• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic studies

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Search Algorithm for Advanced Transmission Rate based on Probabilistic Proportion Search of Distributed Objects (분산 객체의 확률적 비례 검색 기반 전송률 향상 검색 알고리즘)

  • Kim, Boon-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.49-56
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    • 2006
  • A special feature of P2P distributed system isn't always the guarantee of online status for peers. In other words we want to download the file from the peer when we use the P2P system but it sometimes caused this system to fail the download. Many studies to resolve this problem depend on re-transmission method. It caused to lower performance so we have to resolve this problem. In this study, we analysis the average usage time of P2P application user and raise the resource transmission guarantee to apply the selection criteria of resource supplier. Moreover the combinations of distributed object replication techniques, the role to enhance the data transmission opportunity of high popularity resource. will cause this search algorithm to advance.

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Relationship between Phase Properties, Significant Duration and PGA from the Earthquake Records of Mw 5.5~6.5 (Mw 5.5~6.5 지진동의 위상특성과 계속시간 및 PGA와의 관계)

  • Choi, Hang;Yoon, Byung Ick
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.55-70
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    • 2019
  • The phase properties of ground acceleration records from Mw 5.5~6.5 earthquakes are analyzed. The interrelationships between phase properties and significant durations, as well as PGA, are clarified through both of theoretical and empirical approaches. The probabilistic characteristics of phase information is also discussed based on previous studies and it is shown that circular normal distribution is the most appropriate probability distribution for the phase angle and phase difference. Whereas those variates can be modeled by Gaussian random variables. From the survey results on the frequency dependency of the phase statistics, a simple model is introduced, which is possible to express the frequency dependency of phase information. It is also shown that the significant duration can be controlled by appropriately chosen standard deviation of phase difference for 4~8Hz frequency band and additional consideration of phase scattering in higher frequency band through a series of Monte Carlo simulations. The source of phase scattering effect is also pointed out and discussed.

For Gene Disease Analysis using Data Mining Implement MKSV System (데이터마이닝을 활용한 유전자 질병 분석을 위한 MKSV시스템 구현)

  • Jeong, Yu-Jeong;Choi, Kwang-Mi
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.781-786
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    • 2019
  • We should give a realistic value on the large amounts of relevant data obtained from these studies to achieve effective objectives of the disease study which is dealing with various vital phenomenon today. In this paper, the proposed MKSV algorithm is estimated by optimal probability distribution, and the input pattern is determined. After classifying it into data mining, it is possible to obtain efficient computational quantity and recognition rate. MKSV algorithm is useful for studying the relationship between disease and gene in the present society by simulating the probabilistic flow of gene data and showing fast and effective performance improvement to classify data through the data mining process of big data.

Multi-unit risk assessment of nuclear power plants: Current status and issues

  • Yang, Joon-Eon
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.50 no.8
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    • pp.1199-1209
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    • 2018
  • After the Fukushima-Daiichi accident in 2011, the multi-unit risk, i.e., the risk due to several nuclear power plants (NPPs) in a site has become an important issue in several countries such as Korea, Canada, and China. However, the multi-unit risk has been discussed for a long time in the nuclear community before the Fukushima-Daiichi nuclear accident occurred. The regulatory authorities around the world and the international organizations had proposed requirements or guidelines to reduce the multi-unit risk. The concerns regarding the multi-unit risk can be summarized in the following three questions: How much the accident of an NPP in a site affects the safety of other NPPs in the same site? What is the total risk of a site with many NPPs? Will the risk of the simultaneous accidents at several NPPs in a site such as the Fukushima Daiichi accident be low enough? The multi-unit risk assessment (MURA) in an integrated framework is a practical approach to obtain the answers for the above questions. Even though there were few studies to assess the multi-unit risk before the Fukushima-Daiichi nuclear accident, there are still several issues to be resolved to perform the complete MURA. This article aims to provide an overview of the multi-unit risk issues and its assessment. We discuss the several critical issues in the current MURA to get useful insights regarding the multi-unit risk with the current state art of probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) technologies. Also, the qualitative answers for the above questions are addressed.

Effects of curvature radius on vulnerability of curved bridges subjected to near and far-field strong ground motions

  • Naseri, Ali;Roshan, Alireza MirzaGoltabar;Pahlavan, Hossein;Amiri, Gholamreza Ghodrati
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.367-392
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    • 2020
  • The specific characteristics of near-field earthquake records can lead to different dynamic responses of bridges compared to far-field records. However, the effect of near-field strong ground motion has often been neglected in the seismic performance assessment of the bridges. Furthermore, damage to horizontally curved multi-frame RC box-girder bridges in the past earthquakes has intensified the potential of seismic vulnerability of these structures due to their distinctive dynamic behavior. Based on the nonlinear time history analyses in OpenSEES, this article, assesses the effects of near-field versus far-field earthquakes on the seismic performance of horizontally curved multi-frame RC box-girder bridges by accounting the vertical component of the earthquake records. Analytical seismic fragility curves have been derived thru considering uncertainties in the earthquake records, material and geometric properties of bridges. The findings indicate that near-field effects reasonably increase the seismic vulnerability in this bridge sub-class. The results pave the way for future regional risk assessments regarding the importance of either including or excluding near-field effects on the seismic performance of horizontally curved bridges.

