• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population dynamics model

Search Result 141, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

GLOBAL STABILITY OF THE VIRAL DYNAMICS WITH CROWLEY-MARTIN FUNCTIONAL RESPONSE

  • Zhou, Xueyong;Cui, Jingan
    • Bulletin of the Korean Mathematical Society
    • /
    • v.48 no.3
    • /
    • pp.555-574
    • /
    • 2011
  • It is well known that the mathematical models provide very important information for the research of human immunodeciency virus type. However, the infection rate of almost all mathematical models is linear. The linearity shows the simple interaction between the T-cells and the viral particles. In this paper, a differential equation model of HIV infection of $CD4^+$ T-cells with Crowley-Martin function response is studied. We prove that if the basic reproduction number $R_0$ < 1, the HIV infection is cleared from the T-cell population and the disease dies out; if $R_0$ > 1, the HIV infection persists in the host. We find that the chronic disease steady state is globally asymptotically stable if $R_0$ > 1. Numerical simulations are presented to illustrate the results.

Growth Pattern of Pandalus gracilis (Decapoda: Pandalidae) in the Southern Coastal Waters of Korea

  • Oh, Chul-Woong
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.111-117
    • /
    • 2011
  • The population dynamics of Pandalus gracilis was investigated in the southeastern coastal area of Korea between May 1998 and April 2000. Of the 4,127 specimens, 57% were identified as females, 39% as males, and 4% as transitional hermaphrodites. The number of females was greater than that of males and transexuals. A significant correlation was observed between the number of transitional hermaphrodites and ambient seawater temperature. Growth parameters were estimated using the modified von Bertalanffy growth function model incorporating seasonal variation in growth using the program ELEFAN. Females grew faster and reached a larger size-at-age than males (K=0.65/y and $L_{\infty}$=17.86 mm carapace length [CL] for females; K=0.51/y and $L_{\infty}$=14.70 mm CL for males). Mean size and age (95% confidence limits) at sex transition, calculated from growth parameters, were 7.07 mm carapace length and 1.05 years, respectively. The reproductive strategies of pandalid shrimps are discussed in terms of the type of sex transition.

TRAVELING WAVE SOLUTIONS IN NONLOCAL DISPERSAL MODELS WITH NONLOCAL DELAYS

  • Pan, Shuxia
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
    • /
    • v.51 no.4
    • /
    • pp.703-719
    • /
    • 2014
  • This paper is concerned with the traveling wave solutions of nonlocal dispersal models with nonlocal delays. The existence of traveling wave solutions is investigated by the upper and lower solutions, and the asymptotic behavior of traveling wave solutions is studied by the idea of contracting rectangles. To illustrate these results, a delayed competition model is considered by presenting the existence and nonexistence of traveling wave solutions, which completes and improves some known results. In particular, our conclusions can deal with the traveling wave solutions of evolutionary systems which admit large time delays reflecting intraspecific competition in population dynamics and leading to the failure of comparison principle in literature.

Invasion of Ambrosia artemisiifolia L. (Compositae) in the Ukrainian Carpathians Mts. and the Transcarpathian Plain (Central Europe)

  • Song, Jong-Suk;Prots, Bohdan
    • Animal cells and systems
    • /
    • v.2 no.2
    • /
    • pp.209-216
    • /
    • 1998
  • The invasion of Ambrosia artemisiifolia in the Ukrainian Carpathians Mts. and the Transcarpathian Plain in Central Europe was reconstructed on the basis of floristic records. The first spontaneous occurrence was dated from the beginning of the 1940s. Within the next 55 year period, the distributional spread speed of the species was of 67.6 $km^2/y$ (by the average data). The occupied area by A. artemisiifolia in the range of the studied areas is about $3716.5km^2$ now. The features of behavior of the invader and the habitat preference were determined. The frequency of occurrence by sociologic-ecological classification was carried out. The generalized model of correlations among the gravitation, the active temperature sum and the disturbance gradients and the frequency of occurrence of the species was presented. The scheme of the invasion stages of A. artemisiifolia is reflected in the population status changes of the species during the areal dynamics.

  • PDF

An empirical model of air bubble size for the application to air masker (에어마스커의 기포크기 추정 경험적 모델)

  • Park, Cheolsoo;Jeong, So Won;Kim, Gun Do;Park, Youngha;Moon, Ilsung;Yim, Geuntae
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
    • /
    • v.40 no.4
    • /
    • pp.320-329
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this paper, an empirical model of air bubble size to be applied to an air masker for reduction of underwater radiation noise is presented. The proposed model improves the divergence problem under the low-speed flow condition of the existing model derived using Rayleigh's jet instability model and simple continuity condition by introducing a jet flow velocity of air. The jet flow velocity of air is estimated using the bubble size where the liquid is quiescent. In a medium without flow, the size of the bubble is estimated by an empirical method where bubble formation regime is divided into a laminar-flow range, a transition range, and a turbulent-flow range based on the Reynolds number of the injected air. The proposed bubble size model is confirmed to be in good agreement with the Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) analysis result and the experimental results of the existing literature. Using the acoustic inversion method, the air bubble population is estimated from the insertion loss measured during the air injection experiment of the air- masker model in a large cavitation tunnel. The results of the experiments and the bubble size model are compared in the paper.

