• 한국대기환경학회지
• /
• 제19권3호
• /
• pp.249-261
• /
• 2003

A three-dimensional mesoscale atmospheric dispersion modeling system consisting of the Lagrangian particle dispersion model (LPDM) and the meteorological mesoscale model (MM5) was employed to simulate the transport and dispersion of non-reactive pollutant during the nuclear spill event occurred from Sep. 31 to Oct. 3, 1999 in Tokaimura city, Japan. For the comparative analysis of numerical experiment, two more sets of foreign mesoscale modeling system; NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) and DWD (Deutscher Wetter Dienst) were also applied to address the applicability of air pollution dispersion predictions. We noticed that the simulated results of horizontal wind direction and wind velocity from three meteorological modeling showed remarkably different spatial variations, mainly due to the different horizontal resolutions. How-ever, the dispersion process by LPDM was well characterized by meteorological wind fields, and the time-dependent dilution factors ($\chi$/Q) were found to be qualitatively simulated in accordance with each mesocale meteorogical wind field, suggesting that LPDM has the potential for the use of the real time control at optimization of the urban air pollution provided detailed meteorological wind fields. This paper mainly pertains to the mesoscale modeling approaches, but the results imply that the resolution of meteorological model and the implementation of the relevant scale of air quality model lead to better prediction capabilities in local or urban scale air pollution modeling.

• 한국항공우주학회지
• /
• 제46권2호
• /
• pp.106-113
• /
• 2018

발사체 발사 시 제트화염에 의해 발생하는 강력한 음향파는 음향하중의 형태로 비행체를 가진한다. 대표적인 경험적 음향하중 예측기법인 DSM-II(Distributed Source Method-II)는 제트화염 축을 따라 소음원을 배치하는 방법으로 계산비용 및 정확성 측면에서 장점을 갖는다. 하지만 소음원 배치 방법의 한계로 인해 다양한 발사대 환경을 정확하게 반영하기에는 한계가 있다. 본 연구에서는 넙스(Non-Uniform Rational B-Spline, NURBS) 곡선 모델링을 경험적 예측기법에 도입하여 자유롭게 소음원을 배치할 수 있는 음향하중 예측기법에 대한 연구를 수행하였다. 넙스 기법이 새롭게 도입된 해석기법의 검증을 위하여 Epsilon 로켓의 곡선형 저소음 발사대 형상에 대한 음향하중 예측을 수행하였고 해석 결과를 기존의 예측방법 및 실험 결과와 비교하였다.

• 대한산업공학회지
• /
• 제34권1호
• /
• pp.57-65
• /
• 2008

In the vehicle design, the research on driving posture has stood out as one of the important issues. Recently, the research on 3D human modeling focused on more exact implementation of real driving posture. However, prediction of driving posture through the 3D human modeling fail to reflect on the model the phenomenon called sagging, which refers to the retraction or shrinking of the torso while driving. 30 male subjects participated in the experiment where total subjects were divided into four groups according to height percentile(under 50%ile, 51%ile to 75%ile, 76%ile to 95%ile, over 95%ile). The independent variables were seat back angle(4 levels) and seat pan angle(2 levels). The dependent variable was capacity or the degree of retraction of the torso. First this study measured the sagging capacity by using a paired T-test between erect and retracted posture. Secondly it was tried to find out significant anthropometric variables that were statistically correlated by the analysis of correlation. Finally, a prediction model was derived which explains the capacity of sagging.

• 전기전자학회논문지
• /
• 제24권4호
• /
• pp.1136-1140
• /
• 2020

미세먼지로 인한 대기오염이 심각해지면서 미세먼지의 확산과 대기질의 예측에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있다. 미세먼지의 원인은 매우 다양한데, 일부 미세먼지는 산불, 황사 등을 통해 자연적으로 발생하기도 하지만 대부분은 석유, 석탄과 같은 화석연료를 태우거나 자동차 매연가스에서 나오는 대기오염물질에서 유발되는 것으로 알려져 있다. 본 논문에서는 미국 EPA에서 추천하는 CALPUFF 모델을 사용하고, CALPUFF에서 필요한 기상 요소인 3차원 바람장을 생성하는 기상 전처리 프로그램으로 CALMET 모델을 통해 바람장을 생성하여 CALPUFF 확산 모델링을 수행한다. 이를 통해 복잡한 지형을 반영한 미세먼지 확산모델링과 대기질 예측 시스템의 구조를 제안한다.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
• /
• 제35권1호
• /
• pp.37-47
• /
• 2006

