• Title/Summary/Keyword: Performance Prediction Logic

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An Experimental Study on the Performance Prediction Logic for a Regenerative Cooling System (재생냉각시스템의 성능예측기법에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Jung, Se-Yong;Lee, Yang-Suk
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.396-405
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    • 2009
  • The experimental research was conducted to setup a performance prediction logic for the regenerative cooling system on a small scale liquid rocket engine using kerosene and LOX. Total heat flux of the combustion gas side was determined for the flow rate of the coolant, combustion pressure using the calorimeter thrust chamber. Based on the experimental investigation, a performance prediction scheme for the regenerative cooling system is setup in our own way. A performance prediction logic for the regenerative cooling system has been developed by the correction scheme of the combustion gas side. The key parameters determining the temperature limitation of the coolant are the mass flow rate of the coolant and the length of the combustion chamber and the nozzle. And the parameters to control the limitation of the usable wall temperature are the number of channels and wall thickness.

Prediction System Design based on An Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Logic System using HCBKA (HCBKA를 이용한 Interval Type-2 퍼지 논리시스템 기반 예측 시스템 설계)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • Journal of Industrial Technology
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    • v.30 no.A
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    • pp.111-117
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    • 2010
  • To improve the performance of the prediction system, the system should reflect well the uncertainty of nonlinear data. Thus, this paper presents multiple prediction systems based on Type-2 fuzzy sets. To construct each prediction system, an Interval Type-2 TSK Fuzzy Logic System and difference data were used, because, in general, it has been known that the Type-2 Fuzzy Logic System can deal with the uncertainty of nonlinear data better than the Type-1 Fuzzy Logic System, and the difference data can provide more steady information than that of original data. Also, to improve each rule base of the fuzzy prediction systems, the HCBKA (Hierarchical Correlation Based K-means clustering Algorithm) was applied because it can consider correlationship and statistical characteristics between data at a time. Subsequently, to alleviate complexity of the proposed prediction system, a system selection method was used. Finally, this paper analyzed and compared the performances between the Type-1 prediction system and the Interval Type-2 prediction system using simulations of three typical time series examples.

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Electric Load Forecasting using Data Preprocessing and Fuzzy Logic System (데이터 전처리와 퍼지 논리 시스템을 이용한 전력 부하 예측)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.66 no.12
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    • pp.1751-1758
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents a fuzzy logic system with data preprocessing to make the accurate electric power load prediction system. The fuzzy logic system acceptably treats the hidden characteristic of the nonlinear data. The data preprocessing processes the original data to provide more information of its characteristics. Thus the combination of two methods can predict the given data more accurately. The former uses TSK fuzzy logic system to apply the linguistic rule base and the linear regression model while the latter uses the linear interpolation method. Finally, four regional electric power load data in taiwan are used to evaluate the performance of the proposed prediction system.

A Comparative Study on the Prediction of KOSPI 200 Using Intelligent Approaches

  • Bae, Hyeon;Kim, Sung-Shin;Kim, Hae-Gyun;Woo, Kwang-Bang
    • International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.7-12
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    • 2003
  • In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used the neural network models for the stock market forecasting. The KOSPI 200 (Korea Composite Stock Price Index 200) is modeled by using different neural networks and fuzzy logic. In this paper, the neural network, the dynamic polynomial neural network (DPNN) and the fuzzy logic employed for the prediction of the KOSPI 200. The prediction results are compared by the root mean squared error (RMSE) and scatter plot, respectively. The results show that the performance of the fuzzy system is little bit worse than that of the DPNN but better than that of the neural network. We can develop the desired fuzzy system by optimization methods.

Performance Improvement of Prediction-Based Parallel Gate-Level Timing Simulation Using Prediction Accuracy Enhancement Strategy (예측정확도 향상 전략을 통한 예측기반 병렬 게이트수준 타이밍 시뮬레이션의 성능 개선)

  • Yang, Seiyang
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.5 no.12
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    • pp.439-446
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    • 2016
  • In this paper, an efficient prediction accuracy enhancement strategy is proposed for improving the performance of the prediction-based parallel event-driven gate-level timing simulation. The proposed new strategy adopts the static double prediction and the dynamic prediction for input and output values of local simulations. The double prediction utilizes another static prediction data for the secondary prediction once the first prediction fails, and the dynamic prediction tries to use the on-going simulation result accumulated dynamically during the actual parallel simulation execution as prediction data. Therefore, the communication overhead and synchronization overhead, which are the main bottleneck of parallel simulation, are maximally reduced. Throughout the proposed two prediction enhancement techniques, we have observed about 5x simulation performance improvement over the commercial parallel multi-core simulation for six test designs.