An integrated method of flammable cloud size prediction for offshore platforms

  • Zhang, Bin;Zhang, Jinnan;Yu, Jiahang;Wang, Boqiao;Li, Zhuoran;Xia, Yuanchen;Chen, Li
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.321-339
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    • 2021
  • Response Surface Method (RSM) has been widely used for flammable cloud size prediction as it can reduce computational intensity for further Explosion Risk Analysis (ERA) especially during the early design phase of offshore platforms. However, RSM encounters the overfitting problem under very limited simulations. In order to overcome the disadvantage of RSM, Bayesian Regularization Artificial Neural (BRANN)-based model has been recently developed and its robustness and efficiency have been widely verified. However, for ERA during the early design phase, there seems to be room to further reduce the computational intensity while ensuring the model's acceptable accuracy. This study aims to develop an integrated method, namely the combination of Center Composite Design (CCD) method with Bayesian Regularization Artificial Neural Network (BRANN), for flammable cloud size prediction. A case study with constant and transient leakages is conducted to illustrate the feasibility and advantage of this hybrid method. Additionally, the performance of CCD-BRANN is compared with that of RSM. It is concluded that the newly developed hybrid method is more robust and computational efficient for ERAs during early design phase.

Study on Modeling and Simulation for Fire Localization Using Bayesian Estimation (화원 위치 추정을 위한 베이시안 추정 기반의 모델링 및 시뮬레이션 연구)

  • Kim, Taewan;Kim, Soo Chan;Kim, Jong-Hwan
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.58 no.6
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    • pp.424-430
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    • 2021
  • Fire localization is a key mission that must be preceded for an autonomous fire suppression system. Although studies using a variety of sensors for the localization are actively being conducted, the fire localization is still unfinished due to the high cost and low performance. This paper presents the modeling and simulation of the fire localization estimation using Bayesian estimation to determine the probabilistic location of the fire. To minimize the risk of fire accidents as well as the time and cost of preparing and executing live fire tests, a 40m × 40m-virtual space is created, where two ultraviolet sensors are simulated to rotate horizontally to collect ultraviolet signals. In addition, Bayesian estimation is executed to compute the probability of the fire location by considering both sensor errors and uncertainty under fire environments. For the validation of the proposed method, sixteen fires were simulated in different locations and evaluated by calculating the difference in distance between simulated and estimated fire locations. As a result, the proposed method demonstrates reliable outputs, showing that the error distribution tendency widens as the radial distance between the sensor and the fire increases.

Evaluating the Application of Portable Safety Equipment in Nuclear Power Plants using Multi-unit PSA (다수기 PSA 기반 원자력 발전소 이동형 안전 설비 활용성 평가)

  • Jae Young Yoon;Ho-Gon Lim;Jong Woo Park
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.38 no.3
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    • pp.110-120
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    • 2023
  • Following the Fukushima accident, portable equipment employed as accident mitigating systems have been installed and operated to reduce core damage and large early release frequencies. In addition, the establishment of an accident management strategy has gained importance. This study investigated the current status of portable equipment including the international portable equipment FLEX (diverse and flexible coping strategies), and domestic portable equipment multi-barrier accident coping strategy (MACST). Research on optimal utilization of MACST remains insufficient. As a preliminary study for establishing an optimal strategy, sensitivity studies were conducted to facilitate the priority of use on portable equipment, number of portable equipment, and dependency of operator actions based on a multi-unit probabilistic safety assessment model. The results revealed the conditions that reduced the multi-unit and site conditional core damage probabilities, indicating the optimal strategy of MACST. The results of this study can be used as a reference for establishing an optimal strategy that utilizes domestic safety equipment in the future.

The Probabilistic Analysis on the Containment Failure by Hydrogen Burning at Severe Accidents in Nuclear Power Plants (원자력발전소 중대사고시 수소연소로 인한 격납용기 파손에 대한 확률적인 분석)

  • Park, I.K.;Moon, J.H.;Park, G.C.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.26 no.3
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    • pp.411-419
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    • 1994
  • The containment failure probability due to hydrogen burning during severe accidents proceeding in a low pressure sequence is calculated using Monte Carlo method. The probability distribution functions for this Monte Carlo calculation is obtained from the statistical method. The calculations are performed for Kori unit 2, and the sensitivity studies on the input variables-the amount of hydrogen generated at SFD, cerium diameter, cerium length, oxidation rate at FCI, and the amount of hydrogen generated during MCCI-are also performed. It is revealed that SFD is the main factor in hydrogen generation, but the other sources also cannot be neglected. The containment failure probability due to the hydrogen burning lies within 6% in case of Kori unit 2.

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Seismic fragility assessments of fill slopes in South Korea using finite element simulations

  • Dung T.P. Tran;Youngkyu Cho;Hwanwoo Seo;Byungmin Kim
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.341-380
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    • 2023
  • This study evaluates the seismic fragilities in fill slopes in South Korea through parametric finite element analyses that have been barely investigated thus far. We consider three slope geometries for a slope of height 10 m and three slope angles, and two soil types, namely frictional and frictionless, associated with two soil states, loose and dense for frictional soils and soft and stiff for frictionless soils. The input ground motions accounting for four site conditions in South Korea are obtained from one-dimensional site response analyses. By comparing the numerical modeling of slopes using PLAXIS2D against the previous studies, we compiled suites of the maximum permanent slope displacement (Dmax) against two ground motion parameters, namely, peak ground acceleration (PGA) and Arias Intensity (IA). A probabilistic seismic demand model is adopted to compute the probabilities of exceeding three limit states (minor, moderate, and extensive). We propose multiple seismic fragility curves as functions of a single ground motion parameter and numerous seismic fragility surfaces as functions of two ground motion parameters. The results show that soil type, slope angle, and input ground motion influence these probabilities, and are expected to help regional authorities and engineers assess the seismic fragility of fill slopes in the road systems in South Korea.