• Title/Summary/Keyword: Short-term Effectiveness

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24 hour Load Forecasting using Combined Very-short-term and Short-term Multi-Variable Time-Series Model (초단기 및 단기 다변수 시계열 결합모델을 이용한 24시간 부하예측)

  • Lee, WonJun;Lee, Munsu;Kang, Byung-O;Jung, Jaesung
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.3
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    • pp.493-499
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    • 2017
  • This paper proposes a combined very-short-term and short-term multi-variate time-series model for 24 hour load forecasting. First, the best model for very-short-term and short-term load forecasting is selected by considering the least error value, and then they are combined by the optimal forecasting time. The actual load data of industry complex is used to show the effectiveness of the proposed model. As a result the load forecasting accuracy of the combined model has increased more than a single model for 24 hour load forecasting.

Short-Term Production Planning of an Automated Manufacturing System (자동화된 제조시스템에서의 단기간 생산계획)

  • 김진규
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.14 no.24
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    • pp.43-52
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    • 1991
  • The short-term production planning of an automated manufacturing system is to determine the production rate of each part type or family of part types. The purpose of this paper is to develop an optimal algorithm for solving the short-term production planning problem while machine failures, repairs. and changes in demand requirements are anticipated. The problem is formulated by LP and it shows that the production surplus is approached or stays at the hedging point. In addition, the long-term average frequencies of set-us with relation to a multilevel hierarchical production planing scheme are considered An example to show the effectiveness of the algorithm is presented.

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Analysis on the Effectiveness of Wind Power Fluctuation Based on Short-term Average Power (단기 평균값을 이용한 풍력발전 출력 평활화 제어 효과 분석)

  • Yoon, Tae Seop;Kim, Eel-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the KIPE Conference
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    • 2016.11a
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    • pp.206-207
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    • 2016
  • The intermittent characteristics of wind power (WP) may have negative effect on grid stability, especially in weak grid. WP fluctuation rate can be reduced by using energy storage system (ESS) through charging and discharging. The operation of ESS will decide its losses and lifetime of batteries. From this point, this paper proposes WP smoothing control by using short-term average of WP. In this case, the ESS will only operate at high WP fluctuation rate. Then, the output power of ESS will be estimated by short-term average value. The effectiveness of proposed method will be verified by comparing with conventional method. The simulation results will be carried out by using Matlab program.

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High Speed Precision Control of Mobile Robot using Neural Network in Real Time (신경망을 이용한 이동 로봇의 실시간 고속 정밀제어)

  • 주진화;이장명
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 1999
  • In this paper we propose a fast and precise control algorithm for a mobile robot, which aims at the self-tuning control applying two multi-layered neural networks to the structure of computed torque method. Through this algorithm, the nonlinear terms of external disturbance caused by variable task environments and dynamic model errors are estimated and compensated in real time by a long term neural network which has long learning period to extract the non-linearity globally. A short term neural network which has short teaming period is also used for determining optimal gains of PID compensator in order to come over the high frequency disturbance which is not known a priori, as well as to maintain the stability. To justify the global effectiveness of this algorithm where each of the long term and short term neural networks has its own functions, simulations are peformed. This algorithm can also be utilized to come over the serious shortcoming of neural networks, i.e., inefficiency in real time.

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The Effect of BPL (Brand Placement) in Movies on Short-term and Long-term Memory (영화 속 BPL이 단기기억과 장기기억에 미치는 효과)

  • Nam, Kyeong-Tae
    • Korean Journal of Communication Studies
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.165-193
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    • 2010
  • The current study has significance in that it increases our understanding of BPL effectiveness by adding long-term memory dependent variables to widely used short-term memory variables. Furthermore, two unit of analysis of the current study, subject and BPL, made richer analysis possible as compared to previous studies. The result showed that BPL was effective in short-term recognition(52.8% of BPLs), long-term recognition(44.4% of BPLs), and long-term recall(30.6% of BPLs). The further result showed that audiovisual BPL, closeup BPL, long-exposed brand, leading actor using brand were more effective than other kinds of BPL. On the other hand, preference for the movie and preference for the actor were not significant factors in increasing people's memory of the brand name. Future researchers should settle the confusion existed in this field by inventing a more elaborate research design and exploring mediating and moderating variables in the subject of BPL effectiveness.

The Effect of an Improvement Service for Child Cognitive Ability Aimed at the Development of linguistic Ability in Children between the Ages of 3-6 Years : An Evaluation for Short-term Effectiveness (아동인지능력향상서비스가 만 3-6세 아동의 언어능력 발달에 미치는 영향 : 단기효과성 평가 연구)

  • Lee, Bong-Joo;Kim, Nang-Hee;Kim, Hyun-Min
    • Korean Journal of Child Studies
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.107-123
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate the short term effectiveness of a cognitive ability improvement service for children, which is one of the 'Investment activities for Local Community Services' conducted by the Ministry for Health and Welfare. Results indicate that the longer the period of using cognitive improvement services for children, the more positively significant influence there is on their language abilities in terms of comprehension, expression, and reading-writing. Furthermore, these influences are stronger in children of low-income families than in children from higher income families. Certainly, this type of service improves infants' language abilities regardless of the income level of their families.

