• 제목/요약/키워드: Reliability-based analysis

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공급량 배분기법을 이용한 갈수기 병렬저수지 해석 (Parallel Reservoir Analysis of Drought Period by Water Supply Allocation Method)

  • 박기범;이순탁
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.261-269
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    • 2006
  • In this study, an optimization technique was developed from the application of allocation rule. The results obtained from the water supply analysis and reliability indices analysis of Andong dam and Imha dam which are consist of parallel reservoir system are summarized as the followings; Allocation rule(C) is effective technique at the parallel reservoir system because results of the water supply analysis, storage analysis and reliability indices analysis is calculated reasonable results. Also, reliability indices analysis results are not sufficient occurrence based reliability or quantity based reliability. Thus reliability indices analysis are need as occurrence based reliability, quantity based reliability vulnerability, resilience, average water supply deficits and average storage. And water supply condition is better varying water supply condition than constant water supply condition.

Reliability analysis of laminated composite shells by response surface method based on HSDT

  • Thakur, Sandipan N.;Chakraborty, Subrata;Ray, Chaitali
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제72권2호
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    • pp.203-216
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    • 2019
  • Reliability analysis of composite structures considering random variation of involved parameters is quite important as composite materials revealed large statistical variations in their mechanical properties. The reliability analysis of such structures by the first order reliability method (FORM) and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) based approach involves repetitive evaluations of performance function. The response surface method (RSM) based metamodeling technique has emerged as an effective solution to such problems. In the application of metamodeling for uncertainty quantification and reliability analysis of composite structures; the finite element model is usually formulated by either classical laminate theory or first order shear deformation theory. But such theories show significant error in calculating the structural responses of composite structures. The present study attempted to apply the RSM based MCS for reliability analysis of composite shell structures where the surrogate model is constructed using higher order shear deformation theory (HSDT) of composite structures considering the uncertainties in the material properties, load, ply thickness and radius of curvature of the shell structure. The sensitivity of responses of the shell is also obtained by RSM and finite element method based direct approach to elucidate the advantages of RSM for response sensitivity analysis. The reliability results obtained by the proposed RSM based MCS and FORM are compared with the accurate reliability analysis results obtained by the direct MCS by considering two numerical examples.

장애함수법에 의한 신뢰성기반 최적설계 (Barrier Function Method in Reliability Based Design Optimization)

  • 이태희;최운용;김홍선
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2003년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.1130-1135
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    • 2003
  • The need to increase the reliability of a structural system has been significantly brought in the procedure of real designs to consider, for instance, the material properties or geometric dimensions that reveal a random or incompletely known nature. Reliability based design optimization of a real system now becomes an emerging technique to achieve reliability, robustness and safety of these problems. Finite element analysis program and the reliability analysis program are necessary to evaluate the responses and the probabilities of failure of the system, respectively. Moreover, integration of these programs is required during the procedure of reliability based design optimization. It is well known that reliability based design optimization can often have so many local minima that it cannot converge to the specified probability of failure. To overcome this problem, barrier function method in reliability based design optimization is suggested. To illustrate the proposed formulation, reliability based design optimization of a bracket is performed. AMV and FORM are employed for reliability analysis and their optimization results are compared based on the accuracy and efficiency.

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신뢰성 지수의 민감도 해석을 이용한 신뢰성에 기초한 최적설계 (Reliability-Based Optimization using Sensitivity Analysis of Reliability Index)

  • 조효남;민대홍;권우성
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 2000년도 가을 학술발표회논문집
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    • pp.101-108
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    • 2000
  • An optimum design algorithm using efficient reanalysis is proposed for reliability-based optimization problems formulated as the minimization of initial cost and expected failure cost with reliability constraints. The reliability-based optimization is high cost to evaluate objective function and constraints needed reliability analysis. Therefore the sensitivity analysis of reliability index for approximated reanalysis is necessary. In this paper, three solution approaches are suggested and tested. The approaches include : (1) sensitivity analysis using finite difference; (2) sensitivity analysis using automatic differentiation (AD); and (3) sensitivity analysis with respect to intermediate variables using AD. Numerical example is optimized to show the reliability and effectiveness of the new algorithm.

