• Title/Summary/Keyword: Scoring failure

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A Study on the Safety Improvement of Buried Pipeline Using Scoring Model (Scoring Model을 이용한 매설배관 안전성 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Son, Myoung-Duck;Kim, Sung-Keun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.175-185
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    • 2017
  • As the gas is manufactured, handled and used more often due to the continuous increase of gas, the related facility gets expanded and more complex causing small and big accident which causes economic loss including damage for humans and materials. The gas pipeline, the most common gas facility, has the biggest risk of accidents. Especially in the urban area and densely populated areas, the accident due to the high pressure pipeline may cause even more serious damages. To prevent the accident caused by the buried pipeline, it is required for the relevant authorities to evaluate the damage and risk of the whole pipeline system effectively. A risk is usually defined as a possibility or probability of an undesired event happening, and there is always a risk even when the probability of failure is set low once the pipeline is installed or under operation. It is reported that the accident caused by the failure of the pipeline rarely happens, however, it is important to minimize the rate of accidents by analyzing the reason of failure as it could cause a huge damage of humans and property. Therefore, the paper rated the risk of pipelines with quantitative numbers using the qualitative risk analysis method of the Scoring Model. It is assumed that the result could be effectively used for practical maintenance and management of pipelines securing the safety of the pipes.

A Strength Analysis of Gear Train for Hydro-Mechanical Continuously Variable Transmission

  • Bae, Myung Ho;Bae, Tae Yeol;Yoo, Young Rak
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.6 no.3
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    • pp.163-172
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    • 2018
  • The power train of hydro-mechanical continuously variable transmission(HMCVT) for the middle class forklift makes use of an hydro-static unit, hydraulic multi-wet disc brake & clutches and complex helical & planetary gears. The complex helical & planetary gears are a very important part of the transmission because of strength problems. The helical & planetary gears belong to the very important part of the HMCVT's power train where strength problems are the main concerns including the gear bending stress, the gear compressive stress and scoring failures. The present study, calculates specifications of the complex helical & planetary gear train and analyzes the gear bending and compressive stresses of the gears. It is necessary to analyze gear bending and compressive stresses confidently for an optimal design of the complex helical & planetary gears in respect of cost and reliability. This paper not only analyzes actual gear bending and compressive stresses of complex helical & planetary gears using Lewes & Hertz equation, but also verifies the calculated specifications of the complex helical & planetary gears by evaluating the results with the data of allowable bending and compressive stress from the Stress - No. of cycles curves of gears. In addition, this paper explains actual gear scoring and evaluates the possibility of scoring failure of complex helical & planetary gear train of hydro-mechanical continuously variable transmission for the forklift.

Building credit scoring models with various types of target variables (목표변수의 형태에 따른 신용평점 모형 구축)

  • Woo, Hyun Seok;Lee, Seok Hyung;Cho, HyungJun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.85-94
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    • 2013
  • As the financial market becomes larger, the loss increases due to the failure of the credit risk managements from the poor management of the customer information or poor decision-making. Thus, the credit risk management also becomes more important and it is essential to develop a credit scoring model, which is a fundamental tool used to minimize the credit risk. Credit scoring models have been studied and developed only for binary target variables. In this paper, we consider other types of target variables such as ordinal multinomial data or longitudinal binary data and suggest credit scoring models. We then apply our developed models to real data and random data, and investigate their performance through Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistic.

Developing Planetary Gear Reduction Design Software for the Planetary Gear Design and Durability Strength Analysis of Armored Vehicle's Transmission (장갑차용 트랜스미션의 유성기어 설계 및 내구 강도 분석을 위한 유성기어 감속기 설계 소프트웨어의 개발)

  • SinHyun Kang;SungHo Park;YonSang Cho
    • Tribology and Lubricants
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    • v.39 no.5
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    • pp.173-182
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    • 2023
  • The composite planetary gear reducer, a power transmission component of armored vehicles, operates at a high torque and is used in severe environments such as mountain, gravel or unpaved roads. Therefore, they must be designed and manufactured to have high durability. To design such a planetary gear reducer, there are numerous specifications to validate, such as selecting the module and the number of teeth of each gear satisfied the requirements, and calculating gear specifications and durability strength. Because planetary gears constitute a combination of several gears, there are many restrictions and interferences in selecting the number of teeth and addendum modification coefficients, and designing the tooth shape. Developing an auto design program is necessary to design various planetary gears more conveniently and quickly. In this study, a planetary gear reducer design software, widely used in various machines and armored vehicles, was developed. This design software can automatically select the number of teeth and modules of the gears, calculate specifications and quickly evaluate its fatigue durability strength and scoring failure according to the planetary gear reducer design theory.

