• 제목/요약/키워드: Standard error

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Type 316LN 강의 크리프 수명예측 파라메타의 표준오차 분석 (Standard Error Analysis of Creep-Life Prediction Parameters of Type 316LN Stainless Steels)

  • 김우곤;윤송남;류우석
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.19-24
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    • 2004
  • A number of creep data were collected and filed for type 316LN stainless steels through literature survey and experimental data produced in KAERI. Using these data, polynomial equations for predicting creep life were obtained for Larson Miller (L-M), Qrr-Sherby-Dorn (O-S-D) and Manson-Haferd (M-H) parametric methods. In order to find out the suitability for them, the relative standard error (RSE) and standard error of estimate (SEE) values were obtained by statistical process of creep data. The O-S-D parameter showed better fitting to creep-rupture data than the L-M or the M-H parameters, and the three parametric methods did not generate the large difference in the SEE and the RSE values.

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광범위 비오차 표준 전류변성기의 개발 및 그 응용 (Development of The Standard Current Transformer with Wide Ratio Error and Its Application)

  • 권성원;정재갑;이상화;김문석;김명수
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전기물성ㆍ응용부문C
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    • 제55권6호
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    • pp.302-307
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    • 2006
  • Standard current transformer(CT) with the nominal ratio errors in the range of - 10 % to + 10 % has been developed. Linearity of the CT ratio error measuring system (CT comparator) has been tested by using wide ratio error standard current transformer(WRE CT). The developed WRE CT can be used to evaluate the linearity of the CT comparator by comparing both the theoretical values and experimental values of the WRE CT. The developed method has been successfully applied for calibration and correction in the CT comparator belonging to industry.

표준자료 산출시 작업특성치의 오차가 총작업시간의 예측에 미치는 영향평가 (Evaluation of the Effect of Errors in Job Characteristics on the Predicted Total Task Time in Standard Data Systems)

  • 변재현;염봉진
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.97-105
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    • 1991
  • In developing a regression relationship for a standard data system in work measurement, job characteristics are frequently measured with error when measurements are made in the field under less controlled conditions or when accurate instruments are not available. This paper concerns with the prediction of the total task time when job characteristics are measured with error. Integrated mean square error of prediction(IMSE) is developed as a measure of the effect of errors in job characteristics on the predicted total task time. By evaluating how IMSE is affected by the measurement error in each job characteristic, we can determine which error should be controlled to develop a desirable standard data system.

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$K^n$ 요인배치법에서 포화실험에 의한 요인효과의 검정 (Tests of Factor Effect Using Saturated Design in $K^n$ Factorial Design)

  • 최성운
    • 대한안전경영과학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한안전경영과학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.295-299
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    • 2008
  • This paper discusses tests of factor effect or contrast by the use of saturated design $k^n$ factorial design. The nine nonparametric rank measures in normality test using normal probability pot are proposed. Length's PSE(Pseduo Standard Error) test [4] which relies on the concept of effect sparsity is also introduced and extended to the margin of error(ME) and Simultaneous margin of error(SME).

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표준저항기를 이용한 전압변성기 비교기의 비오차 평가 (Evaluation for Ratio Error of Voltage Transformer Comparator using Standard Resistors)

  • 한상길;김윤형;정재갑;한상옥
    • 전기학회논문지P
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    • 제57권4호
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    • pp.412-416
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    • 2008
  • We have developed the calibration technique of the VT comparator using nonreactive standard resistors, which evaluates both accuracy and linearity of the VT comparator by comparing experimental values with theoretical values. The correction values of VT comparator obtained by using both our method and wide ratio error VT are consistent within the expanded uncertainty. Furthermore the specification for ratio error of VT comparator have been revaluated.

전압변성기 비교 측정 장치의 비오차 및 위상각 오차의 직선성 평가기술 (Evaluation Technique of Linearity of Ratio Error and Phase Angle Error of Voltage Transformer Comparison Measurement Equipment)

  • 정재갑;박영태;권성원
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전기물성ㆍ응용부문C
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    • 제53권9호
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    • pp.470-474
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    • 2004
  • Both ratio error and phase angle error in voltage transformer(VT) depend on values of burden of VT used. A method of evaluation for linearity of ratio error and phase angle error in VT measurement equipment have been developed using the standard resistance burdens, with negligible AC-DC resistance difference less than $10^-6$. These burden consists of five standard resistors, with nominal resistance of 100 $\Omega$, 1 k$\Omega$, 10 k$\Omega$, 100 k$\Omega$, and 1 M$\Omega$. The developed method has been applied in VT measurement equipment of industry and the validity of the developed method has been verified by showing the consistency of the result of linearity obtained using VT with wide ratio error.

