• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic model

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Probabllistic and Shock Analysis of Head-gimbal Assembly in Micro MO Drives (초소형 광자기 드라이브용 HGA의 신뢰성 및 충격 해석)

  • Oh Woo-Seok;Park No-Cheol;Yang Hyun-Seok;Park Young-Pil;Hong Eo-Jin
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.14 no.12
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    • pp.1347-1353
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    • 2004
  • With respect to the researches of the optical flying head(OFH) , the head-gimbal assembly should be analyzed to guarantee the stable fabrication and the characteristics of shock resistance. The suitable design is proved through the Probabilistic analysis of the design parameters and material properties of the model. Probabilistic analysis is a technique that be used to assess the effect of uncertain input parameters and assumptions on your analysis model. Using a probabilistic analysis you can find out how much the results of a finite elements analysis are affected by uncertainties in the model. Another factor is analysis of the dynamic shock analysis. For the mobile application, one of the important requirements is durability under severe environmental condition, especially, resistance to mechanical shock. An important challenge in the disk recording is to improve disk drive robustness in shock environments. If the system comes in contact with outer shock disturbance. the system gets critical damage in head-gimbal assembly or disk. This paper describes probabilistic and dynamic shock analysis of head-gimbal assembly in micro MO drives using OFH slider.

Probabilistic analysis of peak response to nonstationary seismic excitations

  • Wang, S.S.;Hong, H.P.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.20 no.5
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    • pp.527-542
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    • 2005
  • The main objective of this study is to examine the accuracy of the complete quadratic combination (CQC) rule with the modal responses defined by the ordinates of the uniform hazard spectra (UHS) to evaluate the peak responses of the multi-degree-of-freedom (MDOF) systems subjected to nonstationary seismic excitations. For the probabilistic analysis of the peak responses, it is considered that the seismic excitations can be modeled using evolutionary power spectra density functions with uncertain model parameters. More specifically, a seismological model and the Kanai-Tajimi model with the boxcar or the exponential modulating functions were used to define the evolutionary power spectral density functions in this study. A set of UHS was obtained based on the probabilistic analysis of transient responses of single-degree-of-freedom systems subjected to the seismic excitations. The results of probabilistic analysis of the peak responses of MDOF systems were obtained, and compared with the peak responses calculated by using the CQC rule with the modal responses given by the UHS. The comparison seemed to indicate that the use of the CQC rule with the commonly employed correlation coefficient and the peak modal responses from the UHS could lead to significant under- or over-estimation when contributions from each of the modes are similarly significant.

Dynamic Adaptive Model based on Probabilistic Distribution Functions and User's Profile for Web Media Systems (웹 미디어 시스템을 위한 확률 분포 함수와 사용자 프로파일에 기반 한 동적 적응 모델)

  • Baek, Yeong-Tae;Lee, Se-Hoon
    • The Journal of Korean Association of Computer Education
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 2003
  • In this paper we proposed dynamic adaptive model based on discrete probabilistic distribution functions and user's profile for web media systems(web based hypermedia systems). The model represented that the application domain is modelled using a weighted direct graph and the user's behaviour is modelled using a probabilistic approach that dynamically constructs a discrete probability distribution functions. The proposed probabilistic interpretation of the web media structure is used to characterize latent properties of the user's behaviour, which can be captured by tracking user's browsing activity. Using that distribution the system attempts to assign the user to the best profile that fits user's expectations.

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NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE COST ESTIMATION AND SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS OF UNIT COSTS ON THE BASIS OF AN EQUILIBRIUM MODEL

  • KIM, S.K.;KO, W.I.;YOUN, S.R.;GAO, R.X.
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.47 no.3
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    • pp.306-314
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    • 2015
  • This paper examines the difference in the value of the nuclear fuel cycle cost calculated by the deterministic and probabilistic methods on the basis of an equilibrium model. Calculating using the deterministic method, the direct disposal cost and Pyro-SFR (sodium-cooled fast reactor) nuclear fuel cycle cost, including the reactor cost, were found to be 66.41 mills/kWh and 77.82 mills/kWh, respectively (1 mill = one thousand of a dollar, i.e., $10^{-3}$ $). This is because the cost of SFR is considerably expensive. Calculating again using the probabilistic method, however, the direct disposal cost and Pyro-SFR nuclear fuel cycle cost, excluding the reactor cost, were found be 7.47 mills/kWh and 6.40 mills/kWh, respectively, on the basis of the most likely value. This is because the nuclear fuel cycle cost is significantly affected by the standard deviation and the mean of the unit cost that includes uncertainty. Thus, it is judged that not only the deterministic method, but also the probabilistic method, would also be necessary to evaluate the nuclear fuel cycle cost. By analyzing the sensitivity of the unit cost in each phase of the nuclear fuel cycle, it was found that the uranium unit price is the most influential factor in determining nuclear fuel cycle costs.

