• 제목/요약/키워드: Risk science

검색결과 7,770건 처리시간 0.033초

Risk assessment of vibriosis by Vibrio cholerae and Vibrio vulnificus in whip-arm octopus consumption in South Korea

  • Oh, Hyemin;Yoon, Yohan;Ha, Jimyeong;Lee, Jeeyeon;Shin, Il-Shik;Kim, Young-Mog;Park, Kwon-Sam;Kim, Sejeong
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • 제24권6호
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    • pp.207-218
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    • 2021
  • This study evaluated the risk of foodborne illness from highly pathogenic Vibrio spp. (Vibrio vulnificus and V. cholerae) by raw whip-arm octopus (Octopus minor) consumption. In total 180 samples of raw whip-arm octopus were collected from markets and examined for the prevalence of V. vulnificus and V. cholerae. Predictive models describing the kinetic behavior of Vibrio spp. in raw whip-arm octopus were developed, and the data on amounts and frequency of raw whip-arm octopus consumption were collected. Using the collected data, a risk assessment simulation was conducted to estimate the probability of foodborne illness raw whip-arm octopus consumption using @RISK. Initial contamination levels of Vibrio spp. in raw whip-arm octopus were -3.9 Log colony-forming unit/g, as estimated by beta distribution fitting. The developed predictive models were appropriate to describe Vibrio spp. in raw whip-arm octopus during distribution and storage with R2 values of 0.946-0.964. The consumption frequency and daily consumption amounts of raw whip-arm octopus per person were 0.47% and 57.65 g, respectively. The probability of foodborne illness from raw whip-arm octopus consumption was estimated to be 8.71 × 10-15 for V. vulnificus and 7.08 × 10-13 for V. cholerae. These results suggest that the risk of Vibrio spp. infection from raw whip-arm octopus consumption is low in South Korea.

RAM(신뢰도, MTBF) 데이터와 AHP 분석을 통한 함정분야 위험평가 방안 (An Objective Method of Risk Evaluation based on RAM(Reliability, MTBF) and AHP Data Analysis for Warship)

  • 함영훈;백용관
    • 한국군사과학기술학회지
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    • 제21권5호
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    • pp.714-721
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    • 2018
  • This study proposes a risk evaluation method based on RAM and AHP data in order to prevent subjectivity of risk assessment. The risk assessment consist of Risk Likelihood(RL) and Risk Consequence(RC) in five levels. However, risk analysis of warships is hard to make a judgment because of small quantity production(Ship), long building period, equipment changes, complexity, various kinds of equipments, etc. The proposed RAM data and AHP analysis method are used to quantify each level quantitatively. RAM(MTBF) date is used to classify the RL, and AHP analysis is used to classify the RC. These scientific and data-based method will increase objectivity as well as efficiency of risk evaluation.

조선업 위험성평가 실용을 위한 개선 방안 (Improvement for practical application of Risk Assessment in shipbuilding industry)

  • 신운철
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제16권3호
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    • pp.273-277
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    • 2014
  • Subcontracting business than the contracting business in shipbuilding industry is a lot of hazardous job and highly accident because of highly work intensity. In order to prevent the accidents, there is a need to analyze characteristic. of shipbuilding, to apply measures of risk assessment. In this paper, I suggested an improvement of the risk assessment through the actual condition research in shipbuilding industry. In the research method, I analysed accidents occurred until 2011-2013. Carried out the actual site survey while two weeks in May 2014. As a result, 1) The main pattern were caught-in or between, fall on the high level according to analyzed accidents. 2) To apply the weight show clear of magnitude for risk assessment. 3) Risk estimation of risk assessment is desirable to be quantization by accidents analysis, and to be greater than or equal to 4 steps.

전사적 Risk Management System의 개념적 모형에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Conceptual model of Enterprise Risk Management System)

  • 윤승옥;이창호
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2012
  • The important elements and conditions to improve corporate competitiveness are customer development, new product development, sales increase, net profit increase, and other factors. Even if those competitiveness elements are well prepared, obstacles may exist. In this paper, we examined the risk, the deadliest obstacle that can affect corporate. We selected the risk factors that exist in functional categories in the system connected complicatedly and variously by organizational value chain of corporate, and examined the conceptual model of Enterprise Risk Management System based on the precedent studies.

The Implementation of Risk-Based Inspection for the Refinery Plant

  • Choi, Song-Chun
    • Corrosion Science and Technology
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    • 제11권2호
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    • pp.43-47
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    • 2012
  • Recently, regulatory bodies quite often encourage to adopt risk-based inspection (RBI) and management programs because they can enhance safety simultaneously with deregulation in Korea. RBI is an integrated methodology that factors risk into inspection and maintenance decision making. This paper describes an example of how to use known risk assessment codes (API 580, API 581 BRD) to address such safety analysis requirements for risk management in the refining industry. Specifically, this paper reports the methodology and the results of implementation to the Crude Distillation Unit(CDU) plant of refinery units using the $KGS-RBI^{TM}$ program, developed by the Korea Gas Safety Corporation in reference of API Codes and ASME PC (Post Construction) with a suitable consideration of Korean situation. The results of the risk and reliability assessment using $KGS-RBI^{TM}$ program are useful in determining whether the detected defects are tolerable or required to be repaired. The subsequent decisions are to manage the future inspection, repair and maintenance planning in the risk reduction control.

