• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reliability Estimate

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Evaluation of Travel Time Reliability using Daily Traffic Volumes (일교통량을 이용한 통행시간 신뢰도 평가)

  • Oh, Heungun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.5
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    • pp.631-638
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    • 2023
  • This paper is to introduce methodologies of travel time reliability evaluation using daily traffic volumes. The methodologies include desirable speed concept, the relation between averaged daily speeds and daily traffic volumes, the standardized way in integration of travel time deviations obtained from continuous highway sections. The study began with traffic data collection from a freeway line with long lasting congestion. And then, provided establishment of the relation between averaged daily speeds and daily traffic volumes, and usability of Point estimate method (PEM) to integrate travel time deviations of sections. Based on the relation between averaged daily speeds and daily traffic volumes, it is identified that travel time reliability begins to decrease around LOS (Level of Service) C even before LOS D or F. It may be concluded that travel time reliability could be evaluated based on daily traffic volumes in highway sections using standardized PEM. The methodologies introduced in the paper, could be useful in practicing evaluation of travel time reliability during the works of highway operation or highway planning.

On Reliability and Ratio in the Beta Case

  • Woo, Jung-Soo
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.541-547
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    • 2009
  • We consider distribution, reliability and moment of ratio in two independent beta random variables X and Y, and reliability and $K^{th}$ moment of ratio are represented by a mathematical generalized hypergeometric function. We introduce an approximate maximum likelihood estimate(AML) of reliability and right-tail probability in the beta distribution.

On the Standardization of Management System for Improving Reliability in Construction Industry (건설 분야 신뢰성 향상을 위한 경영표준 운영 방안)

  • Kim Jong-Gurl;Park Yong-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2004.11a
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    • pp.253-258
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    • 2004
  • Domestic construction industry (including plant engineering industry) faces severe competition with world-wide leading companies under WTO (World Trade Organization) system. To survive in this competition, domestic construction company should establish and operate standardization system efficiently. In this paper, check list is presented to prepare the efficient reliability management system in domestic construction. And then, the check list is applied in MIR(Maturity Index on Reliability) estimation item to estimate reliability management level of company quantitatively.

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A Batch Sequential Sampling Scheme for Estimating the Reliability of a Series/Parallel System

  • Enaya, T.;Rekab, L.;Tadj, L.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.17-22
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    • 2010
  • It is desired to estimate the reliability of a system that has two subsystems connected in series where each subsystem has two components connected in parallel. A batch sequential sampling scheme is introduced. It is shown that the batch sequential sampling scheme is asymptotically optimal as the total number of units goes to infinity. Numerical comparisons indicate that the batch sequential sampling scheme performs better than the balanced sampling scheme and is nearly optimal.

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Fuzzy Sets Application to System Reliability Analysis (시스템 신뢰도 분석에서의 퍼지집합 응용)

  • Yun, Won-Young;Heo, Gil-Hwan
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.67-78
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    • 1993
  • In this paper, we deal with the application of the fuzzy sets theory to evaluate and estimate the system reliability under the fault tree analysis. We formulate the uncertainty of component reliability to fuzzy sets, and propose a procedure for obtaining the system reliability in case the system structure is described by fault tree. An importance measure of each component is proposed. Computer program for fuzzy fault tree analysis(FFTA) is developed using C language to obtain the system reliability and the component‘s fuzzy importance.

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ESTIMATION OF RELIABILITY IN A MULTICOMPONENT STRESS-STRENGTH MODEL IN WEIBULL CASE

  • Kim, Jae J.;Kang, Eun M.
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.3-11
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    • 1981
  • A stress-strength model is formulated for s of k systems consisting of identical components. We consider minimum variance unbiased (MVU) estimation of system reliability for data consisting of a random sample from the stress distribution and one from the strength distribution when the two distirubtions are Weibull with unknown scale parameters and same known shape parameter. The asymptotic distribution of MVU estimate of system reliability in the model is obtained by using the standard asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimate of system reliability and establishing their equivalence. Uniformly most accurate unbiased confidence intervals are also obtained for system reliability. Empirical comparison of the two estimates for small samples is studies by Monte Carlo simulation.

