• Title/Summary/Keyword: PERT

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Stochastic Project Scheduling Simulation System (SPSS III)

  • Lee Dong-Eun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.6 no.1 s.23
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    • pp.73-79
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    • 2005
  • This paper, introduces a Stochastic Project Scheduling Simulation system (SPSS III) developed by the author to predict a project completion probability in a certain time. The system integrates deterministic CPM, probabilistic PERT, and stochastic Discrete Event Simulation (DES) scheduling methods into one system. It implements automated statistical analysis methods for computing the minimum number of simulation runs, the significance of the difference between independent simulations, and the confidence interval for the mean project duration as well as sensitivity analysis method in What-if analyzer component. The SPSS 111 gives the several benefits to researchers in that it (1) complements PERT and Monte Carlo simulation by using stochastic activity durations via a web based JAVA simulation over the Internet, (2) provides a way to model a project network having different probability distribution functions, (3) implements statistical analyses method which enable to produce a reliable prediction of the probability of completing a project in a specified time, and (4) allows researchers to compare the outcome of CPM, PERT and DES under different variability or skewness in the activity duration data.

Probabilistic Evaluation of the Panel Life Time Using Steel Beam for Panel Mining in Soft Rock (연약암반내 패널채광시 강지보를 이용한 패널 유지기간의 확률론적 평가)

  • Jang, Myoung-Hwan
    • Tunnel and Underground Space
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.325-342
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    • 2018
  • The ${\bigcirc}{\bigcirc}$ mines have been tried in various ways to perform secondary and tertiary mining in fragile rock properties. For such mining, the panels should be maintained while the mining compartments are divided and paneled. In this study, the mining gate between the panels was maintained by a steel beam and the panel life time was probabilistic evaluated. We used Taylor's formula for panel life time and modified the Pert distribution conceptually. The main input data were determined by the Pert distribution, and Monte Carlo simulation was performed to evaluate the panel life time for the probability distribution. As a result, it was analyzed that the panels could be stand-up time from a minimum of 6.5 days to a maximum of 20.6 days when the panel width was 18 to 25 m. At the confidence level of 90%, the panel life time was analyzed as 8.2-15.6 days. The short panel life time is not possible with the panel mining. Therefore, it was planned to construct a steel beam for panel maintenance. As result, it was analyzed that steel beam for panel maintenance with mining plan of less than 3 years according to mine could maintain panel within 90% confidence level.

Potential of chemical rounding for the performance enhancement of pyramid textured p-type emitters and bifacial n-PERT Si cells

  • Song, Inseol;Lee, Hyunju;Lee, Sang-Won;Bae, Soohyun;Hyun, Ji Yeon;Kang, Yoonmook;Lee, Hae-Seok;Ohshita, Yoshio;Ogurad, Atsushi;Kim, Donghwan
    • Current Applied Physics
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    • v.18 no.11
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    • pp.1268-1274
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    • 2018
  • We have investigated the effects of chemical rounding (CR) on the surface passivation and/or antireflection performance of $AlO_{x^-}$ and $AlO_x/SiN_x:H$ stack-passivated pyramid textured $p^+$-emitters with two different boron doping concentrations, and on the performance of bifacial n-PERT Si solar cells with a front pyramid textured $p^+$-emitter. From experimental results, we found that chemical rounding markedly enhances the passivation performance of $AlO_x$ layers on pyramid textured $p^+$-emitters, and the level of performance enhancement strongly depends on boron doping concentration. Meanwhile, chemical rounding increases solar-weighted reflectance ($R_{SW}$) from ~2.5 to ~3.7% for the $AlO_x/SiN_x:H$ stack-passivated pyramid textured $p^+$-emitters after 200-sec chemical rounding. Consequently, compared to non-rounded bifacial n-PERT Si cells, the short circuit current density Jsc of 200-sec-rounded bifacial n-PERT Si cells with ~60 and ${\sim}100{\Omega}/sq$ $p^+$-emitters is reduced by 0.8 and $0.6mA/cm^2$, respectively under front $p^+$-emitter side illumination. However, the loss in the short circuit current density Jsc is fully offset by the increased fill factor FF by 0.8 and 1.5% for the 200-sec-rounded cells with ~60 and ${\im}100{\Omega}/sq$ $p^+$-emitters, respectively. In particular, the cell efficiency of the 200-sec-rounded cells with a ${\sim}100{\Omega}/sq$ $p^+$-emitter is enhanced as a result, compared to that of the non-rounded cells. Based on our results, it could be expected that the cell efficiency of bifacial n-PERT Si cells would be improved without additional complicated and costly processes if chemical rounding and boron doping processes can be properly optimized.

A Method for Schedule Simulation Considering Rework and Uncertainty (재작업과 불확실성을 고려한 일정 시뮬레이션 방법론)

  • Kim, Chan-Mook;Park, Young-Won
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 2009
  • The majority of development projects fail to meet their target schedule and cost, with the overrun typically between 40 and 200 percent. These overruns happen because the planners underestimate the work or do not consider the need to rework at project planning. Representative schedule planning/management techniques such as Gantt Chart, PERT/CPM etc. that are used in domestic project planning are unable to reflect rework. This paper proposes a method to consider rework to provide more realistic estimates at schedule planning. Additionally, to prevent the underestimation of the work this paper proposes a simulation method that calculates a probabilistic estimated schedule and the associated variance based on the random variable modeling of individual task completion dates.

A Study on Schedule Management in Construction Project Using the Dependency Structure Matrix(DSM) (DSM을 이용한 건설사업 공정관리에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Se-Hoon;Park, Moon-Seo;Lee, Hyun-Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.682-686
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    • 2007
  • Construction project has been more complex and bigger as various demands of the times. But current schedule management method in construction project uses only PERT or CPM made in 1950s without innovation. Also current schedule management focuses on not information flow between activities and variability of information exchanged but result. This paper suggest using the DSM(Dependency Structure Matrix) in schedule management of construction project to overcome limitations of current scheduling tools. DSM has been introduced as a new theory in construction industry in 1990s at the United States, but its application is still insufficient in domestic field due to the absence of systematic study.

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Free-view Pixels of Elemental Image Rearrangement Technique (FPERT)

  • Lee, Jaehoon;Cho, Myungjin;Inoue, Kotaro;Tashiro, Masaharu;Lee, Min-Chul
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.60-66
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we propose a new free-view three-dimensional (3D) computational reconstruction of integral imaging to improve the visual quality of reconstructed 3D images when low-resolution elemental images are used. In a conventional free-view reconstruction, the visual quality of the reconstructed 3D images is insufficient to provide 3D information to applications because of the shift and sum process. In addition, its processing speed is slow. To solve these problems, our proposed method uses a pixel rearrangement technique (PERT) with locally selective elemental images. In general, PERT can reconstruct 3D images with a high visual quality at a fast processing speed. However, PERT cannot provide a free-view reconstruction. Therefore, using our proposed method, free-view reconstructed 3D images with high visual qualities can be generated when low-resolution elemental images are used. To show the feasibility of our proposed method, we applied it to optical experiments.