• Title/Summary/Keyword: Price-Sensitivity

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The Dynamic Optimal Fisheries Management for Spanish Mackerel (삼치어종의 동태적 최적어업관리)

  • Cho, Hoonseok;Nam, Jongoh
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.29 no.3
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    • pp.363-388
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    • 2020
  • The purposes of this study are to not only estimate optimal harvests and efforts using the surplus production methods for Spanish mackerel caught by multiple fishing gears, but provide dynamic optimal fisheries management for these gears using the current value Hamiltonian method. To achieve the above purposes this study uses several models such as Gavaris's general linear model for standardizing fishing efforts, surplus production method for estimating biological and technological coefficients, current value Hamiltonian method for estimating dynamic optimal harvest and efforts, and sensitivity analysis for diagnosing economic influences of these fisheries. As a result, this study showed that Spanish mackerel was overfished by multiple fishing gears based on surplus production method and the current value Hamiltonian method. Also, this study found that when the price and cost proportionally changed, the optimal harvest and fishing effort sensitively responded to the stock level of Spanish mackerel. Next, this study suggested that the multiple fishing gears for Spanish mackerel should reduce unnecessary costs such as operating time or inefficient fuel consumption. Finally, this study provided reasons Spanish mackerel should be included in the TAC system in a view of profit maximization based on sustainable use of the Spanish mackerel.

Analysis of Variables Affecting on Customer Loyalty by Market Segments for the Korean Open Air Market Using Mixture Regression Model (Mixture Regression Model을 이용한 재래시장의 세분집단별 고객충성도에 미치는 영향 변수 분석)

  • Kim, Jong-Kook;Park, Youn-Jae;Park, Ju-Young;Choi, Ja-Young
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.1-25
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    • 2007
  • The purpose of this study is to provide the strategic implication of the Korean open air market by examining the factors affecting customer loyalty for various market segments as their competitive environment becomes more turbulent. We have undertaken empirical research that uses the methodology of a mixture regression modeling, as a way to ascertain the determinants of customer loyalty toward the Korean open air market, which should form the base of strategy for each segment. We construct a mixture regression model which uses perceived the Korean open air market value dimensions as explanatory variables, an income as a covariate variable, and a customer loyalty as a dependent variable. The analysis of results show that customers are statistically divided into four segments: 'Accessibility'(33.7%), 'Price'(29.7%), 'Shopping environment,'(22.0%), and 'Merchandising,'(14.5%) groups. The findings also showed that parameter estimates are different for each group, which indicates that the sensitivity to changes in the Korean traditional market perceived value and the income variable affecting customer loyalty vary among segments.

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Trend/Cycle Decomposition Using DSGE Models (DSGE 모형을 이용한 추세와 경기순환변동분의 분해)

  • Hwang, Youngjin
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.117-156
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    • 2012
  • This paper decomposes and estimates trend/cyclical components of some key macro variables-GDP, inflation, and interest rate, using a simple DSGE model along with flexible trend specification. The extracted cyclical components of output and interest rate are similar to HP-filtered counterparts, despite some differences in persistence and volatility, while inflation resembles that from BK filtering. This implies that the usual practice of applying a single filtering method to the data of interest may be problematic. When the baseline model is extended to incorporate consumption habit and price indexation, habit turns out to be important in explaining the persistence of business cycles. Comparison of several alternative models shows that the usual practice of estimation of DSGE model using filtered data leads to biased results. Finally, various sensitivity analyses illustrate that (1) allowing for correlation between structural cyclical shocks and trend shocks and (2) including irregular components (in inflation rate) may deliver interesting/important implication for gap estimates.

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Research on the Relative Importance and the Priority for the Functions of the U-City Service Aid Organization (U-City 서비스 지원기관 기능의 상대적 중요도와 우선순위 연구)

  • Yi, Mi Sook;Shin, Dong Bin;Lee, Jae Yong
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.35-43
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    • 2013
  • The aim of this research is to analyze the priority to functions of the U-city Service Aid Organization(USAO), which is to support invigorating U-City industry. This research analyzes the relative importance and the priority about the functional area and components of UASO based on AHP. This research also performs a sensitivity analysis. The research result shows that relative importance of functional area is like following orders: 1) distribution of U-City service-related information, 2) quality certification of U-City-related products and services, 3) R&D of U-City technology, 4) standardization of U-City, 5) U-City human resource development. The relative importance order of functional components is 1) establishment of U-City information distribution organization, 2) construction and management of U-City information distribution network, 3) supporting U-City information distribution and price policy, 4) providing U-City information list for distribution, 5) preparation and application of quality certification standard of U-City products and services, 6) research on legal system of U-City items, targets, and procedures for quality certification, 7) research, analysis, and provision of U-City information distribution situation, 8) level examination of constructed infrastructures and services in U-City, 9) U-City core technology development and localization of technology, 10) standardization of collected U-City information, service classification, distribution system. This research result can be applied directly to design functions of USAO. The result also can be used for duty management, human resource planning, or resource allocation.

