• Title/Summary/Keyword: Performance Evaluations

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Evaluation of Travel Time Prediction Reliability on Highway Using DSRC Data (DSRC 기반 고속도로 통행 소요시간 예측정보 신뢰성 평가)

  • Han, Daechul;Kim, Joohyon;Kim, Seoungbum
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.86-98
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    • 2018
  • Since 2015, the Korea Expressway Corporation has provided predicted travel time information, which is reproduced from DSRC systems over the extended expressway network in Korea. When it is open for public information, it helps travelers decide optimal routes while minimizing traffic congestions and travel cost. Although, sutiable evaluations to investigate the reliability of travel time forecast information have not been conducted so far. First of all, this study seeks to find out a measure of effectiveness to evaluate the reliability of travel time forecast via various literatures. Secondly, using the performance measurement, this study evaluates concurrent travel time forecast information in highway quantitatively and examines the forecast error by exploratory data analysis. It appears that most of highway lines provided reliable forecast information. However, we found significant over/under-forecast on a few links within several long lines and it turns out that such minor errors reduce overall reliability in travel time forecast of the corresponding highway lines. This study would help to build a priority for quality control of the travel time forecast information system, and highlight the importance of performing periodic and sustainable management for travel time forecast information.

An Empirical Study of the Trading Rules on the basis of Market Anomalies and Technical Analysis (시장이상현상과 기술적 분석을 이용한 거래전략에 관한 연구)

  • Ohk, Ki-Yool;Lee, Min-Kyu
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.37 no.1
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2018
  • This study validates the trading rules based market anomalies and technical analysis in the Korean stock market. For the analysis, we built decile portfolios on the basis of corporate characteristics factors that clearly demonstrate specific patterns of stock returns including the firm size, book-to-market equity, and accruals. This portfolio was used to develop a portfolio based on the moving average trading strategy which was used for popular technical analysis tools, and then that was evaluated using the Sharpe ratio. We also created a zero-cost portfolio to identify the profitability and success rate of the moving average trading strategy. We lastly sought to ensure a more robust evaluation by calculating the Sortino ratio of the portfolio based on the moving average trading strategy with various lags. Key findings from this validation are as follows. First, a smaller firm size, a higher book-to-market equity, and lower accruals led to larger average returns. Second, the risk-adjusted performance of the moving average trading strategy was the highest in terms of the firm size, followed by book-to-market equity and accruals. Third, the returns of the zero-cost portfolios all had a positive value, with its overall success rate hovering over 68.8%, demonstrating the successfulness of the moving average trading strategy. Fourth, various evaluations revealed the economic usefulness of our trading strategy that used market anomalies and technical analysis.

Comparison of Automated Breast Volume Scanning and Hand-Held Ultrasound in the Detection of Breast Cancer: an Analysis of 5,566 Patient Evaluations

  • Choi, Woo Jung;Cha, Joo Hee;Kim, Hak Hee;Shin, Hee Jung;Kim, Hyunji;Chae, Eun Young;Hong, Min Ji
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.21
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    • pp.9101-9105
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    • 2014
  • Background: The purpose of this study was to compare the accuracy and effectiveness of automated breast volume scanning (ABVS) and hand-held ultrasound (HHUS) in the detection of breast cancer in a large population group with a long-term follow-up, and to investigate whether different ultrasound systems may influence the estimation of cancer detection. Materials and Methods: Institutional review board approval was obtained for this retrospective study, and informed consent was waived. From September 2010 to August 2011, a total of 1,866 ABVS and 3,700 HHUS participants, who underwent these procedures at our institute, were included in this study. Cancers occurring during the study and subsequent follow-up were evaluated. The reference standard was a combination of histology and follow-up imaging (${\geq}12months$). The recall rate, cancer detection yield, diagnostic accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and positive (PPV) and negative (NPV) predictive values were calculated with exact 95% confidence intervals. Results: The recall rate was 2.57 per 1,000 (48/1,866) for ABVS and 3.57 per 1,000 (132/3,700) for HHUS, with a significant difference (p=0.048). The cancer detection yield was 3.8 per 1,000 for ABVS and 2.7 per 1,000 for HHUS. The diagnostic accuracy was 97.7% for ABVS and 96.5% for HHUS with statistical significance (p=0.018). The specificity of ABVS and HHUS were 97.8%, 96.7%, respectively (p=0.022). Conclusions: ABVS shows a comparable diagnostic performance to HHUS. ABVS is an effective supplemental tool for mammography in breast cancer detection in a large population.

