• International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.63-70
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• 2022

This study is to investigate that population change as a result of the decline in population has a correlation with a decrease in crime, with the change in the demographic composition by comparing with two models: model with growth in population and one with the decline in population. We collected demographic data for all cities in Korea from the 2010 Census to 2020 offered by the Korean Statistical Information Service, with crime data comprising serious reported crime events from the Korean Nation Police Agency through requesting data related to the total number of crimes at the same as the period of demographic data. This study can identify the impacts of demographic changes as a result of population change on crime change through a comparative analysis between areas with population growth and ones with population decline. We can confirm that there are differences in determinants of crime between areas with population increase and one with population decrease from the analysis of the impact of demographic change as a result of population change on crime change.

• 한국지리정보학회지
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.173-187
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• 2023

본격적인 인구감소 시대에 들어선 가운데 지방 도시들은 사회적 인구 유입도 어려운 상황을 고려하여 생활인구 유도를 통한 도시 활력 증진을 모색할 필요가 있다. 본 연구는 이동통신 빅데이터를 활용한 도시활력도 분석을 위해 인구감소 지역인 부산광역시 행정동을 대상으로 주민등록인구와 생활인구의 시공간 분포특성을 비교하였다. 다음으로 행정동을 인구증감의 변화 양상으로 유형화한 후, 도시쇠퇴 및 활력 관련 지표를 사용하여 유형별 지역 특성을 분석하였다. 시공간 분포특성 분석결과, 주민등록인구와 생활인구 밀도 분포패턴은 대체로 비슷한 패턴을 보였으나, 원도심 지역에서 주민등록인구 밀도가 낮으면서 생활인구 밀도가 높은 반대의 특성을 가지는 지역이 나타났다. 주민등록인구와 생활인구의 변화 양상은 상당한 차이를 보였으며, 주민등록인구는 밀도가 낮은 지역에서 인구가 감소하는 반면, 생활인구는 밀도가 높은 지역에서 감소하는 경향을 보였다. 생활인구 감소 군집에 인접해서 인구증감의 지역 간 격자가 큰 군집이 나타나, 인구 밀도가 높은 지역에서 주변 지역에 생활인구가 확산하는 전이효과가 나타날 가능성을 시사했다. 유형화 결과, 주민등록인구가 감소하는 지역에서도 통근·통학 또는 방문으로 인한 활발한 인구 유입이 있었으며, 이러한 지역은 사업체 수의 증가를 유지하고 있어, 산업·경제적 성장이 존재함을 확인하였다. 다만 부산의 약 47% 행정동은 주민등록인구와 생활인구가 모두 감소하고 지역 쇠퇴가 진행되고 있었으며, 이러한 지역에 대해 우선적인 도시 활력 증진을 위한 노력이 필요하다. 본 연구는 교통과 통신의 발달로 인한 도시활동의 한계거리 증가와 이동량의 증가로 지역간 교류가 날로 확대되는 점을 고려해 주민등록인구뿐만 아니라 도시계획지표로서의 생활인구 데이터의 활용 필요성을 제시하였다.

• 농촌계획
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• 제22권3호
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• pp.119-129
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• 2016

The aim of this study is to suggest the quantitative standard of a marginal village. For the purpose, the study selected 43 villages with the population of 50 or less, the classification of a marginal village in accordance with advanced research and 47 villages with the population over 50 in Buyeo-gun region. The common reason of occurrence of a marginal village suggested by advanced research is a characteristic of a village or decline and extinction of a village rather than a simple index of population or aging rate. Therefore, the study assumed that decline of functions of the village would be caused by decline a function of communities consisting of the villagers. The study then assumed that the relatively low or 0 number or rate of participants would result in community functions. The study conducted t-test on basis of population and aging rate and an analysis to find the range with relatively large differences in the number of communities, participants and the rate of the participants, etc. The result showed that the community function began to decline when the population was less than 60~70 and the aging rate over 75%~85%. As the decline of functions of communities began in population of 70, the critical point was met when the population was 40 or less. With population of 40 or less, the young and the old group communities became extinct or showed rapid decrease in the number of participants. The study assumed that decline of functions of a village, a reason of occurrence of a marginal village would be decline of functions of communities, but there was no further analysis on decline or extinction of a village with population of 40 or less. There shall be further studies about whether a village of population of 40 or less is led to decline of a function or extinction of village communities.

