• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall-Runoff simulation

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A Study on Regionalization of Parameters for Sacramento Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model Using Watershed Characteristics (유역특성인자를 활용한 Sacramento 장기유출모형의 매개변수 지역화 기법 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Jeong;Jeong, Ga-In;Kim, Ki-Young;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.48 no.10
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    • pp.793-806
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    • 2015
  • The simulation of natural streamflow at ungauged basins is one of the fundamental challenges in hydrology community. The key to runoff simulation in ungauged basins is generally involved with a reliable parameter estimation in a rainfall-runoff model. However, the parameter estimation of the rainfall-runoff model is a complex issue due to an insufficient hydrologic data. This study aims to regionalize the parameters of a continuous rainfall-runoff model in conjunction with a Bayesian statistical technique to consider uncertainty more precisely associated with the parameters. First, this study employed Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo scheme for the estimation of the Sacramento rainfall-runoff model. The Sacramento model is calibrated against observed daily runoff data, and finally, the posterior density function of the parameters is derived. Second, we applied a multiple linear regression model to the set of the parameters with watershed characteristics, to obtain a functional relationship between pairs of variables. The proposed model was also validated with gauged watersheds in accordance with the efficiency criteria such as the Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, index of agreement and the coefficient of correlation.

Long Term Runoff Simulation for Water Balance at Daecheong Basin (대청유역 물수지 분석을 위한 장기 유출모의)

  • Lee, Sang-Jin;Kim, Joo-Cheol;Noh, Joon-Woo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.19 no.10
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    • pp.1211-1217
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    • 2010
  • For an accurate rainfall-runoff simulation in the river basin, it is important to consider not only evaluation of runoff model but also accurate runoff component. In this study long-term runoffs were simulated by means of watershed runoff model and the amounts of runoff components such as upstream inflow, surface runoff, return flow and dam release were evaluated based on the concept of water budget. SSARR model was applied to Daecheong basin, the upstream region of Geum river basin, and in turn the monthly runoff discharges of main control points in the basin were analyzed. In addition, for the purpose of providing the basic quantified water resources data the conceptual runoff amounts were estimated with water budget analysis and the reliability of the observations and the monthly runoff characteristics were investigated in depth. The yearly runoff ratios were also estimated and compared with the observations. From the results of the main control points, Yongdam, Hotan, Okcheon and Daecheong, the yearly runoff ratios of those points are consistent well with data reported previously.

Assessment of AnnAGNPS Model in Prediction of a Rainfall-Runoff Relationship (AnnAGNPS 모형의 강우-유출해석력 평가)

  • Choi, Kyung-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.125-135
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    • 2005
  • Generation and transport of nonpoint source pollution, especially sediment-associated pollutants, are profoundly influenced by hydrologic features of runoff. In order to identify pollutant export rates, hence, clear knowledge of rainfall-runoff relationship is a pre-requisition. In this study, performance of AnnAGNPS model was assessed based on the ability of the model to predict rainfall-runoff relationship. Three catchments, each under different nearly single land use, were simulated. From the results, it was found that the model was likely to produce better predictions for larger catchments than smaller catchments. Because of using the daily time scale, the model could not account for short durations less than 24 hours, especially high intensity events with multiple peak flow that significantly contribute to the generation and transport of pollutants. Since CN information for regional areas has not been built up, a careful selection of CN is needed to achieve accurate prediction of runoff volume. Storm distribution also found to be considered as an important calibration parameter for the hydrologic simulation.

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Development of Guidelines for Animal Waste Land Application to Minimize Water Quality Impacts (축산분뇨 농지환원을 위한 적정관리방안)

