• Title/Summary/Keyword: Residual variance

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Evaluation of Strength and Residual Stress in $Si_3N_4/SUS304$ Joint ($Si_3N_4/SUS304$ 접합재의 잔류응력 및 강도평가)

  • 박영철;오세욱;조용배
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.101-112
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    • 1994
  • The measurement of residual stress distribution of $Si_3N_4/SUS304$ joint was performed on 23 specimens with the same joint condition using PSPC type X-ray stress measurement system and the two-dimensional elastoplastic analysis using finite element method was also attempted. As results, residual stress distribution near the interface on the ceramic side of the joint was revealed quantitatively. Residual stress on the ceramic side of the joint was turned out to be tensional near the interface, maximum along the edge, varying in accordance with the condition of the joint and variance to be most conspicuous for the residual stress normal to the interface characterized by the stress singularities. In the vicinity of the interface, the high stress concentration occurs and residual stress distributes three-dimensionally. Therefore, the measured stress distribution differed remarkably from the result of the two-dimensional finite-element analysis. Especially at the center of the specimen near the interface, the residual stress, $\sigma_{x}$ obtained from the finite element analysis was compressive, whereas measurement using X-ray yielded tensile $\sigma_{x}$. Here we discuss two dimensional superposition model the discrepancy between the results from the two dimensional finite element analysis and X-ray measurement.

Analysis of Variance for Using Common Random Numbers When Optimizing a System by Simulation and RSM (시뮬레이션과 RSM을 이용한 시스템 최적화 과정에서 공통난수 활용에 따른 분산 분석)

  • 박진원
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.41-50
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    • 2001
  • When optimizing a complex system by determining the optimum condition of the system parameters of interest, we often employ the process of estimating the unknown objective function, which is assumed to be a second order spline function. In doing so, we normally use common random numbers for different set of the controllable factors resulting in more accurate parameter estimation for the objective function. In this paper, we will show some mathematical result for the analysis of variance when using common random numbers in terms of the regression error, the residual error and the pure error terms. In fact, if we can realize the special structure of the covariance matrix of the error terms, we can use the result of analysis of variance for the uncorrelated experiments only by applying minor changes.

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Updating algorithms in statistical computations (통계계산에서의 갱신 알고리즘에 관한 연구)

  • 전홍석
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.283-292
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    • 1992
  • Updating algorithms are studied for the basic statistics (mean, variance). For a linear model, a recursive formulae for least squares estimators of regression coefficients, residual sum of squares and variance-covariance matrix are also studied. Hotelling's $T^2$ statistics can be calculated recursively using the recursive formulae of mean vector and variance-covariance matrix without computing the sample variance-covariance matrix at each stage.

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Nonnegative estimates of variance components in a two-way random model

  • Choi, Jaesung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.337-346
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    • 2019
  • This paper discusses a method for obtaining nonnegative estimates for variance components in a random effects model. A variance component should be positive by definition. Nevertheless, estimates of variance components are sometimes given as negative values, which is not desirable. The proposed method is based on two basic ideas. One is the identification of the orthogonal vector subspaces according to factors and the other is to ascertain the projection in each orthogonal vector subspace. Hence, an observation vector can be denoted by the sum of projections. The method suggested here always produces nonnegative estimates using projections. Hartley's synthesis is used for the calculation of expected values of quadratic forms. It also discusses how to set up a residual model for each projection.

Estimation of Mean Residual Life Function for a Coherent System (코히어런트 시스템에서 평균잔여수명함수(平均殘餘壽命函數)의 추정(推定))

  • Park, Byung-Gu
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.4
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    • pp.97-107
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    • 1993
  • In this paper we propose a nonparametric estimator of the men residual life function (MRLF) on a coherent system under the condition that the component lifetimes are censored by system lifetime. It is shown that the proposed estimator, considered as a function of age t, converges weakly to a Gaussian process on a fixed interval. A consistent estimator of asymptotic variance of the proposed estimator is also given.

