• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1308-1314
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• 2008

In this paper, Seoulmetro that is the first operation organization which operates a city railroad rolling-stock maintenance RIMS(rolling stock information maintenance system) collected and analyzed a light maintenance data and introduced time a series analysis technique to find the way how to contribute to a use efficiency improvement of a city railroad. The purpose of time a series analysis is to remove a seasonal change including data and to check an irregular fluctuation. First of all, a collection range of the data comes under a light maintenance, however it needs a data of more than 3 years to check the seasonal change. We put a study for an accumulated scope that the data satisfy a period like this and are able to extend a range of the study when time flys forward. The data used for study is filtered using a movement average method after passing proper selection working and is solved with a method which looks for season index. Using the season index that was getten in here, we predict a light working frequency, if it has an irregular change, we will contribute it to a city railroad a use efficiency improvement and establish the cause by carrying out prevent maintenance in advance.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제31권2D호
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• pp.315-322
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• 2011

정부는 대규모 사회간접자본시설에 대한 무분별한 추진을 막기 위해 사업의 타당성조사 뿐만 아니라 설계, 시공, 완공 시점에 사후평가를 실시하고 있다. 하지만 이러한 사후평가는 사전사후평가를 위한 평가항목과 분석방법이 모호하여 실효를 거두지 못하고 있다. 특히 철도사업은 철도사업의 종류와 철도의 종류에 따라 평가항목이 상이하여 사후평가항목과 분석절차가 차별화되어야 한다. 본 논문은 철도건설사업의 사후평가항목을 도출하고 데이터 수집 및 분석방법을 표준화하는 방안을 제시하고 있다. 구체적으로는 철도사업별로 공통평가항목과 특수평가항목을 도출하였고 이를 분석하는 방법으로 GIS기법을 제시하였다.

• 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한기계학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회
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• pp.519-524
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• 2004

This study is concerned with the braking distance estimation using frictional energy rate. First, steady state rolling analysis is performed, and using this result, the braking distance is estimated. Dynamic rolling analysis during entire braking time period is impratical, so that this study divides the vehicle velocity by 10km/h to reduce the analysis time. The multiplication of the slip rate and the shear stress provides the frictional energy rate. Using frictional energy rate, total braking distance is estimated, In addition, ABS(Anti-lock Brake System) is considered, and two type of slip ratios are compared, One is 15% slip ratio for the ABS condition, and the other is 100% slip ratio which leads lo the almost same braking distance as the elementary kinematic theory. A slip ratio is controlled by angular velocity in ABAQUS/Explicit, A 15% slip ratio gives the real vehicle's braking distance when the frictional energy occurred al disk pad is included. Disk pad's frictional energy rate is calculated by the theoretical approach.

• 전력전자학회:학술대회논문집
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• 전력전자학회 2001년도 전력전자학술대회 논문집
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• pp.479-482
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• 2001

This paper proposes a modified $\alpha$ conduction mode for controlling the output voltage magnitude of three-phase square-wave VSIs with an R-L load. From the viewpoint of both power capacity and switching losses, three-phase square-wave inverters are now used in most high power systems. When the square-wave VSI is driven with $\alpha$ conduction mode to control the magnitude of output voltages, interval over than half period is operated with $180^{\circ}$ conduction mode and the other interval with $120^{\circ}$ conduction mode. In $120^{\circ}$ conduction mode operation, two output terminals are connected to DC supply and the third one remains open. The potential of this open terminal will depend on the load characteristics and is unpredictable except the case of pure resistive loads. To cope this problem, we propose the modified α conduction mode.

• 무역학회지
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• 제46권6호
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• pp.191-209
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• 2021

In this paper, various time series analysis models and machine learning models are presented for long-term prediction of export growth rate, and the prediction performance is compared and reviewed by RMSE and MAE. Export growth rate is one of the major economic indicators to evaluate the economic status. And It is also used to predict economic forecast. The export growth rate may have a negative (-) value as well as a positive (+) value. Therefore, Instead of using the ReLU function, which is often used for time series prediction of deep learning models, the PReLU function, which can have a negative (-) value as an output value, was used as the activation function of deep learning models. The time series prediction performance of each model for three types of data was compared and reviewed. The forecast data of long-term prediction of export growth rate was deduced by three forecast methods such as a fixed forecast method, a recursive forecast method and a rolling forecast method. As a result of the forecast, the traditional time series analysis model, ARDL, showed excellent performance, but as the time period of learning data increases, the performance of machine learning models including LSTM was relatively improved.

• 한국해양공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국해양공학회 2004년도 학술대회지
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• pp.30-35
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• 2004

Several roll motion reduction devices are reviewed and suggested for the application in FPSO. The firstly suggested solution is the shape of the bilge. The next is a bilge keel. The last suggestion is the ART (anti-rolling tank). Typical U-tube type ART is designed for a FPSO and examined extensively by model experiment. The model section was made of transparent acryl. Free decay test, forced oscillation test and wave test were carried out at a two-dimensional wave flume. U-tube type ART is effective only when the natural periods of ART and ship are same. Therefore, the divided U-tube type ART with split plate is suggested for the reduction of the roll motion of a FPSO over the wide range of the roll period.