  • 홍성구
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.136-146
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    • 2002
  • Land application of manure compost is considered one of the widely-used animal waste management practices. Many livestock farms adopt composting for their animal waste disposal and apply the compost to crop fields. While standard rates have been established based on researches with respect to land application of manure compost recently, there have been few discussions on water quality impact of the application. Water quality impact should be taken into account in land applications of manure compost. In this study, management practices were proposed based on the investigation of water quality of leachate from manure compost under rainfall simulation, field studies, and monitoring runoff water quality from farm fields after land application of animal waste. The concentrations of major water quality parameters of the leachate were significantly high, whereas those of runoff from soils after tillage for soil incorporation, were not affected by the application based on a series of experiments. Runoff water from farm fields after land application also showed high concentrations of pollutants. Appropriate management practices should be employed to minimize pollutant loading from manure applied fields. Proposed major management practices include 1) application of recommended amounts, 2) proper tillage for complete soil and manure incorporation, 3) field management to prevent excessive soil erosion, 4) complete diversion of inflow into the field from outside, 5) implementation of vegetative buffer strips near boundaries, and 6) prevention of direct discharge of runoff water front fields Into streams.

Development of Distributed Rainfall -Runoff Model by Using GIS and Uncertainty Analysis (II) - Application and Analysis - (GIS와 불확실도 해석기법을 이용한 분포형 강우 -유출 모형의 개발 (II) - 적용 및 분석 -)

  • Choi, Hyun-Sang;Han, Kun-Yeun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.37 no.4
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    • pp.341-352
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    • 2004
  • In this study(II), the model developed in the previous study(I) has been tested on two cases of constant-slope areas to verify the model applicability. Firstly, an impervious one-dimensional runoff problem has been simulated. Secondly, an impervious two-dimensional runoff problem at a converging plain which consists of a V-shaped section plus a portion of the surface of a cone has been simulated. For each case, the simulation results have good agreements with the observed data. And the model has been applied to actual watersheds, which were the Sulma watershed with 8$\textrm{km}^2$ and the Donggok watershed with 33.2$\textrm{km}^2$, drainage area, respectively. The simulated results agree with observed in terms of discharges at several stations. Monte Carlo simulation was also performed on the same watersheds and the modeling results have been evaluated. The suggested model can be used for real-time forecasting of rainfall-runoff analysis, and will contribute for basinwide flood control in the future.

Application of GIS for Runoff Simulation in Ungaged Basin(I): Selection of Soil Map and Landuse Map (미계측 유역의 유출모의를 위한 지리정보시스템의 응용(I) : 토양도 및 토지이용도의 선정)

  • Kim, Gyeong-Tak;Sim, Myeong-Pil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.163-176
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    • 1999
  • Hydrology-based topographical informations generated by GIS techniques could be changed according to the selection of base map, algorithm of extraction, and so on. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the variation of SCS CN extracted by GIS technique and to propose the effective strategy for applying GIS to the rainfall-runoff simulation in ungaged basin. For experimental implementation, GIS spatial data, such as reconnaissance soil map, detailed interpretative soil map, landuse planning map and remotely sensed data(Landsat TM), were collected and generated to calculate the amount of effective rainfall in Pyungchang river basin. In applying SCS Runoff Curve Number to the test basin, the hydrological attribute data were analyzed. In addition, the characteristics of runoff responses according to the selection of GIS spatial data for SCS CN were reviewed. This study shows the applicability of GIS techniques to runoff simulation in ungaged basin by comparing with the measured flood hydrograph. It has been found that the detained interpretative soil map and remote sensing data are appropriate for calculating of SCS CN.

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Simulation Conditions based Characteristics of Spatial Flood Data Extension (모의조건에 따른 홍수 유출자료의 공간적 확장 영향분석)

  • Kim, Nam Won;Jung, Yong;Lee, Jeong Eun
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.501-511
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    • 2014
  • The effects of initial conditions and input values of the rainfall-runoff model were studied in the applications of a lumped concept model for flood event data extension. For the initial conditions of the rainfall-runoff model, baseflow effects and spatial distributions of saturation points ($R_{sa}$) for the storage function methods (SFM) were analyzed. In addition, researches on the effects of rainfall data conditions as input values for the rainfall-runoff model were performed. The Chungju Dam watershed was selected and divided into 3 catchments including smaller size of 22 sub-catchments. The observed discharge and inflow amounts at Yeongwol 1, Chungju Dam, and Yeongwol 2 water level stations were individually operated as criteria for flood data extension in 30 flood events from 1993 to 2009. Direct and base flow were distinguished from a stream flow. In order to test capability of flood data extension, obtained base flow was applied to the rainfall-runoff model for three water level stations. When base flow was adopted in the model, the Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency(NSE) was increased. The numbers of over satisfaction for model performance (>0.5) were increased over 10%. Saturation points ($R_{sa}$) which strongly influence the runoff amount when rainfall starts were optimized based on the runoff amount at three water level stations. The sizes of saturation points for three locations were similar which means saturation point size is not depending on the runoff amount. The effects of rainfall information for flood runoff were tested at 2002ev1 and 2008ev1. When increased the amount of rainfall information, the runoff simulations were closer to the simulations with full of rainfall information. However, the size of improvement was not substantial on rainfall-runoff simulations in terms of the size of total amount of rainfall.