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동적능동제어시스템의 FORM기반 구조신뢰성해석 (FORM-based Structural Reliability Analysis of Dynamical Active Control System)

  • 옥승용
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.74-80
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    • 2013
  • This study describes structural reliability analysis of actively-controlled structure for which random vibration analysis is incorporated into the first-order reliability method (FORM) framework. The existing approaches perform the reliability analysis based on the RMS response, whereas the proposed study uses the peak response for the reliability analysis. Therefore, the proposed approach provides us a meaningful performance measure of the active control system, i.e., realistic failure probability. In addition, it can deal with the uncertainties in the system parameters as well as the excitations in single-loop reliability analysis, whereas the conventional random vibration analysis requires double-loop reliability analysis; one is for the system parameters and the other is for stochastic excitations. The effectiveness of the proposed approach is demonstrated through a numerical example where the proposed approach shows fast and accurate reliability (or inversely failure probability) assessment results of the dynamical active control system against random seismic excitations in the presence of parametric uncertainties of the dynamical structural system.

모멘트 기법과 PARSEC 함수를 이용한 에어포일 신뢰성 기반 최적설계 (RELIABILITY-BASED OPTIMIZATION OF AIRFOILS USING A MOMENT METHOD AND PARSEC FUNCTION)

  • 이재훈;강희엽;권장혁;곽병만;정경진
    • 한국전산유체공학회지
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.28-34
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    • 2012
  • In this study, the reliability-based design optimization of the airfoil was performed. PARSEC function was used to consider the uncertainty of the aerodynamic shape for the reliability-based shape optimization of airfoils. Among various reliability analysis methods, the moment method was used to compute the probability of failure of the aerodynamic performance. The accuracy of the reliability analysis was compared with other methods and it was found that the moment method predicts the probability of failure accurately. Deterministic and reliability-based optimizations were performed for the shape of the airfoil and it was demonstrated that reliability-based optimum assures the aerodynamic performances under uncertainties of the shape of the airfoil.

Reliability-Based Topology Optimization for Different Engineering Applications

  • Kharmanda, G.;Lambert, S.;Kourdi, N.;Daboul, A.;Elhami, A.
    • International Journal of CAD/CAM
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2007
  • The objective of this work is to integrate reliability analysis into topology optimization problems. We introduce the reliability constraint in the topology optimization formulation, and the new model is called Reliability-Based Topology Optimization (RBTO). The application of the RBTO model gives a different topology relative to the classical topology optimization that should be deterministic. When comparing the structures resulting from the deterministic topology optimization and from the RBTO model, the RBTO model yields structures that are more reliable than the deterministic ones (for the same weight). Several applications show the importance of this integration.

쳬계신뢰성에 기초한 사장교의 안전도 및 내하력 평가 (System Reliability-Based Safety and Capacity Evaluation of Cable-Stayed Bridges)

  • 조효남;이승재;임종권;김보헌
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1996년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 1996
  • A practical approach for the assessment of system reliability-based safety and load carring capacity under vehicle traffics is proposed for the realistic evaluation of safety and rating of cable-stayed bridges. A partial event tree analysis model incorporating major critical failure paths is suggested as a practical tool for the system reliability analysis and system reliability-based capacity rating. The proposed approach for the system reliability analysis and system reliability-based rating is applied to the safety assessment of the Jindo Bridge which is one of two existing cable-stayed bridges in Korea. The results of analyses at the system level based on the system reliability are compared with those at the element level.

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Reliability analysis of shallow tunnel with surface settlement

  • Yang, X.L.;Li, W.T.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.313-326
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    • 2017
  • Based on the reliability theory and limit analysis method, the roof stability of a shallow tunnel is investigated under the condition of surface settlement. Nonlinear Hoek-Brown failure criterion is adopted in the present analysis. With the consideration of surface settlement, the internal energy and external work are calculated. Equating the rate of energy dissipation to the external rate of work, the expression of support pressure is derived. With the help of variational approach, a performance function is proposed to reliability analysis. Improved response surface method is used to calculate the Hasofer-Lind reliability index and the failure probability. In order to assess the validity of the present results, Monte-Carlo simulation is performed to examine the correctness. Sensitivity analysis is used to estimate the influence of different variables on reliability index. Among random variables, the unit weight significantly affects the reliability index. It is found that the greater coefficient of variation of variables lead to the higher failure probability. On the basis of the discussions, the reliability-based design is achieved to calculate the required tunnel support pressure under different situations when the target reliability index is obtained.

EXCEL Tools for Geotechnical Reliability Analysis

  • Phoon, Kok-Kwang
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2008년도 추계 학술발표회
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    • pp.375-394
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    • 2008
  • This paper discusses two user-friendly reliability techniques that could be implemented easily using the ubiquitous EXCEL. The techniques are First-Order Reliability Method with non-Gaussian random variables expressed using Hermite polynomials and collocation-based stochastic response surface method. It is believed that ease of implementation would popularize use of reliability-based design in practice.

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