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Systematic Bias of Telephone Surveys: Meta Analysis of 2007 Presidential Election Polls (전화조사의 체계적 편향 - 2007년 대통령선거 여론조사들에 대한 메타분석 -)

  • Kim, Se-Yong;Huh, Myung-Hoe
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.375-385
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    • 2009
  • For 2007 Korea presidential election, most polls by telephone surveys indicated Lee Myung-Bak led the second runner-up Jung Dong-Young by certain margin. The margin between two candidates can be estimated accurately by averaging individual poll results, provided there exists no systematic bias in telephone surveys. Most Korean telephone surveys via telephone directory are based on quota samples, with the region, the gender and the age-band as quota variables. Thus the surveys may result in certain systematic bias due to unbalanced factors inherent in quota sampling. The aim of this study is to answer the following questions by the analytic methods adopted in Huh et al. (2004): Question 1. Wasn't there systematic bias in estimates of support rates. Question 2. If yes, what was the source of the bias? To answer the questions, we collected eighteen surveys administered during the election campaign period and applied the iterated proportional weighting (the rim weighting) to the last eleven surveys to obtain the balance in five factors - region, gender, age, occupation and education level. We found that the support rate of Lee Myung-Bak was over-estimated consistently by 1.4%P and that of Jung Dong-Young was underestimated by 0.6%P, resulting in the over-estimation of the margin by 2.0%P. By investigating the Lee Myung-Bak bias with logistic regression models, we conclude that it originated from the under-representation of less educated class and/or the over-representation of house wives in telephone samples.

Selection of Optimal Variables for Clustering of Seoul using Genetic Algorithm (유전자 알고리즘을 이용한 서울시 군집화 최적 변수 선정)

  • Kim, Hyung Jin;Jung, Jae Hoon;Lee, Jung Bin;Kim, Sang Min;Heo, Joon
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.175-181
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    • 2014
  • Korean government proposed a new initiative 'government 3.0' with which the administration will open its dataset to the public before requests. City of Seoul is the front runner in disclosure of government data. If we know what kind of attributes are governing factors for any given segmentation, these outcomes can be applied to real world problems of marketing and business strategy, and administrative decision makings. However, with respect to city of Seoul, selection of optimal variables from the open dataset up to several thousands of attributes would require a humongous amount of computation time because it might require a combinatorial optimization while maximizing dissimilarity measures between clusters. In this study, we acquired 718 attribute dataset from Statistics Korea and conducted an analysis to select the most suitable variables, which differentiate Gangnam from other districts, using the Genetic algorithm and Dunn's index. Also, we utilized the Microsoft Azure cloud computing system to speed up the process time. As the result, the optimal 28 variables were finally selected, and the validation result showed that those 28 variables effectively group the Gangnam from other districts using the Ward's minimum variance and K-means algorithm.

Interface Design Guideline for Personalization of Interactive TV Service - Focusing on SkyLife's SkyTouch Service - (쌍방향TV 서비스의 개인화를 위한 인터페이스 디자인 가이드라인 -스카이라이프의 스카이터치 서비스를 중심으로 -)

  • Goo, Min-Jung;Lee, Tae-Il
    • Archives of design research
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    • v.20 no.3 s.71
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    • pp.129-140
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    • 2007
  • This study attempts to investigate the personalized schemes of interface for the interactive TV sonics enhancing the satisfaction of users from the standpoints of the user and to suggest designing guidelines. In the preface, firstly, the purpose as well as structure of the study were described, the characteristics of the interactive TV and the personalization were defined. Also, it was attempted to understand the development directions of the basic media for services. In addition, the data and elements that became the ground for this study were arranged, including the elements for designing interface, the appraisal method of usability to evaluate the requirements of users, etc. Then, the interfaces of "SkyTouch", an interactive TV sonics by Skylife having the number of users reaching one million at the moment, that is the representative runner in the interactive TV, were analyzed. Then the needs central to the navigation structure and layout for the convenience of users through the evaluation of usability were examined and arranged. In addition, the designing directions of personalized interfaces were studied in the interactive TV by analyzing the web portal sites which were being carried out prior to the personalized services. Based on the data investigated and analyzed previously, the guidelines for the interface design for the personalization of the interactive TV were suggested by classifying the navigation structure and layout, and the personalized interface design was proposed according to the suggested guidelines by applying them directly to "SkyTouch" that is currently carrying out the interactive sonics although it provides limited services in an independent style.

