• 경영과학
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• 제31권1호
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• pp.17-26
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• 2014

This study presents a new real estate value analysis model considering the changes in the population structure. We propose a new model that takes advantage of the binomial option model one of the techniques of real options and considers the changes in the population structure. The real estate market price data of Seoul city from year 2001 to 2012 were extracted and the correlation analysis between real estate prices and changes in the population structure was performed. The result shows that they have positive correlation with one year time lag. The coefficient between the real estate prices and demographic changes was estimated using the OLS analysis and included in the traditional binomial option model to calculate the value of the property. It is assumed for the future price prediction that real estate invested in Seoul in January, 2013 will be sold within five years. Analysis result shows that the values of real estate in September of 2013 were predicted as 583.5 million won in the new model and as 582.4 million won in the traditional model. This reflects that the new model considering the change of population change gives better realistic performance than the traditional one.

• Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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• 제25권1_2호
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• pp.363-374
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• 2007

In this paper, we consider the discrete nonlinear delay model which describe the control of a single population of cells. We establish a sufficient condition for oscillation of all positive solutions about the positive equilibrium point and give a sufficient condition for the global attractivity of the equilibrium point. The oscillation condition guarantees the prevalence of the population about the positive steady sate and the global attractivity condition guarantees the nonexistence of dynamical diseases on the population.

• 한국조경학회지
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• 제32권6호
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• pp.23-35
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• 2005

Korean goral (Nemorhaedus caudatus raddeanus) is an endangered species in Korea, and the rugged terrain of the Sorksan National Park $(373km^2)$ is a critical habitat for the species. Since the goral population is threatened by habitat fragmentation, it is essential to establish a reserve for the isolated goral population. The objective of this study was to propose a reserve for Korean goral in the national Park We employed habitat suitability model, habitat capability model, and the concept of minimum viable population. The results of the study were as follows. First, the carrying capacity and optimal density of gorals in the national park were projected to be 449 gorals, and 251 gorals, respectively Second, since only one patch was projected to satisfy the criteria of minimum viable population (50 individuals/during 50 years), the long term extinction possibility of gorals in the site would be very high. Finally, the patch that satisfy the minimum viable population of goral was proposed as the core zone of the goral reserve and adjacent patches were included as buffer zones.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제17권6호
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• pp.791-801
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• 2010

마이크로데이터 제공시 발생될 수 있는 노출(disclosure)과 노출위험을 나타내는데 사용되는 측도인 유일성(uniqueness) 그리고 모집단 유일성의 개수를 추정하기 위한 초모집단 모형으로 Multinomial-Dirichlet 모형, Takemura의 Poisson-Gamma 모형, Modified Multinomial-Dirichlet 모형, Bethlehem의 Poisson-Gamma 모형을 다룬다. 이 4개의 모형에 대해 마이크로데이터 제공에 따른 임계모집단 크기(critical population size)를 결정한다.

• 대한지리학회지
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• 제38권
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• pp.61-74
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• 1988

Changing patterns of population densities in urban centers are different between Western countries and non-Western countries. Although Seoul is located in a non-Western country, the result of this study shows that its pattern of population density falls into the category of Western cities. Through the examination of three population density gradient models, it is clear that no model can precisely explain the population distribution of Seoul over time. Some of the models partly indicate the actual population distrisbution. The Clark model is appropriate to denote population distribution in the center of Seoul at an early stage in development. The Sherratt model cannot adequately explain the population distribution of Seoul.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제23권3호
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• pp.511-520
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• 2010

약동학 모형은 약동학 모수들의 복잡한 비선형형태의 함수로 복잡한 미분방정식의 형태로 나타나기도 한다. 집단 약동학은 약동학 모형에서 약동학 모수들의 개인 간 차이를 나타내기 위해 이를 랜덤효과로 가정하므로 비선형 혼합 효과 모형이 된다. 본 논문에서는 임상약리학에서 약동학적 특징을 설명하기 위해 사용하는 집단 약동학 모형에 대한 통계학적 고찰을 해 본다. 또한 실제 임상자료를 이용하여 집단 약동학 모형을 적용하여 분석해 봄으로써 통계적 의미를 살펴본다.

• The Korean Journal of Ecology
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• 제19권1호
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• pp.9-19
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• 1996

The model PINUSCO2 hased of physiology was creted to simulate carbon dioxide budget in a population of red pine(pinus densiflora) which is one of the dominant species in Korea. Driving forces of PINUSCO2 are global radiation, maximum and minimum air temperatures. State variables fo the model are standing crops of leaf, branch, trunk and root of the red pine population. PINUSCO2 calculates net photosynthesis of canopy and respiration of each organ with 1 hour time step. PINUSCO2 estimated the annual gross productivity, respiration and net productivity of the red pine population as 43.99, 24.55, and 19.44 ton CO2·ha-1·yr-1, respectively, at the study sity(35°58′00"N, 128°25′35"E). PINUSCO2 showed that the red pine population grew mainly in spring and fall, and that in summer daily net population productivity frequently became negative.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제15권5호
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• pp.783-791
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• 2008

Estimation procedure of the finite population proportion and distribution function is considered. Based on a logistic regression model, an approximately model- optimal estimator is defined and conditions for the estimator to be design-consistent are given. Simulation study shows that the model-optimal design-consistent estimator defined under a logistic regression model performs well in estimating the finite population distribution function.

• 한국컴퓨터산업학회논문지
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• 제4권12호
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• pp.1033-1042
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• 2003

본 논문에서는 컴퓨터 시뮬레이션에 의한 인구예측을 통계모형을 써서 연구하였고 더불어 경제인구를 예측하였다. 과거의 인구를 토대로 하여 미래의 인구를 예측한다는 것은 불확실한 상황이 많이 개입되어 있기 때문에 매우 어려운 문제이다. 또한 예측이 되었다 하더라도 급변하는 세계적인 문화 및 국내의 문화적인 정서의 흐름에 따라서 많은 변화가 예상되므로 경제인구 예측을 적중하기에는 더 더욱 어려운 것이다. 인구 예측에 있어서 과거의 자료인즉, 1960년도부터 1990년도까지 센서스 인구를 이용하여 Box ＆ Jenkins가 개발한 ARIMA 모형을 써서 미래 2021년도까지의 인구를 각각 표나 부록에 나타난 것처럼 경제인구를 예측하였다.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• 제10권
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• pp.145-157
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• 1981

Regional relocation of population in Korea is required strongly from natural and environmental sides for substantial growth of economy and the rigorous revival national economy against especially internationalization. This paper aimed for analysed the population distribution by regional and special characteristics of the inter-migration and showed the direction of population policy through the model building. Relocation methods of population by region has been examined through the process from the approach method by Haurin's production function to the approach by the utility function. The examination of the development model is done efficiently, how utility these approach models are depends on that scientific and composite plan for population problems against forced policy should be taken precedence.