• Title/Summary/Keyword: QRA(Quantitative Risk Analysis)

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Quantitative Risk Analysis for Railway Tunnels (철도터널 화재에 대한 정량적 위험도 분석)

  • Park, Jung Hyun;Shim, Cha Sang
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.400-412
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    • 2017
  • What is particularly noteworthy from Korean and foreign railway tunnel disaster prevention standards is that for the sake of rapid evacuation, more stringent standards for provision of evacuation passages, which require high cost, are being applied. Korean standards stipulate that passage installation should be determined in accordance with the level of risk through a QRA analysis of each tunnel with 1km or longer length. As, however, detailed application criteria as fire occurrence probability, fire occurrence scenario, size of fires and evaluation criteria for level of social risk are not available, additional costs may be incurred due to excessive design. Thus, standards of an appropriate level need to be established. With this backdrop, this study selects detailed application conditions of a reasonable and appropriate level through a study and analysis of relevant documents and analyzes the maximum length of tunnels to which the application of evacuation passages, or the application major evacuation promotion facilities, can be relaxed, together with a QRA analysis of model tunnels (for high speed rail) with different tunnel lengths. In addition, the QRA results on tunnels, including those on the Honam high-speed rail, and analysis results for the model tunnels, are compiled, ; the ultimate results are compared with Korean and other countries' standards related to evacuation promotion facilities, As a result, The appropriateness of application standards are reviewed. These results are expected to be utilized as basic material for establishing a reasonable disaster prevention plan that will consider safety and economies.

A Study on Quantitative Risk Assessment Method and Risk Reduction Measures for Rail Hazardous Material Transportation (철도위험물수송에 관한 위험도 정량화방안 및 경감대책 연구)

  • Lee, Sang Gon;Cho, Woncheol;Lee, Tae Sik
    • Journal of Korean Society of societal Security
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    • v.1 no.3
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2008
  • The object of this study is to develop a tool for quantifying risks related to the rail transportation of hazardous commodities and to present mitigation measures. In this study, the Quantitative Risk Assessment (QRA) is used as a risk analysis tool. Based on the previous explosion history (Iri explosion) and consideration of its high risk, Iksan-si is selected as a model city. The result, expressed as average individual risk for exposed people with various distance, indicates that the model city is considered to be safe according to the nuclear energy standard. Also, the mitigation measures are provided since Societal risk of Iksan-si is set within ALARP. Risk reduction measures include rail car design, rail transportation operation, demage spread control as well as derail prevention and alternative routes for reducing accident frequencies. Finally, it is expected to achieve high level of public safety by appling the risk reduction measures.

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The Quantitative Risk Assessment for Railroad-tunnel Fire Incidents by using CFD code (CFD code를 이용한 철도터널 화재 위험도 평가)

  • Kim, H.B.;Lee, D.H.;Jang, Y.J.;Jung, W.S.
    • 한국전산유체공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.05a
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    • pp.169-172
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    • 2011
  • Recently, railroad long tunnels are increasing and growing longer due to topological feathers like a lot of mountain in Korea. But fire disaster of a long tunnel cause many people to injury and death. For that reason, at the early design stage of a long tunnel, risk assessment and mitigation measure of risk for satisfying tunnel safety are required. According to the railroad facility safety standard (Korean MLTM Announcement No. 2006-395), risk assessment for railroad-tunnel fire should be performed when design stage. Therefore, various methods of risk assessment for tunnel fire have been studied and applied. In the paper, QRA(Quantitative Risk Analysis) for fire risk assessment by using CFD code is presented and the usefulness of CFD is discussed.

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Risk Reduction Rate for Each Risk Mitigation Measure on High Pressure Urban Gas Pipelines Proposed by Quantitative Risk Analysis (정량적 위험성 평가를 통해 제안된 도시가스 고압배관의 위험경감조치별 위험감소효과)

  • Ryou, Young-Don;Jo, Young-Do;Park, Young-Gil;Lee, Su-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.18-23
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    • 2010
  • After conducting QRA(quantitative risk assessment) for the high pressure urban gas pipelines planned to be installed, RMMs(risk mitigation measures) when the societal risk is outside the acceptable region have been derived in this paper. Also risk reduction rates are calculated for each RMM. As a result of QRA, we find out that damaged distance caused by radiational heat is largely dependent upon the wind velocity and the atmospheric stability. The measure that has the highest risk reduction effect is No. 10 which includes pipeline corrosion monitoring, MOV(motor operated valve) installation and the method to protect pipeline damage caused by third-party mechanical interference, and which shows 75 % of risk reduction effect.

