• Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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• 제30권2호
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• pp.91-97
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• 2005

베이지안 기법은 객관적 자료 이외에 주관적 지식도 평가에 반영하는 특성으로 인해 최근 PRA에서 널리 사용되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 비파괴검사 장비 분실에 대한 방사선 위험도를 평가하기 위해 베이지안 기법을 활용하였다. U.S. NRC에서 제시한 선원분실 피폭 시나리오를 국내 실정에 맞게 재구성하였고 안전인자의 사고발생 확률에 국한하여 적용하였다. 사고발생 확률수정의 경우 Jeffreys사전분포를 사용한 결과가 모호사전분포를 사용한 결과보다 5 % 베이즈 하한치가 더 낮아서 방사선 사고와 같은 낮은 사고발생 확률을 가지는 시스템에 대한 위험도 평가에 적합하다. 위험도의 결과를 보면 일반인의 연간 예상되는 평균선량은 베이지안 기법이 고전적인 기법에 의거한 평가보다 높은 선량을 나타내는데 이는 수정된 안전인자 확률의 평균이 고전적 확률 참보다 높게 평가된 것에 기인한다. 국내의 경우 방사선 위험도 평가를 위한 자료구축이 미비한 바 베이지안 기법은 위험도 평가에 유용한 대안으로 활용할 수 있으며 이러한 연구는 위험도 정보-기반 규제에 기여할 것이다.

• 한국심리학회지 : 문화 및 사회문제
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• 제19권2호
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• pp.159-178
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• 2013

본 연구의 목적은 배심원 제도를 사용하는 미국의 민사 모의배심 상황에서 발견된 웰스효과(Wells effect, Niedermeier, Kerr & Messé,1999; 배심원들이 통계적 증거에 기초하여 피고가 사건의 책임이 있을 주관적 확률을 높게 추론하였음에도 불구하고,유죄 평결 내리기를 주저하는 현상)가 우리나라의 민사 모의배심 상황에서도 나타나는지를 반복 검증하고, 이 효과에 대한 새로운 설명기제의 하나로서 '평결 오류 위험성 지각' 가설의 적절성을 검증하는데 있다. 먼저, 실험 1에서는 Wells(1992)의 실험에서 사용된 실험조건별 시나리오들인 '타이어자국' 조건 시나리오와 '타이어자국-믿음' 조건 시나리오를 우리나라 실정에 맞게 번안 및 수정하여 대학생 46명에게 실시하였다. 실험 1에서, 모의배심원들은 두 조건 모두에서 비슷한 정도로 피고의 유죄에 대한 주관적 확률을 높게 추정하였으나, 타이어자국-믿음 조건에 비해 타이어자국 조건에서 유죄 평결을 현저히 주저하였다. 이 결과는 실험 1이 한국 참가자를 대상으로 웰스효과를 반복 검증하였음을 의미한다. 실험 2는 웰스효과에 대한 새로운 대안적 설명을 제안하고 검증하기 위해 실시되었다. 이를 위해 실험 1에서 사용한 '타이어자국' 조건의 시나리오에 '평결 오류 위험성 지각'을 높거나 낮게 조작하는 문구를 추가한 두 시나리오를 만들어 조건별로 비교하였다. 대학생 70명을 대상으로 실험 2가 실시되었고, 그 결과로 평결 오류 위험성 지각이 낮거나 높게 조작된 조건 간에 유죄의 주관적 확률에서는 차이가 없었지만, 평결 오류 위험성 지각이 낮은 조건보다 높은 조건에서 유죄평결 비율이 유의하게 낮았다는 것을 보여 주었다. 이 실험 2의 결과는 오판으로 인해 피고가 입게 될 피해의 크기를 배심원들이 작게 지각하는 경우보다 크게 지각하는 경우에 배심원들이 유죄 평결 내리기를 꺼려하는 웰스효과가 더 강하게 나타난다는 것을 보여주었다. 본 연구의 제한점과 추후 연구에 대한 시사점이 논의에서 다루어졌다.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제13권6호
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• pp.2931-2934
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• 2012

