• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk value

검색결과 2,467건 처리시간 0.028초

2계층 분배형 공급사슬에서 실시간 공유 재고 정보의 가치에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Value of Shared Real-time Stock Information in Two-Echelon Distribution Supply Chains)

  • 서용원;정성원;함주호
    • 산업공학
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    • 제13권3호
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    • pp.444-454
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    • 2000
  • Due to the improvement of modern information technologies, sharing stock information among the supply chain members is a common practice nowadays. Many companies are planning to adopt the information systems to possess the real-time shared stock information. Thus, it is needed to quantify the value of shared stock information. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the value of the shared stock information for two-echelon distribution systems. Existing reorder policies can be classified into installation stock policies and echelon stock policies. Since installation stock policies do not utilize the shared stock information, and both classes of policies may show poor performances for distribution systems, we cannot evaluate the value of the shared stock information with the existing policies. Thus, we provide a new type of reorder policy, named order risk policy. We define the order risk using marginal analysis, and prove the optimality. Through computational experiment that compares the order risk policy with the existing policies, it is shown that a significant cost reduction is achieved with the effective utilization of the shared stock information. We also show the effect of the system characteristics on the value of the shared stock information.

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Two-Dimensional Qualitative Asset Analysis Method based on Business Process-Oriented Asset Evaluation

  • Eom, Jung-Ho;Park, Seon-Ho;Kim, Tae-Kyung;Chung, Tai-Myoung
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.79-85
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, we dealt with substantial asset analysis methodology applied to two-dimensional asset classification and qualitative evaluation method according to the business process. Most of the existent risk analysis methodology and tools presented classification by asset type and physical evaluation by a quantitative method. We focused our research on qualitative evaluation with 2-dimensional asset classification. It converts from quantitative asset value with purchase cost, recovery and exchange cost, etc. to qualitative evaluation considering specific factors related to the business process. In the first phase, we classified the IT assets into tangible and intangible assets, including human and information data asset, and evaluated their value. Then, we converted the quantitative asset value to the qualitative asset value using a conversion standard table. In the second phase, we reclassified the assets using 2-dimensional classification factors reflecting the business process, and applied weight to the first evaluation results. This method is to consider the organization characteristics, IT asset structure scheme and business process. Therefore, we can evaluate the concrete and substantial asset value corresponding to the organization business process, even if they are the same asset type.

Regulatory Aspect of Risk Assessment and Management

  • Lee, Hyomin;EunkyungYoon;Jeeyeun Han
    • Toxicological Research
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    • 제17권
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2001
  • Risk assessment is useful tool making good decisions on the risks of certain hazardous com-pound and suggests safe margin through scientific process using toxicological data, statistical tool, exposure value and relevant variants. The goal of risk management is to protect the public health from hazardous compound based on result of risk assessment having reality. For the suggestion of exact man-aging information, risk assessment must be designed to represent a "plausible estimate" of the exposure to the individuals and to minimize uncertainty. Risk assessment methodology and knowledge are expected to change more rapidly than before and up-to-date methodology should be applied in regulatory aspects through the Agency. For the useful application of risk assessment, the communication between the risk assessor and the risk manager is needed before the initiation of the risk assessment and upon its completion. Generally, the risk assessment itself as a practical tool in the regulatory decision making process would be regarded with social economic impact.ic impact.

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No Association of the TGF-β1 29T/C Polymorphism with Breast Cancer Risk in Caucasian and Asian Populations: Evidence from a Meta-Analysis Involving 55, 841 Subjects