Three-dimensional Cross-hole EM Modeling using the Extended Born Approximation (확장 Born 근사에 의한 시추공간 3차원 전자탐사 모델링)

  • Lee, Seong-Kon;Kim, Hee-Joon;Suh, Jung-Hee
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.86-95
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents an efficient three-dimensional (3-D) modeling algorithm using the extended approximation to an electric field integral equation. Numerical evaluations of Green's tensor integral are performed in the spatial wavenumber domain. This approach makes it possible to reduce computing time, to handle smoothly varying conductivity model and to remove singularity problems encountered in the integration of Green's tensor at a source point. The responses obtained by 3-D modeling algorithm developed in this study are compared with those by the full integral equation for a thin-sheet EM scattering. The extensive analyses on the performance of modeling algorithm are made with the conductivity contrasts and source frequencies. These results show that the modeling algorithm are accurate up to the conductivity contrast of 1:16 and the frequency range of 100 Hz-100 kHz. The extended Born approximation, however, may produce inaccurate results for some source and model configurations in which the electric field is discontinuous across the conductivity boundary. We performed the modeling of a composite model of which conductivity varies continuously and this shows the modeling algorithm developed in this study is efficient for 3-D EM modeling. For a cross-hole source-receiver configuration a composite model of which conductivity varies continuously can be successfully simulated using this algorithm.

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Game Theory Based Co-Evolutionary Algorithm (GCEA) (게임 이론에 기반한 공진화 알고리즘)

  • Sim, Kwee-Bo;Kim, Ji-Youn;Lee, Dong-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.253-261
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    • 2004
  • Game theory is mathematical analysis developed to study involved in making decisions. In 1928, Von Neumann proved that every two-person, zero-sum game with finitely many pure strategies for each player is deterministic. As well, in the early 50's, Nash presented another concept as the basis for a generalization of Von Neumann's theorem. Another central achievement of game theory is the introduction of evolutionary game theory, by which agents can play optimal strategies in the absence of rationality. Not the rationality but through the process of Darwinian selection, a population of agents can evolve to an Evolutionary Stable Strategy (ESS) introduced by Maynard Smith. Keeping pace with these game theoretical studies, the first computer simulation of co-evolution was tried out by Hillis in 1991. Moreover, Kauffman proposed NK model to analyze co-evolutionary dynamics between different species. He showed how co-evolutionary phenomenon reaches static states and that these states are Nash equilibrium or ESS introduced in game theory. Since the studies about co-evolutionary phenomenon were started, however many other researchers have developed co-evolutionary algorithms, in this paper we propose Game theory based Co-Evolutionary Algorithm (GCEA) and confirm that this algorithm can be a solution of evolutionary problems by searching the ESS.To evaluate newly designed GCEA approach, we solve several test Multi-objective Optimization Problems (MOPs). From the results of these evaluations, we confirm that evolutionary game can be embodied by co-evolutionary algorithm and analyze optimization performance of GCEA by comparing experimental results using GCEA with the results using other evolutionary optimization algorithms.

Improving Performance of Search Engine By Using WordNet-based Collaborative Evaluation and Hyperlink (워드넷 기반 협동적 평가와 하이퍼링크를 이용한 검색엔진의 성능 향상)

  • Kim, Hyun-Gil;Kim, Jun-Tae
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartB
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    • v.11B no.3
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    • pp.369-380
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we propose a web page weighting scheme based on WordNet-based collaborative evaluation and hyperlink to improve the precision of web search engine. Generally search engines use keyword matching to decide web page ranking. In the information retrieval from huge data such as the Web, simple word comparison cannot distinguish important documents because there exist too many documents with similar relevancy. In this paper, we implement a WordNet-based user interface that helps to distinguish different senses of query word, and constructed a search engine in which the implicit evaluations by multiple users are reflected in ranking by accumulating the number of clicks. In accumulating click counts, they are stored separately according to lenses, so that more accurate search is possible. Weighting of each web page by using collaborative evaluation and hyperlink is reflected in ranking. The experimental results with several keywords show that the precision of proposed system is improved compared to conventional search engines.

Rheological Evaluation of Blast Furnace Slag Cement Paster over Setting Time (고로슬래그 혼합 시멘트 페이스트의 응결시간 경과에 따른 레올로지 특성)

  • Cho, Bong-Suk;Ahn, Jae-Cheol;Park, Dong-Cheon
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Building Construction
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.505-512
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    • 2016
  • Even though high performance concrete was developed according to the trend of bigger and higher of reinforced concrete building, the rheological evaluations such as viscosity, yield stress are not enough to use as input data to accomplish the numerical analysis for the construction design. So there are many problems in the harden concrete such as poor compaction, rock pocket and crack, etc. in the field. In this study, consistency curves were measured by the viscometer as hydration reaction time passed. At the same time the slump flow test and Vicat setting test were carried out for comparing with the results of rheological properties. The fluidity of the W/B 30% decreased as the increase of replacement ratio of blast furnace slag. But in case of W/B 40%, the replacement ration did not significantly influenced to the slump flow value with the passage of hydration time. By the replacement of blast furnace slag to cement, initial setting was delayed and the time gap between initial and final setting became shorten. Through the regression analysis using Bingham model, there are a sudden changes of viscosity and yield stress around initial setting in case of low W/B 30%. The increase of workability by the change of free water in cement paste was offset by the coating effect of impermeable layer in case of W/B 40%.

