• Title/Summary/Keyword: Population dynamics

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Phase Transitions and Phase Diagram of the Island Model with Migration

  • Park, Jeong-Man
    • Journal of the Korean Physical Society
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    • v.73 no.9
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    • pp.1219-1224
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    • 2018
  • We investigate the evolutionary dynamics and the phase transitions of the island model which consists of subdivided populations of individuals confined to two islands. In the island model, the population is subdivided so that migration acts to determine the evolutionary dynamics along with selection and genetic drift. The individuals are assumed to be haploid and to be one of two species, X or Y. They reproduce according to their fitness values, die at random, and migrate between the islands. The evolutionary dynamics of an individual based model is formulated in terms of a master equation and is approximated by using the diffusion method as the multidimensional Fokker-Planck equation (FPE) and the coupled non-linear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with multiplicative noise. We analyze the infinite population limit to find the phase transitions from the monomorphic state of one type to the polymorphic state to the monomorphic state of the other type as we vary the ratio of the fitness values in two islands and complete the phase diagram of our island model.

The Effect Analysis of Smart City Planning on Urban Dynamics Using System Dynamics Method - Focused on Anyang-city, Korea (시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 스마트도시계획이 도시동태성에 미치는 영향 분석 - 안양시를 중심으로)

  • Yi, Mi Sook;Yeo, Kwan Hyun;Kim, Chang Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2020
  • Recently, smart cities are attracting attention as a solution for a plethora of urban problems, including transportation, environment, safety, and energy. However, despite a substantial body of research dealt with the concept, trends, policy, and legal institutions of smart cities, few researchers have examined how the smart city services influence the cities from the dynamic perspective that considers the entire cycle of a city, including its growth, stagnation, and decline. Thus, it is vital to understand how the city changes with time from the view that a city is a system of sub-elements-population, industry, transportation, environment, housing, and land-closely interacting together. Within this context, this study explores how the urban dynamics of Anyang-city develop for the long term using the System Dynamics method and analyzes the effect of smart city project investment on the dynamics of Anyang-city. According to the result, Anyang-city is a "mature and stable" type, and its population is expected to decrease slowly by 2040. Specifically, the Anyang-city population will be reduced to 553,000 by 2030. It was analyzed that the number will decrease to 543,000 by 2040. It was also found that the investment in smart city projects in Anyang, based on the Plan for Anyang Smart City, would have the following effects: easing population decline, increasing number of businesses, improving urban safety index, and increasing average driving speed. The population will grow by 4,000 and the number of businesses will increase by 761 than before budget investment. The result of this paper is expected to contribute to identifying and predicting the effect of smart city policies from a long-term perspective.

Analysis on the Dynamics of Distribution and Eradication of Nutria on Nakdong River Area (낙동강 생태계에서의 외래종 뉴트리아 확산과 근절의 동태성 분석)

  • Kwon, Soon-Min;Kim, Sun-Tae;Choi, Nam-Hee
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.53-74
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    • 2015
  • Nutria(Myocastor coypus) is one of the most notorious invasive species in many countries. The Nutria's original range was South America like Brazil, Chile and Argentina. But it has been introduced to North America, Europe, Africa, and Asia including Korea, by fur ranchers. Like most invasive and disturbing species, nutria not only destroys habitats but also impacts many native species throughout most of its range with destructive feeding behavior. The purpose of this study is to investigate the dynamics of survival mechanism, population increase and spatial distribution, and eradication effect of Nutria on Nakdong River Area with the systems thinking. The result of this study revealed that Nutria can survive during winter with the behavior that the colder the winter was, the more deeply it burrowed. Further, the study uncovered the dynamics that nutria has survived more and more strongly during the extreme cold winter in almost every region and their population has increased dramatically as a result of the uncontrolled reproduction. Finally, the result showed that the action delay in eradicating Nutria, which was originated from the information delay of perception of nutria's survival and reproduction structure, reinforced the spread of Nutria across the nation.

An Integrated Ecological-Economic System Dynamics Model Analysis on the Ecosystem Restoration Policy (II): Extensions and Relaxations of the Model of King Crabs in the Imjin River, Korea (생태계 복원사업의 생태.경제 통합체계 동태분석(II) -임진강 참게 복원사업의 확장모형-)

  • Jeong, Hoi-Seong;Jeon, Dae-Uk
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.97-120
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    • 2006
  • This paper deals with the extension of and discussion on the System Dynamics model (Jeong & Jeon, 2005) of river crabs in Korea. The previous model has been elaborated to empirically search for the optimal restoration and harvest rates of crabs in the Imjin River, on the basis of theoretical models of population dynamics in the field of bio-mathematics and environmental economics. In this paper, the authors tries to couple a series of new feedback loops related to density restrictions and cannibalistic behaviors with a stage-structured model of the crab ecosystem, and also to endogenize the parameter of baby crabs' survival that is caused by water quality improvement and income increase. Through these extensions and relaxations, the authors are able to argue about the strategic decision of the optimal rates additional considerations as well as the properties of the integrated system that was not covered in the previous paper.