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A Reliability Allocation for Vehicle System of Light Rail Transit (경량전철 차량시스템의 신뢰도 배분)

  • Jeong, Rak-Gyo;Kim, Yeong-Seok
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers B
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    • v.51 no.7
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    • pp.357-363
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    • 2002
  • The target reliability values are defined for the train, signaling, rail track and electric power supply system of the LRT under development. The allocation of the reliability value is based on the failure rate and the failure type in the Korean subways. The reliability allocation in the train system is the made ore detail than others. The purpose of the allocation is to verify the reliability value of the results from each of the development stage, which could be the designing, manufacturing and purchasing work. The reliability of braking system, traction system, door system and other control system could be verified by establishing reliability models of these system. It could also enable us to estimate and analyse the reliability value and redo the work if necessary to achieve the shooting reliability value. A guide to the LRT reliability criteria is to be prepared after running test on the test track.

RMS Current Estimation Technique for Reliability Analysis of Multiple Semiconductor Interconnects (신뢰성 해석을 위한 반도체 다중연결선의 RMS 전류 추정 기법)

  • Kim, Ki-Young;Kim, Deok-Min;Kim, Seok-Yoon
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.8
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    • pp.1547-1554
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    • 2011
  • As process parameters scale, interconnect width are reduced rapidly while the current flowing through interconnects does not decrease in a proportional manner. This effect increases current density in metal interconnects which may result in poor reliability. Since RMS(root-mean-square) current limits are used to evaluate self-heating and short-time stress failures caused by high-current pluses, RMS current estimation is very important to guarantee the reliability of semiconductor systems. Hence, it is critical to estimate the current limits through interconnects earlier in semiconductor design stages. The purpose of this paper is to propose a fast, yet accurate RMS current estimation technique that can offer a relatively precise estimate by using closed-form equations. The efficiency and accuracy of the proposed method have been verified through simulations using HSPICE for a vast range of interconnect parameters.

Engineering Valuation Based on Small Samples

  • Cho, Jin-Hyung;Lee, Sae-Jae;Seo, Bo-Chul
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2006
  • Box-Cox model and T-factor method have been widely used to measure economic depreciations for industrial property. The Box-Cox model which combines economic efficiency with depreciation pattern is here extended to the reliability function. To do so a Rayleigh distribution which has been used to estimate the reliability of current assets was chosen as an efficiency curve of marginal productivity. Such an approach provides the possibility to classify the efficiency curves into four categories. It is also possible to analyze the types of depreciation curves. Therefore, the power family of a non-linear Box-Cox model could be set at certain constant values, then the model can be transformed into a linear model to estimate the economic depreciation rates by utilizing the reliability function. Estimating the resultant linear regression equation requires minimal number of observations, while at the same time facilitating the test of hypothesis on depreciation rates.

Simulation of Fuzzy Reliability Indexes

  • Dong, Yu-Ge;Chen, Xin-Zhao;Cho, Hyun-Deog;Kwon, Jong-Wan
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.492-500
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    • 2003
  • By means of the transformation from the problem of fuzzy reliability to the problem of general reliability, a model for analyzing fuzzy reliability is introduced in this paper Because of the complexity of the Problem of the fuzzy reliability, generally speaking, the analytical equations for calculating fuzzy reliability indexes of machine part cannot be obtained in most cases. Therefore, in this paper, an approach is given wherein progressions are employed to calculate them, or a simulation approach is used to estimate them by expressing general reliability indexes as progressions. By utilizing the approach put forwards in the paper, the calculating quantity for analyzing the fuzzy reliability will be reduced : even substantially reduced sometimes. Some examples are taken to explain the feasibility of the model and a simulation approach.