DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Relationship between Change of Demographic Composition and Crime : Comparing Areas with Growth in Population to Areas with Decline

  • Lee, Soochang (Department of Police Administration, DaeKyeung University) ;
  • Kim, Daechan (Byuckang Liberal Arts School, Kyungwoon University)
  • Received : 2022.07.20
  • Accepted : 2022.09.03
  • Published : 2022.09.30

Abstract

This study is to investigate that population change as a result of the decline in population has a correlation with a decrease in crime, with the change in the demographic composition by comparing with two models: model with growth in population and one with the decline in population. We collected demographic data for all cities in Korea from the 2010 Census to 2020 offered by the Korean Statistical Information Service, with crime data comprising serious reported crime events from the Korean Nation Police Agency through requesting data related to the total number of crimes at the same as the period of demographic data. This study can identify the impacts of demographic changes as a result of population change on crime change through a comparative analysis between areas with population growth and ones with population decline. We can confirm that there are differences in determinants of crime between areas with population increase and one with population decrease from the analysis of the impact of demographic change as a result of population change on crime change.

Keywords

References

  1. D. S., Kirk and J. H., Laub, Neighborhood Change and Crime in the Modern Metropolis, Crime and Justice, Vol. 39, No. 1, pp. 441-502, 2010. doi:10.1086/652788.
  2. https://ko.wikipedia.org/wiki/%EB%AF%B8%EA%B5%AD%EC%9D%98_%EC%9D%B8%EA%B5%AC
  3. W. Louis, Urbanism as a Way of Life, American Journal of Sociology, Vol. 44, No. 1, pp. 1-24, 1938. https://doi.org/10.1086/217913
  4. B. H., Mayhew and R. L., Levinger, Size and the Density of Interaction in Human Aggregates, American Journal of Sociology, Vol. 82, No. 11, pp. 86-100, 1977.
  5. H. M., Choldin, Urban Density and Pathology, Annual Review of Sociology, No. 4, pp. 91-113, 1978.
  6. L. E. Cohen and M. Felson, Social Change and Crime Rate Trends: A Routine Activity Approach, American Sociological Review, Vol. 44, No. 4, pp. 588-608, 1979. doi:org/10.2307/2094589.
  7. J. R., Hipp and A. Roussell, Micro-and Macro-Environment Population and the Consequences for Crime Rates, Social Forces, Vol. 92, No. 2, pp. 563-595, 2013. https://doi.org/10.1093/sf/sot091
  8. T. V., Kovandzic, L. M., Vieratis, and Mark. R., Yeisley, The Structural Covariates of Urban Homicide: Reassessing the Impact of Income Inequality and Poverty in the Post-Reagan Era, Criminology, Vol. 36, No. 3, pp. 569-600, 1998. doi:org/10.1111/j.1745-9125. 1998.tb01259.x
  9. S. F., Messner and R. J., Sampson, The Sex Ratio, Family Disruption, and Rates of Violent Crime: The Paradox of Demographic Structure, Social Forces, No. 69, pp. 693-713, 1991.