• Title/Summary/Keyword: Prior Distributions

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A study on flow characteristics in a partially filled open channel (비만관 개수로 유동 특성 연구)

  • Choi, Jung-Geun;Sung, Jae-Yong;Lee, Myeong-Ho;Lee, Suk-Jong
    • 한국가시화정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2006.12a
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    • pp.73-77
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    • 2006
  • Flow rate measurement is one of the difficult problems in the industrial applications. Especially, flow rate in a partially filled pipeline is affected by many parameters such as water level, channel slop, etc. In the present study, prior to the development of a flowmeter, the flow characteristics has been investigated by particle image velocimetry (PIV) measurements. Three-dimensional velocity distributions were obtained from sectional measurements of velocity profiles according to the water level. As a result, it is found that there is no similarity in the velocity profile when the lateral position is changed. In addition, the maximum velocity does not always occur on the free surface. It depends on the water level. In the aspect of flow rate measurement, the previous calculus based upon point measurement techniques is proved to be inaccurate because of the lack of whole flow information.

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A Review of Power and Sample Size Estimation in Genomewide Association Studies (유전체 연관 연구에서의 검정력 및 연구대상수 계산 고찰)

  • Park, Ae-Kyung;Kim, Ho
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.40 no.2
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    • pp.114-121
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    • 2007
  • Power and sample size estimation is one of the crucially important steps in planning a genetic association study to achieve the ultimate goal, identifying candidate genes for disease susceptibility, by designing the study in such a way as to maximize the success possibility and minimize the cost. Here we review the optimal two-stage genotyping designs for genomewide association studies recently investigated by Wang et al(2006). We review two mathematical frameworks most commonly used to compute power in genetic association studies prior to the main study: Monte-Carlo and non-central chi-square estimates. Statistical powers are computed by these two approaches for case-control genotypic tests under one-stage direct association study design. Then we discuss how the linkage-disequilibrium strength affects power and sample size, and how to use empirically-derived distributions of important parameters for power calculations. We provide useful information on publicly available softwares developed to compute power and sample size for various study designs.

Numerical Analysis for Characterization of Single Phase Induction Motors by using Circuit Equations Coupled with Magnetic Field Distribution

  • Kim, Young Sun;Lee, Dong Yoon
    • Journal of Magnetics
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.255-259
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    • 2013
  • In this paper a new coupling method for efficient and simple analysis of single phase induction motor is presented. The circuit representation of both the stator winding and each conducting rotor loop (composed of rotor bar and end ring segment) is used in conjunction with the distribution of magnetic flux linkage instead of inductance matrix. The flux linkage is calculated using air-gap flux density distributions driven by unit currents in the stator windings and rotor bars. The field distribution of one turn of a coil is calculated by FEM and the result is used to calculate total flux linkage by employing a coordinate transformation. The numerical results give good agreement with prior literature. The method is particularly effective in analyzing the effect of the number of rotor bars.

Goodness-of-fit tests based on generalized Lorenz curve for progressively Type II censored data from a location-scale distributions

  • Lee, Wonhee;Lee, Kyeongjun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.191-203
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    • 2019
  • The problem of examining how well an assumed distribution fits the data of a sample is of significant and must be examined prior to any inferential process. The observed failure time data of items are often not wholly available in reliability and life-testing studies. Lowering the expense and period associated with tests is important in statistical tests with censored data. Goodness-of-fit tests for perfect data can no longer be used when the observed failure time data are progressive Type II censored (PC) data. Therefore, we propose goodness-of-fit test statistics and a graphical method based on generalized Lorenz curve for PC data from a location-scale distribution. The power of the proposed tests is then assessed through Monte Carlo simulations. Finally, we analyzed two real data set for illustrative purposes.

A Study on the Determination of the Risk-Loaded Premium using Risk Measures in the Credibility Theory (신뢰도이론에서 위험측도를 이용한 할증보험료 결정에 대한 고찰)

  • Kim, Hyun Tae;Jeon, Yongho
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.71-87
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    • 2014
  • The Bayes premium or the net premium in the credibility theory does not reflect the underlying tail risk. In this study we examine how the tail risk measures can be utilized in determining the risk premium. First, we show that the risk measures can not only provide the proper risk loading, but also allow the insurer to avoid the wrong decision made with the Bayesian premium alone. Second, it is illustrated that the rank of the tail thickness among different conditional loss distributions does not preserve for the corresponding predictive distributions, even if they share the identical prior variable. The implication of this result is that the risk loading for a contract should be based on the risk measure of the predictive loss distribution not the conditional one.

