• 한국군사과학기술학회지
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.396-405
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• 2009

The experimental research was conducted to setup a performance prediction logic for the regenerative cooling system on a small scale liquid rocket engine using kerosene and LOX. Total heat flux of the combustion gas side was determined for the flow rate of the coolant, combustion pressure using the calorimeter thrust chamber. Based on the experimental investigation, a performance prediction scheme for the regenerative cooling system is setup in our own way. A performance prediction logic for the regenerative cooling system has been developed by the correction scheme of the combustion gas side. The key parameters determining the temperature limitation of the coolant are the mass flow rate of the coolant and the length of the combustion chamber and the nozzle. And the parameters to control the limitation of the usable wall temperature are the number of channels and wall thickness.

• 산업기술연구
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• 제30권A호
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• pp.111-117
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• 2010

To improve the performance of the prediction system, the system should reflect well the uncertainty of nonlinear data. Thus, this paper presents multiple prediction systems based on Type-2 fuzzy sets. To construct each prediction system, an Interval Type-2 TSK Fuzzy Logic System and difference data were used, because, in general, it has been known that the Type-2 Fuzzy Logic System can deal with the uncertainty of nonlinear data better than the Type-1 Fuzzy Logic System, and the difference data can provide more steady information than that of original data. Also, to improve each rule base of the fuzzy prediction systems, the HCBKA (Hierarchical Correlation Based K-means clustering Algorithm) was applied because it can consider correlationship and statistical characteristics between data at a time. Subsequently, to alleviate complexity of the proposed prediction system, a system selection method was used. Finally, this paper analyzed and compared the performances between the Type-1 prediction system and the Interval Type-2 prediction system using simulations of three typical time series examples.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제66권12호
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• pp.1751-1758
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• 2017

This paper presents a fuzzy logic system with data preprocessing to make the accurate electric power load prediction system. The fuzzy logic system acceptably treats the hidden characteristic of the nonlinear data. The data preprocessing processes the original data to provide more information of its characteristics. Thus the combination of two methods can predict the given data more accurately. The former uses TSK fuzzy logic system to apply the linguistic rule base and the linear regression model while the latter uses the linear interpolation method. Finally, four regional electric power load data in taiwan are used to evaluate the performance of the proposed prediction system.

• International Journal of Fuzzy Logic and Intelligent Systems
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• 제3권1호
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• pp.7-12
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• 2003

In recent years, many attempts have been made to predict the behavior of bonds, currencies, stock or other economic markets. Most previous experiments used the neural network models for the stock market forecasting. The KOSPI 200 (Korea Composite Stock Price Index 200) is modeled by using different neural networks and fuzzy logic. In this paper, the neural network, the dynamic polynomial neural network (DPNN) and the fuzzy logic employed for the prediction of the KOSPI 200. The prediction results are compared by the root mean squared error (RMSE) and scatter plot, respectively. The results show that the performance of the fuzzy system is little bit worse than that of the DPNN but better than that of the neural network. We can develop the desired fuzzy system by optimization methods.

• 정보처리학회논문지:컴퓨터 및 통신 시스템
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• 제5권12호
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• pp.439-446
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• 2016

본 논문에서는 예측기반 병렬 이벤트구동 게이트수준 타이밍 시뮬레이션의 성능 개선을 위한 효율적인 예측정확도 향상 전략을 제안한다. 제안된 기법은 병렬 이벤트구동 로컬시뮬레이션들의 입력값과 출력값에 대한 예측을 이중으로 예측할 뿐만 아니라, 특별한 상황에서는 동적으로 예측할 수 있게 한다. 이중 예측은 첫번째 예측이 틀린 경우에 두번째 정적 예측 데이터로써 새로운 예측을 시도하게 되며, 동적 예측은 실제의 병렬 시뮬레이션 실행 과정 도중에 동적으로 축적되어진 지금까지의 시뮬레이션 결과를 예측 데이터로 활용하는 것이다. 제안된 두가지의 예측정확도 향상 기법은 병렬 시뮬레이션의 성능 향상의 제약 요소인 동기 오버헤드 및 통신 오버헤드를 크게 감소시킨다. 이 두가지 중요한 예측정확도 향상 방법을 통하여 6개의 디자인들에 대한 예측기반 병렬 이벤트구동 게이트수준 타이밍 시뮬레이션이 기존 통상적 방식의 상용 병렬 멀티-코어 시뮬레이션에 비하여 약 5배의 시뮬레이션 성능이 향상됨을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 한국지능시스템학회논문지
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• 제10권6호
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• pp.616-628
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• 2000

