• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk variables

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Computer modelling of fire consequences on road critical infrastructure - tunnels

  • Pribyl, Pavel;Pribyl, Ondrej;Michek, Jan
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.5 no.3
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    • pp.363-377
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    • 2018
  • The proper functioning of critical points on transport infrastructure is decisive for the entire network. Tunnels and bridges certainly belong to the critical points of the surface transport network, both road and rail. Risk management should be a holistic and dynamic process throughout the entire life cycle. However, the level of risk is usually determined only during the design stage mainly due to the fact that it is a time-consuming and costly process. This paper presents a simplified quantitative risk analysis method that can be used any time during the decades of a tunnel's lifetime and can estimate the changing risks on a continuous basis and thus uncover hidden safety threats. The presented method is a decision support system for tunnel managers designed to preserve or even increase tunnel safety. The CAPITA method is a deterministic scenario-oriented risk analysis approach for assessment of mortality risks in road tunnels in case of the most dangerous situation - a fire. It is implemented through an advanced risk analysis CAPITA SW. Both, the method as well as the resulting software were developed by the authors' team. Unlike existing analyzes requiring specialized microsimulation tools for traffic flow, smoke propagation and evacuation modeling, the CAPITA contains comprehensive database with the results of thousands of simulations performed in advance for various combinations of variables. This approach significantly simplifies the overall complexity and thus enhances the usability of the resulting risk analysis. Additionally, it provides the decision makers with holistic view by providing not only on the expected risk but also on the risk's sensitivity to different variables. This allows the tunnel manager or another decision maker to estimate the primary change of risk whenever traffic conditions in the tunnel change and to see the dependencies to particular input variables.

A Study on the Effect of Information about Risk on Decision Making (위험에 대한 정보의 제공이 의사결정에 미치는 영향)

  • 장경수;홍근표
    • The Journal of Information Technology
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.51-67
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    • 1999
  • This study investigates the effect of information about risk on investment decision making. The model was constructed with two independent variables and two dependant variables. The first independent variable deals with whether information about risk is provided or not. The meaning of information about risk is the degree of uncertainty for investment decision making. The other independent variable involves attitude toward risk, such as the degree of tolerance for risk. Two dependant variables are concerned with the effect on investment decision making, such as the degree of riskiness of decision making and decision confidence, respectively. This study deals with the investment decision in options on stock indices. The findings of this study are as follows. The more the degree of tolerance for risk, the more the degree of decision confidence. This means that risk-taker has more desire for achievement than risk-avoider has. And the message alerting risk of investment decision making takes little effect on investment decision making.

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Risk Factors Analysis and Quantitative Risk Assessment Model for Plant Construction Project (플랜트 건설 리스크 분석 및 리스크 정량화 모델 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Ahn, Sung-Jin;Kim, Tae-Hui;Nam, Kyung-Yong;Kim, Ji-Myong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.77-86
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    • 2019
  • Due to the increasing demand for and complexity of plant construction projects, unpredictable risk factors are on the consequent increase. For that reason, the quantitative risk analysis is being called for, in order for the development of a risk assessment model using risk indicators for the plant construction projects. This study used the claim payout data collected at a global insurance company to reflect the actual financial losses in plant construction projects as dependent variables in the risk assessment model. In terms of independent variables, the geographic information, i. e., landform, and the construction information including test-run, schedule rate, total cost and duration are adopted. In addition, this study suggests that the regression model containing such independent variables that are statistically significant can be applied to as a foundational guideline for the plant construction project risk analysis during the phase of construction and commissioning.

Influence Factors and the Introducing Outcomes over IT Outsourcing in the Government Offices (공공기관의 정보시스템 아웃소싱에 미치는 영향 요인과 도입 성과)

  • Jun, Je-Man;Yi, Seon-Gyu
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.339-351
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    • 2013
  • In this research, we analyzed the influence factors and introducing outcomes empirically. The influencing factors over IT Outsourcing set up organizational factors(maturity of information system, the support of CEO), dealing factors(asset speciality, uncertainty, degree of using of information system), and risk factors(risk of safety/security. cost increase, loss of autonomy). The result of this study are as follows. In the organizational factors, degree of a maturity of the information system and the support of CEO were analyzed as the variables affecting the introducing outcomes positively. In the dealing factors, however, the degree of using information system was only analyzed as the variables affecting the introducing outcomes positively, while the speciality of asset and the uncertainty factors were analyzed as the variables not affecting the introducing outcomes. In the risk factors, the risk of safety/security and the increase of cost were only analyzed as the variables affecting the introducing outcomes positively, therefore loss of autonomy, was not analyzed as the affecting variables.