표준 측정치의 오차를 고려한 다변량 계기 교정 절차 (A Multivariate Calibration Procedure When the Standard Measurement is Also Subject to Error)

  • 이승훈
    • 대한산업공학회지
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    • 제19권2호
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 1993
  • Statistical calibration is a useful technique for achieving compatibility between two different measurement methods, and it usually consists of two steps : (1) estimation of the relationship between the standard and nonstandard measurements, and (2) prediction of future standard measurements using the estimated relationship and observed nonstandard measurements. A predictive multivariate errors-in-variables model is presented for the multivariate calibration problem in which the standard as well as the nonstandard measurements are subject to error. For the estimation of the relationship between the two measurements, the maximum likelihood (ML) estimation method is considered. It is shown that the direct and the inverse predictors for the future unknown standard measurement are the same under ML estimation. Based upon large-sample approximations, the mean square error of the predictor is derived.

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이중 성향점수 보정 방법을 이용한 처리효과 추정치의 표준오차 추정: 붓스트랩의 적용 (Bootstrap estimation of the standard error of treatment effect with double propensity score adjustment)

  • 임소정;정인경
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제30권3호
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    • pp.453-462
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    • 2017
  • 성향점수 매칭은 관찰연구에서 처리효과 추정 시 혼란변수에 의한 편의를 줄이기 위해 자주 사용되는 방법이다. 매칭을 위해 처리군에 대응되는 대조군 선정 시 처리군의 일부가 탈락되는 경우가 발생할 수 있는데, 이로 인해 편의가 발생할 수 있다. 최근, Austin (2017)의 연구에서 이중 성향점수 보정(double propensity score adjustment)방법을 사용하는 것이 이에 대한 해결책이 될 수 있음을 제시하였다. 하지만, 처리효과 추정치의 표준오차는 이론적 추정치가 제시되지 않아 추정에 어려움이 있다. 본 연구에서는 이중 성향점수 보정 방법을 이용한 처리효과 추정치의 표준오차 추정을 위하여 두 가지 붓스트랩 방법을 제안한다. 첫 번째는 원 자료에서 성향점수 매칭 후 매칭 된 표본에서 붓스트랩 표본을 얻는 방법(simple 붓스트랩)이고, 두 번째는 원 자료에서 붓스트랩을 먼저 시행하고 각 붓 스트랩 표본에서 성향점수 매칭을 하는 방법(complex 붓스트랩)이다. 두 방법의 성능을 비교하기 위하여 다양한 상황을 가정하여 모의실험을 시행한 결과 complex 붓스트랩 방법이 경험적 표준오차와 더 가까운 값으로 추정함을 알 수 있었다. 95% 신뢰구간의 포함확률도 complex 방법을 사용했을 때 0.95에 훨씬 가까웠다. 실제 자료에 적용하였을 때에도 simple 방법은 complex 방법에 비해 표준오차를 작게 추정하였다.

Type 316LN 스테인리스강의 크리프 수명예측과 오차분석 (Creep Life Prediction and Error Analysis for Type 316LN Stainless Steel)

  • 이원;윤송남;김우곤;류우석
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 2006년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.109-110
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    • 2006
  • Various parametric methods, Larson-Miller (L-M), Orr-Sherby-Dorn (O-S-D), Manson-Haferd (M-H) parameters, and minimum commitment method (MCM), were used to predict longer rupture time from short-term creep data. A number of the creep data were collected through literature surveys and experimental data produced in KAERI for predicting the creep type of type 316LN SS. Polynomial equations for predicting the creep life were obtained by the time-temperature parameters (TTP) and the MCM. standard error (SE) and standard error or mean (SEM) values were compared for the each method with temperatures. The TTP methods were good in the creep-life prediction, but the MCM was much superior to the TTP ones at $700^{\circ}C\;and\;750^{\circ}C$. The MCM was found to be lower in the SE values compared to the TTP methods

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시간-온도 파라미터법과 최소구속법에 의한 크리프 수명예측과 오차 분석 (Creep-Life Prediction and Its Error Analysis by the Time Temperature Parameters and the Minimum Commitment Method)

  • 윤송남;류우석;이원;김우곤
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제31권2호
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    • pp.160-165
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    • 2007
  • To predict long-term creep life from short-term creep life data, various parametric methods such as Larson-Mille. (L-M), Orr-Sherby-Dorn (O-S-D), Manson-Haferd (M-H) parameters, and a Minimum Commitment Method (MCM) were suggested. A number of the creep data were collected through literature surveys and experimental data produced in KAERI. The polynomial equations for type 316LN SS were obtained by the time-temperature parameters (TTP) and the MCM. Standard error (SE) and standard error of mean (SEM) values were obtained and compared with the each method for various temperatures. The TTP methods showed good creep-life prediction, but the MCM was much superior to the TTP ones at $700^{\circ}C$ and $750^{\circ}C$. It was found that the MCM were lower in the SE values when compared to the TTP methods.