• 물과 미래
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• 제7권2호
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• pp.99-106
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• 1974

The records of wave heights which were observed at Muk ho and Po hang of the East Coast of Korea were analized by several probility functions. The exponential 2 parameter distribution was found as the best fit probability function to the historical distribution of wave heights by the test of goodness of fit. But log-normal 2 parameter and log-extremal type A distributions were also fit to the historical distribution, especially in the Smirnov-Kolmogorov test. Therefore, it can't be always regarded that those two distributions are not fit to the wave heiht's distribution. In the test of goodness of fit, the Chi-Square test gave very sensitive results and Smirnov-Kolmogorov test, which is a distribution free and non-parametric test, gave more inclusive results. At the next stage, the inter-relationship between the mean and the one-third wave heights, the mean and the one-=tenth wave heights, the one-third and the one-tenth wave heights, the one-third and the highest wave heights were obtained and discussed.

• 한국통신학회논문지
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• 제18권4호
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• pp.457-467
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• 1993

랜덤매질을 통과한 광파에 대한 중요한 통계적인 양 중의 하나는 광도의 확률분포이다. 현상학적 모델로부터 여러가지 분포함수들이 제안되었다. 본 논문에서는 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션에 의해 광도데이타를 얻고, 모멘트법, 히스토그램법 및 $x^2$-테스트에 의해 제안된 분포함수들을 시뮬레이션 데이터와 비교함으로써 각 분포함수들의 타당성을 조사하고자 한다.

• Earthquakes and Structures
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• 제5권4호
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• pp.439-459
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• 2013

Main objective of the present study is to determine the statistical properties and suitable probability distribution functions of spectral displacements from nonlinear static and nonlinear dynamic analysis within the frame work of Monte Carlo simulation for typical low rise and high rise RC framed buildings located in zone III and zone V and designed as per Indian seismic codes. Probabilistic analysis of spectral displacement is useful for strength assessment and loss estimation. To the author's knowledge, no study is reported in literature on comparison of spectral displacement including the uncertainties in capacity and demand in Indian context. In the present study, uncertainties in capacity of the building is modeled by choosing cross sectional dimensions of beams and columns, density and compressive strength of concrete, yield strength and elastic modulus of steel and, live load as random variables. Uncertainty in demand is modeled by choosing peak ground acceleration (PGA) as a random variable. Nonlinear static analysis (NSA) and nonlinear dynamic analysis (NDA) are carried out for typical low rise and high rise reinforced concrete framed buildings using IDARC 2D computer program with the random sample input parameters. Statistical properties are obtained for spectral displacements corresponding to performance point from NSA and maximum absolute roof displacement from NDA and suitable probability distribution functions viz., normal, Weibull, lognormal are examined for goodness-of-fit. From the hypothesis test for goodness-of-fit, lognormal function is found to be suitable to represent the statistical variation of spectral displacement obtained from NSA and NDA.

• 한국전산구조공학회논문집
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.9-16
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• 2011

다상 재료는 상(phase) 분포 상태에 의해 그 특성이 다르기 때문에 상 분포에 따른 재료의 특성을 이해하는 것이 중요하다. 본 연구에서는 미세구조의 상 분포 특성을 묘사할 수 있는 확률 분포 함수를 사용하여 등방성/이방성 미세구조의 상분포 상태를 표현하는 방법을 살펴보았다. 다양한 상 분포를 가진 미세구조들에 유한요소해석 기법을 적용하여 미세구조의 역학적인 거동을 분석함으로서, 상 군집의 분포 상태에 따른 재료의 강도 및 특성의 변화를 살펴보았다. 이를 통해 상 군집의 위상에 의한 재료 강도의 영향 및 군집 크기가 커질수록 강도가 낮아지는 현상을 확인하였다.

