• Title/Summary/Keyword: Precipitation indices

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Comparative Analysis of the 2022 Southern Agricultural Drought Using Evapotranspiration-Based ESI and EDDI (증발산 기반 ESI와 EDDI를 활용한 2022년 남부지역의 농업 가뭄 분석)

  • Park, Gwang-Su;Nam, Won-Ho;Lee, Hee-Jin;Sur, Chanyang;Ha, Tae-Hyun;Jo, Young-Jun
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.66 no.3
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2024
  • Global warming-induced drought inflicts significant socio-economic and environmental damage. In Korea, the persistent drought in the southern region since 2022 has severely affected water supplies, agriculture, forests, and ecosystems due to uneven precipitation distribution. To effectively prepare for and mitigate such impacts, it is imperative to develop proactive measures supported by early monitoring systems. In this study, we analyzed the spatiotemporal changes of multiple evapotranspiration-based drought indices, focusing on the flash drought event in the southern region in 2022. The indices included the Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI), Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) considering precipitation and temperature, and the Evaporative Stress Index (ESI) based on satellite images. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and SPEI indices utilized temperature and precipitation data from meteorological observation stations, while the ESI index was based on satellite image data provided by the MODIS sensor on the Terra satellite. Additionally, we utilized the Evaporative Demand Drought Index (EDDI) provided by the North Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) as a supplementary index to ESI, enabling us to perform more effective drought monitoring. We compared the degree and extent of drought in the southern region through four drought indices, and analyzed the causes and effects of drought from various perspectives. Findings indicate that the ESI is more sensitive in detecting the timing and scope of drought, aligning closely with observed drought trends.

A Study on Variability of Extreme Precipitation by Basin in South Korea (한국의 유역별 호우변화에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Seung-Ho;Kim, Eun-Kyung;Heo, In-Hye
    • Journal of the Korean association of regional geographers
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.505-520
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    • 2011
  • This study is aimed to examine the change on extreme precipitation events in South Korea. The country is divided into six basins, and seven extreme precipitation indices-related to heavy rainfall are analyzed at sixty weather stations. The increasing trend in amount of heavy rainfall is more stable than that in days of heavy rainfall. The increasing trend is the most stable when days of rainfall are more than 50 mm, or rainfall is over the 95th percentile. The precipitation indices-related to heavy rainfall was mostly increasing during analysis period. Especially, basins of the Han river, the upper Nakdong river, and the Eastern coast show significantly increasing trends compared to the other basins. However, the increasing trends of the Geum river and the Seomjin river are not statistically significant. Heavy rainfall events had stably increased in the Han and the Nakdong rivers since the mid-1970s. However, the number of stably increasing regions has decreased since the mid-2000s. It means that the frequency and intensity of the recent heavy rainfall become more irregular.

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우리나라 동남부 일강수량의 도수분포곡선

  • 김석중
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Soil and Groundwater Environment Conference
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    • 2003.04a
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    • pp.207-210
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    • 2003
  • In this research analyzed the daily precipitation depths of 4 climatic stations in south eastern part of Korea. It aimed to present some indices for regionalization of the area. The items are frequency distributions of precipitation quantity and days and the longest days less than class limit set up by arithmetic differences. The regression analysis between class value and frequency show very good correlation coefficients better than 0.99 which are cubic equation for the precipitation, exponential equation for the precipitation days, and first degree equation for the longest day less than class limit.

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Correlation analysis between climate indices and Korean precipitation and temperature using empirical mode decomposition : II. Correlation analysis (경험적 모드분해법을 이용한 기상인자와 우리나라 강수 및 기온의 상관관계 분석 : II. 상관관계 분석)

  • Ahn, Si-Kweon;Choi, Wonyoung;Shin, Hongjoon;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2016
  • In this study, it is analyzed how large scale climate variation has an effect on climate systems over Korea using correlation analysis between climate indices and Intrinsic Mode Functions (IMFs) of precipitation and temperature. For this purpose, the estimated IMFs of precipitation and temperature from the accompanying paper were used. Furthermore, cross correlation coefficients and lag time between climate indices and IMFs were calculated considering periodicities and tendencies. As results, more accurate correlation coefficients were obtained compared with those between climate indices and raw precipitation and temperature data. We found that the Korean climate is closely related with climate variations of $El-Ni{\tilde{n}}o$ in terms of periodicity and its tendency is followed with increasing sea surface temperature due to climate change.

