• Title/Summary/Keyword: Power consumption prediction

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A Study on Prediction of Power Consumption Rate of Middle School Building in Changwon City by Regression Analysis (회귀분석을 통한 창원시 중학교 전력소비량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Hyeong-Kyu;Park, Hyo-Seok;Choi, Jeong-Min;Cho, Sung-Woo
    • The Journal of Sustainable Design and Educational Environment Research
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.61-70
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    • 2013
  • As the existing school building power consumption is expressed by total power consumption, in the view of energy saving is disadvantage. The the power consumption of school building is divided as cooling, heating, lighting and others. The cooling power consumption, heating power consumption, lighting power consumption can be calculated using real total power consumption that gained from Korea Electric Power Corporation(KEPCO). The power consumption for cooling and heating can be calculated using heat transmittance, wall area and floor area, and for lighting is calculated by artificial lighting calculation. but this calculation methods is difficult for laymen. This study was carried out in order to establish the regression equation for cooling power consumption, heating power consumption, lighting power consumption and other power consumption in school building. In order to verify the validity of the regression equation, it is compared regression equation results and calculation results based on real power consumption. As the results, difference between regression result and calculation results for cooling and heating power consumption showed 0.6% and 3.6%.

Enhanced Markov-Difference Based Power Consumption Prediction for Smart Grids

  • Le, Yiwen;He, Jinghan
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.1053-1063
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    • 2017
  • Power prediction is critical to improve power efficiency in Smart Grids. Markov chain provides a useful tool for power prediction. With careful investigation of practical power datasets, we find an interesting phenomenon that the stochastic property of practical power datasets does not follow the Markov features. This mismatch affects the prediction accuracy if directly using Markov prediction methods. In this paper, we innovatively propose a spatial transform based data processing to alleviate this inconsistency. Furthermore, we propose an enhanced power prediction method, named by Spatial Mapping Markov-Difference (SMMD), to guarantee the prediction accuracy. In particular, SMMD adopts a second prediction adjustment based on the differential data to reduce the stochastic error. Experimental results validate that the proposed SMMD achieves an improvement in terms of the prediction accuracy with respect to state-of-the-art solutions.

Adaptive Antenna Muting using RNN-based Traffic Load Prediction (재귀 신경망에 기반을 둔 트래픽 부하 예측을 이용한 적응적 안테나 뮤팅)

  • Ahmadzai, Fazel Haq;Lee, Woongsup
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.633-636
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    • 2022
  • The reduction of energy consumption at the base station (BS) has become more important recently. In this paper, we consider the adaptive muting of the antennas based on the predicted future traffic load to reduce the energy consumption where the number of active antennas is adaptively adjusted according to the predicted future traffic load. Given that traffic load is sequential data, three different RNN structures, namely long-short term memory (LSTM), gated recurrent unit (GRU), and bidirectional LSTM (Bi-LSTM) are considered for the future traffic load prediction. Through the performance evaluation based on the actual traffic load collected from the Afghanistan telecom company, we confirm that the traffic load can be estimated accurately and the overall power consumption can also be reduced significantly using the antenna musing.

Implementation of low power algorithm for near distance wireless communication and RFID/USN systems

  • Kim, Song-Ju;Hwang, Moon-Soo;Kim, Young-Min
    • International Journal of Contents
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.1-7
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    • 2011
  • A new power control algorithm for wireless communication which can be applied to various near distance communications and USN/RFID systems is proposed. This technique has been applied and tested to lithium coin battery operated UHF/microwave transceiver systems to show extremely long communication life time without battery exchange. The power control algorithm is based on the dynamic prediction method of arrival time for incoming packet at the receiver. We obtain 16mA current consumption in the TX module and 20mA current consumption in the RX module. The advantage provided by this method compared to others is that both master transceiver and slave transceiver can be low power consumption system.

Prediction Method about Power Consumption by Using Utilization Rate of Resources in Cloud Computing Environment (클라우드 컴퓨팅 환경에서 자원의 사용률을 이용한 소비전력 예측 방안)

  • Park, Sang-myeon;Mun, Young-song
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.7-14
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    • 2016
  • Recently, as cloud computing technologies are developed, it enable to work anytime and anywhere by smart phone and computer. Also, cloud computing technologies are suited to reduce costs of maintaining IT infrastructure and initial investment, so cloud computing has been developed. As demand about cloud computing has risen sharply, problems of power consumption are occurred to maintain the environment of data center. To solve the problem, first of all, power consumption has been measured. Although using power meter to measure power consumption obtain accurate power consumption, extra cost is incurred. Thus, we propose prediction method about power consumption without power meter. To proving accuracy about proposed method, we perform CPU and Hard disk test on cloud computing environment. During the tests, we obtain both predictive value by proposed method and actual value by power meter, and we calculate error rate. As a result, error rate of predictive value and actual value shows about 4.22% in CPU test and about 8.51% in Hard disk test.