In this paper, we present the modeling of the ozone prediction system using Neuro-Fuzzy approaches. The mechanism of ozone concentration is highly complex, nonlinear, and nonstationary, the modeling of ozone prediction system has many problems and the results of prediction is not a good performance so far. The Dynamic Polynomial Neural Network(DPNN) which employs a typical algorithm of GMDH(Group Method of Data Handling) is a useful method for data analysis, identification of nonlinear complex system, and prediction of a dynamical system. The structure of the final model is compact and the computation speed to produce an output is faster than other modeling methods. In addition to DPNN, this paper also includes a Fuzzy Logic Method for modeling of ozone prediction system. The results of each modeling method and the performance of ozone prediction are presented. The proposed method shows that the prediction to the ozone concentration based upon Neuro-Fuzzy approaches gives us a good performance for ozone prediction in high and low ozone concentration with the ability of superior data approximation and self organization.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제60권7호
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• pp.1396-1403
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• 2011

It is not easy to analyze the strong nonlinear time series and effectively design a good prediction system especially due to the difficulties in handling the potential uncertainty included in data and prediction method. To solve this problem, a new design method for fuzzy prediction system is suggested in this paper. The proposed method contains the followings as major parts ; the first-order difference detection to extract the stable information from the nonlinear characteristics of time series, the fuzzy rule generation based on the hierarchically classifying clustering technique to reduce incorrectness of the system parameter identification, and the IT2TSK fuzzy logic system to reasonably handle the potential uncertainty of the series. In addition, the design of the multiple predictors is considered to reflect sufficiently the diverse characteristics concealed in the series. Finally, computer simulations are performed to verify the performance and the effectiveness of the proposed prediction system.

• 전기학회논문지
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• 제62권11호
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• pp.1590-1597
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• 2013

Electric power is an important part in economic development. Moreover, an accurate load forecast can make a financing planning, power supply strategy and market research planned effectively. This paper used the fuzzy logic system to predict the regional electric power load. To design the fuzzy prediction system, the correlation-based clustering algorithm and TSK fuzzy model were used. Also, to improve the prediction system's capability, the moving average technique and relative increasing rate were used in the preprocessing procedure. Finally, using four regional electric power load in Taiwan, this paper verified the performance of the proposed system and demonstrated its effectiveness and usefulness.

• Journal of Mechanical Science and Technology
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• 제15권11호
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• pp.1482-1489
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• 2001

Thermally-induced errors originating from machine tool errors have received significant attention recently because high speed and precise machining is now the principal trend in manufacturing proce sses using CNC machine tools. Since the thermal error model is generally a function of temperature, the thermal error compensation system contains temperature sensors with the same number of temperature variables. The minimization of the number of variables in the thermal error model can affect the economical efficiency and the possibility of unexpected sensor fault in a error compensation system. This paper presents a thermal error model with minimum number of variables using a fuzzy logic strategy. The proposed method using a fuzzy logic strategy does not require any information about the characteristics of the plant contrary to numerical analysis techniques, but the developed thermal error model guarantees good prediction performance. The proposed modeling method can also be applied to any type of CNC machine tool if a combination of the possible input variables is determined because the error model parameters are only calculated mathematically-based on the number of temperature variables.

• 정보처리학회논문지:컴퓨터 및 통신 시스템
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• 제4권3호
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• pp.85-90
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• 2015

본 논문에서는 새로운 병렬 이벤트구동 로직 시뮬레이션 기법을 제안한다. 제안한 예측에 기반한 병렬 이벤트구동 시뮬레이션 기법은 병렬 이벤트구동 시뮬레이션에서 다른 로컬시뮬레이션과의 연동 과정에서 사용되는 입력값과 출력값에 실제값과 예측값을 함께 사용함으로써 성능 향상의 제약 요소인 동기 오버헤드 및 통신 오버헤드를 크게 감소시킬 수 있다. 본 논문에서 제안한 예측기반 병렬 이벤트구동 로직 시뮬레이션의 유용함은 다수의 디자인들에 적용한 실험을 통하여 확인할 수 있었다.