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Analytical and experimental study on the quality improvement of 2 cavity injection-molded LCD frame (2 캐비티 LCD 사출품의 품질향상에 관한 해석 및 실험적 연구)

  • Son, Jae-Hwan;Jang, Eun-Sil;Han, Chang-Woo;Son, Jae-Yong;Lee, Young-Moon
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.9
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    • pp.3815-3821
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    • 2012
  • The LCD frame is an important part which supports the BLU of medium/large sized TFT-LCD. To produce it efficiently, it is necessary to achieve the molding process improvement from 1 cavity to 2 cavity system. Because 2 cavity mold is compact and its hot-runner zone is broadened, it is difficult to control the temperature on the mold. In this study, injection molding analysis on the frame in 2 cavity process with FEA(Finite Element Analysis) software is carried out to estimate its quality. The calculated injection molding pressures and maximum deflection in 1 and 2 cavity processes are 41.13 MPa and 1.62 mm, 40.49 MPa and 1.66 mm respectively. The measured maximum flexure load and surface roughness of the left and right frame of 2 cavities are 209 N and 0.08 ${\mu}m$, 193 N and 0.10 ${\mu}m$ while those in 1 cavity are 140 N and 0.13 ${\mu}m$. Thermal image shows that the maximum standard deviation of the temperature on left and right side of 2 cavity mold is $1.23^{\circ}C$. The simulation and measurement results show that the quality of the frame in 2 cavity injection molding process as a whole is not worse than that of 1 cavity system. But maximum flexure loads of the frame in 2 cavity process are far greater than that in 1 cavity process.

A Study on the Symbolism of Buttns of 18.19 Century (18.19세기 단추의 상징성에 관한 연구)

  • 강두옥;김진구
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Costume
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    • v.18
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    • pp.225-245
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    • 1992
  • The button is a part of costume. But it has the symbolism of costume in itself and reflects the sociocultural phenomena. The purpose of this study is to clarify symbolism of button of eighteenth and nineteenth century which had been most popular. This study is based on the library research. Through this paper, I reached conclusions as follows. The symbolism of button is found in various ways. First, Aesthetics is found in material, color, design and type etc. of button. Especially Indian silver button of abstract type shows well distinctive aesthetics of Indians. Second, The material and the number of button vary with one's status and show off one's privilege. I England, there was the rule, in which the symbol of the King was a silver button with a figure of lion. The livery button represents his family to the nble and shows the meaning of obedience to the servant. Third, The button on uniform varies with ranks. This is prominent in a uniform of a soldier or a policeman. Fourth Material and craft of button show one's economic position. The button gives a Very good picture of what one's life was then. Precious button with gold, silver, and other jewels is an index to one's property. Fifth, The button of political event is used for election, which shows the face and the name of runner. Besides that, there were buttons designed for the flag or the slogan for political event. Sixth, The button of social event reflects a social phase of life in war or revolution, for example, it satirizes the burning of the Bastille in the French Revolution, or the taxpayer bearing the burden. Seventh, the buttons that symbolize a historic event are made to commemorante an epochal and critical occurrence or an important person's birth, death, visit to some place, etc., Eighth, there were well-known persons, for example, a president, a king, a queen, a singer, or an artist in the buton of personality. Nineth, The button of one's company shows one's community in figures or pictures, that is, this button is used as a symbol one's community. Tenth, The button varies with the development of science and technology. It gives a very good picture of what it was and what the technological level was. Eleventh, The buttons that symmbolize on occupation most impressively are uniform buttons. Symbolic marks related with a particular occupation are carved on the buttons of compary employees' uniforms. Twelfth, Various natural phenomena are designed to appear on buttons, Some express themselves simply as they are, and others appear as a symbolic form such as environmental relationship between men and nature, four seasons, a constellation and all other natural things occurring during a year. Finally, The button of rebus is a motto expressed by a combination with objects figures, letters, words, or phrases.