• 한국해양공학회지
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• 제16권4호
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• pp.7-12
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• 2002

This study is aimed to find the scouring mechanism at the toe of rubble mound structures. To investigate the characteristics of scouring in front of the structure, experiments were performed with regular waves in a 2-D flume. The results of this study are as follows. 1) It can be said the characteristics of incident wave causes rolling and sliding of armour block. The difference of wave pressure on the slope, internal flow as well as settlement of armour block due to the weight cause scouring. 2) It is observed that scouring depth at the toe increased when wave height or period increased. The location of ultimate scouring and deposition depth moved seaward when wave period increased. 3) The failure of rubble mound structure was caused by waves or scouring. Failure by erosion increased with high waves and long waves. 4) Using surf-similarity parameter including characteristics of incident waves and structure, scouring and deposition pattern were found and their limit was formulated.

• 수산해양기술연구
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• 제38권3호
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• pp.226-233
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• 2002

불규칙 해면에 있어서 선미식 트롤선의 추파중의 선체 응답의 특성을 얻기 위하여 3척의 실선운동을 해상에서 계측하고, 이것을 통계적 방법과 이론적인 방법을 이용하여 분석하였으며, 그 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 1. 각 선박의 종동요의 응답의 에너지분포는 추파와 추사파에서 모두 대체로 낮으며, 특히 선박의 크기가 클수록 매우 낮았다 응답스펙트럼의 대역폭은 모두 넓은 편이며, 응답 peak의 주기는 분명하지 않으며, 한 개 이상 나타나는 때도 있다. 2. 각 선박의 횡동요 응답의 에너지 분포는 추파와 추사파에서 모두 크며, 특히 소형선에서는 매우 크다. 응답스펙트럼의 대역폭은 종동요의 응답에 비해 비교적 좁은 편이며, 응답의 peak 주기는 분명하고 한개만 나타난다. 3. 실선실험과 이론계산에 의한 세 선박의 추파와 추사파 중의 종동요와 횡동요응답의 크기와 peak주기는 대체로 양자가 잘 일치하고 있는 것으로 나타나고 있다. 따라서 이론추정치로부터 어선의 응답특성을 평가하는데 큰 문제는 없는 것으로 생각된다. 4. 소형선의 경우 종동요 응답만 고려하면 선미쪽으로 파를 받는 것이 유리하나, 횡동요의 경우에는 오히려 불리하게 되므로 선미쪽으로 파를 받는 경우에는 유의파고와 평균파주기에 따른 자선의 복원성을 고려하는 등 안전에 보다 세심한 주의가 필요하다. 이상과 같이 추파와 추사파 중 선박 크기에 따른 종동요와 횡동요의 응답 특성을 고찰해 보았으나, 이 결과는 제한된 해상의 조건에서 얻어진 것이므로 어선의 일반적인 응답 특성을 도출해내기 위해서는 보다 다양한 해상 조건과 선박을 이용하여 더 많은 연구가 이루어져야 할 것으로 사료된다.

• 대한물리치료과학회지
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• 제10권2호
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• pp.184-192
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• 2003

본 실험은 아킬레스건 손상 후 운동의 적용기간이 회복과정에 미치는 영향을 알아보고자, 흰쥐의 우측 아킬레스건을 손상한 후 수중운동을 적용하여 기능회복과정을 관찰하여 다음과 같은 결과를 얻었다. 1. 건 손상 후 회전봉에서의 보행시간이 대조군은 9일이후, 1일군은 10일 이후, 4일군과 7일군은 8일 이후 손상 전 보행시간데 대해 유의한 차이 없이 회복하였다. 2. 4일군은 육안관찰에서 손상부위를 찾기 어려울 정도로 정상 건에 가깝게 치유된 것을 볼 수 있으며, 대조군에 비해 유착의 정도가 아주 양호한 편이었다. 이상의 결과를 종합해보면 흰쥐 아킬레스건 손상에 대해 염증기를 지난 후 적용하는 수중운동가 건치유 과정을 촉진시킬 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

• 수산경영론집
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• 제41권1호
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• pp.73-91
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• 2010

The objective of this study is to examine the hedging effectiveness of shrimp futures market. Hedging effectiveness is measured by OLS model based on rolling windows. Analysis data are obtained from Kansai Commodities Exchange in Osaka and are weekly data of frozen shrimp futures and cash prices in the time period from July 9, 2003, to May 9, 2007. The empirical results are summarized as follows:First, the correlation coefficients between the nearby futures price changes and the cash(16/20) price changes are very low and have range from 0.141 to 0.208 values. Second, the minimum variance hedge ratios($\hat{\beta}$) are all statistically different from 0 at the 5% level and range from 0.0477 to 0.5039 values excluding Indian shrimps(26/30). Ex post hedging effectiveness, as measured by the coefficient of determination, $R^2$, is relatively very low and range from a low of 0.4% for west-south Indian shrimps(26/30) to a high 4.3% for Vietnamese shrimps(16/20). Third, ex ante hedging effectiveness, as measured by out-of-sample hedging period, is also very low and range from a low of -4.4% for west-south Indian shrimps(21/25) to a high of 3.4% for Vietnamese shrimps(16/20). This indicates that the shrimp futures market doesn't behave as risk management instrument of shrimp spot.