• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability Item

Search Result 102, Processing Time 0.03 seconds

오버워치 루트 박스 시스템 분석 (Analysis of Loot Box System in Overwatch)

  • 한석희
    • 한국게임학회 논문지
    • /
    • 제18권1호
    • /
    • pp.95-104
    • /
    • 2018
  • 본 연구는 미국의 블리자드社의 FPS 장르 게임 Overwatch의 루트 박스(Loot Box)의 구조를 탐구한다. 현재 최근 게임 산업 가장 큰 논란거리 중 하나는 게임 유저들이 고성능의 게임 아이템을 복권 형식으로 구입하는 "확률형 아이템"이다. 본 연구는 확률형 아이템과 비슷한 해외의 루트박스 사례를 다각적으로 탐구하여, 어떠한 구조를 지니고 있는지를 분석하고 법적인 해석을 시도한다. 이를 통해, 루트 박스 시스템의 장단점을 분석할 뿐만 아니라 국내의 확률형 아이템 문제를 위한 시사점을 제공한다.

Development of an Item Selection Method for Test-Construction by using a Relationship Structure among Abilities

  • Kim, Sung-Ho;Jeong, Mi-Sook;Kim, Jung-Ran
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제8권1호
    • /
    • pp.193-207
    • /
    • 2001
  • When designing a test set, we need to consider constraints on items that are deemed important by item developers or test specialists. The constraints are essentially on the components of the test domain or abilities relevant to a given test set. And so if the test domain could be represented in a more refined form, test construction would be made in a more efficient way. We assume that relationships among task abilities are representable by a causal model and that the item response theory (IRT) is not fully available for them. In such a case we can not apply traditional item selection methods that are based on the IRT. In this paper, we use entropy as an uncertainty measure for making inferences on task abilities and developed an optimal item selection algorithm which reduces most the entropy of task abilities when items are selected from an item pool.

  • PDF

LPG 기화기의 화재.폭발사고 예측모델개발에 관한 연구 (Study on Fire.Explosion Accidents Prediction Model Development of LPG Vaporizer)

  • 고재선
    • 한국가스학회지
    • /
    • 제14권1호
    • /
    • pp.28-36
    • /
    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 1995년부터 2006년까지 12년간 발생한 3,593건의 가스사고사례를 수집하여 데이터베이스를 구축하였으며, 이를 근거로 LPG 기화기사고의 발생건수를 형태 및 원인별로 분석하였다. 분석결과를 살펴보면 사고의 형태로는 파열, 누출, 폭발, 화재 순으로 발생하는 것으로 나타났으며, 기화기 가스사고 중 세부원인을 분석한 결과 가장 많이 발생한 원인으로는 액유출방지장치의 결함에 의한 것으로 분석되었다. 또한 Poisson분석법을 적용하여 향후 5년 이내에 LPG 기화기와 관련된 화재, 폭발, 누출, 파열에 대한 가장 가능성이 높은 발생확률을 예측하였다. 그 결과 사고의 발생횟수가 3번 이하로 발생하는 항목으로는 LPG-Vaporizer-Fire으로 나타났으며, 5번 이하는 LPG-Vaporizer -Products Faults-Check Floater, 10번 이하는 LPG-Vaporizer-Products Faults로 분석되었다. 향후 본 연구에서 구축한 국내사고 Database를 매년 지속적으로 보완 개정을 하면 국내 가스사고 예측에 대한 보다 신뢰성 있는 정보를 제공해 줄 수 있어 효과적인 가스안전관리 대책수립에 기여할 것으로 기대된다.

Optimal Numbers of Repeat Inspections with Decreasing Detection Probability

  • Kim, S.B.;Bai, D.S.
    • 대한산업공학회지
    • /
    • 제11권2호
    • /
    • pp.19-27
    • /
    • 1985
  • Optimal numbers of repeat inspections are obtained for a single inspector who has a fixed probability of detecting a nonconforming item on each inspection and will continue to inspect until further inspection is not warranted when comparing the expected increase of total gain with the inspection cost. It is assumed that the detection probability decreases as the number of repeat inspections increases, and that the lot to be inspected contains an unknown but Poisson distributed number of nonconforming items.

  • PDF

수학과 중등임용 확률과 통계학 기출문항 분석 (An Analysis on the Past Items of Probability and statistics in Secondary School Mathematics Teacher Certification Examination)

  • 김창일;전영주
    • 한국학교수학회논문집
    • /
    • 제20권4호
    • /
    • pp.387-404
    • /
    • 2017
  • 본 연구에서는 최근 4개년(2014~2017학년도)의 수학교과내용학 기출문항 가운데 확률과 통계학 문항을 분석 대상 문항으로 분류하고, 수학과 임용시험 문항 분석틀을 기반으로 분류된 문항을 분석하였다. 그 결과 첫째, 확률과 통계학 교육과정의 정상화를 유도하기 위하여 4개 평가영역이 고르게 출제되어야 한다. 둘째, 통합적 사고, 종합 분석적인 사고 평가가 이루어져야 한다. 셋째, 수학적 사고력과 논리적 역량을 측정할 수 있는 문항 발문이 사용되어야 한다. 넷째, 문항 수에 의한 출제 비율은 7.7%~10.0%이고, 배점에 따른 비율은 이 보다 낮은 5.0%~7.5% 사이로 출제되었다. 다섯째, 적정난이도 안정화 정책을 유지하고 있다. 여섯째, 확률과 통계학은 귀납적 관점의 문제해결력 측정을 해야 한다는 결론과 시사점을 얻었다.