Effectiveness of worksite-based dietary interventions on employees' obesity: a systematic review and meta-analysis

  • Park, Seong-Hi;Kim, So-Young
    • Nutrition Research and Practice
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.399-409
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    • 2019
  • BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES: This study was designed to provide scientific evidence on the effectiveness of worksite-based dietary intervention to reduce obesity among overweight/obese employees. MATERIALS/METHODS: Electronic search was performed using Ovid Medline, Embase, Cochrane Library, and CINAHL databases. The keywords used were "obesity," "nutrition therapy," and "worksite." The internal validity of the randomized controlled trials (RCTs) was assessed using the Cochrane's Risk of Bias. Meta-analysis of selected studies was performed using Review Manager 5.3. RESULTS: A total of seven RCTs with 2,854 participants were identified. The effectiveness of dietary interventions was analyzed in terms of changes in weight, body mass index (BMI), total cholesterol, and blood pressure. The results showed that weight decreased with weighted mean difference (WMD) of -4.37 (95% confidence interval (CI): -6.54 to -2.20), but the effectiveness was statistically significant only in short-term programs < 6 months (P = 0.001). BMI also decreased with WMD of -1.26 (95% CI: -1.98 to -0.55), but the effectiveness was statistically significant only in short-term programs < 6 months (P = 0.001). Total cholesterol decreased with WMD of -5.57 (95% CI: -9.07 to -2.07) mg/dL, demonstrating significant effectiveness (P = 0.002). Both systolic (WMD: -4.90 mmHg) and diastolic (WMD: -2.88 mmHg) blood pressure decreased, demonstrating effectiveness, but with no statistical significance. CONCLUSIONS: The worksite-based dietary interventions for overweight/obese employees showed modest short-term effects. These interventions can be considered successful because weight loss was below approximately 5-10 kg of the initial body weight, which is the threshold for the management of obesity recommended by the Scottish Intercollegiate Guideline Network (SIGN).

EVALUATION OF AN ACCIDENT MANAGEMENT STRATEGY OF EMERGENCY WATER INJECTION USING FIRE ENGINES IN A TYPICAL PRESSURIZED WATER REACTOR

  • PARK, SOO-YONG;AHN, KWANG-IL
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.719-728
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    • 2015
  • Following the Fukushima accident, a special safety inspection was conducted in Korea. The inspection results show that Korean nuclear power plants have no imminent risk for expected maximum potential earthquake or coastal flooding. However long- and short-term safety improvements do need to be implemented. One of the measures to increase the mitigation capability during a prolonged station blackout (SBO) accident is installing injection flow paths to provide emergency cooling water of external sources using fire engines to the steam generators or reactor cooling systems. This paper illustrates an evaluation of the effectiveness of external cooling water injection strategies using fire trucks during a potential extended SBO accident in a 1,000 MWe pressurized water reactor. With regard to the effectiveness of external cooling water injection strategies using fire engines, the strategies are judged to be very feasible for a long-term SBO, but are not likely to be effective for a short-term SBO.

A New Approach to Short-term Price Forecast Strategy with an Artificial Neural Network Approach: Application to the Nord Pool

  • Kim, Mun-Kyeom
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.1480-1491
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    • 2015
  • In new deregulated electricity market, short-term price forecasting is key information for all market players. A better forecast of market-clearing price (MCP) helps market participants to strategically set up their bidding strategies for energy markets in the short-term. This paper presents a new prediction strategy to improve the need for more accurate short-term price forecasting tool at spot market using an artificial neural networks (ANNs). To build the forecasting ANN model, a three-layered feedforward neural network trained by the improved Levenberg-marquardt (LM) algorithm is used to forecast the locational marginal prices (LMPs). To accurately predict LMPs, actual power generation and load are considered as the input sets, and then the difference is used to predict price differences in the spot market. The proposed ANN model generalizes the relationship between the LMP in each area and the unconstrained MCP during the same period of time. The LMP calculation is iterated so that the capacity between the areas is maximized and the mechanism itself helps to relieve grid congestion. The addition of flow between the areas gives the LMPs a new equilibrium point, which is balanced when taking the transfer capacity into account, LMP forecasting is then possible. The proposed forecasting strategy is tested on the spot market of the Nord Pool. The validity, the efficiency, and effectiveness of the proposed approach are shown by comparing with time-series models

Meta-analysis of the Interventions for Caring Depression of the Elderly in the Four Countries: A Comparison of the Total Effectiveness, Short-term Effectiveness, and Long-term Effectiveness (노인 우울증 관리 프로그램의 효과성 메타 분석: 전체·단기·장기 효과성의 비교)

  • Park, Seung-Min
    • 한국노년학
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.553-571
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    • 2011
  • The purpose of this research is to comparatively meta-analyze the total, short-term, and long-termeffectiveness of cases involving care of the elderly depression in the age range of 60 and over in the four countries, and to identify the relevant policy implications for developing depression care programmes for Korean older people. Ten studies conducted by RCT were found via AMED, EMBASE, Ovid Medline, PsycInfo. Use of Review Manager(5.5 version) shows that the interventions for caring depression were all effective: total effectiveness is OR=0.47(95% CI), short-termeffectiveness is OR=0.37(95% CI), and long-term effectiveness is OR=0.61(95% CI). This research provides three policy implications: Firstly, elements for increasing the long-term effectiveness of depression care interventions should be applied to all new programmes for caring elderly depression. Secondly, more focused depression interventions should be applied during the first half period of care programmes for elderly men, whilst the focus should be shifted to the last half period for elderly women. Finally, new interventions for caring depression that integrate both the medical and social support model of depression should be designed for elderly Koreans.