The Local Measurements of Single Phase and Boiling Heat Transfer by Confined Planar Impinging Jets (평면충돌제트에 의한 단상 및 비등 열전달의 국소적 측정)

  • Wu, Seong-Je;Shin, Chang-Hwan;Cho, Hyung-Hee
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers B
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    • v.28 no.8 s.227
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    • pp.895-901
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    • 2004
  • Single-phase convection and nucleate boiling heat transfer were locally investigated for confined planar water jets. The detailed distributions of the wall temperature and the convection coefficient as well as the typical boiling curves were discussed. The curve for the single-phase convection indicated the developing laminar boundary layer, accompanied by monotonic increase of the wall temperature in the stream direction. Boiling was initiated from the furthest downstream as heat flux increased. Heat transfer variation according to the streamwise location was reduced as heat flux increased enough to create the vigorous nucleate boiling. Velocity effects were considered for the confined free-surface jet. Higher velocity of the jet caused the boiling incipient to be delayed more. The transition to turbulence precipitated by the bubble-induced disturbance was obvious only for the highest velocity, which enabled the boiling incipient to start in the middle of the heated surface, rather than the furthest downstream as was the case of the moderate and low velocities. The temperature at offset line were somewhat tower than those at the centerline for single-phase convection and partial boiling, and these differences were reduced as the nucleate boiling developed. For the region prior to transition, the convection coefficient distributions were similar in both cases while the temperatures were somewhat lower in the submerged jet. For single-phase convection, transition was initiated at $x/W{\cong}2.5$ and completed soon for the submerged jet, but the onset of transition was retarded to the distance at $x/W{\cong}6$ for the fee-surface jet.

Suboptimal Decision Fusion in Wireless Sensor Networks under Non-Gaussian Noise Channels (비가우시안 잡음 채널을 갖는 무선 센서 네트워크의 준 최적화 결정 융합에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Jin-Tae;Koo, In-Soo;Kim, Ki-Seon
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.8 no.4
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2007
  • Decision fusion in wireless sensor networks under non-Gaussian noise channels is studied. To consider the tail behavior noise distributions, we use a exponentially-tailed distribution as a wide class of noise distributions. Based on a canonical parallel fusion model with fading and noise channels, the likelihood ratio(LR) based fusion rule is considered as an optimal fusion rule under Neyman-Pearson criterion. With both high and low signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) approximation to the optimal rule, we obtain several suboptimal fusion rules. and we propose a simple fusion rule that provides robust detection performance with a minimum prior information, Performance evaluation for several fusion rules is peformed through simulation. Simulation results show the robustness of the Proposed simple fusion rule.

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Analysis of Drought Characteristics by the Use of Stochastic Method (추계학적 방법에 의한 한발의 특성 분석)

  • Jeong, Sang-Man;Sin, Hyeon-Min
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.197-210
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    • 1999
  • This study examines the duration and severity of droughts by the use of stochastic process considerations. The key annual flow statistics are used to estimate the related statistics of drought probability distributions for various combinations of return period and water demand. This study efforts initially focused on analyzing all the nation streamgage records that were judged to meet certain selection criteria, including those of record length, record quality. These analyses resulted in the determination of those annual flow statistics necessary to define the behavior of drought sequences for the selected streams. Using prior research results, the actual or estimated flow statistics are related to the probability distributions of maximum drought events, through the application of the theory of runs. This has resulted in assigning return periods to drought events at gaged locations, and permits an assessment of the probabilities of observed historical drought within the nation.

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A Bayesian Poisson model for analyzing adverse drug reaction in self-controlled case series studies (베이지안 포아송 모형을 적용한 자기-대조 환자군 연구에서의 약물상호작용 위험도 분석)

  • Lee, Eunchae;Hwang, Beom Seuk
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.203-213
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    • 2020
  • The self-controlled case series (SCCS) study measures the relative risk of exposure to exposure period by setting the non-exposure period of the patient as the control period without a separate control group. This method minimizes the bias that occurs when selecting a control group and is often used to measure the risk of adverse events after taking a drug. This study used SCCS to examine the increased risk of side effects when two or more drugs are used in combination. A conditional Poisson model is assumed and analyzed for drug interaction between the narcotic analgesic, tramadol and multi-frequency combination drugs. Bayesian inference is used to solve the overfitting problem of MLE and the normal or Laplace prior distributions are used to measure the sensitivity of the prior distribution.

A Study on the Estimation of Launch Success Probability for Space Launch Vehicles Using Bayesian Method (베이지안 기법을 적용한 우주발사체의 발사 성공률 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Seung-Woo;Kim, In-Gul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.48 no.7
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    • pp.537-546
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    • 2020
  • The reliability used as a performance indicator during the development of space launch vehicle should be validated by the launch success probability, and the launch data need to be fed back for reliability management. In this paper, the launch data of space launch vehicles around the world were investigated and statistically analyzed for the success probabilities according to the launch vehicle models and maturity. The Bayesian estimation of launch success probability was reviewed and analyzed by comparing the estimated success probabilities using several prior distributions and the statistical success probability. We presented the method of generating prior distribution function and considerations for Bayesian estimation.