  • Alqumber, Mohammed A.A.;Dar, Sajad Ahmad;Haque, Shafiul;Wahid, Mohd;Singh, Rohit;Akhter, Naseem
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권20호
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    • pp.8725-8734
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    • 2014
  • The transforming growth factor-${\beta}1$ (TGF-${\beta}1$) gene 29 T/C polymorphism is thought to be associated with breast cancer risk. However, reports are largely conflicting and underpowered. We therefore conducted a meta-analysis of all available case-control studies relating the TGF-${\beta}1$ 29T/C polymorphism to the risk of developing breast cancer by including a total of 31 articles involving 24,021 cases and 31,820 controls. Pooled ORs were generated for the allele contrasts, with additive genetic, dominant genetic and recessive genetic models. Subgroup analysis was also performed by ethnicity for the TGF-${\beta}1$ 29T/C polymorphism. No association was found in the overall analysis (C vs T: OR=1.028, 95% CI=0.949-1.114, p-value 0.500; CC vs TC: OR= 1.022, 95% CI=0.963-1.085, p-value 0.478; CC vs TT: OR= 1.054, 95% CI=0.898-1.236, p-value 0.522; CC vs TT+ TC: OR= 1.031, 95% CI=0.946-1.124, p-value 0.482; TT vs CC+TC: OR= 0.945, 95% CI=0.827-1.080, p-value 0.403). Similarly, in the subgroup analysis by ethnicity, no association was found in Caucasian (C vs T: OR= 1.041, 95% CI=0.932-1.162, p-value 0.475; CC vs TC: OR= 1.031, 95% CI=0.951-1.118, p-value 0.464; CC vs TT: OR= 1.081, 95% CI=0.865-1.351, p-value 0.493; CC vs TT+TC: OR= 1.047, 95% CI=0.929-1.180, p-value 0.453; TT vs CC+TC: OR= 0.929, 95% CI=0.775-1.114, p-value 0.429;) and Asian populations (C vs T: OR= 1.004, 95% CI=0.908-1.111, p-value 0.931; CC vs TC: OR= 0.991, 95% CI=0.896-1.097, p-value 0.865; CC vs TT: OR= 1.015, 95% CI=0.848-1.214, p-value 0.871; CC vs TT+TC: OR= 1.000, 95% CI=0.909-1.101, p-value 0.994; TT vs CC+TC: OR= 0.967, 95% CI=0.808-1.159, p-value 0.720;). No evidence of publication bias was detected during the analysis. No significant association with breast cancer risk was demonstrated overall or on subgroup (Caucasian and Asian) analysis. It can be concluded that TGF-${\beta}1$ 29T/C polymorphism does not play a role in breast cancer susceptibility in overall or ethnicity-specific manner.

하수처리수의 논 관개용수 재이용을 위한 미생물 위해성 평가 (Quantitative Microbial Risk Assessment of Wastewater Reuse for Irrigation in Paddy Field)

  • 윤춘경;한정윤;정광욱;장재호
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2006
  • The reuse of wastewater for agricultural irrigation may cause human health risk as a result of exposure to pathogens. This study conducted the quantitative microbial risk assessment in paddy field irrigated with treated wastewater. Six treatments were used to irrigate the paddy field from Year 2003 to Year 2005: biofilter-effluent, UV-disinfected water (6, 16, 40, 68 $mW s cm^{-2}$), pond-treated water, wetland-treated water, conventional irrigation water and tap water. Total coliforms, fecal coliforms and E. coli were monitored during rice growing period. Beta - Poisson model was employed to calculate the microbial risk of pathogens ingestion that may occur to farmers and neighbor children. Uncertainty of risk was estimated using Monte Carlo simulation. In this study, the microbial risk was higher during initial cultivation (end of May$\sim$June), and it decreased with time. Biofilter effluent (secondary effluent) irrigation showed higher risk values than others (>$10^{-4}$) and irrigation with UV-disinfected water has the lowest risk range ($10^{-6}{\sim}10^{-5}$). The risk value estimated in 2005 was lower than risk value in 2003 and 2004, it is likely due to clean tap water irrigation in initial transplanting stage. It is suggested that irrigation with UV-disinfected water and pond-treated water would reduce the microbial risk associated with wastewater irrigation in paddy field. In addition, the first irrigation water quality significantly affected the subsequent microbial risk.

Increased Wall Enhancement Extent Representing Higher Rupture Risk of Unruptured Intracranial Aneurysms

  • Jiang, Yeqing;Xu, Feng;Huang, Lei;Lu, Gang;Ge, Liang;Wan, Hailin;Geng, Daoying;Zhang, Xiaolong
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • 제64권2호
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    • pp.189-197
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    • 2021
  • Objective : This study aims to investigate the relationship between aneurysm wall enhancement and clinical rupture risks based on the magnetic resonance vessel wall imaging (MR-VWI) quantitative methods. Methods : One hundred and eight patients with 127 unruptured aneurysms were prospectively enrolled from Feburary 2016 to October 2017. Aneurysms were divided into high risk (≥10) and intermediate-low risk group (<10) according to the PHASES (Population, Hypertension, Age, Size of aneurysm, Earlier SAH history from another aneurysm, Site of aneurysm) scores. Clinical risk factors, aneurysm morphology, and wall enhancement index (WEI) calculated using 3D MR-VWI were analyzed and compared. Results : In comparison of high-risk and intermediated-low risk groups, univariate analysis showed that neck width (4.5±3.3 mm vs. 3.4±1.7 mm, p=0.002), the presence of wall enhancement (100.0% vs. 62.9%, p<0.001), and WEI (1.6±0.6 vs. 0.8±0.8, p<0.001) were significantly associated with high rupture risk. Multivariate regression analysis revealed that WEI was the most important factor in predicting high rupture risk (odds ratio, 2.6; 95% confidence interval, 1.4-4.9; p=0.002). The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis can efficiently differentiate higher risk aneurysms (area under the curve, 0.780; p<0.001) which have a reliable WEI cutoff value (1.04; sensitivity, 0.833; specificity, 0.67) predictive of high rupture risk. Conclusion : Aneurysms with higher rupture risk based on PHASES score demonstrate increased neck width, wall enhancement, and the enhancement intensity. Higher WEI in unruptured aneurysms has a predictive value for increased rupture risk.