Background: The epidemiological situation regarding cervical carcinoma in Serbia is rather unfavorable and one of contributing factors is the insufficient interest of women concerning the risk factors responsible for occurrence of this disease. The aim of this study was to determine the sources of relevant information for women Methods: An anonymous questionnaire was used for questioning of patients, students and women undergoing systematic examinations. There were 600 women in total in 2006, 2009 and 2010, and the data were statistically processed by the ${\chi}^2$ test with Yates correction and the Fisher test. Results: When observed for certain groups of tested women, and summed up for all three periods, there was a statistically significant difference for the answer "without any knowledge" (p=0.0001). When observed for certain years and summed up for all three tested groups, there was a statistically significant difference in answers regarding the source of information, the "doctor" (p=0.0011), "media" (p=0.0349) and "encyclopedia-internet" (p=0.0136). Conclusion: The media are a dominant source of information for women on risk factors for cervical cancer. The significance of the Internet increased during the three observed periods, while the students considered themselves least informed of all concerning risk factors.

• 한국안전학회지
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• 제30권5호
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• pp.123-130
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• 2015

Wolsong Unit 2,3&4 has been performing a containment integrity test during power operation. This test could impact to the safe operation during test. If an accident occurs during pressure dropping phase, reactor trip can be delayed because of the increased pressure difference which causes a time delay to reach the trip set-point. On the contrary, if an accident occurs during pressure increasing phase, reactor trip could be accelerated because the pressure difference to the trip set-point decrease. Point Lepreau nuclear power plant, which installed GCLMS (Gross Containment Leakage Monitoring System) in 1990, has discontinued the test since 1992 due to these adverse effects. Therefore, we evaluated the risk to obviate the GCLMS test based on PWR's ILRT (Integrated Leak Rate Test) extension methodologies. The results demonstrate that risk increase rate is not high in case of performing only ILRT test at every 5 years instead of doing GCLMS test at every 1.5 years. In addition, the result shows that GCLMS test can be removed on a risk-informed perspective since risk increasement is in acceptable area of regulatory acceptance criteria.

• 성인간호학회지
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.80-89
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• 2010

Purpose: This paper has attempted to investigate the association between the subclinical thyroid function disorder caused by natural change in thyroid hormones or thyroid remedies and the incidence of CHD. Methods: Data was analyzed of 7,675 women who had undergone health examinations in a hospital in Gyeonggi-do between January 2007 and December 2008. The covariation of the coronary risk factors such as age, BMI, HbA1C, systolic blood pressure, LDL:HDL-cholesterol ratio, CRP, smoking and exercise were analyzed by using logistic regression analysis. Results: A significant increase in serum TSH was observed with higher age (F=26.91, p=.00). In terms of age, the risk of CHD started to gradually increase since the 40s and sharply since the 60s (${\chi}^2$=113.29, p=.00). The serum TSH was the most significant parameter influencing CHD (B=.12, p=.00). The risk of coronary heart disease was 3.12 times higher in the subclinical hypothyroidism group (OR=3.12) while no significant difference was observed in the subclinical hyperthyroidism group. Conclusion: Subclinical hypothyroidism may be an independent risk factors for CHD. A nurse nursing patients with thyroid disorder should be well informed of their state of subclinical thyroid function disorder and make efforts to extend their health expectancy.

• 가정과삶의질연구
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• 제31권4호
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• pp.15-31
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• 2013

Consumers are quite worried about food safety because food is one of the most important necessities in everyday life. Many studies have been conducted regarding the food safety issues, however, most researches have focused only on a limited range of risk factors and used only quantitative survey methods. The purpose of this study was to investigate consumers' perceptions of the risky components of food safety and how the perceptions have been formed. For this study in-depth interviews were conducted. For the interviewees, nine housewives, who are in their 30s to 50s, were selected taking into consideration their age, education level, number of children, and employment status. Results showed that the risk factors many consumers worried about were agricultural pesticides, MSG, food additives, GMO, Mad Cow Disease, preservatives, and growth hormones, etc. Consumers were worried about the risk of the retail process the most because they thought it was not informed and controlled well. Consumers tend to worry much more when the risks are involuntary, uncontrollable, unreliable, and have a gradual negative effect. Some of the food safety-oriented behaviors of consumers were also investigated.

