• 농촌계획
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.103-108
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• 1996

In rural planning, the cost estimation of project is a key factor for planning. Therefore, development of reliable cost estimation method is essential. Recently, new techniques are suggested for determination of project cost using historical cost data. In this study, a multiple-regression analysis was used to determine the cost of the farm land consolidation. The results demonstrated that multiple regression analysis using historical cost data can be applicable to project cost estimation.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제21권2호
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• pp.30-38
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• 2020

국내 공공 건설공사 공사비 수준이 시장 상황을 합리적으로 반영하지 못하고 있는 인식이 산업 전반에 널리 펴져 있는 가운데, 총사업비 관리 프로세스 상의 과도한 공사비 조정이 공사비의 적정성 미확보에 대한 핵심 원인 중 하나로 지목되고 있다. 정부는 건설 프로젝트 총사업비 산정 및 관리 프로세스에서 삭감 위주의 정책을 펼치고 있으며, 산업계에서는 예정가격 대비 낙찰가격의 수준은 매우 낮다는 인식이 일반적이다. 본 연구에서는 총사업비 관리 프로세스를 개선하기 위한 목적으로 총사업비 산정 및 관리 프로세스에 대한 분석을 수행한다. 입·낙찰 방식별 총사업비가 단계별 조정되는 과정을 분석하고, 사업구상 단계 대비 낙찰가격의 수준에 대한 정량적 비교분석 결과를 도출한다.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제16권1호
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• pp.119-128
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• 2015

국내 종합사업관리 용역비 산정을 위하여 대부분의 경우, 유사 사업관리 산정사례를 참고하여 추정하거나 과업참여자의 경험을 바탕으로 비용을 산정하였음을 알 수 있다. 이는 사업관리비 산정에 대한 정확성이 떨어져 사업을 주관하는 발주기관에서는 사업계획 및 예산 반영이 어려우며, 추정치에 의한 용역비 산정으로 향후 설계변경 등의 사업관리용역비 증가의 원인이 되기도 한다. 따라서 발주자와 용역 참여자가 보다 정확한 용역비를 산정하여 변경사항 등으로 인한 비용증가와 분쟁을 최소화하기 위해서는 용역비 산정기준을 객관적이고 과학적인 방법으로 적용할 필요가 있다. 종합건설사업 관리의 용역비 산정을 위해 기존의 경우에는 사례와 경험을 기초로 한 Top-Down 방식으로 접근하였다면, 본 연구에서는 사업관리 업무를 세부단계 및 활동(Activity)으로 분류하고 단계별로 WBS를 부여하여 각각 부여된 코드에 일정과 비용을 산정하는 Bottom-Up 방식의 사업관리 용역비를 산정하는 것으로, 용역비 산정을 위한 프로젝트 기준모델을 개발하고 프로젝트별 보정계수를 적용하여 용역비용을 산정하는 방식으로 이를 ICEP이라고 명명하였다. 또한 산정된 해당 과업의 비용과 추후 실적자료를 분석하여 보완함으로써 프로젝트별 특성을 반영한 종합사업관리 용역비 산정으로 효율적인 건설사업 관리가 가능해진다.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 2th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.119-129
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• 2007

In January 2005, the BTL private investment project was introduced in the Korean construction market as part of the plan to provide high-quality public service and expand the required facilities in a timely manner. Nonetheless, problems such as the low earning rate at the beginning of the business, burden of service compared to the cost of the proposed business, and limitations of the local small and medium-sized companies in relation to their participation in the project arose. The LCC analysis system for the BTL projects was developed as part of efforts toward efficiently investigating the investment eligibility. Specifically, methods for LCC analysis were selected for each stage of the BTL project in relation to the requests of experts for military residential facilities and public educational facilities. Variables were then extracted to derive an accurate analysis value, LCC for the 5 cost items (initial investment cost, operating expenses, maintenance expenses, energy cost, and disposal cost), analyzed, and system enabling comparative analysis for single and multiple initiatives by year and item, developed. Thus, we have to clearly require the accumulation of data to examine the appropriateness of the results of LCC analysis based on data and results.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제42권5호
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• pp.542-549
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• 2005

Naval ships are complex weapon systems which play the integrated performance by system integration of many kinds of weapon systems and their leading ships are usually not disposed after test and evaluation but militarised. Then, strict project management is required for naval ship building projects by identifying problems early and by taking prefer measures in time against unexpected situations encountered in the process of the projects. EVMS is a project management system which can manage the schedule and the budget of a project concurrently and estimate the project's time duration and the cost at project completion. In this paper, the applicability and usefulness of WMS is studied for a assumed navai ship building project, in the environment of monetary fluctuations such as price index, wage increase rate and exchange rate.

• 한국건설관리학회논문집
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• 제6권4호
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• pp.80-90
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• 2005

