• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제35권1호
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• pp.37-47
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• 2006

Recently, as a result of the growing interest in modeling stationary processes with discrete marginal distributions, several models for integer valued time series have been proposed in the literature. One of these models is the integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) models. However, when modeling with integer-valued autoregressive processes, the distributional properties of forecasts have been not yet discovered due to the difficulty in handling the Steutal Van Ham thinning operator 'o' (Steutal and van Ham, 1979). In this study, we derive the mean squared error of h-step-ahead prediction from a Poisson INAR(1) process, reflecting the effect of the variability of parameter estimates in the prediction mean squared error.

• International Journal of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.111-115
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• 2020

In this paper, I proposed an effective technique for accurately predicting pixel values using edge components. Adjacent pixel values are similar to each other. That is, generally, similarity exists between adjacent pixels in an image. In the proposed algorithm, edge components are detected using the surrounding pixels in the first step, and pixel values are estimated using the edge components in the second step. Therefore, the prediction accuracy of the pixel value is improved and the prediction error is reduced. Pixel value prediction is a necessary technique for various applications such as image magnification and confidential data concealment. Experimental results show that the proposed method has higher prediction accuracy and fewer prediction error. Therefore, the proposed technique can be effectively used for applications such as image magnification and confidential data concealment.

• IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing
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• 제4권1호
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• pp.16-21
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• 2015

Most video services are transmitted in wireless networks. In a network environment, a packet of video is likely to be lost during transmission. For this reason, numerous error concealment (EC) algorithms have been proposed to combat channel errors. On the other hand, most existing algorithms cannot conceal the whole missing frame effectively. To resolve this problem, this paper proposes a new Adaptive Prediction Unit-based Motion Vector Extrapolation (APMVE) algorithm to restore the entire missing frame encoded by High Efficiency Video Coding (HEVC). In each missing HEVC frame, it uses the prediction unit (PU) information of the previous frame to adaptively decide the size of a basic unit for error concealment and to provide a more accurate estimation for the motion vector in that basic unit than can be achieved by any other conventional method. The simulation results showed that it is highly effective and significantly outperforms other existing frame recovery methods in terms of both objective and subjective quality.

• 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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• 제7권11호
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• pp.944-952
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• 2001

Inertial navigation system(INS) errors increase with time due to inertial sensor errors, and therefore it is desired to combine INS with external aids such as GPS. However GPS informations have a randomly abrupt jump due to a sudden corruption of the received satellite signals and environment, and moreover GPS can\`t provide navigation solutions. In this paper, smoothing and prediction schemes are proposed for GPS`s jump or unavailable GPS. The smoothing algorithm which is designed as a scalar adaptive filter, smooths abrupt jump. The prediction algorithm which is proved by Schuler error model of INS, estimates INS error in appropriate time. The outputs of proposed algorithm apply stable measurements to GPS aided INS Kalman filter. Simulations show that the proposed algorithm can effectively remove measurement jump and predict INS error.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2003년도 학술회의 논문집 정보 및 제어부문 B
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• pp.380-383
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• 2003

This paper proposes a new and simple input prediction method for robust servo system. This servo system uses robust tracking control system based on both Coprime Factorization(CF) and Zero Phase Error Tracking control system. The CF control system can be designed simply and systematically. Moreover, this system has not only stability but also robustness and disturbance rejection ability The optical disk tracking servo system can detect only the tracking error. So the new and simple input prediction system proposed in this paper estimates the reference input signal from the tracking error. Numerical simulation results show that the proposed method is effective.

• 한국전자파학회논문지
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.211-218
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• 1998

본 논문에서는 광선 추적법을 이용한 마이크로셀 전파 환경 예측 모텔에서의 여러 가지 오차들에 관하여 해석 하였다. 반사 및 회절 계수의 부정확성 및 계산 과정에서 이들의 횟수 제한이 예측 결과에 미치는 영향올 분석하 였으며, 특히 건물 지도의 유한한 해상도에 의한 건물 데이터베이스의 오차가 전파 환경 예측 결과에 미칠 수 있는 영향에 대하여 자세히 분석하였다. 빠르고 정확한 예측 결과를 얻기 위해서는 각 건물들에 대하여 적절한 전기적 상수들의 선정과 반사 및 회절 횟수의 적절한 제한이 필요함을 보였다. 또한, 건물 지도의 해상도가 나빠질 수록 예측 결과의 오차가 증가함을 보였으며, LOS 구간과 NLOS 구간을 구분하여 그 오차의 크기를 분석하였다. 본 논문에서의 결과를 바탕으로 건물 지도의 해상도에 따른 예측 결과의 최대 오차 한계를 6 dB이하로 제한 할 경우 적절한 건물 지도의 해상도는 5m정도가 됨을 알 수 있다.