• 대한조선학회논문집
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• 제52권1호
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• pp.88-95
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• 2015

For the frequency-domain spectral fatigue analysis, the probability density function of stress range needs to be estimated based on the stress spectrum only, which is a frequency domain representation of the response. The probability distribution of the stress range of the narrow-band spectrum is known to follow the Rayleigh distribution, however the PDF of wide-band spectrum is difficult to define with clarity due to the complicated fluctuation pattern of spectrum. In this paper, efforts have been made to figure out the links between the probability density function of stress range to the structural response of wide-band Gaussian random process. An artificial neural network scheme, known as one of the most powerful system identification methods, was used to identify the multivariate functional relationship between the idealized wide-band spectrums and resulting probability density functions. To achieve this, the spectrums were idealized as a superposition of two triangles with arbitrary location, height and width, targeting to comprise wide-band spectrum, and the probability density functions were represented by the linear combination of equally spaced Gaussian basis functions. To train the network under supervision, varieties of different wide-band spectrums were assumed and the converged probability density function of the stress range was derived using the rainflow counting method and all these data sets were fed into the three layer perceptron model. This nonlinear least square problem was solved using Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm with regularization term included. It was proven that the network trained using the given data set could reproduce the probability density function of arbitrary wide-band spectrum of two triangles with great success.

• 수산해양기술연구
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• 제29권2호
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• pp.152-161
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• 1993

This paper deals with the effect of spatial distribution of material properties on its statistical characteristics and numerical estimation method of reliability of fatigue sensitive structures with respect to the fatigue crack growth. A method is proposed to determine experimentally the probability distribution functions of material parameters of Paris law. da/dN=C(ΔK/K sub(0) ) super(m), using stress intensity factor controlled fatigue tests. The result with a high tensile strength steel shows that the distribution of the parameter m is approximately normal and that of 1/C, is a 3-parameter Weibull. The main result obtained are : (1) The theoretical autocorrelation of the resistance, 1/C, to fatigue crack growth are almost same for different lengths. (2) The variance decreases with the increasing a averaging length. When spatial correlation length is very small. the variane decreases significantly were the averaging length. (3) The probability distribution of load cycles or the number for a crack to reach a certain length can be estimated using these functions by simulation of non-Gaussian(expecially Weibull) Stochastic Process.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제29권3호
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• pp.83-91
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• 2011

이 논문은 확률론적인 방법을 이용하여 동적 통행시간(dynamic travel time) 모형을 도출한다. 동적 통행시간 모형은 차량의 통행시간은 도로 공간상에서의 교통흐름 분포에 따라, 또는 통행구간 출발점에서 시간에 대한 교통흐름의 분포에 따라 결정된다고 가정하여 얻어진다. 이 모형들에서 교통흐름의 분포가 차량의 통행시간에 미치는 정도를 나타내는 확률밀도함수(probability density function)는 여러 가지 형태의 도입될 수 있으나 지수분포를 따른다고 가정한다.

• 한국국방경영분석학회지
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• 제25권1호
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• pp.160-168
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• 1999

This research focussed on developing a hit probability model for polygonal target to increase the survivability of weapon systems by its shape design. First, we defined the delivery errors and derived functions for these errors based on the assumption of bivariate normal distribution, and the derived functions for probability of shot hitting of various shapes of polygonal target. Also, we developed computer program for computation of the probability of hitting a general n-sided polygon and we have shown a sample run output. The model could be used to improve the survivability from design phase by designing optimal polygonal shape of weapon system.

• 한국신뢰성학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신뢰성학회 2001년도 정기학술대회
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• pp.301-310
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• 2001

Lim et al.(1998) proposed the Bayesian Imperfect Repair Model, in which a failed system is perfectly repaired with probability P and is minimally repaired with probability 1 - P, where P is not fixed but a random variable with a prior distribution II(p). In this note, the steady state availability of the model is derived and the measure is obtained for several particular prior distribution functions.

• International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing
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• 제4권6호
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• pp.12-19
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• 2003

This paper presents the effect of boundary conditions in various failure pressure models published for the estimation of failure pressure. Furthermore, this approach is extended to the failure prediction with the aid of a failure probability model. The first order Taylor series expansion of the limit state function is used in order to estimate the probability of failure associated with each corrosion defect in buried pipelines for long exposure period with unit of years. A failure probability model based on the von-Mises failure criterion is adapted. The log-normal and standard normal probability functions for varying random variables are adapted. The effects of random variables such as defect depth, pipe diameter, defect length, fluid pressure, corrosion rate, material yield stress, material ultimate tensile strength and pipe thickness on the failure probability of the buried pipelines are systematically investigated for the corrosion pipeline by using an adapted failure probability model and varying failure pressure model.