• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability Item

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Analysis of Loot Box System in Overwatch (오버워치 루트 박스 시스템 분석)

  • Han, Sukhee
    • Journal of Korea Game Society
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.95-104
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    • 2018
  • This study analyzes the system of Loot Box in Overwatch, FPS genre game produced by an American company Blizzard. Currently, one of the most controversial issues in the recent industry is "Probability-Type Item" that game users purchase high-end game items as a form of lottery. As this study examines a foreign case of Loot Box that is similar to Probability-Type Item, it would show how it is constructed and does legal approaches. Throughout this, it not only analyzes pros and cons of the Loot Box system, but also provides thought-provoking messages for the issue of the Probability-Type Item.

Development of an Item Selection Method for Test-Construction by using a Relationship Structure among Abilities

  • Kim, Sung-Ho;Jeong, Mi-Sook;Kim, Jung-Ran
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.193-207
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    • 2001
  • When designing a test set, we need to consider constraints on items that are deemed important by item developers or test specialists. The constraints are essentially on the components of the test domain or abilities relevant to a given test set. And so if the test domain could be represented in a more refined form, test construction would be made in a more efficient way. We assume that relationships among task abilities are representable by a causal model and that the item response theory (IRT) is not fully available for them. In such a case we can not apply traditional item selection methods that are based on the IRT. In this paper, we use entropy as an uncertainty measure for making inferences on task abilities and developed an optimal item selection algorithm which reduces most the entropy of task abilities when items are selected from an item pool.

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Study on Fire.Explosion Accidents Prediction Model Development of LPG Vaporizer (LPG 기화기의 화재.폭발사고 예측모델개발에 관한 연구)

  • Ko, Jae-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.28-36
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    • 2010
  • We have garnered 3,593 data of gas accidents reported for 12 years from 1995, and then analyzed the LPG vaporizer accidents according to their types and causes based on the classified database. According to the results the gas rupture has been the most common accident followed by the release, explosion and then fire accidents, the most frequent accident-occurring sub-cause is LPG check floater faults. In addition, we have applied the Poisson Probability Functions to predict the most-likely probabilities of fire, explosion, release and rupture with the LPG vaporizer in the upcoming 5 years. In compliance with Poisson Probability Functions results, in the item which occurs below 3 "LPG-Vaporizer-Fire", in the item which occurs below 5 "LPG-Vaporizer-Products Faults-Check Floater" and the item which occurs below 10 appeared with "LPG-Vaporizer-Products Faults". From this research we have assured the successive database updating will highly improve the anticipating probability accuracy and thus it will play a key role as a significant safety- securing guideline against the gas disasters.

Optimal Numbers of Repeat Inspections with Decreasing Detection Probability

  • Kim, S.B.;Bai, D.S.
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 1985
  • Optimal numbers of repeat inspections are obtained for a single inspector who has a fixed probability of detecting a nonconforming item on each inspection and will continue to inspect until further inspection is not warranted when comparing the expected increase of total gain with the inspection cost. It is assumed that the detection probability decreases as the number of repeat inspections increases, and that the lot to be inspected contains an unknown but Poisson distributed number of nonconforming items.

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An Analysis on the Past Items of Probability and statistics in Secondary School Mathematics Teacher Certification Examination (수학과 중등임용 확률과 통계학 기출문항 분석)

  • Kim, Changil;Jeon, Youngju
    • Journal of the Korean School Mathematics Society
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.387-404
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, in the last 4 years(2014~2017 school year), we classified the probability and statistical items based on the evaluation scope of the mathematics subject content knowledge which were presented by the Korea Institute for Curriculum and Evaluation, and the classified items were analyzed. As a result, First, in order to induce normalization of the probability and statistical curriculum, four assessment field should be evenly distributed. Second, integrated thinking and comprehensive analytical thinking assessment is required. Third, item an epilogue should be used to measure mathematical thinking and logical competence. Fourth, the ratio of the number of items in probability and statistics to the number of that was 7.7%~10.0%, and the ratio according to the item weighting was 5.0%~7.5%. Fifth, it maintains the policy of stabilizing a good the level of difficulty of the items. Finally, probability and statistical assessment should focus on measuring problem solving ability from an inductive point of view.