Development of Continuous Rainfall-Runoff Model for Flood Forecasting on the Large-Scale Basin (대유역 홍수예측을 위한 연속형 강우-유출모형 개발)

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Lee, Byong-Ju
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.1
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    • pp.51-64
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to develop a continuous rainfall-runoff model for flood prediction on a large-scale basin. For this study, the hourly surface runoff estimation method based on the variable retention parameter and runoff curve number is developed. This model is composed that the soil moisture to continuous rainfall can be simulated with applying the hydrologic components to the continuous equation for soil moisture. The runoff can be simulated by linking the hydrologic components with the storage function model continuously. The runoff simulation to large basins can be performed by using channel storage function model. Nakdong river basin is selected as the study area. The model accuracy is evaluated at the 8 measurement sites during flood season in 2006 (calibration period) and 2007~2008 (verification period). The calibrated model simulations are well fitted to the observations. Nash and Sutcliffe model efficiencies in the calibration and verification periods exist in the range of 0.81 to 0.95 and 0.70 to 0.94, respectively. The behavior of soil moisture depending on the rainfall and the annual loadings of simulated hydrologic components are rational. From this results, continuous rainfall-runoff model developed in this study can be used to predict the discharge on large basins.

The Application of Adaptive Network-based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) for Modeling the Hourly Runoff in the Gapcheon Watershed (적응형 네트워크 기반 퍼지추론 시스템을 적용한 갑천유역의 홍수유출 모델링)

  • Kim, Ho Jun;Chung, Gunhui;Lee, Do-Hun;Lee, Eun Tae
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.31 no.5B
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    • pp.405-414
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    • 2011
  • The adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) which had a success for time series prediction and system control was applied for modeling the hourly runoff in the Gapcheon watershed. The ANFIS used the antecedent rainfall and runoff as the input. The ANFIS was trained by varying the various simulation factors such as mean areal rainfall estimation, the number of input variables, the type of membership function and the number of membership function. The root mean square error (RMSE), mean peak runoff error (PE), and mean peak time error (TE) were used for validating the ANFIS simulation. The ANFIS predicted runoff was in good agreement with the measured runoff and the applicability of ANFIS for modelling the hourly runoff appeared to be good. The forecasting ability of ANFIS up to the maximum 8 lead hour was investigated by applying the different input structure to ANFIS model. The accuracy of ANFIS for predicting the hourly runoff was reduced as the forecasting lead hours increased. The long-term predictability of ANFIS for forecasting the hourly runoff at longer lead hours appeared to be limited. The ANFIS might be useful for modeling the hourly runoff and has an advantage over the physically based models because the model construction of ANFIS based on only input and output data is relatively simple.

Real time forecasting of rainfall-runoff using multiple model adaptive estimation (다중모델적응추정방식을 이용한 강우-유출량의 실시간 예측)

  • 최선욱;김운해;김영철
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1996.10b
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    • pp.24-27
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    • 1996
  • The storage function method(SFM) is one of hydrologic flood routings which has been used most widely in Korea and Japan. This paper presents a storage function method using multiple model adaptive estimation(MMAE), in which a model set is generated by partitioning storage parameters over feasible range, and each storage function model is estimated, and then the weighted average of them is calculated. Finally, the future runoff is predicted in real time by means of observed data of water level at dam and rainfall. Simulation results applied to actual data show that the proposed method has much better performance than that of conventional SFM.

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