Analytical Evaluations of the Retrofit Performances of Concrete Wall Structures Subjected to Blast Load (폭발하중을 받는 콘크리트 벽체 구조물의 보강 성능에 대한 해석적 분석)

  • Kim, Ho-Jin;Nam, Jin-Won;Kim, Sung-Bae;Kim, Jang-Ho;Byun, Keun-Joo
    • Journal of the Korea Concrete Institute
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.241-250
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    • 2007
  • In case of retrofitting a concrete structure subjected to blast load by using retrofit materials such as FRP (fiber-reinforced polymer), appropriate ductility as well as raising stiffness must be obtained. But the previous approximate and simplified models, which have been generally used in the design and analysis of structures subjected to blast load, cannot accurately consider effects on retrofit materials. Problems on the accuracy and reliability of analysis results have also been pointed out. In addition, as the response of concrete and reinforcement on dynamic load is different from that on static load, it is not appropriate to use material properties defined in the previous static or quasi-static conditions to in calculating the response on the blast load. In this study, therefore, an accurate HFPB (high fidelity physics based) finite element analysis technique, which includes material models considering strength increase, and strain rate effect on blast load with very fast loading velocity, has been suggested using LS-DYNA, an explicit analysis program. Through the suggested analysis technique, the behavior on the blast load of retrofitted concrete walls using CFRP (carbon fiber-reinforced polymer) and GFRP (glass fiber-reinforced polymer) have been analyzed, and the retrofit capacity analysis has also been carried out by comparing with the analysis results of a wall without retrofit. As a result of the analysis, the retrofit capacity showing an approximate $26{\sim}28%$ reduction of maximum deflection, according to the retrofit, was confirmed, and it is judged ate suggested analysis technique can be effectively applicable in evaluating effectiveness of retrofit materials and techniques.

Middle School Students' Perceptions and Practice of Handwriting and Factors Affecting their Attitudes towards Handwriting (중학생의 필기에 대한 인식, 실태 및 필기태도에 영향을 미치는 요인들)

  • Jeong, Min-Seon;Shin, Namin
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.14 no.10
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    • pp.416-428
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    • 2014
  • This study aimed to identify middle school students' perceptions and practices of handwriting, and factors affecting their attitudes towards handwriting. Data were collected by means of a survey targeting 346 students enrolled in 9 middle schools(Male=172, Female=172, Unknown=2, M=13.5 years old, SD= .94). Interviews, too, were conducted with 12 students in order to identify the students' perceptions of handwriting. The analyses of both survey and interview data revealed the following: (1) the majority of the interviewee students believed that handwriting is useful for memory and summarization so as to get a better school grade, including performance evaluations; (2) Many of the interviewee students were unsatisfied with their handwriting skills, giving higher scores to their peers' handwriting; (3) 45.7% of the students reported that mother was the one who taught them how to write for the first time; and 49.7% of them had no learning experience of taking notes; (4) Girls than boys and 1st graders than 2 or 3 graders showed more positive attitude towards handwriting; and (5) A multiple regression analysis showed that all the variables entered in the regression model, including sex, grade, affective attitude toward hands-on activities, physical abilities, time spent using a computer, and perceptions of Korean characters, had significant impacts on the students' attitudes towards handwriting.

A Study on the Design of Ergonomic Bridge Conning Display (인간공학적 Bridge Conning Display 설계에 관한 연구)

  • Yang Young-Hoon;Lee Bong-Wang;Lew Jae-Moon;Lee Chang-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.11 no.2 s.23
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2005
  • According to the development of technology of the navigational equipments, many bridge equipments have been improved, however, marine accidents by human error have not been reduced. Therefore, a matter of primary concern is focused on whether bridge equipments of ships are ergonomically arranged to reduce errors due to human factors. As part of a design of IBS(Integrated Bridge System) standard, rules of the conning display to save time and additional movements to obtain important informations of a ship should be established as soon as possible. In the present study, ergonomic design factors for the conning display are studied through the survey of related works, heuristic evaluations, sketch method tests as well as questionnaires. Using these factors, new conning display was designed and the ergonomic indices were evaluated by comparing tests of the existing conning displays. It is found that the designed conning display obtained high ergonomic index showed better performance, therefore, the ergonomic index studied in the present paper can be used as a useful design standard in the conning display design procedures.

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