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The Characteristic and Improvement of Flexibility Performance Item evaluated by "Housing Performance Grading System" (주택성능등급 가변성 세부성능 항목의 특성 및 개선방안)

  • Lee, Sung-Ok
    • KIEAE Journal
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2011
  • This study aims to suggest improvement plans and explain about the current situation for facilitating Long-life housing, based on the results on flexibility items among 27 items consisting the "Housing Performance Grading System". From the 9th of January, 2006 to the month of July in 2011, study has analyzed evaluation results on 216 different types for each grade and reviewed evaluation criteria and methods. Current evaluation criteria applies quantitative analysis, by calculating in percentage how much bearing walls and columns, which hinder flexibility, take up space in the household. The evaluation rate for each household was assessed in relation to its structural system, and a higher grade was given to column-typed structures. In addition, to facilitate long-life housing, this study extracted harmful factors, expanding the range of evaluation. The first step was to evaluate structure, which is the basic element. The second step can to evaluate the probability of applying resources in response to the changes of structural systems. As The third step, Flexibility item will evaluate the probability of moving the water-using area, suggesting gradual approach. Thus, through evaluations of flexibility items, the study aims to improve the quality of life in household, by avoiding uniform structures and acquiring more freedom for space designs.

Optimum Inventory Level and optimal Selling Price to Realize a Pre-determined Level of Profit

  • Kang, Suk-Ho;Noh, Seung-Jong
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 1986
  • In this paper, the one period multi-item inventory model is considered in which it is required to determine the production quantity and selling price of each item which maximize the probability of realizing predetermined level of profit. The objective function of this model is the sum of weighted probabilities which represent the possibility of obtaining the predetermined level of profit for each item. Budget constraint, inventory site constraint and constraints of price are considered. Finally this paper shows a numerical example in which random demand of each item has exponential distribution.

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A Model-based Collaborative Filtering Through Regularized Discriminant Analysis Using Market Basket Data

  • Lee, Jong-Seok;Jun, Chi-Hyuck;Lee, Jae-Wook;Kim, Soo-Young
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.71-85
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    • 2006
  • Collaborative filtering, among other recommender systems, has been known as the most successful recommendation technique. However, it requires the user-item rating data, which may not be easily available. As an alternative, some collaborative filtering algorithms have been developed recently by utilizing the market basket data in the form of the binary user-item matrix. Viewing the recommendation scheme as a two-class classification problem, we proposed a new collaborative filtering scheme using a regularized discriminant analysis applied to the binary user-item data. The proposed discriminant model was built in terms of the major principal components and was used for predicting the probability of purchasing a particular item by an active user. The proposed scheme was illustrated with two modified real data sets and its performance was compared with the existing user-based approach in terms of the recommendation precision.

Characteristics of Problem on the Area of Probability and Statistics for the Korean College Scholastic Aptitude Test

  • Lee, Kang-Sup;Kim, Jong-Gyu;Hwang, Dong-Jou
    • Research in Mathematical Education
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.275-283
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    • 2007
  • In this study, we gave 132 high school students fifteen probabilities and nine statistics problems of the Korean College Scholastic Aptitude Test and then analyzed their answer using the classical test theory and the item response theory. Using the classical test theory (the Testian 1.0) we get the item reliability ($0.730 \sim 0.765$), and using the item response theory (the Bayesian 1.0) we get the item difficulty ( $-2.32\sim0.83$ ) and discrimination ( $0.55\sim 2.71$). From results, we find out what and why students could not understand well.

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Application of Rasch Analysis to the Korean Version of the Fullerton Advanced Balance Scale (한국어판 플러턴 어드밴스드 균형 척도의 라쉬분석)

  • Kim, Gyoung-mo
    • Physical Therapy Korea
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.46-54
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    • 2016
  • Background: Rasch analysis estimates the probability that a respondent will endorse an item and select a particular rating for that item. It has the advantage of placing both the items and the person along a single ration scale and calibrates person ability and item difficulty onto an interval scale by logits. In addition, Rasch analysis is a useful tool for exploring the validity of questionnaires that have been developed using traditional methods. Therefore, it has been recommended as a method for developing and evaluating functional outcome measures. Objects: The purpose of this study was to investigate the item fit, item difficulty, and rating scale of the Korean version of the Fullerton Advanced Balance Scale (KFAB) using Rasch analysis. Methods: Total 97 subjects (39 males and 58 females) with dwelling elderly adults were participated, but 3 people were excluded for misfit persons. Rasch analysis was then done by means of the Winsteps program to determine the item fit, item difficulty, rating scale, and reliability of the KFAB. Results: In this study, the 'standing with feet together and eyes closed', 'two-footed jump', 'walk with head turns', and 'stand on foam, eyes closed' items shown misfit statistics. The most difficult item was 'stand on one leg', whereas the easiest item was 'turn in full circle'. The rating scale was acceptable with all criteria. Both item and person separation indices and reliability showed acceptable values. This would indicated that each domain covers a useful range of item difficulty that is appropriate for measuring a person with a wide range of functional ability. Conclusion: The KFAB has been proven reliable, valid and an appropriate tool with which to evaluate the balance of the elderly people.