A Study on the Application of DFMEA for Safety Design of Weapon System (무기체계의 안전 설계를 위한 DFMEA 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Seo, Yang Woo;Oh, Young Il;Kim, Hee Wook;Kim, So Jung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Systems Engineering
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.46-57
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we proposed the DFMEA Implementation Method for safety design of Weapon System. First, we presented the process for DFMEA. And then, the case analysis of OOO missile was performed in accordance with the process presented. After defining the system requirements of OOO missile, failure definition scoring criteria was set. In order to clarify the definition of failure, the failure was classified into safety, reliability, maintainability and others. After performing the function analysis, the relationship matrix analysis was performed to identify the failure mode according to the function without omission. After clarifying the failure classification, mode of failure, cause of failure and effect were analyzed to calculate the severity, occurrence and detection values. After the action priority was judged, the recommended action according to the failure classification was identified for the determined action priority. The results of this study can be used as a relevant basis for the design reflection and resource re-allocation of stakeholders.

Reliability Assessment by the Scoring Model for the Advanced Pressurized water Reactor 1400MWe Project Selection under Uncertainty (신형경수로 1400을 위해 점수산정 모형에 의한 신뢰성 평가)

  • 강영식
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.23-35
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    • 2002
  • The problem of system reliability is very important issue in the digitalized nuclear power plant, because the failure of its system brings about extravagant economic loss, environment destruction, and fatal damage of human. Therefore the purpose of this study has developed the reliability evaluation model through the scoring model by the quantitative and qualitative factors in order to justify the evaluation considering the advanced safety factors in the Advanced Pressurized water Reactor 1400MWe(APR 1400MWe) under uncertainty. Especially, the qualitative factors considering the human, information control, and quality factors for the systematic and rational justification have been closely analyzed. The proposed model can be simply applied in real fields in order to minimize the industrial accidents in the digitalized nuclear power plant.

Failure Analysis of Metallic Components (금속소재 부품의 고장분석 사례)

  • Song Jin-Hwa;Hong Ki-Jung;Chang Chang-Hwan;Kim Young-Sub
    • Journal of Applied Reliability
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.51-61
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    • 2006
  • Failure analyses were conducted on a crank shaft and a chock liner by using X-ray diffraction, optical microscopy and SEM/EDS techniques. In the crank shaft, a crack developed where a maximum tensile stress coincided with band structure formed by hot forging. The maximum tensile stress was observed to originate from volume expansion during high frequency induction heat treatment and the band structure to develop between upper and lower dies during hot forging. In the chock liner, the wear mechanism varied with the chemical affinity and hardness of liner material relative to friction pair of housing liner. Brass of low chemical affinity and hardness compared to housing liner showed uniform adhesive wear. STS 304 and STS 420J2 of high chemical affinity showed galling and scoring respectively.

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Prognostic Accuracy of the Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment for Outcomes Among Patients with Trauma in the Emergency Department: A Comparison with the Modified Early Warning Score, Revised Trauma Score, and Injury Severity Score

