• Title/Summary/Keyword: Promotion Probability

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Model-Based Survival Estimates of Female Breast Cancer Data

  • Khan, Hafiz Mohammad Rafiqullah;Saxena, Anshul;Gabbidon, Kemesha;Rana, Sagar;Ahmed, Nasar Uddin
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • 제15권6호
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    • pp.2893-2900
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    • 2014
  • Background: Statistical methods are very important to precisely measure breast cancer patient survival times for healthcare management. Previous studies considered basic statistics to measure survival times without incorporating statistical modeling strategies. The objective of this study was to develop a data-based statistical probability model from the female breast cancer patients' survival times by using the Bayesian approach to predict future inferences of survival times. Materials and Methods: A random sample of 500 female patients was selected from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results cancer registry database. For goodness of fit, the standard model building criteria were used. The Bayesian approach is used to obtain the predictive survival times from the data-based Exponentiated Exponential Model. Markov Chain Monte Carlo method was used to obtain the summary results for predictive inference. Results: The highest number of female breast cancer patients was found in California and the lowest in New Mexico. The majority of them were married. The mean (SD) age at diagnosis (in years) was 60.92 (14.92). The mean (SD) survival time (in months) for female patients was 90.33 (83.10). The Exponentiated Exponential Model found better fits for the female survival times compared to the Exponentiated Weibull Model. The Bayesian method is used to obtain predictive inference for future survival times. Conclusions: The findings with the proposed modeling strategy will assist healthcare researchers and providers to precisely predict future survival estimates as the recent growing challenges of analyzing healthcare data have created new demand for model-based survival estimates. The application of Bayesian will produce precise estimates of future survival times.

재활용수의 선택적 자동공급이 가능한 플라스틱류 양변기 소비자 선호도에 관한 연구 (A Study on Consumer Preference for Plastic Toilet Seats with Selective Automatic Supply of Recycled Water)

  • 최태월;백종호;배상목
    • 산업진흥연구
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    • 제5권1호
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    • pp.13-20
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 재활용수의 선택적 자동공급이 가능한 플라스틱류 양변기 소비자 선호도에 관한 연구로서 연구분석 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 성별, 연령대별 플라스틱류 양변기 디자인 외형에 대한 선호도는 성별에서는 남녀 모드 C 타입을 선호하였고, 카이제곱 검정결과 자유도가 2일 때 유의확률은 .044로 유의성이 P<.05이므로 통계적으로 유의한 것으로 확인 할 수 있었다. 연령에서는 10대, 40대, 50대 이상은 C 타입, 20대, 30대는 B 타입을 선호하는 것으로 분석되었으나 통계적으로 유의하지 못한 것으로 분석되었다. 둘째, 일반적 특성에 따른 외형디자인 기준에 대한 선호도의 집단 간 차이는 성별, 연령, 지역, 학력, 연봉에서모두 안정성(안정적인 외관)을 선호하였으나, 카이제곱 검증 결과, 통계적으로 유의하지 못한 것으로 나타나 집단 간 차이는 없는 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구는 플라스틱류 소재의 양변기를 제품화함으로써 주요 생산경비 절감 등 경쟁력 및 생산성 향상을 높이는데 본 연구의 시사점이 있다.

고혈압 발생 예측 모형 개발 (Development of Hypertension Predictive Model)