A Research on the Verification Test Procedure for Quantitative Explosion Risk Assessment and Management of Offshore Installations (해양플랜트 폭발사고 위험도 평가/관리를 위한 실증시험기법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Bong Ju;Ha, Yeon Chul;Seo, Jung Kwan
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.55 no.3
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    • pp.215-221
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    • 2018
  • The structural design of offshore installations against explosions has been required to protect vital areas (e.g. control room, worker's area etc.) and minimize the damage from explosion accidents. Because the explosion accident will not only result in significant casualties and economic losses, but also cause serious pollution and damage to surrounding environment and coastal marine ecosystems. Over the past two decades, an incredible efforts was made to develop reliable methods to reduce and manage the explosion risk. Among the methods Quantitative Risk Assessment and Management (QRA&M) is the one of cutting-edge technologies. The explosion risk can be quantitatively assessed by the product of explosion frequency based on probability calculation and consequence analyzed using computer simulations, namely Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) and Finite Element Analysis (FEA). However to obtain reliable consequence analysis results by CFD and FEA, uncertainties associate with modeling and simulation are needed to be identified and validated by comparison with experimental data. Therefore, large-scaled explosion test procedure is developed in this study. And developed test procedure can be helpful to obtain precious test data for the validation of consequence analysis using computer simulations, and subsequently allow better assessment and management of explosion risks.

A study on the estimation of safety in long railway tunnel (장대 철도터널에서의 방재 안전성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Geun;Kim, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.287-298
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    • 2007
  • Recently, as the construction of new railway and the relocation of existing line increase, tunnel structures get longer. The railway fire accidents in long tunnel bring large damages of human life and disaster. The interest on safety in long tunnel has been growing and the safety standard for long tunnels is tightening. For that reason, at the planning stage of a long tunnel, the optimum design of safety facility for minimizing the risks and satisfying the safety standard is required. For the reasonable design of a long railway tunnel considering high safety, qualitative estimation for tunnel safely is required. In this study, QRA (Quantitative Risk Analysis) technique is applied to design of a long railway tunnel for assuring the safety function and estimating the risk of safety. The case study for safety design was carried out to verify the QRA technique for two railway tunnels.

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A Study on Quantitative Risk Assessment of Off-gas based Hydrogen Purification Facilities (부생가스 기반 수소 정제시설의 정량적 위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Hyun-Gook Shin;Min-Joo Kim;Ji-Woon Jeong;Sang-Jun Ha;Jong-Ho Choi
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.27 no.4
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    • pp.110-115
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    • 2023
  • According to the Off-Gas Generation and Use Status Report (2015), Off-gas from the steel industry is estimated to be 80 million tons per year in Korea. If this is purified, large amounts of hydrogen can be produced, so active research and development related to hydrogen purification facilities is underway. In this study, a quantitative risk assessment (QRA) was conducted by analyzing the components of a off-gas based hydrogen purification facility and investigating risk factors. The risk analysis results were determined to be at an acceptable level and will be used as basic data to improve the safety of facilities considering the risks of hydrogen.

A Study on the Processing Method of Reliability Database using 2-Bayes Theory (2-Bayes 이론을 이용한 데이터 처리방법에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, M.S.;Rhie, K.W.;Kim, T.H.;Yoon, I.K.;Oh, Y.D.;Seo, D.H.
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.144-149
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    • 2009
  • The safety assessment for facility industry is now being periodically performed in Korea. For the purpose of scientific safety management, QRA(Quantitative Risk Assessment) is also being performed, and reliability data of the facilities is essential to perform the assessment. The necessary reliability data for QRA have been generally announced the values in other process industries, which results in the drop of risk reliability. The most appropriate method is to perform a direct reliability analysis towards the facilities undergoing safety assessment. In this study, the distinction between homogeneous sample estimation and multi-sample estimation of reliability data clarify using 2-Bayes theory.

Review on the detailed standards for Quantitative Risk Analysis in High Speed Railway Tunnels (고속철도 터널의 정량적 위험도 분석(QRA)을 위한 세부기준에 관한 고찰)

  • Choi, Won-Il;Choi, Jeong-Hwan;Moon, Yeon-Oh;Kim, Seon-Hong;Yoo, Ho-Sik
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.393-407
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    • 2008
  • To protection of fire accident and to minimize danger of spreading the disaster. in railway tunnel, MCT (the Ministry of Construction and Transportation) published "Rules about the Safety Standard of Railroad (2005.10.27)" and "The Detailed Safety Standard of Railroad (2006.9.22)". QRA(Quantitative Risk Analysis) results are applied to establish the fire protection facilities in railway tunnel so that institute the reasonable application about the fire safety facilities However, it is difficult to perform the fire safety design due to lack of the detailed standards about event scenario, fire intensity, incidence rate of accidents etc. Therefore, This paper introduces the practical method about detailed standards of QRA.

Fire and Explosion Analysis for Quantitative Risk Assessment on LNG Test Plant (LNG 시험 플랜트의 정량적 위해도 평가를 위한 화재 및 폭발사고 해석)

  • Han, Yong Shik;Kim, Myungbae;Do, Kyu Hyung;Kim, Tae Hoon;Choi, Byungil
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Combustion
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.1-5
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    • 2015
  • Fire and explosion analysis are performed for the quantitative risk assessment on the LNG test plant. From the analysis for a case of fire due to large leakage of LNG from the tank, it is obtained that loss of lives can be occurred within the radius of 60 m from the fire origin. Specially, wind can extend the extent of damage. Because the LNG test plant is not enclosed, the explosion overpressure is less than 6 kPa and the explosion has little effect on the integrity of the LNG test plant.