  • Kang, Min Woo;Ko, Seo Young;Song, Sung Wook;Kim, Woo Jeong;Kang, Young Joon;Kang, Kyeong Won;Park, Hyun Soo;Park, Chang Bae;Kang, Jeong Ho;Bu, Ji Hwan;Lee, Sung Kgun
    • Journal of Trauma and Injury
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    • v.34 no.1
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    • pp.3-12
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: To evaluate the severity of trauma, many scoring systems and predictive models have been presented. The quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) is a simple scoring system based on vital signs, and we expect it to be easier to apply to trauma patients than other trauma assessment tools. Methods: This study was a cross-sectional study of trauma patients who visited the emergency department of Jeju National University Hospital. We excluded patients under the age of 18 years and unknown outcomes. We calculated the qSOFA, the Modified Early Warning Score (mEWS), Revised Trauma Score (RTS), and Injury Severity Score (ISS) based on patients' initial vital signs and assessments performed in the emergency department (ED). The primary outcome was mortality within 14 days of trauma. We analyzed qSOFA scores using multivariate logistic regression analysis and compared the predictive accuracy of these scoring systems using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Results: In total, 27,764 patients were analyzed. In the multivariate logistic regression analysis of the qSOFA, the adjusted odds ratios with 95% confidence interval (CI) for mortality relative to a qSOFA score of 0 were 27.82 (13.63-56.79) for a qSOFA score of 1, 373.31 (183.47-759.57) for a qSOFA score of 2, and 494.07 (143.75-1698.15) for a qSOFA score of 3. In the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis for the qSOFA, mEWS, ISS, and RTS in predicting the outcomes, for mortality, the AUROC for the qSOFA (AUROC [95% CI]; 0.912 [0.871-0.952]) was significantly greater than those for the ISS (0.700 [0.608-0.793]) and RTS (0.160 [0.108-0.211]). Conclusions: The qSOFA was useful for predicting the prognosis of trauma patients evaluated in the ED.

-Reliability Assessment of Nuclear Power Plants Considering the Qualitative Factors under Uncertainty- (원자력발전소에서 정성적 요인을 고려한 신뢰성 평가)

  • 강영식
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.23 no.54
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    • pp.167-177
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    • 2000
  • The problem of system reliability is very important issue in the nuclear power plant, because the failure of its system brings about extravagant economic loss, environment destruction, and quality loss. This paper therefore proposes a normalized scoring model by the qualitative factors order to evaluate the robust reliability of nuclear power plants under uncertainty. Especially, the qualitative factors including risk, functional, human error, and quality function factors for the robust justification has been also introduced. Finally, the analytical reliability and safety assessment model developed in this paper can be used in the real nuclear power plant.

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Application of Poisoning aBIG score for Prediction of Fatal Severity in Acute Adult Intoxications (성인 중증 중독환자 예측을 위한 새로운 지표 개발: aBIG score for poisoning)

  • Choe, Michael Sung Pil;Ahn, Jae Yun;Kang, In Gu;Lee, Mi Jin
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Clinical Toxicology
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.14-21
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: The objective of this study was to develop a new scoring tool that is comprehensively applicable and predicts fatality within 24 h of intoxication. Methods: This was a cohort study conducted in two emergency medical centers from 2011 to 2012. We identified factors associated with severe/fatality. Through a discriminant analysis, we devised the aBIG (age, Base deficit, Infection, and Glasgow coma scale) score. To compare the ability of aBIG to predict intoxication severity with that of previous scoring systems such as APACHE II, MODS, SAPS IIe, and SOFA, we determined the receiver operating characteristic curves of each variable in predicting severe-to-fatal toxicity. Results: Compared with the mild/moderate toxicity group (n=211), the severe/fatal group (n=143) had higher incidences of metabolic acidosis, infection, serious mental change, QTc prolongation and hepato-renal failure. Age, base deficit, infection-WBC count, and Glasgow Coma Scale were independently associated with severe/fatal poisoning. These variables were combined into the poisoning "aBIG" score [$0.28{\times}$Age group+$0.38{\times}WBC$ count/$10^3+0.52{\times}$Base deficit+$0.64{\times}$(15-GCS)], which were each calculated to have an area under the curve of 0.904 (95% confidence interval: 0.868-0.933). The aBIG poisoning score had an equivalent level of severity predictability as APACHE II and a superior than MODS, SOFA, and SAPS IIe. Conclusion: We developed a simplified scoring system using the four variables of age, base deficit, infected leukocytosis, and GCS. The poisoning aBIG score was a simple method that could be performed rapidly on admission to evaluate severity of illness and predict fatal severity in patients with acute intoxications.

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