Neuro-Fuzzy Approaches to Ozone Prediction System (뉴로-퍼지 기법에 의한 오존농도 예측모델)

  • 김태헌;김성신;김인택;이종범;김신도;김용국
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.616-628
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, we present the modeling of the ozone prediction system using Neuro-Fuzzy approaches. The mechanism of ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, and nonstationary, the modeling of ozone prediction system has many problems and the results of prediction is not a good performance so far. The Dynamic Polynomial Neural Network(DPNN) which employs a typical algorithm of GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling) is a useful method for data analysis, identification of nonlinear complex system, and prediction of a dynamical system. The structure of the final model is compact and the computation speed to produce an output is faster than other modeling methods. In addition to DPNN, this paper also includes a Fuzzy Logic Method for modeling of ozone prediction system. The results of each modeling method and the performance of ozone prediction are presented. The proposed method shows that the prediction to the ozone concentration based upon Neuro-Fuzzy approaches gives us a good performance for ozone prediction in high and low ozone concentration with the ability of superior data approximation and self organization.

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Design of HCBKA-Based IT2TSK Fuzzy Prediction System (HCBKA 기반 IT2TSK 퍼지 예측시스템 설계)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Lee, Chul-Heui
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.60 no.7
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    • pp.1396-1403
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    • 2011
  • It is not easy to analyze the strong nonlinear time series and effectively design a good prediction system especially due to the difficulties in handling the potential uncertainty included in data and prediction method. To solve this problem, a new design method for fuzzy prediction system is suggested in this paper. The proposed method contains the followings as major parts ; the first-order difference detection to extract the stable information from the nonlinear characteristics of time series, the fuzzy rule generation based on the hierarchically classifying clustering technique to reduce incorrectness of the system parameter identification, and the IT2TSK fuzzy logic system to reasonably handle the potential uncertainty of the series. In addition, the design of the multiple predictors is considered to reflect sufficiently the diverse characteristics concealed in the series. Finally, computer simulations are performed to verify the performance and the effectiveness of the proposed prediction system.

Electric Power Load Forecasting using Fuzzy Prediction System (퍼지 예측 시스템을 이용한 전력 부하 예측)

  • Bang, Young-Keun;Shim, Jae-Sun
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.62 no.11
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    • pp.1590-1597
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    • 2013
  • Electric power is an important part in economic development. Moreover, an accurate load forecast can make a financing planning, power supply strategy and market research planned effectively. This paper used the fuzzy logic system to predict the regional electric power load. To design the fuzzy prediction system, the correlation-based clustering algorithm and TSK fuzzy model were used. Also, to improve the prediction system's capability, the moving average technique and relative increasing rate were used in the preprocessing procedure. Finally, using four regional electric power load in Taiwan, this paper verified the performance of the proposed system and demonstrated its effectiveness and usefulness.

Development of Thermal Error Model with Minimum Number of Variables Using Fuzzy Logic Strategy

  • Lee, Jin-Hyeon;Lee, Jae-Ha;Yang, Seong-Han
    • Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.11
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    • pp.1482-1489
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    • 2001
  • Thermally-induced errors originating from machine tool errors have received significant attention recently because high speed and precise machining is now the principal trend in manufacturing proce sses using CNC machine tools. Since the thermal error model is generally a function of temperature, the thermal error compensation system contains temperature sensors with the same number of temperature variables. The minimization of the number of variables in the thermal error model can affect the economical efficiency and the possibility of unexpected sensor fault in a error compensation system. This paper presents a thermal error model with minimum number of variables using a fuzzy logic strategy. The proposed method using a fuzzy logic strategy does not require any information about the characteristics of the plant contrary to numerical analysis techniques, but the developed thermal error model guarantees good prediction performance. The proposed modeling method can also be applied to any type of CNC machine tool if a combination of the possible input variables is determined because the error model parameters are only calculated mathematically-based on the number of temperature variables.

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A New Prediction-Based Parallel Event-Driven Logic Simulation (새로운 예측기반 병렬 이벤트구동 로직 시뮬레이션)

  • Yang, Seiyang
    • KIPS Transactions on Computer and Communication Systems
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.85-90
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, anew parallel event-driven logic simulation is proposed. As the proposed prediction-based parallel event-driven simulation method uses both prediction data and actual data for the input and output values of local simulations executed in parallel, the synchronization overhead and the communication overhead, the major bottleneck of the performance improvement, are greatly reduced. Through the experimentation with multiple designs, we have observed the effectiveness of the proposed approach.