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Influence of the Differences in Altitude during Raising Seedlings on Daughter Plant Characteristics and Subsequent Strawberry Production (육묘 기간중의 고도 차이가 자묘의 특성 및 딸기 수량에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Jong-Nam;Lim, Ju-Sung;Lee, Jun-Gu;Nam, Chun-Woo;Kim, Ki-Deog;Lee, Eung-Ho;Yeoung, Young-Rog
    • Horticultural Science & Technology
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.540-544
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    • 2010
  • The nursery plant quality and flower bud induction of new strawberry cultivars, 'Maehyang' and 'Seolhyang' in forcing culture were evaluated in the highland and lowland region. In order to produce daughter plants, the new cultivars were grown in the open field located at both highland (Daekwallyung, above 800 m sea level) and lowland (Gangneung, above 20 m sea level) region, respectively. The average air temperature at highland during nursery plant propagation period was $5.3^{\circ}C$ lower than those at lowland. The number of daughter plants produced at lowland was 2 times as high as those of highland, presumably due to the higher air temperature. Anthracnose incidence rates of runner plants produced at lowland were 4 to 7% as high as those in highland. Mean temperature in the highland ($23.5^{\circ}C$) during flower bud differentiation treatment was $5.1^{\circ}C$ lower than that in the lowland ($28.6^{\circ}C$). Seedlings produced in highland showed higher C/N ratio and lower T/R ratio compared to those produced in lowland. The average flower bud formation date of the daughter plants grown in highland were advanced by 30 days compared to the date in lowland. Accordingly, highland was supposed to be appropriate region for raising seedlings in forcing culture of the new strawberry cultivars of 'Maehyang' and 'Seolhyang'.

Micro-Hydropower System with a Semi-Kaplan Turbine for Sewage Treatment Plant Application: Kiheung Respia Case Study (하수처리장 적용을 위한 Semi-카플란 수차가 장착된 마이크로수력발전 시스템: 기흥레스피아 사례)

  • Chae, Kyu-Jung;Kim, Dong-Soo;Cheon, Kyung-Ho;Kim, Won-Kyoung;Kim, Jung-Yeon;Lee, Chul-Hyung;Park, Wan-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Society of Environmental Engineers
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    • v.35 no.5
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    • pp.363-370
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    • 2013
  • Small scale hydropower is one of most attractive and cost-effective energy technologies for installation within sewage treatment plants. This study was conducted to evaluate the potential of a semi-kaplan micro-hydropower (MHP) system for application to sewage treatment plants with high flow fluctuations and a low head. The semi-kaplan MHP is equipped with an adjustable runner blade, and is without a guide vane, so as to reduce the incidence of mechanical problems. A MHP rating 13.4 kWp with a semi-kaplan turbine has been considered for Kiheung Respia sewage treatment plant, and this installation is estimated to generate 86.8 MWh of electricity annually, which is enough to supply electricity to over 25 households, and equivalent to an annual reduction of 49 ton $CO_2$. The semi-kaplan turbine showed a 90.2% energy conversion efficiency at the design flow rate of 0.35 $m^3/s$ and net head of 4.7 m, and was adaptable to a wide range of flow fluctuations. Through the MHP operation, approximately 2.1% of total electricity demand of Kiheung Respia sewage treatment plant will be achievable. Based on financial analysis, an exploiting MHP is considered economically acceptable with an internal rate of return of 6.1%, net present value of 15,539,000 Korean Won, benefit-cost ratio of 1.08, and payback year of 15.5, respectively, if initial investment cost is 200,000,000 Korean Won.

Production of Carpet Sod Using Seed and Runner of Zoysiagrass (Zoysia spp.) (한국잔디(Zoysia spp.)의 종자 및 영양체를 이용한 carpet 잔디 생산)

