• Title/Summary/Keyword: Poisson process.

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Nonlinear Regression for an Asymptotic Option Price

  • Song, Seong-Joo;Song, Jong-Woo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.755-763
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    • 2008
  • This paper approaches the problem of option pricing in an incomplete market, where the underlying asset price process follows a compound Poisson model. We assume that the price process follows a compound Poisson model under an equivalent martingale measure and it converges weakly to the Black-Scholes model. First, we express the option price as the expectation of the discounted payoff and expand it at the Black-Scholes price to obtain a pricing formula with three unknown parameters. Then we estimate those parameters using the market option data. This method can use the option data on the same stock with different expiration dates and different strike prices.

Moments of the ruin time and the total amount of claims until ruin in a diffusion risk process

  • Kim, Jihoon;Ahn, Soohan
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.265-274
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, we consider a diffusion risk process, in which, its surplus process behaves like a Brownian motion in-between adjacent epochs of claims. We assume that the claims occur following a Poisson process and their sizes are independent and exponentially distributed with the same intensity. Our main goal is to derive the exact formula of the joint moment generating function of the ruin time and the total amount of aggregated claim sizes until ruin in the diffusion risk process. We also provide a method for computing the related first and second moments using the joint moment generating function and the augmented matrix exponential function.

Assessment of Turbulent Spectral Estimators in LDV (LDV의 난류 스펙트럼 추정치 평가)

  • 이도환;성형진
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers
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    • v.16 no.9
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    • pp.1788-1795
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    • 1992
  • Numerical simulations have been performed to investigate various spectral estimators used in LDV signal processing. In order to simulate a particle arrival time statistics known as the doubly stochastic poisson process, an autoregressive vector model was adopted to construct a primary velocity field. The conditional Poisson process with a random rate parameter was generated through the rescaling time process using the mean value function. The direct transform based on random sampling sequences and the standard periodogram using periodically resampled data by the sample and hold interpolation were applied to obtain power spectral density functions. For low turbulent intensity flows, the direct transform with a constant Poisson intensity is in good agreement with the theoretical spectrum. The periodogram using the sample and hold sequences is better than the direct transform in the view of the stability and the weighting of the velocity bias for high data density flows. The high Reynolds stress and high fluctuation of the transverse velocity component affects the velocity bias which increases the distortion of spectral components in the direct transform.

Poisson Video Composition Using Shape Matching (형태 정합을 이용한 포아송 동영상 합성)

  • Heo, Gyeongyong;Choi, Hun;Kim, Jihong
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.617-623
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    • 2018
  • In this paper, we propose a novel seamless video composition method based on shape matching and Poisson equation. Video composition method consists of video segmentation process and video blending process. In the video segmentation process, the user first sets a trimap for the first frame, and then performs a grab-cut algorithm. Next, considering that the performance of video segmentation may be reduced if the color, brightness and texture of the object and the background are similar, the object region segmented in the current frame is corrected through shape matching between the objects of the current frame and the previous frame. In the video blending process, the object of source video and the background of target video are blended seamlessly using Poisson equation, and the object is located according to the movement path set by the user. Simulation results show that the proposed method has better performance not only in the naturalness of the composite video but also in computational time.

Comparison of Two-time Homogeneous Poisson Processes Using Inverse Type Sapling Plans (역샘플링법을 이용한 포와슨과정의 비교)

  • 장중순;임춘우;정유진
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.11 no.17
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    • pp.67-80
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    • 1988
  • This study is concerned with the comparison of two time homogeneous Poisson processes. Traditionally, the methods of testing equality of Poisson processes were based on the binomial distribution or its normal approximations. The sampling plans used in these methods are to observe the processes concurrently over a predetermined time interval, possibly different for each process. However, when the values of the intensities of the processes are small, inverse type sampling plans are more appropriate since there may be cases where only a few or even no events are observed in the predetermined time interval. This study considers 9 inverse type sampling plans for the comparison of two Poisson processes. For each sampling plans considered, critical regions and the design parameters of the sampling plan are determined to guarantee the significance level and the power at some values of the alternative hypothesis. The Problem of comparing of two Weibull processes are also considered.

