• Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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• 제54권4호
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• pp.1195-1205
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• 2022

Recent developments on spectral diffusion algorithms, i.e., algorithms which exploit the projection of the solution on the eigenfunctions of the Laplacian operator, demonstrated their effective applicability in fast transient conditions. Nevertheless, the numerical error introduced by these algorithms, together with the uncertainties associated with model parameters, may impact the reliability of the predictions on short-lived volatile fission product release from nuclear fuel. In this work, we provide an upper bound on the numerical error introduced by the presented spectral diffusion algorithm, in both constant and time-varying conditions, depending on the number of modes and on the time discretization. The definition of this upper bound allows introducing a methodology to a priori bound the numerical error on short-lived volatile fission product retention.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제35권2호
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• pp.99-105
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• 2007

Most of systems used in real fields are considered as multistate systems with multistate components. As one of methods for performance evaluation of the system, reliability analysis has been popularly used. In this paper, we propose an improved reliability analysis method which is based on state space decomposition method of Aven (1985). In deriving upper bounds, our method uses sets of unspecified states whereas Aven (1985) excludes sets of unacceptance states. Also, closer lower bounds to an exact reliability are obtained by considering of importance of min-path vectors.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제70권1호
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• pp.81-96
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• 2019

In this paper, a hybrid uncertain model is applied to system reliability based design optimization (RBDO) of trusses. All random variables are described by random distributions but some key distribution parameters of them which lack information are defined by variation intervals. For system RBDO of trusses, the first order reliability method, as well as monotonicity analysis and the branch and bound method, are utilized to determine the system failure probability; and Improved (${\mu}+{\lambda}$) constrained differential evolution (ICDE) is employed for the optimization process. System reliability assessment of several numerical examples and system RBDO of different truss structures are proposed to verify our results. Moreover, the effect of different classes of interval distribution parameters on the optimum weight of the structure and the reliability index are also investigated. The results indicate that the weight of the structure is increased by increasing the uncertainty level. Moreover, it is shown that for a certain random variable, the optimum weight is more increased by the translation interval parameters than the rotation ones.

• 전자공학회논문지S
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• 제34S권9호
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• pp.13-22
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• 1997

In this paper, we supposed allocating the number of redundancies as the model of 0-1 knapsack problem and formulated the problem to maximize the systems reliability for a mission length. The formulated problem reduced the problem size using the modified branch and bound algorithm by Lagrangian relaxation. The subgradient method can optimize the set of solution. To verify the proposed method, we presented the improved resutls of the systems composed of two and ten component groups as the commparison of those in other papers.

• 한국농공학회지
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• 제36권1호
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• pp.116-127
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• 1994

A reliability analysis model for the frame structure which grafts the discretized ideal plastic method to the stochastic finite element method is introduced. The proposed method simmulates realistically the sequencial occurrence of plastic hinges and yields the probability of failure directly from the geometrical and material properties of a frame structure. The presented method can also take into account the uncertainties inherent in loads and resisten- ces through the stochastic finite element technique. The analysis results are compared with those of the Monte Carlo Simmulation, the Bound Theory, and the fs-unzipping method, and show good agreement.

• 한국해안해양공학회지
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• 제19권5호
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• pp.399-407
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• 2007

수리학적 파괴모드인 소단의 후퇴거리와 구조적 파괴모드인 사석재의 파손에 대한 발생 가능성을 확률적으로 해석할 수 있는 신뢰성 해석 모형이 개발되었다. 본 연구에서 수립된 신뢰함수를 이용하여 관련 변수들의 불확실성을 고려할 수 있는 AFDA(Approximate Full Distribution Approach)법과 Monte-Carlo 모의법이 개발되었다. 다른 연구 결과들과 상호 비교하여 신뢰성 해석 모형이 올바르게 수립되었음을 확인할 수 있었다. 또한 기존의 연구자들이 수행하지 못한 각 파괴모드와 관련된 확률변수들의 영향이 해석되었다. 마지막으로 동일한 입사파랑 조건에서 발생되는 두 파괴모드의 의존성을 산정하기 위해 다중파괴모드에 대한 해석도 수행하였다. 다중파괴모드 해석 결과에 의하면 허용 후퇴거리 일정 이상의 범위에서는 구조적 파괴모드가 소단형 방파제의 주 파괴모드가 됨을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 대한전기학회논문지
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• 제37권5호
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• pp.272-281
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• 1988