Recently, as a result of the growing interest in modeling stationary processes with discrete marginal distributions, several models for integer valued time series have been proposed in the literature. One of these models is the integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) models. However, when modeling with integer-valued autoregressive processes, the distributional properties of forecasts have been not yet discovered due to the difficulty in handling the Steutal Van Ham thinning operator 'o' (Steutal and van Ham, 1979). In this study, we derive the mean squared error of h-step-ahead prediction from a Poisson INAR(1) process, reflecting the effect of the variability of parameter estimates in the prediction mean squared error.

• The Korean Journal of Ecology
• /
• 제23권6호
• /
• pp.435-438
• /
• 2000

Diameter distributions describe forest stand structure information. Prediction equations for percentiles of diameter distribution and parameter recovery procedures for the Weibull distribution function based on four percentile equations were applied to develop prediction system of even-aged slash pine stand structure development in terms of the number of stems per diameter class changes. Four percentiles of the cumulative diameter distribution were predicted as a function of stand characteristics. The predicted diameter distributions were tested against the observed diameter distributions using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov two sample test at the ${\alpha}$=0.05 level. Statistically, no significant differences were detected based on the data from 236 evaluation data sets. This stand level diameter distribution prediction system will be useful in slash pine stand structure modeling and in updating forest inventories for the long-term forest management planning.

• 센서학회지
• /
• 제32권3호
• /
• pp.164-168
• /
• 2023

Accurate and reliable weather forecasts for temperature, relative humidity, and precipitation using advanced transformer models and IoT are essential in various fields related to global climate change. We propose a novel weather prediction device that integrates state-of-the-art transformer models and IoT techniques to improve prediction accuracy and real-time processing. The proposed system demonstrated high reliability and performance, offering valuable insights for industries and sectors that rely on accurate weather information, including agriculture, transportation, and emergency response planning. The integration of transformer models with the IoT signifies a substantial advancement in weather and climate modeling.

• 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
• /
• 제어로봇시스템학회 2003년도 ICCAS
• /
• pp.1830-1835
• /
• 2003

A novel index representing burden distribution form in the blast furnace is developed and index estimation model is built with an empirical modeling method to monitor inner condition of the furnace without expensive sensors. To find the best combination of index and modeling method, two candidates for the index and four modeling methods have been examined. Results have shown that 3-D index have more resolution in describing the distribution form than 1-D index and ANN model produces smallest RMSE due to nonlinearity between the indices and charging mode. Although ANN has shown the best prediction accuracy in this study, PLS can be a good alternative due to its advantages in generalization capability, consistency, simplicity and training time. The second best result of PLS in the prediction results supports this fact.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
• /
• 제15권5호
• /
• pp.555-561
• /
• 2009

The established mathematical modeling methods have limitation to know the hydraulic characteristics at the wastewater treatment plant which are complex and nonlinear systems. So, an artificial neural network (ANN) model based on hydraulic characteristics is applied for modeling wastewater quality of a full-scale wastewater treatment plant using DNR (Daewoo nutrient removal) process. ANN was trained using data which are influents (TSS, BOD, COD, TN, TP) and effluents (COD, TN, TP) components in a year, and predicted the effluent results based on the training. To raise the efficiency of prediction, inputs of ANN are added the influent and effluent information that are in yesterday and the day before yesterday. The results of training data tend to have high accuracy between real value and predicted value, but test data tend to have lower accuracy. However, the more hydraulic characteristics are considered, the results become more accuracy.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
• /
• 제15권4호
• /
• pp.1019-1031
• /
• 2004

This paper describes a new modeling method for the prediction of transmembrane protein topology. The structural regions of the transmembrane protein have been modeled by means of a multiple state hidden Markov model that has provided for the detailed modeling of the heterogeneous amino acid distributions of each structural region. Grammatical constraints have been incorporated to the prediction method in order to capture the biological order of membrane protein topology. The proposed method correctly predicted 76% of all membrane spanning regions and 92% sidedness of the integration when all membrane spanning regions were found correctly.