatively low. The organizational commitment score was higher at 'loyalty' factor than 'commitment' factor. the test of hypothesis using structural equation modeling found that Emotional Leadership produced positive effects on job attitude and job performance. In conclusion, this study has identified that the Emotional Leadership effects on their organizational performance and attitudes toward their job.

북한 신년사 분석을 통한 김정은 시대 지속과 변화 (Possible Continuity and Change of North Korea Though Analysis of, Kim Jong-un's New Year's Message)

  • 이성춘
    • 융합보안논문지
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    • 제14권6_1호
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    • pp.75-87
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    • 2014
  • 집권 3년차의 김정은 시대 북한의 지속과 변화 분석은 나름대로 의미를 부여할 수 있을 것이다. 분석한 결과 보다 합리적이고 통계적인 방법을 적용하기 위하여 김일성, 김정일, 김정은 시대의 신년사를 활용하였다. 북한에 있어서 신년사만큼 영향력 있는 사항은 드물며 북한사회의 제 분야에 있어서 한해의 길라잡이 역할을 수행하고 있다. 현재까지 발표된 김일성, 김정일, 김정은 시대 신년사를 종합적으로 고찰하여 정리하였다. 종합된 신년사를 김일성, 김정일, 김정은 시대로 구분하여 발표방법, 내용구성, 기타사항을 등을 비교 분석하였으며, 이어서 북한 정권별 신년사 특징과 함의를 살펴보았다. 이와 같은 분석 결과를 바탕으로 김정은 시대의 지속과 변화를 전망해 보았다. 먼저 지속적인 사항으로 제시한 사항은 사회주의 체제 고수와 선군정치의 통치방식이다. 변화사항으로는 (1) 경제난 타개를 위한 부분적인 개방문제, (2) 북한의 핵문제, (3) 자본주의 성격의 유입과 사회주의 통제력 약화, (4) 김정은의 해외 유학경험 등을 4가지 사항을 변화요인으로 제시하였다. 이러한 김정은 시대의 북한 사회의 변화와 지속요인은 복합적으로 작동될 것이다. 김정은 시대의 북한의 지속과 변화문제는 남북문제를 해결해 나가는데 핵심 사항들이다. 전 국민적 공감대를 형성하면서 국론결집 노력 강화와 변화 상황에 능동적으로 대처할 수 있는 대북정책의 유연성을 확보하는 자세가 필요한 시점이다.

다문화가정 자녀의 학교생활적응 향상을 위한 집단미술치료 프로그램의 개발과 효과 검증 - 동적 학교생활화(KSD)에 의한 분석을 중심으로- (Development and Effectiveness Verification of a Group Art Therapy Program for Improving School Life Adaptation of Children in Multicultural Families - Focusing on Analysis by Kinetic School Drawing(KSD) -)

  • 박수정;최연실
    • 가정과삶의질연구
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.1-18
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to develop and verify the effectiveness of a group art therapy program to help children from multicultural families adapt to school life by using Kinetic School Drawing(KSD). The result of this study showed that the group art therapy program of the multicultural family's children may have a positive effect in aiding their school life adaptation. The results showed considerable and statistical outcome in the fore and after drawing inspection of the dynamic KSD. Also, the size of the self-image became bigger and their expressions has been increased. The qualitative analysis also showed a huge change in dynamistic personal relationships due to the relationship with their peers with the same aged and the tutor. This study emphasizes the importance of the group art therapy program to be applied before children are admitted to school because of growing recognition of concern about the maladjustment of rapidly growing multicultural family's children. It is also suggests that the group art therapy program of growing multicultural family's children should be viewed with an ecological point of view.

장기억 과정에서 빠른 베이지안 변화점검출 (A Fast Bayesian Detection of Change Points Long-Memory Processes)

  • 김주원;조신섭;여인권
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.735-744
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    • 2009
  • 이 논문에서는 장기억 과정에서의 변화점을 빨리 검출하는 베이지안 추론방법에 대해 알아본다. 장기억 과정에서의 베이지안 추정은 장기억 모수값에 따라 전체 자료에 대한 부분차분을 계산해야 하기 때문에 수행시간이 많이 걸린다는 문제가 있다. 이 논문에서는 이러한 문제를 해결하고자 장기억 모수공간을 그룹화하여 순서형으로 범주화시킨 후 설명력이 가장 높은 범주의 대표값을 선택하게 하였다. 이 방법은 초기단계에서 범주의 대표값에 대해 한번씩만 부분차분을 계산하면 되기 때문에, 매번 계산해야 하는 추정하는 방법보다, 특히 시계열자료의 수가 많은 경우, 상대적으로 빠른 베인지안 추론이 가능하다. 또한 장기억 모수공간이 (0,0.5) 이기 때문에 모수공간을 적절하게 그룹화한다면 장기억 모수를 선택하는 것이 모수를 추정하는 것에 비해 큰 차이가 없다. 이 논문에서는 나일강 수위자료 실증분석을 통해 제안된 방법의 타당성을 확인해본다.