  • 최준수;양근모;김동섭
    • Asian Journal of Turfgrass Science
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.39-50
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    • 2001
  • This research was designed to develop the rapid propagation technology of zoysiagrass using carpet production and to provide turf-growing farmers with efficient cultivation methods thor carpet production. Turfgrass cultivar tested in cadet production by seeding was Z. japonica cv. Zenith. Since the surface coverage rate reached to 85% in 2 months after seeding at the rate 6g/$m^2$ in the early part of July, carpet production using ‘Zenith’seeds would be possible to produce within within the same year. Thrfgrasses tested in carpet production by vegetative propagation were Z. japonica, medium type Z. matrella, fine type Z. matrella, and medium type Z. japonica. Planting rates of vegetative parts (sprigs) were 1.2L/$m^2$, 2.4L/$m^2$, 2.5L/$m^2$, and 5L/$m^2$. Two different sizes of sprig were used; 1~2 nodes and 3~4 nodes. Surface coverage rate was 90% in one year after planting at the rate of 2.5L sprigs of medium type Z. japonica. Therefore, the use of sprigs with 3~4 nodes at the planting rate of 2.5L would be suitable for the carpet prodcution. Three months old zoysiagrass carpet (Zenith) was overseeded with Kentucky bluegrass, perennial ryegrass, and tall fescue at two different overseeding rate. Surface coverage rate was the highest (80%) at the plot overseeded with perennial ryegrass that showed the earliest germination. Suitable overseeding species for the rapid sod formation at the early stage of establishment were tall fescue and perennial ryegrass and desirable overseeding time was from early to middle of September.

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Retail-Store Type Digital Signage Solution Development And Usability Test Using Android Mini PC (안드로이드 미니PC를 이용한 Retail-Store형 디지털사이니지 솔루션 개발 및 사용성 테스트)

  • Lim, Jungtaek;Shin, Dong-Hee
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.29-44
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    • 2015
  • Digital Signage, a way of advertising or delivering information to viewers through digital displays, has expanded from being just an advertising channel in public places. Recently, it has become widely prevalent in restaurants and retail stores. Despite its wide expansion, digital signage is limited to specific usages and services and the devices it uses are also quite expensive. This study introduces a stick-type digital signage product that operates on Android OS, which addresses all the weaknesses of digital signage with much more reasonable pricing and stable operation. For stability, performance tests were executed on the hardware and applications. The results for hardware performance were extremely promising, as each scenario's maximum performance results, measured by Load Runner programs, reached target indexes. Also, as a result of the usability test, all participants, including non-digital signage system users (novices), were able to easily learn all the tasks. As a result of user satisfaction survey, positive responses were exhibited for ease of learning and usability (LEU), helpfulness and problem solving capabilities (HPSC), affective aspect and multimedia properties (AAMP), commands and minimal memory load (CMML), and control and efficiency (CE).

Manufactures of dental casting Co-Cr-Mo based alloys in addition to Sn, Cu and analysis of infrared thermal image for melting process of its alloys (Sn 및 Cu를 첨가한 치과 주조용 Co-Cr-Mo계 합금제조 및 용해과정 분석)

  • Kang, Hoo-Won;Park, Young-Sik;Hwang, In;Lee, Chang-Ho;Heo, Yong;Won, Yong-Gwan
    • Journal of Technologic Dentistry
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.141-147
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: Dental casting #Gr I (Co-25Cr-5Mo-3Sn-1Mn-1Si), #Gr II (Co-25Cr-5Mo-5Cu-1Mn -1Si) and #Gr III (Co-25Cr-5Mo-3Sn-5Cu-1Mn-1Si) master alloys of granule type were manufactured the same as manufacturing processes for dental casting Ni-Cr and Co-Cr-Mo based alloys of ingot type. These alloys were analyzed melting processes with heating time of high frequency induction centrifugal casting machine using infrared thermal image analyzer. Methods: These alloys were manufactured such as; alloy design, the first master alloy manufatured using vacuum arc casting machine, melting metal setting in crucible, melting in VIM, pouring in the mold of bar type, cutting the gate and runner bar and polishing. These alloys were put about 30g/charge in the ceramic crucible of high frequency induction centrifugal casting machine and heat, Infrared thermal image analyzer indicated alloys in the crucible were set and operated. Results: The melting temperatures of these alloys measuring infrared thermal image analyzer were decreased in comparison with remanium$^{(R)}$ GM 800+, vera PDI$^{TM}$, Biosil$^{(R)}$ f, WISIL$^{(R)}$ M type V, Ticonium 2000 alloys of ingot type and vera PDS$^{TM}$(Aabadent, USA), Regalloy alloys of shot type. Conclusion: Co-Cr-Mo based alloy in addition to Sn(#Gr I alloy) were decreased the melting temperature with heating time of high frequency induction centrifugal casting machine using infrared thermal image analyzer.