Probabilistic model for bio-cells information extraction (바이오 셀 정보 추출을 위한 확률 모델)

  • Seok, Gyeong-Hyu;Park, Sung-Ho
    • The Journal of the Korea institute of electronic communication sciences
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    • v.6 no.5
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    • pp.649-656
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    • 2011
  • This study is a numerical representative modelling analysis for applying the process that unravels networks between cells in genetics to Network of informatics. Using the probabilistic graphical model, the insight from the data describing biological networks is used for making a probabilistic function. Rather than a complex network of cells, we reconstruct a simple lower-stage model and show a genetic representation level from the genetic based network logic. We made probabilistic graphical models from genetic data and extend them to genetic representation data in the method of network modelling in informatics.

Probabilistic Power Flow Studies Incorporating Correlations of PV Generation for Distribution Networks

  • Ren, Zhouyang;Yan, Wei;Zhao, Xia;Zhao, Xueqian;Yu, Juan
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.461-470
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    • 2014
  • This paper presents a probabilistic power flow (PPF) analysis method for distribution network incorporating the randomness and correlation of photovoltaic (PV) generation. Based on the multivariate kernel density estimation theory, the probabilistic model of PV generation is proposed without any assumption of theoretical parametric distribution, which can accurately capture not only the randomness but also the correlation of PV resources at adjacent locations. The PPF method is developed by combining the proposed PV model and Monte Carlo technique to evaluate the influence of the randomness and correlation of PV generation on the performance of distribution networks. The historical power output data of three neighboring PV generators in Oregon, USA, and 34-bus/69-bus radial distribution networks are used to demonstrate the correctness, effectiveness, and application of the proposed PV model and PPF method.

Probabilistic assessment on buckling behavior of sandwich panel: - A radial basis function approach

  • Kumar, R.R.;Pandey, K.M.;Dey, S.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.71 no.2
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    • pp.197-210
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    • 2019
  • Probabilistic buckling behavior of sandwich panel considering random system parameters using a radial basis function (RBF) approach is presented in this paper. The random system properties result in an uncertain response of the sandwich structure. The buckling load of laminated sandwich panel is obtained by employing higher-order-zigzag theory (HOZT) coupled with RBF and probabilistic finite element (FE) model. The in-plane displacement variation of core as well as facesheet is considered to be cubic while transverse displacement is considered to be quadratic within the core and constant in the facesheets. Individual and combined stochasticity in all elemental input parameters (like facesheets thickness, ply-orientation angle, core thickness and properties of material) are considered to know the effect of different degree of stochasticity, ply- orientation angle, boundary conditions, core thickness, number of laminates, and material properties on global response of the structure. In order to achieve the computational efficiency, RBF model is employed as a surrogate to the original finite element model. The stiffness matrix of global response is stored in a single array using skyline technique and simultaneous iteration technique is used to solve the stochastic buckling equations.

A study on the probabilistic record linkage and its application (확률적 자료연계의 이론과 적용에 관한 연구)

  • Choi, Yeonok;Lee, Sangin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.849-861
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    • 2021
  • This paper aims to introduce the basic concept of probabilistic record linkage and its statistical framework, and describe the specific process and principle of performing it using a real example from Statistics Korea. First, we briefly describe the deterministic record linkage and compare it with probabilistic record linkage. We introduce the Fellegi-Sunter model framework for record linkage and the related paprameters: m-probability, u-probability, matched weight and decision rule. Finally, we show the detailed process of record linkage under Fellegi-Sunter model framework and evaluate the record linkage results, using sample data from the registered-based census and Population and Housing Census survey in Statistics Korea.

Deriving a Probabilistic Model for Fatigue Life Based on Physical Failure Mechanism

  • Suneung Ahn
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.24 no.68
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2001
  • A probabilistic model for fatigue life of a structural component is derived when the component is in a variable-amplitude loading environment. The physical mechanism which governs fatigue failure is used to model the fatigue life. Especially, the judgement of rotational symmetry in the-stress-intensity-factors results in the probability distribution for fatigue life. The probability distribution is related to the familiar truncated Gaussian distribution, which has a single parameter with a direct physical meaning.

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Probabilistic Production Costing Model based on Economic Load Dispatch (경제급전방식에 의한 확률적 운전비계산 모델)

  • Shim, Keon-Bo;Lee, Bong-Yong;Shin, Chung-Rin;Kim, Jung-Hoon
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1987.07a
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    • pp.640-643
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    • 1987
  • A probabilistic production costing model based on the economic load dispatch has been developed. Objective function is composed of fuel cost which is a function of generation output and the failure cost. Coefficients of the failure cost is determined from the known equivalent generation cost. The model is compared with other existing methodolgies and the excellent results are obtained.

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