• ETRI Journal
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• 제30권4호
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• pp.506-515
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• 2008

The H.264/AVC standard has adopted new coding tools such as intra-prediction, variable block size, motion estimation with quarter-pixel-accuracy, loop filter, and so on. The adoption of these tools enables an H.264/AVC-coded bitstream to have more information than was possible with previous standards. In this paper, we propose an effective spatial error concealment method with low complexity in H.264/AVC intra-frame. From information included in an H.264/AVC-coded bitstream, we use prediction modes of intra-blocks to recover a damaged block. This is because the prediction direction in each prediction mode is highly correlated to the edge direction. We first estimate the edge direction of a damaged block using the prediction modes of the intra-blocks adjacent to a damaged block and classify the area inside the damaged block into edge and flat areas. Our method then recovers pixel values in the edge area using edge-directed interpolation, and recovers pixel values in the flat area using weighted interpolation. Simulation results show that the proposed method yields better video quality than conventional approaches.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제47권4호
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• pp.65-74
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• 2005

AnnAGNPS model was applied to a catchment mainly occupied with bushland for modeling non-point source pollution. Since the single event model cannot handle events longer than 24 hours duration, the event-based calibration was carried out using the continuous mode. As event flows affect sediment and nutrient generation and transport, the calibration of the model was performed in three steps: Hydrologic, Sediment and Nutrient calibrations. The results from hydrologic calibration for the catchment indicate a good prediction of the model with average ARE(Absolute Relative Error) of $24.6\%$ fur the runoff volume and $12\%$ for the peak flow. For the sediment calibration, the average ARE was $198.8\%$ indicating acceptable model performance for the sediment prediction. The predicted TN(Total Nitrogen) and TP(Total Phosphorus) were also found to be acceptable as the average ARE for TN and TP were $175.5\%\;and\;126.5\%$, respectively. The AnnAGNPS model was therefore approved to be appropriate to model non-point source pollution in bushland catchments. In general, the model was likely to result in underestimation for the larger events and overestimation fur the smaller events for the water quality predictions. It was also observed that the large errors in the hydrologic prediction also produced high errors in sediment and nutrient prediction. This was probably due to error propagation in which the error in the hydrologic prediction influenced the generation of error in the water quality prediction. Accurate hydrologic calibration should be hence obtained for a reliable water quality prediction.

• 한국태양에너지학회 논문집
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• 제32권2호
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• pp.74-86
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• 2012

For the improvement of environmental comfort in the buildings with the blind control, the objective of this study is to prevent the direct glare caused by the daylight inlet. During the process of solar profile prediction, time are significant factors that may cause error and glare during the blind control. This research proposes and evaluates the correction and control method to minimize prediction error. For the local areas with different longitude and local standard meridian, error occurred in the process of the time conversion from local standard time to apparent solar time. In order to correct error in time conversion, apparent solar time should be recalculated after adjusting the day of year and the equation of time. To solve the problems by the potential time errors, control method is suggested to divide the control sections using the calibrated fitting-curve and this method is verified through simulations. The proposed correction and control method, which considered potential time errors by loop lop leap years, could solve the problems about direct glare caused by daylight inlet on the work-plane according to the prediction errors of solar profile. And also these methods could maximize daylight inlet and solar heat gain, because the blocked area on windows could be minimized.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.107-113
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• 1984

In a linear regression model the idependent variables are frequently subject to measurement errors. For this case, the problem of estimating unknown parameters has been extensively discussed in the literature while very few has been concerned with the effect of measurement errors on prediction. This paper investigates the behavior of the predicted values of the dependent variable in terms of the average mean square error of prediction (AMSEP). AMSEP may be used as a criterion for selecting an appropriate estimation method, for designing an estimation experiment, and for developing cost-effective future sampling schemes.