Forecasting the Grain Volumes in Incheon Port Using System Dynamics (System Dynamics를 이용한 인천항 양곡화물 물동량 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Sung-Il;Jung, Hyun-Jae;Yeo, Gi-Tae
    • Journal of Navigation and Port Research
    • /
    • v.36 no.6
    • /
    • pp.521-526
    • /
    • 2012
  • More efficient and effective volume management of trade cargo is recently requested due to FTA with foreign country. Above all, the grain is the main cargo needed in Korean food life and was appointed as the core trade cargo during FTA. This study is aimed to forecast future demands of grain volumes which are handled at Incheon port because most of the grain volumes are traded at Incheon port in Korea. System Dynamics (SD) was used for forecasting as the methodology. Also, population, yearly grain consumption per a man, GDP, GRDP, exchange rate, and BDI were used as the factors that influence grain volumes. Simulation duration was from 2000 to 2020 and real data was used from 2000 to 2007. According to the simulation, 2020's grain volumes at Incheon port were forecasted to be about 2 million tons and grain volumes handled at Incheon port were continuously reduced. In order to measure accuracy of the simulation, this study implemented MAPE analysis. And after the implementation, the simulation was decided as a much more accurate model because MAPE value was calculated to be 6.3%. This study respectively examined factors using the sensitivity analysis. As a result, in terms of the effects on grain volume in Incheon Port, the population factor is most significant and exchange rate factor is the least.

Foot-and-mouth disease spread simulation using agent-based spatial model (행위자 기반 공간 모델을 이용한 구제역 확산 시뮬레이션)

  • Ariuntsetseg, Enkhbaatar;Yom, Jae-Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
    • /
    • v.31 no.3
    • /
    • pp.209-219
    • /
    • 2013
  • Epidemiological models on disease spread attempt to simulate disease transmission and associated control processes and such models contribute to greater understanding of disease spatial diffusion through of individual's contacts. The objective of this study is to develop an agent-based modeling(ABM) approach that integrates geographic information systems(GIS) to simulate the spread of FMD in spatial environment. This model considered three elements: population, time and space, and assumed that the disease would be transmitted between farms via vehicle along the roads. The model is implemented using FMD outbreak data in Andong city of South Korea in 2010 as a case study. In the model, FMD is described with the mathematical model of transmission probability, the distance of the two individuals, latent period, and other parameters. The results show that the GIS-agent based model designed for this study can be easily customized to study the spread dynamics of FMD by adjusting the disease parameters. In addition, the proposed model is used to measure the effectiveness of different control strategies to intervene the FMD spread.

Predicting the Occurrence of Generation for Riptortus pedestris (Fabricius) Using Their Body Color (톱다리개미허리노린재의 체색변이를 이용한 발생세대 예측)

  • Lee, Hyoseok;Jung, Jong-Kook;Im, Jae Seong;Park, Marana;Lee, Seunghyun;Lee, Joon-Ho
    • Korean journal of applied entomology
    • /
    • v.54 no.4
    • /
    • pp.431-435
    • /
    • 2015
  • Riptortus pedestris (Fabricius) is one of the important insect pests of leguminous crops, which occurs in most areas of South Korea. It is hard to distinguish each generation in crop fields since not only the longevity of adult R. pedestris is long but also the developmental period is short. Especially, the 2nd generation adults cause enormous damage to soybean while the occurrence time is synchronized with the podding stage of soybean. Controlling the 1st generation of R. pedestris helps to decrease the damage by decreasing the 2nd generation density. This study was conducted to distinguish between the 1st generation and the overwintering generation by using differences in body coloration which is dependent on the day-length during the nymph stage. In addition, the difference was verified by the population dynamics model of R. pedestris. The occurrence time of 1st generation adults could be considered when the summer form is 20% or more. These results will be used for beneficial management decisions to reduce the 2nd generation population.

Quantitative Analysis of Leuconostoc mesenteroides and Lactobacillus plantarum Populations by a Competitive Polymerase Chain Reaction

  • Koh, Young-Ho;Kim, Myoung-Dong;Han, Nam-Soo;Seo, Jin-Ho
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
    • /
    • v.12 no.5
    • /
    • pp.801-806
    • /
    • 2002
  • A multiplex competitive polymerase chain reaction (PCR) method was developed for the rapid identification and quantification of Leuconostoc mesnteroides and Lactobacillus plantarum populations which are the key microorganisms in kimchi fermentation. The strain-specific primers were designed to selectively amplify the target genes encoding 165 rRNA of L. plantarum and dextransucrase of L. mesenteroides. There was a linear relationship between the band intensity of PCR products and the number of colony forming units of each model organism. The PCR quantification method was compared with a traditional plate-counting method f3r the enumeration of the two lactic acid bacteria in a mixed suspension culture and also applied to a real food system, namely, watery kimchi. The population dynamics of the two model organisms in the mixed culture were reliably predictable by the competitive PCR analysis.

Exploring the Stability of Predator-Prey Ecosystem in Response to Initial Population Density (초기 개체군 밀도가 포식자-피식자 생태계 안정성에 미치는 영향)

  • Cho, Jung-Hee;Lee, Sang-Hee
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
    • /
    • v.22 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-6
    • /
    • 2013
  • The ecosystem is the complex system consisting of various biotic and abiotic factors and the factors interact with each other in the hierarchical predator-prey relationship. Since the competitive relation spatiotemporally occurs, the initial state of population density and species distribution are likely to play an important role in the stability of the ecosystem. In the present study, we constructed a lattice model to simulate the three-trophic ecosystem (predatorprey- plant) and using the model, explored how the ecosystem stability is affected by the initial density. The size of lattice space was $L{\times}L$, (L=100) with periodic boundary condition. The initial density of the plant was arbitrarily set as the value of 0.2. The simulation result showed that predator and prey coexist when the density of predator is less than or equal to 0.4 and the density of prey is less than or equal to 0.5. On the other hand, when the predator density is more than or equal to 0.5 and the density of prey is more than or equal to 0.6, both of predator and prey were extinct. In addition, we found that the strong nonlinearity in the interaction between species was observed in the border area between the coexistence and extinction in the species density space.