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STABILITY AND THE EFFECT OF HARVESTING IN A BUDWORM POPULATION MODEL

  • Zaman, Gul;Kang, Yong-Han;Jung, Il-Hyo
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.163-173
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    • 2010
  • In this work, we consider a nonlinear budworm model by a system of three ordinary differential equations originally created by Ludwig et al. in 1978. The nonlinear system describes the dynamics of the interaction between a budworm and a fir forest. We introduce stability techniques to analyze the dynamical behavior of this nonlinear system. Then we use constant effort harvesting techniques to control the budworm population. We also give numerical simulations of the population model with harvest and without harvest.

Alcoholic Process and System Dynamic Study of the Effects of Alcoholic Crime Forecast on Therapy programs (알코올중독 프로세스 및 치유프로그램이 음주범죄 예측에 미치는 영향에 관한 동적 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Jae;Byun, Sang-Hei
    • Korean System Dynamics Review
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.31-48
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this paper is to simulate drinking population, an alcoholic abuser and an alcoholic through therapy programs and system dynamic model. Then we try to research relationship between an alcoholic crime and related therapy programs. The results of the model simulation were consistently increased drinking population and 3 types drinkers until 2020 years. Specially the growth rate of drinking abusers will be passing that of a drinking population. Second, It showed clearly the decreasing effects of drinking crime on therapy programs(clinical treatment, preventive displine and counseling treatment). Finally, it will be positvely necessary the long-term and various alcoholic therapy program for reducing the ratio of drinking abusers and an alcoholic. In the second place, government and medical centers must be established a concrete information systems for collecting alcoholic datum.

INTERVENTION STRATEGIES FOR THE DYNAMICS OF POPULATION WITH OVEREATING BEHAVIOR

  • MINHYE KIM;YONGKUK KIM;CHUNYOUNG OH
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.123-134
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    • 2023
  • Disordered eating behaviors, such as overeating, are known to be contagious in the general population. The objective of our research is to find an optimal control strategy to reduce the social burden of unhealthy overeating behavior by establishing and analyzing a mathematical model for the social transmission dynamics of unhealthy overeating. We consider four compartments in the population: normal weight with normal eating behavior, normal weight with overeating behavior, overweight with normal eating behavior, and overweight with overeating behavior. Simulation results under various control scenarios show that integrated control measures may be necessary to reduce the growth rate of the overeating population.

Exciton Dynamics of GaAs/AIGaAs Quantum Wells

  • Lee, Joo-In;Lee, Jae-Young m;Sungkyu Yu;Lee, Chang-Myung
    • Journal of Korean Vacuum Science & Technology
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.41-43
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    • 2000
  • We present a study of exciton relaxation in GaAs/AIGaAs quantum well structures by using time-resolved photoluminescence techniques.03 observed that light-hole exciton has a longer decay time than heavy-hole exciton, which results from the difference of the exciton population factor. We considered the thermal population time to explain the observed exciton dynamics.

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DYNAMICS OF A SINGLE SPECIES POPULATION IN A POLLUTED ENVIRONMENT

  • Pal, A.K.;Samanta, G.P.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.28 no.5_6
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    • pp.1185-1202
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we have studied the dynamical behaviour such as boundedness, local and global stabilities, bifurcation of a single species population affected by environmental toxicant and population toxicant. We have also studied the effect of discrete delay of the environmental toxicant on the instantaneous growth rates of the population biomass and population toxicant due to incubation period. The length of delay preserving the stability is also estimated. Computer simulations are carried out to illustrate our analytical findings.

OSCILLATION AND ATTRACTIVITY OF DISCRETE NONLINEAR DELAY POPULATION MODEL

  • Saker, S.H.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.25 no.1_2
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    • pp.363-374
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we consider the discrete nonlinear delay model which describe the control of a single population of cells. We establish a sufficient condition for oscillation of all positive solutions about the positive equilibrium point and give a sufficient condition for the global attractivity of the equilibrium point. The oscillation condition guarantees the prevalence of the population about the positive steady sate and the global attractivity condition guarantees the nonexistence of dynamical diseases on the population.