  • 용왕식;박일수;강성홍;김원중;김공현;김광기;박노례
    • 보건교육건강증진학회지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.13-28
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    • 2006
  • Objectives: This study used the characteristics of the knowledge discovery and data mining algorithms to develop hypertension predictive model for hypertension management using the Korea National Health Insurance Corporation database(the insureds' screening and health care benefit data). Methods: This study validated the predictive power of data mining algorithms by comparing the performance of logistic regression, decision tree, and ensemble technique. On the basis of internal and external validation, it was found that the model performance of logistic regression method was the best among the above three techniques. Results: Major results of logistic regression analysis suggested that the probability of hypertension was: - lower for the female(compared with the male)(OR=0.834) - higher for the persons whose ages were 60 or above(compared with below 40)(OR=4.628) - higher for obese persons(compared with normal persons)(OR= 2.103) - higher for the persons with high level of glucose(compared with normal persons)(OR=1.086) - higher for the persons who had family history of hypertension(compared with the persons who had not)(OR=1.512) - higher for the persons who periodically drank alcohol(compared with the persons who did not)$(OR=1.037{\sim}1.291)$ Conclusions: This study produced several factors affecting the outbreak of hypertension using screening. It is considered to be a contributing factor towards the nation's building of a Hypertension Management System in the near future by bringing forth representative results on the rise and care of hypertension.

성인들의 구강보건과 건강.삶의 질의 관련성 연구 - 영남지역 일부 주민들을 대상으로 - (Research about Relationship between the Quality of life, Oral Health and Total Health of adults)

  • 김지화;민경진
    • 보건교육건강증진학회지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.31-46
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this research is to increase adults' quality of life by improving oral health. Total 572 people participated in this study in Young-Nam area. Survey research method was used to measure various tools of participants' general index, subjective view of oral health status, oral health knowledge, oral health practice, dietary pattern, OHIP-14, THI, QOL for analyzing the effect on quality of life. The result of the study is summarized as follows; 1. Oral health knowledge has positive effects on oral health practice (0.442), dietary pattern(0.343). Diet has positive effects on OHIP-14(0.187) and OHIP-14 has significant positive effects on THI(0.564). THI also has positive effects on QOL(0.380). But oral health practice index has slight effects on OHIP-14(0.056). 2. Indirect effect indexes on QOL are OHIP-14(0.214), diet(0.040), oral health knowledge(0.019), oral health practice(0.012) listed in order of effect size, and the biggest direct effect on QOL is from THI(0.308). The result of this study shows oral health and total health are important to improve the quality of life. And the knowledge about oral health dietary pattern should be important to improve oral health. But, even with high level of oral health knowledge, the oral health practice is at low level. Health education developing program should be needed. It is required to present basic data which represent adults with national view by extracting groups using sample probability methods as of next task of this study.

Do Degree Programs Affect Health Profession Students' Attitudes and Opinions Toward Vaccinations? An Italian Multicenter Study

  • Voglino, Gianluca;Barbara, Andrea;Dallagiacoma, Giulia;Santangelo, Omar Enzo;Provenzano, Sandro;Gianfredi, Vincenza
    • Safety and Health at Work
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2022
  • Background: Healthcare workers' attitudes toward vaccination have been widely described in the literature, but a restricted amount of studies assessed healthcare students' knowledge, attitudes, and opinions on this issue. This study aimed to estimate the influence of a degree course on knowledge and immunization behavior among healthcare students and to compare medical students with students from other health profession degree programs to identify possible differences. Methods: A multicenter, cross-sectional study was performed in 2018 in 14 Italian Universities (3,131 students were interviewed). A validated questionnaire was used to assess knowledge, attitudes, and opinions toward vaccinations, with a specific focus on influenza vaccine and attitudes toward mandatory vaccination policies. Statistical software STATA® 14 was used. Results: Significant differences were recorded between medical students and other healthcare students. The intention to get vaccinated against influenza during the next season and having been vaccinated in the previous season was higher in the medical group (p < 0.001). In the group of students of other health professions, we registered a lower probability of identifying themselves as a high-risk group for contracting infectious diseases as a consequence of their profession and health status (aOR 0.49; CI95%: 0.40-0.60) and an increased likelihood of defining their level of knowledge on vaccine-preventable diseases and related vaccinations as "insufficient/sufficient/fair" (aOR 1.31; CI95%: 1.11-1.56). Conclusions: Results show several differences between medical students and students of other health professions when it comes to vaccination knowledge, attitudes, and perceptions, as well as a general low tendency to be vaccinated against influenza.