Framework for Optimum Scale Determination for Small Hydropower Development Using Economic Analysis (경제성분석에 의한 소수력 개발의 최적규모 결정 방안)

  • Kim, Kil-Ho;Yi, Choong-Sung;Lee, Jin-Hee;Shim, Myung-Pil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.40 no.12
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    • pp.995-1005
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    • 2007
  • This study presents a framework for optimum scale determination for small hydropower development in a river basin. The framework includes the construction of hydrology and topography data, the simulation of hydropower operation, the economic analysis, and the determination of optimum scale of the small hydropower. The optimum scale of design flow and facility are determined by Net Present Value among economic analysis indices. The investment cost is estimated by the cost function derived from the construction cost of existing small hydropower plants. The benefit from power generation is estimated by the price announced by government. The presented framework is applied to the two potential sites in Cho River basin for the dam and run-of-river type of plants. Finally, the sensitivity analysis for a design flow and scale of the plant is performed for the each site. The usage of the framework presented in the study is highly expected for the estimation of potential hydropower resources or the decision support tool for a proprietor by estimating the optimum scale and economical feasibility in advance.

A basic study on development of Women's Fashion Design using Global Market Oriented-Supersensitive Jacquard (글로벌 마켓 지향 고감성 자카드를 활용한 여성복 디자인 개발에 대한 기초적 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Mi;Cho, So-Young;Ahn, Hee-Jung
    • Journal of Fashion Business
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.91-101
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    • 2010
  • This paper has the purpose of suggesting a development-method on the fashion products that would secure the competitiveness in the global markets through creating supersensitive practical products on the basis of developing originative fashion-goods being made of jacquard that is fine quality of couture. This paper has collected data through the cases of the developed nations in fashion, precedent studies and all the related literature on the subject. The results of this researching are as following: The first, it is expected that the necessity of developing new fashion products would be appealed toward the prestige group of consumers who are seeking for the fine quality and super-sensitivity in female fashion in Korea, and it is the current situation that the products made of jacquard are gradually expanding not only in the area of apparel, fashion goods and interior but also another areas. The current situation of the global market suggests the necessary strategy of survival, that is, the development of supersensitive materials and creative products which would be able to keep the high quality and lower the selling price through cost reduction. The second, the suggestion of the direction in developing the products of the female fashion made of jacquard has two points - the development of the texture that would realize a unique form and the development of the material that would be able to realize planar pattern and three dimensional pattern which are woven with thin and light materials with various solidity and delicacy through various techniques of mixing and three dimensional expression. The third, the expected ripple effect and utilization generated from the development of fashion products are as followings: As material characteristics of jacquard, It needs the specialization of various techniques and specialized production system in using jacquard, and the specialized technique and system would make it possible to produce not only the higher value-added products through expressing affluent colors and delicate design but also competitive products through cutting the process and cost, eventually, it would lead to the expansion of the jacquard market of super-sensitive prestige. Therefore, it is remarkable that various development of products toward the global market and the prestige female fashion market can suggest the vision that make the national fashion industry develop into the higher value-added knowledge industry integrating technology and culture.

Optimal Design and Economic Evaluation of Energy Supply System from On/Off Shore Wind Farms (육/해상 풍력기반 에너지생산 공정 최적 설계 및 경제성 평가)

  • Kim, Minsoo;Kim, Jiyong
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.53 no.2
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    • pp.156-163
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    • 2015
  • This paper presents a new framework for design and economic evaluation of wind energy-based electricity supply system. We propose a network optimization (mixed-integer linear programming) model to design the underlying energy supply system. In this model we include practical constraints such as land limitations of onshore wind farms and different costs of offshore wind farms to minimize the total annual cost. Based upon the model, we also analyze the sensitivity of the total annual cost on the change of key parameters such as available land for offshore wind farms, required area of a wind turbine and the unit price of wind turbines. We illustrate the applicability of the suggested model by applying to the problem of design of a wind turbines-based electricity supply problem in Jeju. As a result of this study, we identified the major cost-drivers and the regional cost distribution of the proposed system. We also comparatively analyzed the economic performance of on/off shore wind farms in wind energy-based electricity supply system of Jeju.