Analysis of Drought Risk in the Upper River Basins based on Trend Analysis Results (갈수기 경향성 분석을 활용한 상류 유역의 가뭄위험 변동성 분석)

  • Jung, Il Won;Kim, Dong Yeong;Park, Jiyeon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.61 no.1
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    • pp.21-29
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    • 2019
  • This study analyzed the variability of drought risk based on trend analysis of dry-seasonal dam inflow located in upper river basins. To this, we used areal averaged precipitation and dam inflow of three upper river dams such as Soyang dam, Chungju dam, and Andong dam. We employed Mann-Kendall trend analysis and change point detection method to identify the significant trends and changing point in time series. Our results showed that significant decreasing trends (95% confidence interval) in dry-seasonal runoff rates (= dam inflow/precipitation) in three-dam basins. We investigated potential causes of decreasing runoff rates trends using changes in potential evapotranspiration (PET) and precipitation indices. However, there were no clear relation among changes in runoff rates, PET, and precipitation indices. Runoff rate reduction in the three dams may increase the risk of dam operational management and long-term water resource planning. Therefore, it will be necessary to perform a multilateral analysis to better understand decreasing runoff rates.

Peak drought index analysis of cheongmicheon watershed using meteorological and hydrological drought index (기상학적 및 수문학적 가뭄지수를 이용한 청미천 유역의 첨두가뭄지수 분석)

  • Kim, Soo Hyun;Chung, Eun-Sung
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.50 no.1
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    • pp.65-73
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    • 2017
  • This study analyzed the peak drought severity and drought duration of the Cheongmicheon watershed from 1985 to 2015 to assess the lag time of peak drought severity between several drought indices. Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) based on precipitation and Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) based on precipitation and evapotranspiration were applied as meteorological drought indices. Streamflow Drought Index (SDI) based on runoff data was applied as hydrological drought index. In case of SDI, we used Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) model for simulation of daily runoff data. As a result, the time of peak drought severity of SDI occurred after the occurrence of SPI and SPEI. The lag time for the peak drought severity, on average, between SDI and SPI was 0.59 months while SDI and SPEI was 0.79 months. As compared with SDI, the maximum delay was 2 months for both SPI and SPEI. This study results also shows that even though the rainfall events were able to cope with meteorological droughts, they were not always available to solve the hydrological droughts in the same time.

Assessment of Agricultural Drought Using Satellite-based TRMM/GPM Precipitation Images: At the Province of Chungcheongbuk-do (인공위성 기반 TRMM/GPM 강우 이미지를 이용한 농업 가뭄 평가: 충청북도 지역을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Taehwa;Kim, Sangwoo;Jung, Younghun;Shin, Yongchul
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.4
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2018
  • In this study, we assessed meteorological and agricultural drought based on the SPI(Standardized Precipitation Index), SMP(Soil Moisture Percentile), and SMDI(Soil Moisture Deficit Index) indices using satellite-based TRMM(Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission)/GPM(Global Precipitation Measurement) images at the province of Chungcheongbuk-do. The long-term(2000-2015) TRMM/GPM precipitation data were used to estimate the SPI values. Then, we estimated the spatially-/temporally-distributed soil moisture values based on the near-surface soil moisture data assimilation scheme using the TRMM/GPM and MODIS(MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer) images. Overall, the SPI value was significantly affected by the precipitation at the study region, while both the precipitation and land surface condition have influences on the SMP and SMDI values. But the SMP index showed the relatively extreme wet/dry conditions compared to SPI and SMDI, because SMP only calculates the percentage of current wetness condition without considering the impacts of past wetness condition. Considering that different drought indices have their own advantages and disadvantages, the SMDI index could be useful for evaluating agricultural drought and establishing efficient water management plans.

Prediction Skill for East Asian Summer Monsoon Indices in a KMA Global Seasonal Forecasting System (GloSea5) (기상청 기후예측시스템(GloSea5)의 여름철 동아시아 몬순 지수 예측 성능 평가)

  • Lee, So-Jeong;Hyun, Yu-Kyung;Lee, Sang-Min;Hwang, Seung-On;Lee, Johan;Boo, Kyung-On
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.293-309
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    • 2020
  • There are lots of indices that define the intensity of East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) in climate systems. This paper assesses the prediction skill for EASM indices in a Global Seasonal Forecasting System (GloSea5) that is currently operating at KMA. Total 5 different types of EASM indices (WNPMI, EAMI, WYI, GUOI, and SAHI) are selected to investigate how well GloSea5 reproduces them using hindcasts with 12 ensemble members with 1~3 lead months. Each index from GloSea5 is compared to that from ERA-Interim. Hindcast results for the period 1991~2010 show the highest prediction skill for WNPMI which is defined as the difference between the zonal winds at 850 hPa over East China Sea and South China Sea. WYI, defined as the difference between the zonal winds of upper and lower level over the Indian Ocean far from East Asia, is comparatively well captured by GloSea5. Though the prediction skill for EAMI which is defined by using meridional winds over areas of East Asia and Korea directly affected by EASM is comparatively low, it seems that EAMI is useful for predicting the variability of precipitation by EASM over East Asia. The regressed atmospheric fields with EASM index and the correlation with precipitation also show that GloSea5 best predicts the synoptic environment of East Asia for WNPMI among 5 EASM indices. Note that the result in this study is limited to interpret only for GloSea5 since the prediction skill for EASM index depends greatly on climate forecast model systems.