• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국철도학회 2005년도 추계학술대회 논문집
• /
• pp.258-263
• /
• 2005

The purpose of this research is to present a practical method for efficiently monitoring a reliability growth process using AMSAA(Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity) reliability growth model. The presented method is viable for identifying failure modes, incorporating design changes and monitoring reliability progress on an on-going basis during the early stages of a product development program. According to the Application Guide for EN 50126(RAM part for Rolling Stock), reliability growth monitoring is essential part of the main tasks of design phase in RAM growth monitoring. Implementation of reliability growth management program will provide very useful information on concept selection, product/process reliability, and cost effectiveness without too much time, money and engineering effort being spent on the development of failure suspect parts.

• 산업공학
• /
• 제19권1호
• /
• pp.19-25
• /
• 2006

In the development process, the objective of a reliability growth program is to track the increase in system reliability, and determine as early as possible whether or not the system reliability is growing at a sufficient rate to meet the required goal and allocate available resources accordingly. Implementation of this kind of program will provide very useful information on concept selection, product/process reliability, and cost effectiveness without too much time, money and engineering effort being spent on the development of failure suspect parts. The purpose of this research is to present a practical method for efficiently monitoring a reliability growth test process using AMSAA(Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity) reliability growth model. The presented growth management is a viable method for identifying failure modes, incorporating design changes and monitoring reliability progress on an on-going basis during the early stages of a product development program.

• 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
• /
• 제15권2호
• /
• pp.90-100
• /
• 2015

Reliability growth rate (or reliability growth curve slope) have the two cases of trend as a constant or changing one during the reliability growth testing. The changing case is very common situation. The reasons of reliability growth rate changing are that the failures to follow the NHPP (None-Homogeneous Poisson Process), and the solutions implemented during test to break out other problems or not to take out all of the root cause permanently. If the changing were big, the "Goodness of Fit (GOF)" of reliability growth curve to test data would be very low and then reduce the accuracy of assessing result with test data. In this research, we are using Duane model and AMSAA model for assessing test data and projecting the reliability level of complex and repairable system as like construction equipment and vehicle. In case of no changing in reliability growth rate, it is reasonable for reliability engineer to implement the original Duane model (1964) and Crow-AMSAA model (1975) for the assessment and projection activity. However, in case of reliability growth rate changing, it is necessary to find the method to increase the "GOF" of reliability growth curves to test data. To increase GOF of reliability growth curves, it is necessary to find the proper parameter calculation method of interesting reliability growth models that are applicable to the situation of reliability growth rate changing. Since the Duane and AMSAA models have a characteristic to get more strong influence from the initial test (or failure) data than the latest one, the both models have a limitation to contain the latest test data information that is more important and better to assess test data in view of accuracy, especially when the reliability growth rate changing. The main objective of this research is to find the parameter calculation method to reflect the latest test data in the case of reliability growth rate changing. According to my experience in vehicle and construction equipment developments over 18 years, over the 90% in the total development cases are with such changing during the developing test. The objective of this research was to develop the newly assessing method and the process for GOF level increasing in case of reliability growth rate changing that would contribute to achieve more accurate assessing and projecting result. We also developed the new evaluation method for GOF that are applicable to the both models as Duane and AMSAA, so it is possible to compare it between models and check the effectiveness of new parameter calculation methods in any interesting situation. These research results can reduce the decision error for development process and business control with the accurately assessing and projecting result.

• 한국산학기술학회논문지
• /
• 제21권7호
• /
• pp.406-418
• /
• 2020

무기체계를 개발할 때, 개발 목적에 맞는 장비의 기능과 성능을 구현하는 것도 중요하지만, 개발 후 장비가 얼마나 신뢰성을 가지고 공백이 없이 운용유지를 할 수 있는지 매우 중요하다. 그렇기 때문에 장비의 신뢰성을 높이기 위하여 다양한 활동을 수행한다. 개발 시 높은 스펙의 부품을 사용하고, 분석을 통하여 신뢰도를 검증하며, 개발 시제품을 이용하여 시험을 통해 장비의 부족한 부분은 보강하고 개선하여 신뢰성을 강화시키기 위한 활동을 한다. 그러나 최근에는 급변하는 외부 정세 및 기술 등에 의하여 개발 일정이 단축되고, 비용 등의 문제로 인하여 충분한 신뢰성 성장활동을 수행하지 못하는 경우가 발생하고 있다. 분석적인 방법(신뢰도 분석, FMECA 등)으로만 신뢰성 활동을 하는 사업들이 그 예이다. 본 논문에서는 FMECA와 초가속수명시험(HALT)을 통하여 분석과 시험이라는 방법을 같은 장비에 각각 수행했을 때, 도출된 신뢰성 성장 활동 내용과, 그로 인한 설계변경/검토 결과가 두 방법에서 어떠한 차이를 보이는지 비교/분석하고, 신뢰성 성장 활동을 강화하기 위한 방안을 제시하고자 한다. 개발 초기부터 분석을 통한 신뢰성 성장활동 및 초기 시제 제작 완료 시 시험을 통한 신뢰성 성장활동을 모두 수행해야 한다고 분석되었다.