An Empirical Study on the Determinants of e-Trust in Internet Shopping Mall -Focuse on Comparing Import Agency Service Mall with General Internet Shopping Mall- (인터넷쇼핑몰에서 e-Trust 결정요인에 관한 연구 - 수입대행몰과 일반쇼핑몰 비교를 중심으로 -)

  • Song, Sun-Yok
    • THE INTERNATIONAL COMMERCE & LAW REVIEW
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    • v.43
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    • pp.423-453
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    • 2009
  • Import Agency Service Mall, which provide customers not only with convenient shopping experiences but also with purchasing, warehousing, shipping, and customs clearance services, have been playing a significant role in rapidly transforming Korean consumers into global consumers. The consumers' great demand for foreign goods(services) created Import Agency Service Mall(referred to hereafter as IASM) as a new business model of distribution and consumption, which seems to grow rapidly. Accordingly, this study examined the e-Trust by analyzing the characteristics of IASM, determinants of trust, risk perception and its association with e-Trust in IASM, and finally applying the result to general internet shopping mall(referred to hereafter as GISM). The following results came out from the analysis: First, from the result of checking these two types of internet shopping mall consumers have different determinants of trust. Second, from the question if two types perceive different risk, purchasing the foreign goods, it came out that they showed critical difference in variable relevant to goods delivery and customer service. IASM perceived risk from those two variables more than GISM Third, from the review of the relationships between determinants of trust and risk perception variables, IASM showed interrelation among all the variables except between customer service and perceived risk. Fourth, the researcher examined how the risk perceived in the course of purchasing goods has an effect on consumers e-Trust. In case of IASM, risk perception relevant to customer service had an effect on consumer e-Trust. To the contrary, incase of GISM, risk perception didn't have any effect on e-Trust. Finally, from the review of interrelation between determinants of trust and consumer e-Trust, it came out that for IASM capability had an effect on consumer e-Trust and for GISM consumer service had an effect on consumer e-Trust.

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A Meta-Analysis of the Correlates of Resilience in Korean Nurses (한국 간호사의 회복탄력성과 관련된 변인의 메타분석)

  • Kwon, Hye Kyung;Kim, Sin Hyang;Park, Si Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Clinical Nursing Research
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.100-109
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    • 2017
  • Purpose: Nurses' resilience plays an important role in overcoming the challenges that nurses often encounter at clinic, and many factors have been examined which influence on nurses' resilience levels. Through this study, those factors were systematically searched and quantitatively synthesized. Methods: In order to find relevant studies, both English and Korean academic databases were searched, and, finally, a total of 33 articles were identified and included in this analysis. Results: The effect size on the protective variables was large and that of the risk variables was medium. In the protective variable group, the job variable group showed a larger effect size compared to the organizational variable group. Among the protective variables, compassion satisfaction showed the highest contribution on enhancing the resilience level of nurses. In the risk variable group, the personal variable group showed the highest effect size, which was followed by the organizational and job variables. Among the risk variables, the personal stress response showed the highest contribution to decreasing the level of resilience of nurses. Conclusion: This study provides a meaningful data for future studies in terms of developing evidence-based interventions to enhance the levels of resilience among Korean nurses.

Risk Factors for Sexual Behaviors in Girl′s High School Students (여고생의 성관련 경험에 영향하는 위험요인에 대한 연구)

  • 손정남
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.34 no.3
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    • pp.430-439
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    • 2004
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to examine risk factors for sexual behaviors in Korean female high school students. Methods: Data was collected by a written questionnaire from June 22 to July 18, 2002 from 522 girls, who were stratified samples from a target population of 63,375 11th grade students from 200 regular high schools and 70 vocational high schools in Seoul, Korea. We conducted multiple regression analysis using the SAS pc+ program. Results: Risk factors for intimate behaviors were association with boy friends, differential association, family attachment, and family abuse experience. These variables cause 68% of intimate behaviors. Risk factors for sexual experiences were differential association, association with boy friend, and family attachment. These variables cause 14% of sexual experiences. Conclusion: Efforts to reduce sexual behaviors in girls should include the possible role of peers and develop peer leader programs.