The problem of optimal transmission system planning is to find the most economical locations and time of transmission line construction under the various constraints such as available rights-of-way, finances, the technical characteristics of power system, and the reliability criterion of power supply, and so on. In this paper the constraint of right-of-way is represented as a finite set of available rights-of-way. And the constructed for a unit period. The electrical constraints are represented in terms of line overload and steady state stability margin. And the reliability criterion is dealt with the suppression of failure cost and with single-contingency analysis. In general, the transmission planning problem requires integer solutions and its objective function is nonlinear. In this paper the objective function is defined as a sum of the present values of construction cost and the minimum operating cost of power system. The latter is represented as a sum of generation cost and failure cost considering the change of yearly load, economic dispatch, and the line contingency. For the calculation of operating cost linear programming is adopted on the base of DC load flow calculation, and for the optimization of main objective function nonlinear Branch-and-Bound algorithm is used. Finally, for improving the efficiency of B & B algorithm a new sensitivity analysis algorithm is proposed.

• KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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• 제5A권1호
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• pp.46-55
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• 2005

This paper proposes a new method for choice of the best transmission system expansion plan on the side of highest satisfaction level of decision maker using fuzzy integer programming. The proposed method considers the permissibility and ambiguity of the investment budget (economics) for constructing the new transmission lines and the delivery marginal rate (reliability criteria) of the system by modeling the transmission expansion problem as a fuzzy integer programming one. It solves the optimal strategy (reasonable as well as flexible) using a fuzzy set theory-based on branch and bound method that utilizes a network flow approach and the maximum flow-minimum cut set theorem. Under no or only a very small database for the evaluation of reliability indices, the proposed technique provides the decision maker with a valuable and practical tool to solve the transmission expansion problem considering problem uncertainties. Test results on the 63-bus test system show that the proposed method is practical and efficiently applicable to transmission expansion planning.

• Smart Structures and Systems
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• 제33권3호
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• pp.177-188
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• 2024

The fatigue-induced sequential failure of a structure having structural redundancy requires system-level analysis to account for stress redistribution. System reliability-based design optimization (SRBDO) for preventing fatigue-initiated structural failure is numerically costly owing to the inclusion of probabilistic constraints. This study incorporates the Branch-and-Bound method employing system reliability Bounds (termed the B³ method), a failure-path structural system reliability analysis approach, with a metaheuristic optimization algorithm, namely grey wolf optimization (GWO), to obtain the optimal design of structures under fatigue-induced system failure. To further improve the efficiency of this new optimization framework, an additional bounding rule is proposed in the context of SRBDO against fatigue using the B³ method. To demonstrate the proposed method, it is applied to complex problems, a multilayer Daniels system and a three-dimensional tripod jacket structure. The system failure probability of the optimal design is confirmed to be below the target threshold and verified using Monte Carlo simulation. At earlier stages of the optimization, a smaller number of limit-state function evaluation is required, which increases the efficiency. In addition, the proposed method can allocate limited materials throughout the structure optimally so that the optimally-designed structure has a relatively large number of failure paths with similar failure probability.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제42권2호
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• pp.199-208
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• 2014

Purpose: This paper explains how to obtain the Bayes estimates of the whole launch vehicle and of a vehicle stage, respectively, for a newly developed expendable launch vehicle. Methods: We determine the parameters of the beta prior distribution using the upper bound of the 60% Clopper-Pearson confidence interval of failure probability which is calculated from previous launch data considering the experience of the developer. Results: Probability that a launch vehicle developed from an inexperienced developer succeeds in the first launch is obtained by about one third, which is much smaller than that estimated from the previous research. Conclusion: The proposed approach provides a more conservative estimate than the previous noninformative prior, which is more reasonable especially for the initial reliability of a new vehicle which is developed by an inexperienced developer.