Economic Feasibility Assessment and Analysis of Dual Fuel Systems Utilizing Diesel and Compressed Natural Gas (경유와 압축천연가스의 혼소 시스템에 대한 경제적 타당성 평가 분석)

  • Cho, A-Ra;Lim, Seong-Rin
    • Clean Technology
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.166-174
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    • 2018
  • Since particulate matter has high impacts on human health and everyday life, the dual fuel systems utilizing diesel and compressed natural gas have been developed to improve the environmental performance of diesel vehicles. The objective of this study is to estimate the economic feasibility of the dual fuel system based on real operating data of dual fuel buses and diesel buses. The system is economically feasible if the annual mileage of the dual bus is higher than 30,000 km, or if the unit fuel price of diesel is higher than that of CNG by 408 won. The uncertainty analysis results show that the economic feasibility of the system is probabilistically high, regardless of the variability of input data such as mileage and unit prices for the fuels. The sensitivity analysis results show that diesel and CNG prices are the highest contributor to the net present value of the system. Based on these results, economic incentives are suggested to disseminate the systems. This study would provide valuable economic information for bus business industry and policy maker to help make decisions for applying and disseminating the dual fuel systems to mitigate particulate matter problems.

An Economic Analysis of Solvent Extraction Process under Mild Condition for Production of Ash-Free Coal (무회분 석탄 생산을 위한 온순조건 용매추출 공정의 경제성 분석)

  • Choi, Ho-Kyung;Kim, Sang-Do;Yoo, Ji-Ho;Chun, Dong-Hyuk;Lim, Jeong-Hwan;Rhim, Young-Joon;Lee, Si-Hyun
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.50 no.3
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    • pp.449-454
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    • 2012
  • Economic feasibility of the process for a coal extraction under mild condition, which will produce ash-free coal at a temperature lower than that of coal softening, was analyzed. To this end, the plant of 6000 t/d in capacity was assumed to be constructed near a coal mine in Indonesia, and the IRR, NPV, B/C ratio, and DPP of the plant were calculated based on $96 million investment cost and 15 years service life. The IRR, NPV, B/C ratio, and DPP of the plant were calculated to be 31%, $87 million, 1.08, and 3.9 years, respectively, and which satisfied the evaluation criteria of investment. The economic feasibility of the plant was mainly dependent on the price of the coal initially fed and the residue coal remaining after the extraction, according to sensitivity analysis.

Simulation-Based Stochastic Markup Estimation System $(S^2ME)$ (시뮬레이션을 기반(基盤)으로 하는 영업이윤율(營業利潤率) 추정(推定) 시스템)

  • Yi, Chang-Yong;Kim, Ryul-Hee;Lim, Tae-Kyung;Kim, Wha-Jung;Lee, Dong-Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.109-113
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    • 2007
  • This paper introduces a system, Simulation based Stochastic Markup Estimation System (S2ME), for estimating optimum markup for a project. The system was designed and implemented to better represent the real world system involved in construction bidding. The findings obtained from the analysis of existing assumptions used in the previous quantitative markup estimation methods were incorporated to improve the accuracy and predictability of the S2ME. The existing methods has four categories of assumption as follows; (1) The number of competitors and who is the competitors are known, (2) A typical competitor, who is fictitious, is assumed for easy computation, (3) the ratio of bid price against cost estimate (B/C) is assumed to follow normal distribution, (4) The deterministic output obtained from the probabilistic equation of existing models is assumed to be acceptable. However, these assumptions compromise the accuracy of prediction. In practice, the bidding patterns of the bidders are randomized in competitive bidding. To complement the lack of accuracy contributed by these assumptions, bidding project was randomly selected from the pool of bidding database in the simulation experiment. The probability to win the bid in the competitive bidding was computed using the profile of the competitors appeared in the selected bidding project record. The expected profit and probability to win the bid was calculated by selecting a bidding record randomly in an iteration of the simulation experiment under the assumption that the bidding pattern retained in historical bidding DB manifest revival. The existing computation, which is handled by means of deterministic procedure, were converted into stochastic model using simulation modeling and analysis technique as follows; (1) estimating the probability distribution functions of competitors' B/C which were obtained from historical bidding DB, (2) analyzing the sensitivity against the increment of markup using normal distribution and actual probability distribution estimated by distribution fitting, (3) estimating the maximum expected profit and optimum markup range. In the case study, the best fitted probability distribution function was estimated using the historical bidding DB retaining the competitors' bidding behavior so that the reliability was improved by estimating the output obtained from simulation experiment.

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