• 전자공학회논문지S
• /
• 제35S권1호
• /
• pp.29-38
• /
• 1998

We summarize, in this paper, that we have learned from the slftwar reliability analysis of a large switching software composed of functional blocks which form slotware units. To determine the time of management activity related to sopftware reliability growth, we review the process of detection and correction of software failures. Also we apply the two softwre reliability frowth model, Goel-Okumoto and S-shaped model, to estimate the global software reliability growth to a set of failure found during period of the system test. The analysis methods and results can be applied to other large software development projects.

• 한국환경교육학회지:환경교육
• /
• 제24권4호
• /
• pp.32-40
• /
• 2011

The purpose of this study was to develop an evaluation standard by which teachers in charge of environment and green growth education could conduct a project activity and examine its applicability. The results were as follows; First, 26 evaluation items were developed through interviews with teachers and expert meetings. These categories were base on 'Theme', 'Planning', 'Result' and 'Presentation', and 'Evaluation' of the project. Second, a reliability test showed that internal consistency of the items was currently high(Cronbach's alpha .8709). To examine the content validity, the project activity was evaluated by 5 different teachers, and the result showed that the evaluation standard developed in this study was a very effective tool for the teachers to do project learning. Third, from the 2011 revised national curriculum, the subject 'Environment' in middle schools would be renamed as 'Environment and Green Growth'. Also, environment project activity would be introduced in the middle school. Therefore, this study had a significant importance in the fact that it provided teachers and students with a practical evaluation standard for the environment and green growth project activity.

• 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 한국신뢰성학회 2005년도 학술발표대회 논문집
• /
• pp.157-163
• /
• 2005

신뢰성성장시험관리는 제품개발프로그램의 초기단계에서 고장모드를 확인하고, 이를 개선 또는 제거하기 위해 설계를 변경하고, 그 결과 진행되는 신뢰성이 향상되는 변화를 추적할 수 있는 실용적인 방법이다. 본 연구의 목적은 AMSAA(Army Materiel Systems Analysis Activity)모델을 이용하여 신뢰성 성장을 계획하고 평가할 수 있는 실용적인 방법을 제시하는데 있다. 시험-개선 과정을 통하여 성장하는 신뢰성 수준의 변화에 대한 추적과 예측 가이드라인을 제시함으로써 현장에서 활용할 수 있는 방법을 보여준다.

• 응용통계연구
• /
• 제23권3호
• /
• pp.573-584
• /
• 2010

This paper considers the differences in the software execution environments in the testing phase and the operational phase to determine the optimal release time and warranty period of software systems. We formulate equations for the total expected software cost until the end of the software life cycle based on the NHPP. In addition, we derive the optimal release time that minimizes the total expected software cost for an imperfect debugging software reliability model. Finally, we analyze the sensitivity of the optimal testing and maintenance design related to variation of the cost model parameters based on the fault data observed in the actual testing process, and discuss the quantitative properties of the proposed model.

• 한국군사과학기술학회지
• /
• 제16권5호
• /
• pp.675-682
• /
• 2013

Reliability analysis and prediction of next failure time is critical to sustain weapon systems, concerning scheduled maintenance, spare parts replacement and maintenance interventions, etc. Since 1981, many methodology derived from various probabilistic and statistical theories has been suggested to do that activity. Nowadays, many A.I. tools have been used to support these predictions. Support Vector Regression(SVR) is a nonlinear regression technique extended from support vector machine. SVR can fit data flexibly and it has a wide variety of applications. This paper utilizes SVM and SVR with combining time series to predict the next failure time based on historical failure data. A numerical case using failure data from the military equipment is presented to demonstrate the performance of the proposed approach. Finally, the proposed approach is proved meaningful to predict next failure point and to estimate instantaneous failure rate and MTBF.

• 통합자연과학논문집
• /
• 제10권3호
• /
• pp.141-147
• /
• 2017

Vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) is an important signaling protein involved in angiogenesis, which is the formation of new blood vessels from pre-existing vessels. Consequently, blocking of the vascular endothelial growth factor receptor (VEGFR-2) by small molecule inhibitors leads to the inhibition of cancer induced angiogenesis. In this study, we performed a two dimensional quantitative structure activity relationship (2D-QSAR) study of 38 N-Phenyl-N'-{4-(4-quinolyloxy) phenyl} urea derivatives as VEGFR-2 inhibitors based on hologram quantitative structure-activity (HQSAR). The model developed showed reasonable $q^2=0.521$ and $r^2=0.932$ values indicating good predictive ability and reliability. The atomic contribution map analysis of most active compound (compound 7) indicates that hydrogen and oxygen atoms in the side chain of ring A and oxygen atom in side chain of ring C contributes positively to the activity of the compounds. The HQSAR model developed and the atomic contribution map can serve as a guideline in designing new compounds for VEGFR-2 inhibition.