Factors Affecting Liquidity Risks of Joint Stock Commercial Banks in Vietnam

  • NGUYEN, Hoang Chung
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.4
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    • pp.197-212
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    • 2022
  • The study uses the audited financial statements of 26 Vietnamese commercial banks listed on the Ho Chi Minh City Stock Exchange (HOSE) and Hanoi Stock Exchange (HOSE) during the 2008-2018 period to estimate the system GMM model, which provides empirical evidence on the effect of the variables of customer deposit to total assets (DEPO) ratio, loan to assets (LTA) ratio, liquidity of commercial banks (LIQ), credit development (CRD) ratio, external funding (EFD) ratio, and credit loss provision (LLP) ratio on liquidity risk. The study confirms that commercial banks' internal factors play the most important role, and there is no empirical evidence on macro variables that affect liquidity risk. Finally, in accordance with the theoretical framework, the study uses an estimation method with the R language and the bootstrap methodology to give empirical proof of the nonlinear correlation and U-shaped graph between commercial bank size and liquidity risk. The importance of commercial bank size in absorbing and moderating the effects of liquidity shocks is demonstrated, however, excessive growth in commercial bank size would increase liquidity risk in commercial bank operations.

Socioeconomic and Sociodemographic Factors related to Allergic Diseases in Korean adolescents based on the 14th Korean Youth Risk Behavior Survey (청소년의 알레르기성 질환과 관련된 사회경제적 및 사회인구학적 요인: 제14차 한국청소년건강행태조사를 기반으로)

  • Kim, Bong Hee;Kim, Hae Ran
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.20 no.8
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    • pp.494-502
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    • 2019
  • Various international reports have shown strong proof that socioeconomic and sociodemographic variables are correlated with allergic diseases, yet little is known about how these variables affect Korean adolescents. This study was conducted to identify the socioeconomic and sociodemographic risk factors for allergic diseases of Korean adolescents, and to provide information for preventing and managing such conditions. Data from the 2018 Korean Youth Risk Behavior Survey (KYRBS) of 60,040 adolescents was used for this study. An anonymously administered online survey was conducted to collect information on the dependent variables. The independent variables were asthma, allergic rhinitis and atopic dermatitis. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed to analyze the correlations between the dependent variables and the independent variables. Low economic status, living with mother, high education level of parents, high school record, obesity, drinking and smoking were the risk factors for asthma. Low economic status, the place of residence, living with mother, high education level of the parents, gender, high school record, obesity, drinking and smoking were the risk factors for allergic rhinitis. Low economic status, living with mother, high education level of parents, genderhigh school record, obesity and drinking were the risk factors for atopic dermatitis. We found that low socioeconomic status and unhealthy behavior were the risk factor for allergic diseases of Korean adolescents. Balanced economic growth in the community and controlling unhealthy behavior can help reduce the prevalence of allergic diseases.

Effect of Risk Factors on the Management of Working Capital in Hospital Management (병원경영의 위험요인이 운전자본 관리에 미치는 영향)

  • Ha, Au-Hyun
    • Journal of Convergence for Information Technology
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    • v.10 no.8
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    • pp.187-193
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    • 2020
  • This study analyzed how risk factors in management affect the management of working capital in general hospitals in Korea. The data used accounting information for three years (2016~2017 and 2018) of 271 general hospitals using the medical institution accounting information disclosure system. The independent variables were the working capital level and the cash conversion cycle, The dependent variables were operational risk and market risk, Control variables were selected as components of working capital(cash, accounts receivable, inventory assets, accounts payable). According to the study, the lower the operational risk, the higher the level of working capital hospitals in Korea. Working capital decisions were confirmed to be attributable to operating risks, cash, inventory assets and accounts payable. And the lower the market risk (Operating Margin), the higher the cash conversion cycle. Therefore, it is necessary to review appropriate management measures of operational risks, cash, inventory assets and accounts payable identified as operating capital determinants so that medical institutions can also have economic response capabilities in consideration of the specificity of their operations.