K-Pop Music Worldwide and Digital Marketing Role in Brazil

  • Lourenco, Patricia Portugal Marques de Carvalho;Kim, Sang Yong
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • 제17권4호
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    • pp.63-88
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    • 2016
  • K-Pop is hugely promoted offline/online in East Asia, while efforts to promote it elsewhere are kept to a minimum. Whilst addressing the role of digital marketing in the promotion of K-Pop in the Brazilian music industry this study aims to demonstrate that K-pop will provide its audience with a unique and engaging experience if it thinks globally and acts locally in its marketing and communication strategies. A survey of K-Pop's world fan base was carried out online with 1,074 fans to determine the validity of the hypothesis. The results have demonstrated the need to adapt global and intercultural strategies to local markets with increasing brand awareness through utilizing digital marketing. For example, to increase K-Pop's popularity and market share in Brazil, it is not required to sing in Brazilian Portuguese, contrary to what might be perceived but fully singing in English would help breaking into the market dominated by domestic music as songs would have a higher probability to be included in the international soundtrack of a Brazilian telenovela and promote the K-Pop artist not only across Brazil but also give the artist exposure in all the markets the Brazilian telenovela is exported to, opening an entry door to those markets. K-Pop audience segmentation and psychographic profiling is crucial to the understanding of each market's consumer's preferences, likes, dislikes and their buying habits as it was proven through Brazil's digital media, social media, digital music market and K-Pop market analysis within the global context of the study. It should be also considered that brand extensions are not standard everywhere and that there are cultures where different product categories are not directly associated with its main corporate owner which requires extensive local market knowledge to succeed. The primary and secondary data research that we conducted for this study intended to demonstrate that K-Pop can be successful in Brazil and in Latin America and increase their local and regional market share if digital marketing and communication strategies are tailored to each individual market.

마케팅 지향성이 중소기업 경영성과에 미치는 영향: 충남지역을 중심으로 (Effects of Marketing Orientation on Management Performance of Small and Medium-sized Enterprises: Focusing on the Chungnam Area)

  • 배상목
    • 산업진흥연구
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    • 제8권3호
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2023
  • 본 연구는 마케팅 지향성이 중소기업 경영성과에 미치는 영향에 관한 실증적 연구로 충남지역을 대상으로 설문지 총 94부를 연구 분석 자료로 활용하였다. 분석결과, 첫째, 마케팅 지향성 중 기업 지향성은 성장성(β=.405)과 고객만 족(β=.330)에 유의한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 기업 지향성의 고객만족은 낮은 수치를 보이고 있어 개선의 필요성이 있다. 둘째, 고객만족과 성장성은 .746으로 높은 상관계수의 수치로 나타났고, p<.01 이상의 유의한 상관관계를 보이고 있어 변수들 간의 상관관계는 적합한 것으로 확인되었다. 셋째, 조사대상자의 연령과 근무경력은 고객만족에 집단 간 유의한 차이가 있는 것으로 확인하였다. 유의확률은 .006으로 통계적으로 유의한 결과를 보였다. 본 연구는 마케팅 지향성과 경영성과 연구로 중소기업의 경영 전략과 실제적인 성과 향상을 위한 기초자료를 제공하는데 의미가 있다.

연구소기업 네트워크의 ERGM 분석 연구: 대덕연구개발특구를 중심으로 (A Study on the ERGM on Innopolis Start-ups Networks: Focusing on Daedeok Innopolis)