중소기업에서의 공급사슬 위험관리를 위한 패러다임 전환에 관한 연구 (A Study on Paradigm Shift of Supply Chain Risk Management for SMEs)

  • 윤승옥;이창호
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제14권4호
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    • pp.71-77
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    • 2012
  • It is very important the collaboration and risk management of supply chain between the parent company and its partners in the supply chain risk management(SCRM). It was known that the SCRM approach is very different between a large enterprise and a small and medium-sized enterprise. This paper deals with the suggestion about SCRM structure for a small and medium-sized enterprise. This SCRM structure consist of risk identification, risk assessment, and risk mitigation. We expect that this SCRM structure promote the collaboration between a parent company and its partners to alleviate the supply chain risk.

식품위생법상 위해(危害)와 risk의 관계 (The relationship between 'wihae' and risk in food sanitation act)

  • 이주형
    • 식품과학과 산업
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    • 제51권3호
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    • pp.185-195
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    • 2018
  • Nutrition through food is a very important life support activity for humans in maintaining a healthy life. Nevertheless, there is no absolute safe food. In the Modern Food Law, risk analysis developed as an alternative to food safety. However, the Korean Food Sanitation Act introduced risk analysis, but many problems have arisen because the right risk concept is not reflected. To solve the problem, it is necessary to reflect the exact concept of the risk. According to our Food Sanitation Act, risks are used as risk, hazard, and harmful according to the context. The study pointed out these problems and suggested a variety of comparative legal and realistic alternatives.

A Study of Institutional Status of Risk Management for Radiotherapy in Foreign Country

  • Lee, Soon Sung;Shin, Dong Oh;Ji, Young Hoon;Kim, Dong Wook;An, Sohyoun;Park, Dong-Wook;Cho, Gyu Suk;Kim, Kum-Bae;Koo, Jihye;Oh, Yoon-Jin;Choi, Sang Hyoun
    • 한국의학물리학회지:의학물리
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    • 제27권3호
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    • pp.139-145
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    • 2016
  • With the development in field of industry and medicine, new machines and techniques are being launched. Moreover, the complexity of the techniques is associated to an increasing risk of incident. Especially, a small error in radiotherapy can lead to a serious patient-related incident, risk management is necessary in radiotherapy in order to reduce the risk of incident. However, in field of radiotherapy, there are no legally binding clauses for risk management and there is an absence of risk management systems at an institutional level. Therefore, we analyzed institutional status of risk management, reporting & classification systems, and risk assessment & analysis in 31 countries. For risk management and reporting systems, 65% of countries investigated had legislation or regulations; however, only 35% of countries used classification systems. It was found that 43% more countries had legislation for risk management in healthcare than those for radiotherapy; 19% more countries had reporting systems for healthcare than those for radiotherapy. For classification systems, 60% more countries had legislation, recommendation, and guidelines in the field of radiotherapy than those for healthcare. Recently, international institutes have published several reports for risk management and patient safety in radiotherapy, owing to which, countries adopting risk management for radiotherapy will gradually increase. Before adopting risk management in Korea, we should precisely understand the procedures and functions of risk management, in order to increase efficiency of risk management because classification & reporting system and risk assessment & analysis are connected organically, and institutional management is needed for high quality of risk management in Korea.

Microbial Risk Assessment using E. coli in UV Disinfected Wastewater Irrigation on Paddy

  • Rhee, Han-Pil;Yoon, Chun-G.;Jung, Kwang-Wook;Son, Jang-Won
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.120-125
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    • 2009
  • Water stress has become a major concern in agriculture. Korea suffers from limited agricultural water supply, and wastewater reuse has been recommended as an alternative solution.A study was performed to examine the effects of microorganism concentration in the ponded-water of a paddy rice field with reclaimed-water irrigation for evaluating the microbial risk to farmers and neighborhoodchildren.Most epidemiological studies were performed based on an upland field, and they may not directly applicable to paddy fields. Beta-Poisson model was used to estimate the microbial risk of pathogen ingestion. Their risk value increased significantly high level after irrigation and precipitation.It implies that agricultural activities such as plowing, and fertilizing, and precipitation need be practiced a few days after irrigation considering health risks. The results about field application of the microbial risk assessment using E. coli showed difference according to monitoring time and treatment plot. Result of the microbial risk assessment showed that risk values of ground-water and reclaimed secondary waste water irrigation were lower than directly use of wastewater treatment plants' effluent. This paper should be viewed as a first step in the application of quantitative microbial risk assessment of E. coli to wastewater reuse in a paddy rice farming.

확률생태위해성평가(PERA) 선진국 사례분석 및 국내수계에 적합한 PERA 기법 제안 (Comparative Study of Probabilistic Ecological Risk Assessment (PERA) used in Developed Countries and Proposed PERA approach for Korean Water Environment)

  • 안윤주;남선화;이우미
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제25권4호
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    • pp.494-501
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    • 2009
  • Probabilistic Ecological risk assessment (PERA) is extensive approach to qualify and quantify risk on the multi species based on species sensitivity distribution (SSD). As a while, deterministic ecological risk assessment (DERA) considers the comparison of predicted no-effect concentration (PNEC) and predicted exposure concentration (PEC). DERA is used to determine if there is potential risk or no risk, and it doesn't consider the nature variability and the species sensitivity. But PERA can be more realistic and reasonable approach to estimate likelihood or risk. In this study, we compared PERA used in developed countries, and proposed PERA applicable for the Korean water environment. Taxonomic groups were classified as "class" level including Actinopterygill, Branchiopoda, Chlorophyceae, Maxillapoda, Insects, Bivalvia, Gastropoda, Secernentea, Polychaeta, Monocotyldoneae, and Chanophyceae in this study. Statistical extrapolation method (SEM), statistical extrapolation method $_{acutechronicratio}$ ($SEM_{ACR}$) and assessment factor method (AFM) were used to calculate the ecological protective concentration based on qualitative and quantitative levels of taxonomic toxicity data. This study would be useful to establish the PERA for the protection of aquatic ecosystem in Korea.