• 농촌계획
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• 제28권4호
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• pp.1-9
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• 2022

Rural decline due to the decrease of the local population is an inevitable phenomenon, and a vicious cycle has been formed between a lack of basic living services and a population decrease in rural areas. Therefore, the study aims to derive the migration decision-making characteristics based on basic living service infrastructure data in rural areas. To do this, the population change over the past 20 years was categorized into six types, and the relationship between the classified population change types and the number of basic living service infrastructures was analyzed using decision tree analysis. Of the total 3,501 regions, 801 regions were the continuous decline type, of which 740 were rural areas. On the other hand, among 569 regions that were the continuous increase type, 401 regions were urban areas, confirming the population imbalance between rural and urban areas. As a result of the decision tree analysis on the relationship between population change types and the distribution of basic living service infrastructure, the number of daycare centers was derived as an important variable to classify the continuous increase type. Hospitals, parks, and public transportation were also found to be major basic living services affecting the classification of population change types.

• 문화기술의 융합
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.95-102
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• 2023

본 연구는 인구 감소로 인한 지역의 인구통계학적 구조 변화와 범죄 발생 간의 영향 관계에 있어서 인구 감소의 조절효과를 실증적으로 검증하고자 하였다. 이를 위해 인구통계학적 구조 변화를 구성하는 요인으로 청년층 인구의 변화, 남성 인구의 변화, 노인 인구의 변화, 외국인 인구의 변화, 인구이동의 변화를 선정하였으며, 통제변수로 도시의 유형을 연구모형에 투입하였다. 조절변수로는 인구 감소율을 그리고 종속변수로는 범죄 발생 변화율을 각각 활용하였다. 본 연구는 2010년부터 2022년까지 인구가 감소한 155개 지역을 대상으로 자료를 수집하였다. 자료는 KOSIS 국가통계포털과 정보공개 신청을 통해 수집되었으며, 수집된 자료는 조절회귀분석에 의해 분석되었다. 청년층인구 변화율, 남성 인구 변화율, 노인 인구 변화율, 외국인 인구 변화율, 인구이동 변화율, 인구감소율, 그리고 통제변수인 지역의 유형을 독립변수로 투입한 1단계와 2단계 분석에서 청년층 인구 변화율, 외국인 인구 변화율, 인구이동변화율, 인구감소율, 그리고 지역의 유형이 범죄 발생 변화율에 유의미한 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 인구 감소의 조절효과를 검증하기 위해 조절회귀분석을 실시한 결과, 청년층 인구 변화율, 인구이동 변화율, 그리고 외국인 인구 변화율과 인구 감소율의 상호작용항이 통계학적으로 유의미한 것으로 나타났다.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제41권3호
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• pp.1-10
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• 2018

The purpose of this study is to improve effectiveness of Korea's Official Development Assistance (ODA) provided to developing countries. To do this, we analyze the efficiency of ODA provided to 38 recipient countries by Korea through data envelope analysis method. The effects of four factors including population, GDP, economic decline and poverty, and external intervention on efficiency are also investigated by utilizing tobit regression analysis. As a result of the DEA efficiency analysis, it is found that the average efficiency score of the total is about 59%. By region, the average efficiency score of Asia, Africa, Central and South America, and the East and CIS (Commonwealth of Independent States) are about 42%, 68%, 70%, and 74%, respectively. It indicates that the Asian countries are inefficient compared to countries of the other regions. It is also found that factors of population, GDP, economic decline and poverty, and external intervention have statistically significant effects on efficiency at 0.01 significance level. In the case of the population, the higher the population of the recipient country, the more negative (-) effect is on the efficiency. The other factors such as GDP, economic decline and poverty, and external intervention have positive effects on the efficiency.

• International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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• 제10권4호
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• pp.77-85
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• 2022

Today's universities have a keen interest in educational reform. The issue of population decline in college-age due to population decline is not new. Universities have been developing quantitatively for a long time and are now considering ways to survive rather than qualitative growth. Since the sharp decline in the school-age population due to the population decline has no clear solution immediately, universities are overcoming this crisis by creating many alternatives. Attracting international students is one of them. In this study, the effectiveness of photovoice was examined through the analysis of the case of the Korean-Japanese convergence cartoon class. The photo-voice method has sufficient potential as a teaching method for foreign convergence classes and can be expected to play a role as a teaching method suitable for students participating in convergence classes with different social, cultural, and linguistic backgrounds. In particular, in the convergence class, since participating students generate research materials through photo production, it can be a tool for inner exploration necessary for webtoon production and a tool for narrative inquiry for storytelling. It is expected that expanding the understanding and use of photo voice will have the methodological value of convergence classes. In addition, the teaching method using photo voice produced in the composition of photos and stories is likely to be used as an appropriate tool for convergence classes for students with different social, cultural, and linguistic backgrounds.

• Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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• 제22권1호
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• pp.1-6
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• 2009

Genetic variability is an important component in the ability of populations to adapt in the face of environmental change. Severe human impacts reduced Muzzafarnagri sheep of India from 500,000 in 1972 to 10,989 in 1973-74. Here we report for the first time the effect of this population decline on levels of genetic variability at 13 FAO recommended ovine microsatellite loci and contrast levels of variability to that in a breed from the same geographical region, which differed in numbers, by an order of magnitude (Marwari sheep). Of the 13 loci, 100% were polymorphic in both breeds. A high degree of genetic variation was observed within populations in terms of both allele diversity (number of alleles per locus, >4) and gene diversity (expected heterozygosity, >0.5), which implied that there is still a substantial amount of genetic diversity at the nuclear loci in a declining population. Nevertheless, overall low number of alleles per locus and relatively less abundance of low frequency alleles in Muzzafarnagri sheep suggested that genetic variability has been comparatively reduced in this population. Bottleneck analysis indicated that a genetic bottleneck did not occur during the most recent decline. In addition, we found that the differentiation among populations was moderate ($F_{ST}$= 11.8%). This study on assessment of genetic effects of the population declines in ovines is a step towards identification of genetically impoverished or healthy populations, which could prove to be a useful tool to facilitate conservation planning in this important species of small ruminants.

• 한국인구학
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• 제16권2호
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• pp.1-23
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• 1993

Korea fertility level has dropped since the 1960's and speed of decline has accelerated in the 1980's. In the resuls, the growth rate reached to less then 1 percent in 1990 and will be $\ulcorner$0 $\lrcorner$ percent growth in 2021. The total population will increase to 50, 586 thousand persons in 2021 then will decrease. With the rapid fertility decline the age structure of Korean population has changed : while the proportion of child population aged 0-14 is decreasing sharply, that of old-age population aged 65 and over is increasing. Because of the recent increase of sex ratio at birth, the sex structure among the young generation has been destorted; the sex ratio at age 0-4 was as high as high as 112.0 in 1990. The effects of these population phenomena on Korean society are the followings: 1) Old age dependency ratio is increasing rapidly and continuously and will be about 40.0 from the 2050's. 2) Because of the rapid decline of the number of births, the absolute number of the major labour force at age 25-34 will decrease after around 2000 and then from the 2010's become less than that in 1990. 3) Since the large fertility defferentials by womens's educational level have continued and the relation between the educational levels of mothers and children are very strong, level has dropped among higher educated women first when the average fertility level has declined in Korea, the average educational level of the children is may be expected to be relatively low and then the future productivity is will be also low, which causes the decline of 'quality of population. 4) When the high sex ratio at birth (over 110 since 1986) continues, number of brides will be short by over 20 percent from the 2010s, which will bring various kinds of social prblems. Therefore, the counter measures in concrete to relieve the heavy problems are recommended as follows: 1) The extention of the birth intervals, which helps to drop the population growth rate at the same level of number of children per women. 2) The positive supports for out-migrants, which helps to reduce the population size without any destortion of age-sex structure. 3) The defferent supports of family planning for the higher and lower classes, which helps to reduce the gaps between different ferility levels of the classes and to keep and improve the quality of population. 4)population education for both students and adults, which helps to minimize the gap between the private and public requirements.

• 농촌계획
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• 제29권4호
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• pp.183-189
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• 2023

As South Korea faces a general decline in population, similar to other regions, its rural areas are also experiencing a downward trend. This study examines how the scale and shifts in population within rural towns(eup·myeon) are affecting the number of essential services such as hospitals, laundry shops, and beauty salons. Our analysis encompassed the populations of 1,403 towns, excluding nine areas due to lack of data as of 2020. Since the availability of basic services can vary with population size, we normalized the figures to reflect the number of services per 10,000 people, allowing for a comparative analysis across different population sizes. Generally, areas with more people showed an increase in the number of services per capita. Our review of changes from 2000 to 2020 revealed patterns in how service numbers adjust with population variations. Future research should delve into more detailed trends of these facilities and forecast the rural population's future to ensure that residents in areas where service sustainability may be challenging will have full access to necessary services.