• 제목/요약/키워드: Standard of estimate

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통계기법 점검표 작성시 타당성 평가방법 (The method of evaluating the validity in making the checklist of statistical method)

  • 이상복;김말숙
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.323-336
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    • 1998
  • 점검표 설계상의 타당성 평가이론에 근거한 점검표 설계 단계별 타당성 평가와 점검표 사용목적에 따른 타당성 평가방법을 제안하여 한국의류학회지를 대상으로 평가이론에 입각하여 점검표의 각 단계별 타당성 평가기준을 설정하였다.

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Comparative analysis of Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimators in change point problems with Poisson process

  • Kitabo, Cheru Atsmegiorgis;Kim, Jong Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제26권1호
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    • pp.261-269
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    • 2015
  • Nowadays the application of change point analysis has been indispensable in a wide range of areas such as quality control, finance, environmetrics, medicine, geographics, and engineering. Identification of times where process changes would help minimize the consequences that might happen afterwards. The main objective of this paper is to compare the change-point detection capabilities of Bayesian estimate and maximum likelihood estimate. We applied Bayesian and maximum likelihood techniques to formulate change points having a step change and multiple number of change points in a Poisson rate. After a signal from c-chart and Poisson cumulative sum control charts have been detected, Monte Carlo simulation has been applied to investigate the performance of Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimation. Change point detection capacities of Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimation techniques have been investigated through simulation. It has been found that the Bayesian estimates outperforms standard control charts well specially when there exists a small to medium size of step change. Moreover, it performs convincingly well in comparison with the maximum like-lihood estimator and remains good choice specially in confidence interval statistical inference.

수요관리 프로그램의 잠재량 평가방안 (Evaluation Mechanism of DSM Potentials)

  • 진병문;이창호;김창수
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2001년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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    • pp.421-423
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    • 2001
  • Restructuring of electricity industry is going on for the purpose of introducing competition and after separation of generation and retail business and introduction of competition, substantial change is expected in overall electric power system. In other words, DSM projects are divided with public projects and private projects. Particularly for public project, it is essential to evaluate the DSM volumes by program. This paper tries to derive the ways for achieving the necessary DSM goal in the electricity industry in Korea. First of all, by analyzing the load in Korea, we forecast the standard demand and estimate the technological potentials of each program in considering DSM technological indicators. Moreover, by using economic analysis by program, we estimate economic potentials and finally, we estimate the potentials by program in considering the DSM policy. We estimate the potentials by using random method because application methodology and procedures by program are not established until now, which leads to not obtaining transparency for implementation effect by program. Therefore, this paper estimates the future potentials of DSM projects by using the logical and systematic analytic method and establishing database for DSM basic indicator. The DSM goals estimated by this method will be reflected to mid/long term nation-wide resource planning, which will mitigate anticipated power supply shortage and be applied to derive desirable energy demand/supply structure.

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Analysis of Consulting Reports on Defect Disputes in Apartment Building

  • Seo, Deok-Seok;Park, Jun-Mo
    • 한국건축시공학회지
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    • 제13권5호
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    • pp.498-505
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    • 2013
  • The main processes involved in a defect dispute are consulting, reviewing, and finally judging as an arbiter. This process of defect consulting produces a defect consulting report, but business practices and standards of judgment will differ among consultants, and have many problems. This study reviews the structure of a defect consulting report and considers the structure's problem, which is that it is not standardized. To achieve this, data of sixteen defect consulting report were collected involving defect lawsuit cases before or after 2010. The structure and index of the defect consulting reports were then reviewed, and the results are as follows. As for a structure based on fourteen index, there are suitable that judge a outline, a cost estimate data and a consulting work item by a consulting standard. Furthermore, analysis by each common parts and private parts is considered as appropriate about consulting items and estimate by standard. However, consulting item in construction progress and responsibility period for security that related on a cause and a responsibility of defect need to complement. Meanwhile, the first thing of issues are connected a defect consulting is urgent a standardization for a defect type.

GSM/GPRS용 MLSE 등화기의 소프트웨어/하드웨어 통합설계 구조제안 (A Software/Hardware Codesign of the MLSE Equalizer for GSM/GPRS)

  • 전영섭;박원흠;선우명훈;김경호
    • 대한전자공학회논문지TC
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    • 제39권10호
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    • pp.11-20
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    • 2002
  • 본 논문에서 제 2세대 및 2.5세대 유럽 이동통신 표준인 GSM/GPRS에서 사용하는 MLSE 등화기의 하드웨어/소프트웨어 통합 설계를 제시한다. 이를 위해 Viterbi 알고리즘을 기본으로 하는 상관 방식(correlation)의 MLSE 기법 적응 등화기에 대한 알고리즘을 분석하고, TI사의 TMS320C5x 시뮬레이터를 사용하여 등화기의 연산량을 추정하였으며, 삼성의 0.5㎛ standard cell library (STD80)를 이용한 로직합성을 통해 하드웨어 크기를 추정하였다. 이를 기반으로 연산 요구량이 많은 블록에 대해 전용의 하드웨어로 구현함으로써 DSP의 연산 부담을 줄일 수 있다. 또한 연산 요구량이 적은 나머지 블록은 DSP로 설계하여 비교적 간단한 시스템 설계 방법을 결정할 수 있다. 이러한 설계방법을 이용하여 등화기의 효율적인 하드웨어/소프트웨어 통합 설계를 제안한다.