Hair Style이 인상형성(印象形成)에 미치는 영향(影響) (The Effect of Hair Style for Impression Formation)

  • 윤소영;유태순
    • 패션비즈니스
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.73-84
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    • 2001
  • The purpose of this study is to apply fundamental data of impression formation research by analysing and observing the various facial image that can be effected from hair style as well as be helpful for choosing suitable hair style for T.P.O in modern society. This study targeted 305 college women in Daegu and Gyung-book area. Hair Style Image Scale(HSIS)was used the scale of seven point modified the S-D(Semantic Differential) method. The analysis of impression formation effect of hair style using SPSS WIN package have completed from the principal component analysis by Varimax perpendicular rotation method and ANOVA was used to recognize the difference in impression formation according to hair style change. In the case of statistical difference was appeared, LSD post-verification was applied for that. The conclusions of this study is as followed ; 1. The factors of impression formation effected by hair style were classified as goodwill factor, refinement factor, elegance factor and individuality factor. 2. In terms of goodwill factor, long hair style showed highest level and short cut hair, bobbed hair in an order. In refinement factor, there was no difference between short cut hair and bobbed hair and both of them was higher than long hair. In elegance factor, long hair was highest and bobbed hair was lowest. In individuality factor, short cut hair and bobbed hair higher than long hair and no difference between short cut hair and bobbed hair.

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여름철 일본에 영향을 주는 태풍빈도의 감소추세 (Deceasing Trend of Summertime TC Frequency in Japan)

  • 최재원;박기준;이경미;김정윤;김백조
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제24권7호
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    • pp.851-864
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    • 2015
  • This study analyzed the climate regime shift using statistical change-point analysis on the time-series tropical cyclone (TC) frequency that affected Japan in July to September. The result showed that there was a significant change in 1995 and since then, it showed a trend of rapidly decreasing frequency. To determine the reason for this, differences between 1995 to 2012 (9512) period and 1978 to 1994 (7894) period were analayzed. First, regarding TC genesis, TCs during the 9512 period showed a characteristic of genesis from the southeast quadrant of the tropical and subtropical western North Pacific and TCs during the 7894 period showed their genesis from the northwest quadrant. Regarding a TC track, TCs in the 7894 period had a strong trend of moving from the far east sea of the Philippines via the East China Sea to the mid-latitude region in East Asia while TCs in the 9512 period showed a trend of moving from the Philippines toward the southern part of China westward. Thus, TC intensity in the 7894 period, which can absorb sufficient energy from the sea as they moved a long distance over the sea, was stronger than that of 9512. Large-scale environments were analyzed to determine the cause of such difference in TC activity occurred between two periods. During the 9512 period, anomalous cold and dry anticyclones were developed strongly in the East Asia continent. As a result, Korea and Japan were affected by the anomalous northerlies thereby preventing TCs in this period from moving toward the mid-latitude region in East Asia. Instead, anomalous easterlies (anomalous trade wind) were developed in the tropical western Pacific so that a high passage frequency from the Philippine to the south China region along the anomalous steering flows was revealed. The characteristics of the anomalous cold and dry anticyclone developed in the East Asia continent were also confirmed by the analysis of air temperature, relative humidity and sensible heat net flux showing that most regions in East Asia had negative values.

매일의 불편감 증상점수의 분석: 불편감 증후군의 탐색과 증상 변화추세의 검정 (Analysis of Daily Distress Symptoms: Threshold Estimation after Isolating the Distress Group)

  • 이원녕;송혜향
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.123-138
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    • 2010
  • 총 28일에 걸친 매일의 불편감 증상점수에 근거하여 월경 전 증후군을 가린 후, 임상에서 의료인의 진단시 유용하게 사용될 수 있는 월경 전 증후패턴의 시작점을 추정한다. 이러한 추정에 앞서 불편감 증상점수가 과연 변화 추세를 보이는가의 검정이 우선되어야 하며, 모수적 단순회귀식에 의한 검정법과 비모수적 검정법을 적용한다. 실제 여성에게서 수집된 자료에 적용하여 분석한다. 증상점수의 직선적인 변화시점을 알아내는 단순회귀 방법과 직선 형태를 가정하지 않는 비모수적 검정법은 최적이 되는 상황이 서로 다를 것이며, 이를 모의실험으로 알아본다.