  • 구장원;임재빈
    • 산업진흥연구
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.45-58
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    • 2024
  • 본 연구는 대전 지역에 위치한 연구소기업과 전국에 있는 연구소기업 고객사 간의 사회적 네트워크 구조 특성을 동종 기술 간 지역적 군집화 경향으로 모형화했고, ERGM(Exponential Random Graph Model) 분석 모형 대비 관측값이 95% 신뢰구간 내 포함되었다. 기업 모두 대전 유성구에 위치한 경우, 다른 행정구역에 속한 경우보다 연결 확률이 약 13배 높았을 뿐만 아니라 동종 기술을 가진 기업 간에는 구색성 및 동질성 값이 부의 값(0.1904)으로 활발한 연결 경향을 보였으며, 특히 6대 기술 중 '환경·에너지기술(ET)' 기업 간에 P값이 0.035로 가장 유의하였다. 유성구에 속하지 않은 기업 사이에는 음의 값(-0.0035)을 보이고, 군집 경향도 적었다. 이를 통해 대덕연구개발특구가 입지한 대전광역시 유성구가 혁신클러스터의 중심지 역할을 형성하고 있음을 확인할 수 있었다.

초음파검사에 의한 알코올성 간질환의 위험요인 분석 (Risk Factors Analysis of Alcoholic Liver Diseases by Ultrasonography)

  • 이만구;한남숙;임청환;정홍량;조정근
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제9권3호
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    • pp.185-194
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    • 2009
  • 본 연구는 2007년 3월부터 5월까지 경기도 광주시에 소재하고 있는 K영상의학과의원에서 간 초음파검사에 의한 알코올성 간질환의 위험요인을 분석하기 위하여, 연령, 성별, 음주빈도, 체질량지수, 콜레스테롤 및 GPT 등 6개의 요인을 선정하였다. 연구대상은 20세 이상 69세 미만의 353명을 대상으로 간 초음파검사에 의한 간질환과 음주양태 등과 생활습관의 관계를 분석하였다. 분석 결과 간질환에 걸릴 확률은 남성이 여성보다 2.12배 정도 높은 것으로 나타났으며, 주 3회 이상 술을 마시는 사람이 간질환에 걸릴 확률은 주 2회 이하로 마시거나 술을 전혀 마시지 않는 사람들에 비해 약 2.37배 높은 것으로 나타났다. 정상 체질량지수인 사람이 비정상 체질량지수인 사람보다 간질환에 걸릴 확률이 0.52배로 낮은 것으로 나타났다. 콜레스테롤 수치가 비정상인이 간질환에 걸릴 확률이 정상인보다 약 9.13배 정도 높은 것으로 나타났다. GPT 수치가 비정상인 사람은 정상인보다 간질환에 걸릴 확률이 약 4.66배 높은 것으로 나타났다. 따라서 본 연구 결과 간질환을 진단하기 위하여 건강증진 프로그램에 간 초음파검사가 필수적이라고 사료된다.

산정방법에 따른 논 원단위 비교 (Comparison of Unit Load from Paddy Field by Various Estimation Methods)

  • 최동호;정재운;윤광식;최우정;조소현;범진아;유승화
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.407-419
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    • 2015
  • 본 연구는 영산강 수계 1지점과 섬진강 수계 1지점의 논 유출수 4년간 유량과 수질 모니터링 자료를 이용하여 원단위 산정방법에 따른 원단위 차이를 비교하였다. 원단위 산정방법은 실측부하량을 이용한 방법, 국립환경과학원의 새로운 원단위 산정 방법(NIER 방법), EMC 확률분포모형 중앙값을 이용한 방법, 산술평균 EMC와 산술평균 유출율을 이용한 방법을 활용하였다. 원단위 산정방법별 차이를 살펴본 결과 실측부하량을 이용한 방법과 NIER 방법의 원단위는 서로 비슷한 값을 보였지만, 확률분포모형(Lognormal, Gamma)을 이용한 원단위는 상대적으로 작게 나타났다. 한편 산술평균 EMC와 유출율을 이용하여 산정된 원단위는 NIER 방법보다 원단위가 크게 산정되는 것으로 나타났다. 또한 NIER 방법의 원단위는 1995에 조사된 환경부 원단위에 비해 BOD, COD, SS는 큰 값을 T-N은 작은값을, T-P는 비슷한 값을 산정되는 것으로 나타났다.