• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.73-83
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• 2009

Systemic Dynamics has been widely used as a method for studies in the areas of education, health care, and behavioral sciences. This paper discussed the SD application in nursing research by illustrating examples of published articles in nursing discipline, which can be classified into physiologic, socio-psychological, and health policy fields. It also identified the limitations of SD use in nursing and suggests strategies in order to facilitate a SD method for nursing research: 1) systematic introduction of SD in nursing research fields; 2) Interest about SD as an innovative research method; 3) researcher's efforts to understand the SD method in academic settings.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제14권1호
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• pp.55-68
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• 2013

It is necessary to evaluate the greenhouse gases (GHGs) reduction policy by central and regional governments to set up the suitable GHG emissions measures. Quantitative, qualitative and synthetic methods have been adopted by previous researches to estimate GHG reduction policy. However, these methods mostly focused on the results of the reduction policy, rather than understanding and fixing the integrated structures of GHG emissions. In this research, System Dynamics(SD) was applied to 1 million green homes program, self-carfree-day system and carbon point program. The results showed that SD analyses could be appliable for the estimation of GHG reduction policy by developing the feedback loops and dynamic simulation model. SD can be consider as a supplementary tool to estimate the GHG reduction policies through the recognition of the structure in complex real system.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.95-130
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• 2003

The purpose of this study is to find what causes make public projects hold off, going beyond the planned deadline and budget. Using System Dynamics(SD) and their derivative Urban Dynamics(UD) models, it intends to analyze major feedback loops based on VENSIM and to simulate them with STELLA software, all of which are interrelated with various causes of project delay. To prevent or ameliorate project delay, first of all it advises to focus on endogenous delaying factors not exogenous ones. These factors either reinforce or balance certain loops in complex causal structure, In the case example on the Cremation Building Project in Cheongju, Residents’ participation demand make negotiation put off and delayed negotiation reinforces administrative-expediency planning in order to observe a time limit, on the other hand, once building consensus, it increase both the level of planning performance and public trust. In the meantime, the real planning process used to neglect residents opinions and manage public grievance only through compensation, he a result of simulation, visible fruit of negotiation in the initial phase seems to be not satisfactory owing to funds and time consumed, but after reaching an mutual agreement among stakeholders, planning performance is effective and strategic than administrative-expediency planning viewed in both financial and time angle. It proposes to devise specific tools schematizing project implementation. In order to upgrade the quality of project management, it recommends for planners to adopt key concepts based on SD/UD diagrams and causal loops, which would contribute to enriching Planning abbots.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제16권3호
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• pp.97-107
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• 2015

본 논문은 최근 다양한 사회 분야에 있어서 IT 기술이 적용되는 과정을 SD 모델링 방식을 사용하여 연구한 경험과 발견을 서술하고자 한다. 모델의 초기 단계에서 우리는 다양한 사회 분야마다 다른 SD 모델을 만들 것이냐 아니면 기본적으로 유사한 모델 구조를 취할 것이냐를 선택해야 했다. 사회 분야마다 다른 구조의 SD 모델을 만들면, 상호간의 구조와 시뮬레이션 결과를 비교하기 어렵다. 하지만 상호 모델 구조를 유사하게 구축하려고 하니, 서로 다른 모델링 팀들간의 의사소통에 노력과 시간 소비가 지나치게 커져 갔다. 이러한 어려움을 극복하기 위하여 본 연구에서는 시스템 다이내믹스 모델링에도 시스템 사고의 원형적 피드백 루프에서와 같은 원형적 SD 모델을 만들고, 이를 사회 각 분야에 적용하는 방식을 취하고자 하였다. 먼저 최근 IT 기술 발전을 이끌어 가는 핵심적인 요소로서 클라우드 컴퓨팅, 스마트 기기, 사물 인터넷을 선정하고 이들간의 상호 관계성을 표현하는 SD 모델을 만들었다. 이를 원형(archetype)으로 하여, 교육, 의료, 원격 근무 등 사회 각 분야의 IT 확산 과정에 적용하여 모델링을 하고 시뮬레이션을 하여 상호 비교하면서 정책 시사점을 논의할 수 있었다. 본 논문에서는 이 중에서 원격 근무(smart work)에 관한 적용 사례를 제시함으로써, SD 모델링에 있어서 원형적 접근 방법의 가능성을 탐색한다.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제4권2호
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• pp.153-171
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• 2003

In this study, we tried to build a model which can deal with the efficient and effective operation of electric power industry, especially focused on the nuclear industry. Here, SD(system Dynamics) approach is used to visualize the underlying phenomenon of the nuclear power industry. SD is a methodology for studying and managing complex feedback systems, such as one finds in business and other social systems, The span of SD applications has grown extensively and now encompasses work in corporate planning and policy design, public management and policy, biological and medical modeling, energy and the environment. Recently, according to the report from KEPCO(Korea Electric Power Corporation), they are considering delaying a new power plant construction. It may be based upon business fluctuation downsized from Korean economic crisis in 1997 and freezing of construction funds due to unstable foreign exchange rate. At this point, we need desperately a kind of strategic model that would contribute to cope with the current business situation, energy generation, Production, and resulting Pollution. Specifically, this model, using SD approach, starts with the detailed drawing of influence diagram, which describes those relevant key points on nuclear power generation systems in electric power industry of Korea. These include such (actors as the operation of nuclear industry and parameters related to the decision making for business policy. Based upon the above-mentioned influence diagram drawn, we developed SD simulation model to evaluate and analyze strategic management of KBPCO. Based on our analysis, we could demonstrate how simulation model can be applied to the real electric power generation in Korea.

• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제12권6호
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• pp.69-77
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• 2014

시스템 다이내믹스(SD)는 복잡계 이론 중의 하나로서 사회과학 분야에서 동태적 문제의 분석 및 정책(전략) 개발을 위한 컴퓨터 기반의 시뮬레이션 연구방법론으로 많은 관심을 받아 왔다. 하지만 지난 50여 년간 다양한 분야에서 이 방법론으로 만들어진 모형 중에는 아직 검증이 제대로 되지 않은 채 시스템다이내믹스의 구성이론을 대표하는 모형으로 활용되는 사례들이 있다. 이에 본 연구에서는 SD의 이론을 설명하는 데 자주 활용되는 인구 동태학 모형을 대상으로 인과적 피드백 구조와 지배적 피드백 루프의 추론 오류를 증명하고, 인과지도(causal loop diagram)와 저량-유량 다이어그램(stocks-and-flows diagram) 간의 일관성 강화 전략을 통해 기존 모형의 타당성을 개선하였다. 본 연구의 결과는 기존 시스템다이내믹스의 이론적 발전과 시스템다이내믹스를 활용한 정책 연구모형의 타당성 강화에 기여한다.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제11권1호
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• pp.59-83
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• 2010

The Korean Government decided to reduce 30% of carbon emissions as of 2020, tightening regulations to reduce greenhouse gas in the international society. Therefore it will burden Korean logistics industry that overland trucking freight covers 70~80% of all, to lower emissions. As known, rail and coast(feeder) transport systems can be substituted for road transport but there are many problems to solve in Korean multimodal (intermodal) transport system such as time, cost, etc. Because of this, multimodal transport system should be improved systematically. For the reason, it aims to study a conceptual model with Thinking Process of TOC(theory of constraints) and System Dynamics to help improve the existing multimodal transport system for green logistics.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.25-45
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• 2012

The purpose of this study is to estimate the effects of healthy city policies on residents' walking. In order to estimate promotion of walking rates by healthy cities policies, it developed System dynamics(SD)-based model which showed causal relationships among urban design, public health policies, and walking levels. SD technique is useful for future forecast and policy impact assessment. The spatial units of the SD-based system for policy impact assessment included 66 cities, counties, and communities in Seoul Metropolitan Area. The system simulation was planned to be run for 21 years from 2009 to 2030. For this study, 3 alternatives were proposed with combinations of length of bike lanes, number of bus routes, crime rates, self-reported good health status rates, and obesity rates. As a result of simulations, residents' participation rates for walking were increased from 1.00% to 9.98%. This study contributes to better understanding the benefits of healthy cities that are associated with individual walking. It further provided useful insights into planners' role in promoting health. The paper concluded with a discussion on future research opportunities and implications for public policies in urban and transportation and public health.

• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제16권7호
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• pp.259-265
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• 2018

수학모형의 한 유형인 구획모형은 전염병의 확산처럼 순차적인 이벤트나 프로세스로 구성된 동적 시스템의 변화를 분석하는 데 폭넓게 활용되어 왔다. 구획모형은 상자와 화살표로 표현되는 구획과 구획 간 관계로 구성된다. 이러한 원리는 stock과 flow로 구성되는 시스템다이내믹스(SD)의 모델링 원리와 비슷하다. 두 모형 모두 미분방정식을 이용하여 구조화된다. 이와 같은 두 모형 간 변환 가능성을 이용하여 국내 MERS 전염의 특징을 분석한 최근 연구의 SEIR 참조모형을 SD 관점에서 해석 변환한다. 변환된 SEIR 모형(Model 2)은 참조모형(Model 1)의 재현 결과와 비교하여 동일한 시뮬레이션 결과를 나타내었다. 본 연구는 전염병 구획모형의 구축에 도식과 미분방정식을 이용한 SD 방법론의 활용에 대한 인사이트를 제공하며, 변환된 SD 모형은 다른 전염병을 위한 참조모형으로 활용 가능하다.

• 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.45-75
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• 2010

Today, the logistics industry has played a critical role in national economy activities. The low cost and high efficiency of the logistics industry are meaningful in the improvement of national competitiveness and the logistics industry. However, efficiency of logistics is lower than that of the United States and Japan since most quantities are processed in road transportation in Korea. With regard to this, existing studies expected a saving of social and environmental costs due to a decrease of road transportation as well as improvement of logistics productivity due to bulk transportation through activation of rail and costal transport. For the expectation, the existing multimodal transport systems should be improved first. Therefore it aimed to develop scenario-based simulation models of multimodal transport systems for decision makers in charge of improvement in the logistics area. For model development, this study utilized Thinking Process and System Dynamics(TP-SD) methodology.