제주지역 경기선행종합지수에 관한 연구 (A study on composite precedence indices focusing on Jeju)

  • 김계철;김명준;김영화
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제29권1호
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    • pp.243-255
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    • 2016
  • 경기종합지수가 개발되고 시간이 흐르다보면 경제현상 자체의 패턴 변화나 구성 지표의 경기대응력 변화 등으로 경기를 정확하게 판단하고 예측하는데 한계가 발생하기도 한다. 미래의 경기를 비교적 정확하게 예측하기 위해서는 먼저 선행성이 높은 개별지표를 선택해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 제주지역 경기선행지수 구성지표인 건축허가면적, 소비자물가지수, 서비스업생산지수, 광공업생산지수, 서귀포평균기온, 신용카드 구매액에 대한 경기전환점 및 시차상관분석을 통하여 구성지표 선행여부 타당성에 대한 실증분석을 하고자 한다. 또한 적정한 제주지역 선행종합지수의 기준 순환일을 설정하여 제안하고 전국 경기선행지수와의 비교분석을 통하여 제주지역 선행지수 구성 지표를 검증하고자 한다. 이를 통하여 제주지역 경기종합지수가 가지고 있는 문제점 및 향후 지역 종합경기지수의 개선 방향을 제안하고자 한다.

The development of a taste education program for preschoolers and evaluation of a program by parents and childcare personnel

  • Shon, Choengmin;Park, Young;Ryou, Hyunjoo;Na, Woori;Choi, Kyungsuk
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • 제6권5호
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    • pp.466-473
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    • 2012
  • The change in people's dietary life has led to an increase in an intake of processed foods and food chemicals, raising awareness about taste education for preschoolers whose dietary habits start to grow. This study aims to evaluate the effectiveness and satisfaction of parents and childcare personnel after developing a taste education program and demonstrating it in class. A part of the curriculum developed by Piusais and Pierre was referred for the program. After educating 524 preschoolers in child care facilities in Seoul, a satisfaction survey was conducted on the program. The data in this study were analyzed using SPSS 14.0. Statistical analysis was conducted based on the frequency after collecting the data. Mean ${\pm}$ SD used to determine satisfaction with taste education, with preferences marked on a five-point scale and the alpha was set at 0.05. The program includes five teachers' guides with subjects of sweetness, saltiness, sourness, bitterness and harmony of flavor, and ten kinds of teaching tools. For the change in parents' recognition of the need for taste education based on five-point scale, the average of $4.06{\pm}0.62$ before the program has significantly increased to $4.32{\pm}0.52$ (P < 0.01). Regarding the change in the preferences for sweetness, saltiness, sourness, and bitterness, the average has increased to $3.83{\pm}0.61$, $3.62{\pm}0.66$, $3.64{\pm}0.66$, and $3.56{\pm}0.75$ respectively. In an evaluation of instructors in child care facilities, the average scores for education method, education effect, education contents and nutritionists, and teaching tools were at $4.15{\pm}0.63$, $3.91{\pm}0.50$, $4.18{\pm}0.50$, and $3.80{\pm}0.56$ respectively. In addition, the need for a continuous taste education scored $4.42{\pm}0.67$. This program has created a positive change in preschoolers' dietary life, therefore the continuation and propagation of the taste education program should be considered.

Flares and Starspots : Direct Evidences for Stellar Activities bin Low-mass Stars

  • 장서원;변용익
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제35권1호
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    • pp.49.1-49.1
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    • 2010
  • The optical lightcurves of flare events can be regarded as a direct indicator about the existence of magnetic activity in low-mass stars. Stellar flares are generated by magnetodynamic processes in the stellar interiors as on the Sun and indicate that the locally intensified active regions still exist on the photosphere. However previous photometric observations are limited to a few selected active objects because of their faintness and randomness of the flare occurrence. Based on dedicated deep (r~23), long-term (24 night) time-series monitoring of the open cluster M37 from MMT 6.5m transit survey program, we searched for flare-like transient phenomena in the 3,052 M-dwarf lightcurves with relatively high-temporal resolution (30s-90s). In order to collect all statistical significant events, we applied the change-point analysis with filtering algorithm using local statistics. We found a number of flares from 412 M-dwarf stars that are probable cluster members. Nearly half of them have periodic brightness variations with a near or distorted sinusoidal shape. With a small exception of binary cases, most of these variations appear to reflect the presence of large starspots resulting in rotational brightness modulations. We will discuss the relationship among magnetic activity indicators and dependence on spectral type.

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