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COMPLETE CONTROLLABILITY OF SEMILINEAR STOCHASTIC INTEGRO-DIFFERENTIAL EQUATIONS WITH INFINITE DELAY AND POISSON JUMPS

  • D.N., CHALISHAJAR;A., ANGURAJ;K., RAVIKUMAR;K., MALAR
    • Journal of Applied and Pure Mathematics
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    • v.4 no.5_6
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    • pp.299-315
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    • 2022
  • This manuscript deals with the exact (complete) controllability of semilinear stochastic differential equations with infinite delay and Poisson jumps utilizing some basic and readily verified conditions. The results are obtained by using fixed-point approach and by using advance phase space definition for infinite delay part. We have used the axiomatic definition of the phase space in terms of stochastic process to consider the time delay of the system. An infinite delay along with the Poisson jump is the new investigation for the given stochastic system. An example is given to illustrate the effectiveness of the results.

A Bayesian Inference for Power Law Process with a Single Change Point

  • Kim, Kiwoong;Inkwon Yeo;Sinsup Cho;Kim, Jae-Joo
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.1-9
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    • 2004
  • The nonhomogeneous poisson process (NHPP) is often used to model repairable systems that are subject to a minimal repair strategy, with negligible repair times. In this situation, the system can be characterized by its intensity function. There have been many NHPP models according to intensity functions. However, the intensity function of system in use can be changed because of repair or its aging. We consider the single change point model as the modification of the power law process. The shape parameter of its intensity function is changed before and after the change point. We detect the presence of the change point using Bayesian methodology. Some numerical results are also presented.

CUSUM control chart for Katz family of distributions (카즈분포족에 대한 누적합 관리도)

  • Cho, Gyo-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.29-35
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    • 2011
  • In statistical process control, the primary method used to monitor the number of nonconformities is the c-chart. The conventional c-chart is based on the assumption that the occurrence of nonconformities in samples is well modeled by a Poisson distribution. When the Poisson assumption is not met, the X-chart is often used as an alternative charting scheme in practice. And CUSUM-chart is used when it is desirable to detect out of control situations very quickly because of sensitive to a small or gradual drift in the process. In this paper, I compare CUSUM-chart to X-chart for the Katz family covering equi-, under-, and over-dispersed distributions relative to the Poisson distribution.

An Improvement of the Approximation of the Ruin Probability in a Risk Process (보험 상품 파산 확률 근사 방법의 개선 연구)

  • Lee, Hye-Sun;Choi, Seung-Kyoung;Lee, Eui-Yong
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.937-942
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, a continuous-time risk process in an insurance business is considered, where the premium rate is constant and the claim process forms a compound Poisson process. We say that a ruin occurs if the surplus of the risk process becomes negative. It is practically impossible to calculate analytically the ruin probability because the theoretical formula of the ruin probability contains the recursive convolutions and infinite sum. Hence, many authors have suggested approximation formulas of the ruin probability. We introduce a new approximation formula of the ruin probability which extends the well-known De Vylder's and exponential approximation formulas. We compare our approximation formula with the existing ones and show numerically that our approximation formula gives closer values to the true ruin probability in most cases.

ASYMPTOTIC OPTION PRICING UNDER A PURE JUMP PROCESS

  • Song, Seong-Joo
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.237-256
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    • 2007
  • This paper studies the problem of option pricing in an incomplete market. The market incompleteness comes from the discontinuity of the underlying asset price process which is, in particular, assumed to be a compound Poisson process. To find a reasonable price for a European contingent claim, we first find the unique minimal martingale measure and get a price by taking an expectation of the payoff under this measure. To get a closed-form price, we use an asymptotic expansion. In case where the minimal martingale measure is a signed measure, we use a sequence of martingale measures (probability measures) that converges to the equivalent martingale measure in the limit to compute the price. Again, we get a closed form of asymptotic option price. It is the Black-Scholes price and a correction term, when the distribution of the return process has nonzero skewness up to the first order.