  • PDF

주택성능등급 가변성 세부성능 항목의 특성 및 개선방안 (The Characteristic and Improvement of Flexibility Performance Item evaluated by "Housing Performance Grading System")

  • 이성옥
    • KIEAE Journal
    • /
    • 제11권6호
    • /
    • pp.29-35
    • /
    • 2011
  • This study aims to suggest improvement plans and explain about the current situation for facilitating Long-life housing, based on the results on flexibility items among 27 items consisting the "Housing Performance Grading System". From the 9th of January, 2006 to the month of July in 2011, study has analyzed evaluation results on 216 different types for each grade and reviewed evaluation criteria and methods. Current evaluation criteria applies quantitative analysis, by calculating in percentage how much bearing walls and columns, which hinder flexibility, take up space in the household. The evaluation rate for each household was assessed in relation to its structural system, and a higher grade was given to column-typed structures. In addition, to facilitate long-life housing, this study extracted harmful factors, expanding the range of evaluation. The first step was to evaluate structure, which is the basic element. The second step can to evaluate the probability of applying resources in response to the changes of structural systems. As The third step, Flexibility item will evaluate the probability of moving the water-using area, suggesting gradual approach. Thus, through evaluations of flexibility items, the study aims to improve the quality of life in household, by avoiding uniform structures and acquiring more freedom for space designs.

Optimum Inventory Level and optimal Selling Price to Realize a Pre-determined Level of Profit

  • Kang, Suk-Ho;Noh, Seung-Jong
    • 대한산업공학회지
    • /
    • 제12권1호
    • /
    • pp.43-48
    • /
    • 1986
  • In this paper, the one period multi-item inventory model is considered in which it is required to determine the production quantity and selling price of each item which maximize the probability of realizing predetermined level of profit. The objective function of this model is the sum of weighted probabilities which represent the possibility of obtaining the predetermined level of profit for each item. Budget constraint, inventory site constraint and constraints of price are considered. Finally this paper shows a numerical example in which random demand of each item has exponential distribution.

  • PDF

A Model-based Collaborative Filtering Through Regularized Discriminant Analysis Using Market Basket Data

  • Lee, Jong-Seok;Jun, Chi-Hyuck;Lee, Jae-Wook;Kim, Soo-Young
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
    • /
    • 제12권2호
    • /
    • pp.71-85
    • /
    • 2006
  • Collaborative filtering, among other recommender systems, has been known as the most successful recommendation technique. However, it requires the user-item rating data, which may not be easily available. As an alternative, some collaborative filtering algorithms have been developed recently by utilizing the market basket data in the form of the binary user-item matrix. Viewing the recommendation scheme as a two-class classification problem, we proposed a new collaborative filtering scheme using a regularized discriminant analysis applied to the binary user-item data. The proposed discriminant model was built in terms of the major principal components and was used for predicting the probability of purchasing a particular item by an active user. The proposed scheme was illustrated with two modified real data sets and its performance was compared with the existing user-based approach in terms of the recommendation precision.

Characteristics of Problem on the Area of Probability and Statistics for the Korean College Scholastic Aptitude Test

  • Lee, Kang-Sup;Kim, Jong-Gyu;Hwang, Dong-Jou
    • 한국수학교육학회지시리즈D:수학교육연구
    • /
    • 제11권4호
    • /
    • pp.275-283
    • /
    • 2007
  • In this study, we gave 132 high school students fifteen probabilities and nine statistics problems of the Korean College Scholastic Aptitude Test and then analyzed their answer using the classical test theory and the item response theory. Using the classical test theory (the Testian 1.0) we get the item reliability ($0.730 \sim 0.765$), and using the item response theory (the Bayesian 1.0) we get the item difficulty ( $-2.32\sim0.83$ ) and discrimination ( $0.55\sim 2.71$). From results, we find out what and why students could not understand well.

  • PDF

한국어판 플러턴 어드밴스드 균형 척도의 라쉬분석 (Application of Rasch Analysis to the Korean Version of the Fullerton Advanced Balance Scale)

  • 김경모
    • 한국전문물리치료학회지
    • /
    • 제23권1호
    • /
    • pp.46-54
    • /
    • 2016
  • Background: Rasch analysis estimates the probability that a respondent will endorse an item and select a particular rating for that item. It has the advantage of placing both the items and the person along a single ration scale and calibrates person ability and item difficulty onto an interval scale by logits. In addition, Rasch analysis is a useful tool for exploring the validity of questionnaires that have been developed using traditional methods. Therefore, it has been recommended as a method for developing and evaluating functional outcome measures. Objects: The purpose of this study was to investigate the item fit, item difficulty, and rating scale of the Korean version of the Fullerton Advanced Balance Scale (KFAB) using Rasch analysis. Methods: Total 97 subjects (39 males and 58 females) with dwelling elderly adults were participated, but 3 people were excluded for misfit persons. Rasch analysis was then done by means of the Winsteps program to determine the item fit, item difficulty, rating scale, and reliability of the KFAB. Results: In this study, the 'standing with feet together and eyes closed', 'two-footed jump', 'walk with head turns', and 'stand on foam, eyes closed' items shown misfit statistics. The most difficult item was 'stand on one leg', whereas the easiest item was 'turn in full circle'. The rating scale was acceptable with all criteria. Both item and person separation indices and reliability showed acceptable values. This would indicated that each domain covers a useful range of item difficulty that is appropriate for measuring a person with a wide range of functional ability. Conclusion: The KFAB has been proven reliable, valid and an appropriate tool with which to evaluate the balance of the elderly people.