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Systematic View on Residual Plots in Linear Regression (선형회귀모형에서 잔차분식에 대한 시스템적 관점)

  • 강명욱;김영일;안철환
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2000.04a
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    • pp.373-376
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    • 2000
  • We investigate some properties of commonly used residual plots in linear regression and provide some systematic insight into the relationships among the plots. We discuss three issues of linear regression in this stream of context. First of all, we introduce two graphical comparison methods to display the variance inflation factor. Secondly, we show that the role of a suppressor variable in linear regression can be checked graphically. Finally, we show that several other types of standardized regression coefficients, besides the ordinary one, can be obtained in residual plots and the correlation coefficients of one of these residual plots can be used in ranking the relative importance of variables.

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A Systematic View on Residual Plots in Linear Regression

  • Myung-Wook;YoungIl;Chul H.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.37-46
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    • 2000
  • We investigate some properties of commonly used residual plots in linear regression and provide some systematic insight into the relationships among the plots. We discuss three issues of linear regression in this stream of context. First of all we introduce two graphical comparison methods to display the variance inflation factor. Secondly we show that the role of a suppressor variable in linear regression can be checked graphiclly. Finally we show that several other types of standardized regression coefficients besides the ordinary one can be obtained in residual plots and the correlation coefficients of one of these residual plots can be used in ranking the relative importance of variables.

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Supremacy of Realized Variance MIDAS Regression in Volatility Forecasting of Mutual Funds: Empirical Evidence From Malaysia

  • WAN, Cheong Kin;CHOO, Wei Chong;HO, Jen Sim;ZHANG, Yuruixian
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • v.9 no.7
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2022
  • Combining the strength of both Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) Regression and realized variance measures, this paper seeks to investigate two objectives: (1) evaluate the post-sample performance of the proposed weekly Realized Variance-MIDAS (RVar-MIDAS) in one-week ahead volatility forecasting against the established Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model and the less explored but robust STES (Smooth Transition Exponential Smoothing) methods. (2) comparing forecast error performance between realized variance and squared residuals measures as a proxy for actual volatility. Data of seven private equity mutual fund indices (generated from 57 individual funds) from two different time periods (with and without financial crisis) are applied to 21 models. Robustness of the post-sample volatility forecasting of all models is validated by the Model Confidence Set (MCS) Procedures and revealed: (1) The weekly RVar-MIDAS model emerged as the best model, outperformed the robust DAILY-STES methods, and the weekly DAILY-GARCH models, particularly during a volatile period. (2) models with realized variance measured in estimation and as a proxy for actual volatility outperformed those using squared residual. This study contributes an empirical approach to one-week ahead volatility forecasting of mutual funds return, which is less explored in past literature on financial volatility forecasting compared to stocks volatility.

Discontinuous log-variance function estimation with log-residuals adjusted by an estimator of jump size (점프크기추정량에 의한 수정된 로그잔차를 이용한 불연속 로그분산함수의 추정)

  • Hong, Hyeseon;Huh, Jib
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.259-269
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    • 2017
  • Due to the nonnegativity of variance, most of nonparametric estimations of discontinuous variance function have used the Nadaraya-Watson estimation with residuals. By the modification of Chen et al. (2009) and Yu and Jones (2004), Huh (2014, 2016a) proposed the estimators of the log-variance function instead of the variance function using the local linear estimator which has no boundary effect. Huh (2016b) estimated the variance function using the adjusted squared residuals by the estimated jump size in the discontinuous variance function. In this paper, we propose an estimator of the discontinuous log-variance function using the local linear estimator with the adjusted log-squared residuals by the estimated jump size of log-variance function like Huh (2016b). The numerical work demonstrates the performance of the proposed method with simulated and real examples.

SDINS Transfer Alignment using Adaptive Filter for Vertical Launcher (적응필터를 사용한 수직상태 SDINS 전달정렬)

  • Park, Chan-Ju;Lee, Sang-Jeong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.14-21
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    • 2007
  • This paper proposes SDINS(strapdown inertial navigation system) transfer alignment method for vertical launcher using an adaptive filter in the ship. First, the velocity and attitude matching transfer alignment method is designed to align SDINS for vertical launcher. Second, the adaptive filter is employed to estimate measurement noise variance in real time using the residual of measurements. Because it is difficult to decide measurement noise variance when noise properties of the ship SDINS are changed. To verify its performance, it is compared with the EKF(Extended Kalman filter) using uncorrect measurement variance. The monte carlo simulation results show that proposed method is more effective in estimating attitude angle than EKF.