• 대한인간공학회지
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• 제30권1호
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• pp.55-64
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• 2011

Objective: The aim of this paper is to introduce the activities and research trends of human reliability analysis including brief summary about contents and methods of the analysis. Background: Various approaches and methods have been suggested and used to assess human reliability in field of risk assessment of nuclear power plants. However, it has noticed that there is high uncertainty in human reliability analysis which results in a major bottleneck for risk-informed activities of nuclear power plants. Method: First and second generation methods of human reliability analysis are reviewed and a few representative methods are discussed from the risk assessment perspective. The strength and weakness of each method is also examined from the viewpoint of reliability analyst as a user. In addition, new research trends in this field are briefly summarized. Results: Human reliability analysis has become an important tool to support not only risk assessment but also system design of a centralized complex system. Conclusion: Human reliability analysis should be improved by active cooperation with researchers in field of human factors. Application: The trends of human reliability analysis explained in this paper will help researchers to find interest topics to which they could contribute.

• 한국압력기기공학회 논문집
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.49-58
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• 2018

The regulatory periodic inspection program (PSI) conducted at every overhaul period is the most important process for confirming the safety of nuclear power plants. The PSI for operating nuclear power plants in Korea mainly consist of component level performance check that had been developed based on deterministic approach putting the same degree of importance to all the inspection items. This inspection methodology is likely to be effective for preoperational inspection. However, once the plant is put into service, the PSI must be focused on whether to minimize the risk of accident using defense-in-depth concept and risk insight. The incorporation of defense-in-depth concept and risk insight into the deterministic based safety inspection has not been well studied so far. In this study, two track approaches are proposed to make sure that core damage be avoided: one is to secure success path and the other to block the failure path in a specific event tree of PSA. The investigation shows how to select safety important components and how to set up inspection group to ensure that core damage would not occur for a given initiating event, which results in strengthening defense-in-depth level 3.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.1737-1742
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• 2013

Early diagnosis has a major role in improving prognosis of breast cancer. The purpose of this study was to assess the risk status of women 35-69 years of age using risk assessment models and the prevalence of mammography in a community setting. The sample of this cross sectional study consisted of 227 women, 35-69 years of age residing in Izmir, a city located in western region of Turkey. A questionnaire was used to collect data and the Gail and Cuzick-Tyrer models were applied to assess the risk of breast cancer. In this study, 52.7% of women had mammography at least once, and 41.3% of the women over the age of 40 had mammography screening in the last two years. The five years risk for breast cancer was high in 15.8% of women according to the Gail model and ten years risk was high in 21.7% with the Cuzick-Tyrer model. In the present study, the breast cancer risk levels were assessed in a population setting for the first time in Turkey using breast cancer risk level assessment models. Being in 60-69 age group, having low education and not being in menopause were significant risk factors for not having mammography according to logistic regression analysis. Mammography utilization rate was low. Women must be educated about breast cancer screening methods and early diagnosis. The women in the high risk group should be informed on their risk status which may increase their attendance at breast cancer screening.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제17권4호
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• pp.1811-1815
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• 2016

Wetland geographical areas have a higher incidence of Opisthorchis viverrini-associated cholangiocarcinoma (CCA), confirmed by data from geographic information systems, than other areas. Behavioral data also indicate that people in these areas traditionally eat uncooked freshwater fish dishes, a vehicle for O. viverrini infection. The best approach to reducing CCA incidence is decreasing risk factors together with behavior alteration. Evaluation of CCA risk and its related factors are first needed for planning the prevention and control programs in the future. We therefore aimed to evaluate the CCA risk and explore its related factors among people in wetland communities of Ubon Ratchathani, Thailand. A cross-sectional study was conducted between July and August 2014. In total 906 participants, with informed consent, completed questionnaires. Overall risk of CCA was determined by multiplying odds ratios (ORs) of the risk factors for CCA from literature reviews. A mean score of 5.95 was applied as the cut-off point. Assessment of factors related to overall risk of CCA was accomplished using conditional logistic regression. Of all participants, 60.15% had a high level of the overall risk of CCA. Factors related to the overall risk of CCA were gender (p<0.001), marital status (p<0.001), perceived susceptibility (p=0.043) and prevention behavior for CCA (p<0.001). In conclusion, most participants in this community had a high level of overall risk of CCA. Therefore, integrated prevention and control programs continue to be urgently required.