Journal of Korean Society of Rural Planning (농촌계획)

Korean Society of Rural Planning (한국농촌계획학회)
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Analyzing Migration Decision-Making Characteristics Based on Population Change Pattern and Distribution of Basic Living Services in Rural Areas

농촌지역 인구변화 특성 및 기초생활서비스 분포 특성을 고려한 이주 의사 결정 요인 분석

  • Kim, Suyeon (Rural Environment & Resources Division, National Institute of Agricultural Sciences) ;
  • Choi, Jin-Ah (Rural Environment & Resources Division, National Institute of Agricultural Sciences)
  • 김수연 (국립농업과학원 농촌환경지원과) ;
  • 최진아 (국립농업과학원 농촌환경지원과)
  • Received : 2022.05.31
  • Accepted : 2022.10.18
  • Published : 2022.11.30
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Abstract

Rural decline due to the decrease of the local population is an inevitable phenomenon, and a vicious cycle has been formed between a lack of basic living services and a population decrease in rural areas. Therefore, the study aims to derive the migration decision-making characteristics based on basic living service infrastructure data in rural areas. To do this, the population change over the past 20 years was categorized into six types, and the relationship between the classified population change types and the number of basic living service infrastructures was analyzed using decision tree analysis. Of the total 3,501 regions, 801 regions were the continuous decline type, of which 740 were rural areas. On the other hand, among 569 regions that were the continuous increase type, 401 regions were urban areas, confirming the population imbalance between rural and urban areas. As a result of the decision tree analysis on the relationship between population change types and the distribution of basic living service infrastructure, the number of daycare centers was derived as an important variable to classify the continuous increase type. Hospitals, parks, and public transportation were also found to be major basic living services affecting the classification of population change types.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

본 연구는 농촌진흥청 국립농업과학원 농업과학기반기술 연구개발사업 (PJ015615012022)에 의해 수행되었음.

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