• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rolling Window

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Assessments for MGARCH Models Using Back-Testing: Case Study (사후검증(Back-testing)을 통한 다변량-GARCH 모형의 평가: 사례분석)

  • Hwang, S.Y.;Choi, M.S.;Do, J.D.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.261-270
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    • 2009
  • Current financial crisis triggered by shaky U.S. banking system adds to the emphasis on the importance of the volatility in controlling and understanding financial time series data. The ARCH and GARCH models have been useful in analyzing economic time series volatilities. In particular, multivariate GARCH(MGARCH, for short) provides both volatilities and conditional correlations between several time series and these are in turn applied to computations of hedge-ratio and VaR. In this short article, we try to assess various MGARCH models with respect to the back-testing performances in VaR study. To this end, 14 korean stock prices are analyzed and it is found that MGARCH outperforms rolling window, and BEKK and CCC are relatively conservative in back-testing performance.

Ventilation at Supra-Optimal Temperature Leading High Relative Humidity Controls Powdery Mildew, Silverleaf Whitefly, Mite and Inhibits the Flowering of Korean Melon in a Greenhouse Cultivation (참외 시설 재배 시 고온에서의 환기 처리에 의한 상대습도 상승과 흰가루병, 담배가루이, 응애 방제 및 개화 억제)

  • Seo, Tae Cheol;Kim, Jin Hyun;Kim, Seung Yu;Cho, Myeong Whan;Choi, Man Kwon;Ryu, Hee Ryong;Shin, Hyun Ho;Lee, Choung Keun
    • Journal of Bio-Environment Control
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.43-51
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    • 2022
  • This study was conducted to investigate the effect of ventilation at high temperature on the control of powdery mildew, silverleaf whitefly two-spotted spider mite occurred at Korean melon cultivation greenhouse, and on leaf rolling and flowering of the plant in summer season. 'Alchanggul' grafted onto 'Hidden Power' rootstock was planted on soil bed with the distance of 40 cm. Three ventilation temperatures of 45℃, 40℃, and 35℃ as set points were compared. Ventilation treatment was done by control of side window operation from 18th June to 13th July when silverleaf whitefly, mite, and powdery mildew were occurred in all greenhouses. The temperature inside greenhouse was increased up to the set temperature point on sunny days and maintained for about 9 hours with high relative humidity at 45℃ condition. The differences of day maximum air temperature and day minimum RH were the highest at 45℃ treatment. After 11 days of treatments, the damage by powdery mildew and two-spotted spider mite was almost recovered at 45℃ treatment but not at 40 and 35℃. The population of silverleaf whitefly and two-spotted spider mite were significantly decreased at 45℃ treatment at 14 days after treatment, while powdery mildew symptom was not significantly decreased. Leaf rolling was observed at high temperature but not severe at 45℃ treatment. After 26 days of treatments, female flowers did not bloom at all at 45℃ treatment, and the number of male flowers was 1.2 among 15 nodes of newly grown shoots. As the result, it indicates that ventilation at the high temperature of 45℃ for about 2 to 3 weeks can be an applicable method to control above mentioned pests and disease, and to recover the vegetative growth of Korean melon by reducing flowering of the plant.

A Study on e-B/L Korea Service and its Facilitation Strategies (한국형 전자선하증권 활성화 전략에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Yoon-Say
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.51-79
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    • 2011
  • Korea has accomplished the establishment of the National Single Window for Paperless Trade. Since 1991, it has developed Trade Automation Service System based on EDI technology. In 2003, Korean government and private sectors jointly began to set up National Paperless Trade Service( e-Trade Service) as one of the e-government projects. In 2008, they commenced the uTradeHub Service which was equipped with Internet based e-B/L and e-Nego service systems for the first time in the world To facilitate the service Korea amended its e-Trade facilitation Act and Law by 2007. At the end of 2011, Korea historically recorded its trade volume of 1 trillion US dollars and joined '$1 trillion trade club' as the 9the member country since the country had started international trade less than five decades ago. A rolling out of the e-B/L and e-Nego service will 'ally reduce the transaction costs of trading businesses and accelerate the activation e-trade services. The purposes of the study are to examine 'e-B/L Korea' service and its facilitation strategies as well as identify obstacles to utilize the 'e-B/L Korea' service. The paper reviewed and analyzed Korea's Paperless trade system and distinctive characteristics of the 'e-B/L Korea Service. Parts of the fOWld distinctive characteristics of the Korea's e-B/L service are as follows; It is well equiped with IT and legal system. It also has more that 30,000 potential users who are already uTradeHub service users. The paper indicated several weaknesses of the current system such as global KPI issues, circulation of the electronic documents not only in the domestic market but also among economies, development of the electronic Bill of Exchange. As resolution measures, the paper recommended the introduction of mutual recognition system of PKI among trade partner counties, setting up e-trade solution for small and medium companies, and special attention to raise users' awareness of the e-B/L service.

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