수소버스 전복 안전기준 도입에 따른 통계적 인명가치 및 비용편익효과 연구 (A Study on Value of a Statistical Life and Cost-benefit Analysis about Hydrogen Bus Rollovers Safety Regulation)

  • 임서현;장정아;홍성진
    • 자동차안전학회지
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.47-53
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    • 2021
  • This study is a study to estimate the VSL (Value of a Statistical Life) and CBA (Cost-benefit analysis) of the rollover safety standard for hydrogen buses, VSL is an economic value concept used to quantify the benefits of avoiding death. CBA shows the effect of cost-benefit, and if B/C is greater than 1, there is a social effect. In order to estimate the VSL and CBA, the hydrogen bus introduction scenario was assumed to be optimistic (20,000 vehicles in 2030), neutral (15,000 vehicles in 2030), and pessimistic (10,000 vehicles in 2030), and the effect of reducing human casualties was estimated. As a result, except for the pessimistic market situation of introducing hydrogen buses (10,000 vehicles in 2030) and the VSL reduction ratio of 10%, all policies were judged to have high cost-benefit effects. These results indicate that the introduction of the rollover safety standard for hydrogen buses is a socially effective policy.

GMS/S-VISSR 자료로부터 Bispectral Thresholds 기법을 이용한 운량 분석에 관하여 (Cloud Cover Analysis from the GMS/S-VISSR Imagery Using Bispectral Thresholds Technique)

  • 서명석;박경윤
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 1993
  • A simple bispectral threshold technique which reflects the temporal and spatial characteristics of the analysis area has been developed to classify the cloud type and estimate the cloud cover from GMS/S-VISSR(Stretched Visible and Infrared Spin Scan Radiometer) imagery. In this research, we divided the analysis area into land and sea to consider their different optical properties and used the same time observation data to exclude the solar zenith angle effects included in the raw data. Statistical clear sky radiance(CSRs) was constructed using maximum brightness temperature and minimum albedo from the S-VISSR imagery data during consecutive two weeks. The CSR used in the cloud anaysis was updated on the daily basis by using CSRs, the standard deviation of CSRs and present raw data to reflect the daily variation of temperature. Thresholds were applied to classify the cloud type and estimate the cloud cover from GMS/S-VISST imagery. We used a different thresholds according to the earth surface type and the thresholds were enough to resolve the spatial variation of brightness temperature and the noise in raw data. To classify the ambiguous pixels, we used the time series of 2-D histogram and local standard deviation, and the results showed a little improvements. Visual comparisons among the present research results, KMA's manual analysis and observed sea level charts showed a good agreement in quality.

금강에 대한 대장균 부하 지속곡선의 개발 및 적용 (Development and Application of Coliform Load Duration Curve for the Geum River)

  • 김건하;윤재영
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.516-519
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    • 2005
  • An useful protocol coiled load duration curve methodology to estimate contaminant loading to a river on an exceedance probability scale was developed in this research. The technique was further applied to estimate total coliform loading to the Geum River, using the daily mean flow rate and total coliform concentration data during January, 1996 and July, 2004 for the Gongju where an automated monitoring station is located. Drought flow of the Gongju (=50.3 cms) was equivalent to 40% on an exceedance probability scale. Load duration curve for total coliform loading at the Gongju was constructed. Standard duration curve was constructed with the water quality criteria for the class 2 (total coliform concentration = 1000 MPN/100 mL). By plotting load duration curve with standard duration curve, it could be revealed that water quality do not meet the desired water quality for 47% on an exceedance probability scale. If linearity between flow rate and coliform concentration is assumed, it can be interpretated that water quality exceeds desired criteria when average mean flow rate is over 51 cms.

시뮬레이션 출력비 추정량의 통계적 분석 (Statistical Analysis of Simulation Output Ratios)

  • 홍윤기
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제3권1호
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 1994
  • A statistical procedure is developed to estimate the relative difference between two parameters each obtained from either true model or approximate model. Double sample procedure is applied to find the additional number of simulation runs satisfying the preassigned absolute precision of the confidence interval. Two types of parameters, mean and standard deviation, are considered as the performance measures and tried to show the validity of the model by examining both queues and inventory systems. In each system it is assumed that there are three distinct means and their own standard deviations and they form the simultaneous confidence intervals but with control in the sense that the absolute precision for each confidence interval is bounded on the limits with preassigned confidence level. The results of this study may contribute to some situations, for instance, first, we need a statistical method to compare the effectiveness between two alternatives, second, we find the adquate number of replications with any level of absolute precision to avoid the unrealistic cost of running simulation models, third, we are interested in analyzing the standard deviation of the output measure, ..., etc.

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캘리포니아 테스트를 이용한 전기에너지주택 LED조명의 경제성 분석에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Economic Analysis of LED Lightings in All-Electric Houses Using California Standard Practice Test)

  • 황성욱;이현주;나환선;김정훈
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제25권8호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2011
  • Recently, all-electric house technology became one of the green growth technologies and is integrated with various areas such as electricity, machinery, architecture, material, and etc. Fossil fuel energy is used for heating and hot water supply in the conventional houses but electricity is adopted in the new conceptual houses to maximize advantages of electricity such as amenity, safety, cleanness, and so on. In this paper, an economic analysis is carried out when LED lightings are adopted using the California Standard Practice Test which has been used to estimate the effects of existing DSM (Demand Side Management) programs. The results are able to contribute to the diffusion of all-electric houses and the establishment of basic data and planning for DSM policies.