Measurement and Analysis of Power Dissipation of Value Speculation in Superscalar Processors (슈퍼스칼라 프로세서에서 값 예측을 이용한 모험적 실행의 전력소모 측정 및 분석)

  • 이상정;이명근;신화정
    • Journal of KIISE:Computer Systems and Theory
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    • v.30 no.12
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    • pp.724-735
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    • 2003
  • In recent high-performance superscalar processors, the result value of an instruction is predicted to improve instruction-level parallelism by breaking data dependencies. Using those predicted values, instructions are speculatively executed and substantial performance can be gained. It, however, requires additional power consumption due to the frequent access and update of the value prediction table. In this paper, first, the trade-off between the performance improvement and the increased power consumption for value prediction is measured and analyzed. And, in order to reduce additional power consumption without performance loss, the technique of controlling speculative execution with confidence counter and predicting useful instructions is developed. Also, in order to prove the validity, a tool is developed that can simulate processor behavior at cycle-level and measure total energy consumption and power consumption per cycle.

A Study on Forecasting Method for a Short-Term Demand Forecasting of Customer's Electric Demand (수요측 단기 전력소비패턴 예측을 위한 평균 및 시계열 분석방법 연구)

  • Ko, Jong-Min;Yang, Il-Kwon;Song, Jae-Ju
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.58 no.1
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    • pp.1-6
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    • 2009
  • The traditional demand prediction was based on the technique wherein electric power corporations made monthly or seasonal estimation of electric power consumption for each area and subscription type for the next one or two years to consider both seasonally generated and local consumed amounts. Note, however, that techniques such as pricing, power generation plan, or sales strategy establishment were used by corporations without considering the production, comparison, and analysis techniques of the predicted consumption to enable efficient power consumption on the actual demand side. In this paper, to calculate the predicted value of electric power consumption on a short-term basis (15 minutes) according to the amount of electric power actually consumed for 15 minutes on the demand side, we performed comparison and analysis by applying a 15-minute interval prediction technique to the average and that to the time series analysis to show how they were made and what we obtained from the simulations.

Influencing factors and prediction of carbon dioxide emissions using factor analysis and optimized least squares support vector machine

  • Wei, Siwei;Wang, Ting;Li, Yanbin
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.175-185
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    • 2017
  • As the energy and environmental problems are increasingly severe, researches about carbon dioxide emissions has aroused widespread concern. The accurate prediction of carbon dioxide emissions is essential for carbon emissions controlling. In this paper, we analyze the relationship between carbon dioxide emissions and influencing factors in a comprehensive way through correlation analysis and regression analysis, achieving the effective screening of key factors from 16 preliminary selected factors including GDP, total population, total energy consumption, power generation, steel production coal consumption, private owned automobile quantity, etc. Then fruit fly algorithm is used to optimize the parameters of least squares support vector machine. And the optimized model is used for prediction, overcoming the blindness of parameter selection in least squares support vector machine and maximizing the training speed and global searching ability accordingly. The results show that the prediction accuracy of carbon dioxide emissions is improved effectively. Besides, we conclude economic and environmental policy implications on the basis of analysis and calculation.

Electric power consumption predictive modeling of an electric propulsion ship considering the marine environment

  • Lim, Chae-og;Park, Byeong-cheol;Lee, Jae-chul;Kim, Eun Soo;Shin, Sung-chul
    • International Journal of Naval Architecture and Ocean Engineering
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.765-781
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    • 2019
  • This study predicts the power consumption of an Electric Propulsion Ship (EPS) in marine environment. The EPS is driven by a propeller rotated by a propulsion motor, and the power consumption of the propeller changes by the marine environment. The propulsion motor consumes the highest percentage of the ships' total power. Therefore, it is necessary to predict the power consumption and determine the power generation capacity and the propeller capacity to design an efficient EPS. This study constructs a power estimation simulator for EPS by using a ship motion model including marine environment and an electric power consumption model. The usage factor that represents the relationship between power consumption and propulsion is applied to the simulator for power prediction. Four marine environment scenarios are set up and the power consumed by the propeller to maintain a constant ship speed according to the marine environment is predicted in each scenario.

Performance Improvement of an Energy Efficient Cluster Management Based on Autonomous Learning (자율학습기반의 에너지 효율적인 클러스터 관리에서의 성능 개선)

  • Cho, Sungchul;Chung, Kyusik
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.4 no.11
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    • pp.369-382
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    • 2015
  • Energy aware server clusters aim to reduce power consumption at maximum while keeping QoS(quality of service) compared to energy non-aware server clusters. They adjust the power mode of each server in a fixed or variable time interval to activate only the minimum number of servers needed to handle current user requests. Previous studies on energy aware server cluster put efforts to reduce power consumption or heat dissipation, but they do not consider energy efficiency well. In this paper, we propose an energy efficient cluster management method to improve not only performance per watt but also QoS of the existing server power mode control method based on autonomous learning. Our proposed method is to adjust server power mode based on a hybrid approach of autonomous learning method with multi level thresholds and power consumption prediction method. Autonomous learning method with multi level thresholds is applied under normal load situation whereas power consumption prediction method is applied under abnormal load situation. The decision on whether current load is normal or abnormal depends on the ratio of the number of current user requests over the average number of user requests during recent past few minutes. Also, a dynamic shutdown method is additionally applied to shorten the time delay to make servers off. We performed experiments with a cluster of 16 servers using three different kinds of load patterns. The multi-threshold based learning method with prediction and dynamic shutdown shows the best result in terms of normalized QoS and performance per watt (valid responses). For banking load pattern, real load pattern, and virtual load pattern, the numbers of good response per watt in the proposed method increase by 1.66%, 2.9% and 3.84%, respectively, whereas QoS in the proposed method increase by 0.45%, 1.33% and 8.82%, respectively, compared to those in the existing autonomous learning method with single level threshold.