프로젝트의 일정 네트워크는 선-후행 관계로 정의된 액티 비 티들로 구성되어 있다 액티비티를 완료하는데 소요되는 기간은 다양한 단축-지연 원인들에 의해 임의적이고, 확률-통계적 인 특성을 지닌다. 이러한 특성은 최종공사기간을 불확실하게하며, 재무리스크의 주요인이 된다. 본 연구는 선행 연구에서 개발된 확률-통계적 일정 시뮬레이션 시스템(Stochastic Project Scheduling Simulation)을 확장하여 액티비티 기간이 임의적으로 변동함에 따라 최종공사비가 어떻게 거동하는지 추정하는 방법론을 제시한다. 액티비티 기간을 임의의 변수로 취급하였고, 액티비티에 할당된 직접공사비에 공사기간의 단축-지연에 따른 간접비의 증감을 반영하여 최종공사비를 추정하였다. 액티비티 기간의 변동에 따라 의존 변수인 간접비가 변동하는 특성을 고려하여 시뮬레이션 출력값들(최종공사기간들)의 통계적 특성을 정량적으로 분석하여 최종공사비를 추정하였으며, 예비할 필요가 있는 지체보상금의 정도를 정량화하였다. 기존의 결정론적 기법이 불확실성을 내재한 체 지체 보상금의 비율을 주관적으로 적용해 왔던 반면, 본 연구에서 제시된 기법은 확실성과 신뢰도를 가지고 지체보상금의 비율을 책정할 수 있도록 하는 방법론을 제시하고 있다. 하나의 예제 프로젝트가 시뮬레이션을 이용한 정량분석기법을 예시하기위해 사용되었으며, 불확실성을 내포하고 있는 액티비티 기간들이 최종공사비에 미치는 영향을 검증하기위해 시뮬레이션 모의실험을 실행하였다 자동화된 민감도분석 기법을 이용하여 액티비티 기간을 정의하는 확률분포함수의 통계적 위치를 변화시킴에 따라 최종공사기간 및 최종공사비가 어떠한 거동을 나타내는지 확인하였다. 예제로 사용된 표본 프로젝트에 내재되어있는 재무리스크에 대응하기위해 지체보상금을 어느 정도까지 보유할 필요가 있는지를 정량적으로 분석하고, 의사결정을 위해 어떻게 적용될 수 있는지를 소개한다. 본 연구에 제시된 기법은 연구자들 및 현업 종사자들에게 최종공사비 예측에있어서 액티비티 기간 변화의 확률적 영향과 이론적 의미를 밝힘으로 프로젝트 자본계획과 관련된 위기관리에 진보된 예측방법론을 제공한다.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 4th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management Organized by the University of New South Wales
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• pp.468-473
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• 2011

The goal of a project manager is generally to minimize the cost of the project and also to cope with uncertainty. This paper deals with the problem of project scheduling a set of activities satisfying precedence constraints in order to minimize the sum of the costs associated with the starting times of the activities in the network with imprecise activity durations, represented by means of interval or fuzzy numbers. So far this problem has been completely solved by several authors when the activities durations have crisp values. However, they do not consider the imprecision in activity durations in their models. Here the framework of possibility theory is proposed to solve this problem. In fuzzy arithmetic, usually, the interval calculations are used for the aim of complexity reduction and simplification. Thus the case of interval-valued durations is first addressed, and then extended to fuzzy intervals. A numerical example is used to illustrate the developed concept.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.354-360
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• 2009

The demands for large-scale construction projects such as Mega-projects are largely increasing due to the rapid growth of increasing populations as well as the need to replace existing buildings and infrastructure. Increasing costs of materials, supplies, and labors require the first cost estimates at the preliminary planning stage to be as accurate as possible. This paper presents the results obtained from the survey on evaluating nine critical success factors that influence the accurate first cost estimates for large-scale projects from practical experiences. It then examines the current cost structures of construction companies for large-scale projects, followed by the causes for cost and schedule overrun. Twenty completed surveys were collected and the Analytic Hierarchy Process was applied to analyze the data. The results indicate that technology issues, the contract type, and social and environmental impacts are the significant leading factors for accurate first cost estimates of large-scale construction projects.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• 제7권9호
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• pp.389-400
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• 2020

A construction project is a designed product made up of labors, materials, and installations in the project positioned on the ground and may include the underground and ground section, and the section in water or on the water surface. It is a civil, industrial, transport, agricultural and rural development, infrastructure, or some other. A key phase in the life cycle of these construction projects is the implementation when building products are made directly with workers, equipment, materials, and managers. If there is a lack of management experience, information, and problem-solving solutions to tackle the risks faced by contractors, especially foreign ones, will fail in controlling the project's cost. This study was conducted with investigations, discussions, and evaluation of the factors that lead to cost overruns in the construction projects of international contractors in Vietnam. The principal component analysis (PCA) showed that those factors that influence cost overruns these construction projects fall into five general groups, including factors related to (i) the owners, (ii) the foreign contractors, (iii) the subcontractors and suppliers, (iv) state management, and (v) the project itself. Besides, the study proposes solutions to limit cost overruns in construction projects and improve the profitability of international contractors in Vietnam.

• 국제학술발표논문집
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• The 3th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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• pp.1433-1439
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• 2009

Best value is the ultimate goal of the owner and can thus have diverse meanings according to the project characteristic, owner's purpose, user groups' payment capability, etc.. Recently, resettlement problems of the marginalized members in the urban regeneration area have been issued in Korea because they have no capability to purchase (or lease) redeveloped housing (or apartment). It means that a minimized production cost for reducing supply price of housing is a key factor in establishing the best value of the marginalized members. The lowest-price bidding system serves the purpose of ensuring a minimized production cost, but due to the low-cost investments, it creates various problems, such as sloppy construction, lowered quality, an increased LCC, and worsening profitability for builders. Thus, to help them resettle, it is necessary to supply affordable housing geared towards a certain appropriate quality and minimum construction costs. Towards this end, this study aimed to propose a cost reduction bidding system based on a technical proposal. The proposed technical-proposal-based cost reduction bidding system consists of the following components: work-unit-based, project-unit-based, and construction-period-reducing technical proposals. These components are evaluated to select the best bidder for a given project. The technical proposal based cost reduction bidding system proposed herein is expected to provide facilities with appropriate supply prices and appropriate quality levels, to bolster the technological competitiveness of builders.