도시지역 홍수재해에 대한 지역안전도 평가모형 (Urban Flood Regional Safety Assesment Model)

  • 이창희;이석민;신상영;여창건;김윤종
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2007년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.376-379
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    • 2007
  • In recent years, the natural damage associated with flood disaster has been dramatically increased. However, there is no rational method which reflects urban characteristics to estimate the regional safety assessment for flood disaster. The purpose of this study is to develop the regional safety assesment model for urban flood. Flood risk and reduction assesment were estimated by using the linear sum of the Z score of the assessment factors and the weight value of each factor from the expert survey data. And then the regional safety assessment was estimated by subtracting reduction factor value from risk factor value. GIS tool was used to estimate the factor assesment and integrated regional safety. This study can be used to determine the priority of flood protection project, execute the flood insurance and establish the urban plans and the flood mitigate plan.

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인터넷 쇼핑에서의 지각된 가치와 위험이 패션상품 구매의도에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Effect of the Perceived Value and Risk of Internet Shopping on the Purchase Intention of the Fashion Merchandise)

  • 나윤규;홍병숙;강성민
    • 한국의류학회지
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    • 제32권8호
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    • pp.1213-1225
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    • 2008
  • This study looks at the customer's perceived value and perceived risk of Fashion merchandise e-commerce and the Shopping-mall trust of the Internet shopping-mall these external variables are applied to the innovative technical use model, the TAM(Technology Acceptance Model), to see the effect on the Shopping-mall attitude toward using the Internet shopping-mall and intention of purchase. Through this, the external variables that play an important role in e-commerce can be studied. The result showed that purchase intention of an individual differs by shopping-mall type and different factors affect purchase intention of the fashion merchandise for each shopping-mall type.

기업부도위험에 영향을 미치는 산업 불확실성 위험요인의 탐색과 실증 분석 (Investigation and Empirical Validation of Industry Uncertainty Risk Factors Impacting on Bankruptcy Risk of the Firm)

  • 한현수;박근영
    • 경영과학
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    • 제33권3호
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    • pp.105-117
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we present empirical testing result to examine the validity of inbound supply and outbound demand risk factors in the sense of early predicting the firm's bankruptcy risk level. The risk factors are drawn from industry uncertainty attributes categorized as uncertainties of input market (inbound supply), and product market (outbound demand). On the basis of input-output table, industry level inbound and outbound sectors are identified to formalize supply chain structures, relevant inbound and outbound uncertainty attributes and corresponding risk factors. Subsequently, publicly available macro-economic indicators are used to appropriately quantify these risk factors. Total 68 industry level bankruptcy risk forecasting results are presented with the average R-square scores of between 53.4% and 37.1% with varying time lag. The findings offers useful insights to incorporate supply chain risk to the body of firm's bankruptcy risk level prediction literature.

투자자보호가 기업의 위험선호에 미치는 영향 (Investor Protection, Growth Opportunity and Risk Taking)

  • 국찬표;강윤식
    • 재무관리연구
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    • 제27권2호
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    • pp.115-144
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구는 투자자보호가 위험선호에 미치는 영향이 성장기회에 따라 달라질 수 있음을 실증적으로 검증하는 것을 목적으로 한다. 또한 그러한 위험선호가 기업가치에 미치는 영향도 성장기회에 따라 다를 것이라는 점을 검증하고자 한다. 이러한 연구는 모든 기업에서 위험을 선호하는 것이 투자자의 이해와 일치한다는 전제에 따라 투자자보호와 위험선호 간의 관계를 일률적으로 분석한 기존연구와 달리 성장기회에 따라 투자자보호와 위험선호간의 관계가 다르다는 것을 고려한다는 점에서 차별화된다. 분석결과에 따르면 성장기회가 큰 기업의 경우에서는 투자자보호 수준이 높을수록 기업의 경영위험 선호가 높아지지만, 성장기회가 낮은 기업의 경우에서는 투자자보호 수준이 경영위험 선호에 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 성장기회가 큰 기업에서는 경영위험 선호가 기업가치 제고에 통계적으로 유의한 양의 영향을 끼치지만, 성장기회가 낮은 기업에서는 경영위험 선호가 기업가치 제고에 미치는 영향이 작거나 영향을 미치지 않는 것으로 나타났다.

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